Economic Calendar

Monday, November 21, 2011

Ted Forstmann, Private Equity Pioneer, Dies at 71

By Laurence Arnold - Nov 21, 2011 5:18 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Ted Forstmann in 2004

Financier Ted Forstmann outside Connecticut Superior Court in 2004. Photographer: Steven E. Frischling/Bloomberg


Ted Forstmann, the Wall Street dealmaker who sounded the alarm in the 1980s when junk bonds reshaped the leveraged-buyout industry he had helped create, has died. He was 71.

George Sard, an outside spokesman for Forstmann Little & Co., said Forstmann died at home this morning with his family there.

Forstmann underwent surgery in April 2011 to remove a brain tumor and began radiation therapy, the New York Times reported. He told the Times that he was determined to live long enough to complete his rebuilding of IMG Worldwide Inc., the athlete- management agency he led since buying it in 2004.

A highly competitive amateur tennis and college hockey player who made money in high-stakes bridge games early in his Wall Street career, Forstmann helped build the leveraged-buyout business through Forstmann Little, which opened in 1978. It purchased or led takeovers of companies including Dr Pepper, 24 Hour Fitness Worldwide, General Instrument Corp. and Gulfstream Aerospace, typically selling them in whole or in pieces for a profit.

“Once I decide to do something, I want to win in the worst way,” Forstmann told the Washington Post in 1995. “I will do anything within the law to win.” His favorite sports, he said, were golf, tennis and deals.

Forstmann was known for fighting rivals who financed their bids with high-yield, high-risk “junk” bonds rated below investment grade, chief among them Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.

RJR Nabisco Deal

A turning point in LBOs came in 1989 when KKR, relying largely on the junk debt pioneered by Michael Milken at Drexel Burnham, beat Forstmann in a bidding war for RJR Nabisco Inc., paying $30.1 billion.

Forstmann “fervently believed junk bonds had perverted not only the LBO industry, but Wall Street itself,” Bryan Burrough and John Helyar wrote in “Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco,” their 1990 book. “Almost alone among major acquirers, Forstmann Little refused to use them.” It was Forstmann who coined the term, “barbarians at the gate.”

More than a skeptic, Forstmann became an outspoken critic, telling audiences that junk bonds that paid interest in additional bonds, or whose interest rates soared over time, were nothing more than “funny money.”

“Today’s financial age has become a period of unbridled excess with accepted risk soaring out of proportion to possible reward,” Forstmann wrote in an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal in October 1988, as the RJR Nabisco competition was beginning. “Every week, with ever-increasing levels of irresponsibility, many billions of dollars in American assets are being saddled with debt that has virtually no chance of being repaid.”

Returns of 50%

Forstmann Little, one of the first buyout firms to raise money for acquisitions directly from pension funds, recorded average annual returns of 50 percent in its first two decades.

One of its biggest successes was its purchase of business- jet manufacturer Gulfstream Aerospace for $825 million in 1990. Forstmann Little took Gulfstream public in 1996 and held 23 percent of the stock when General Dynamics Corp. (GD) bought the company in 1999 for $5.3 billion.

In another profitable turnaround, Forstmann Little paid $1.4 billion in 1994 for 95 percent of Ziff-Davis Publishing Co., with Forstmann becoming chairman and chief executive officer. Softbank Corp. (9984), a Japanese computer-software wholesaler, bought the stake from Forstmann Little the following year for $2.1 billion.

Sued by Connecticut

In 2002, Connecticut’s treasurer sued Forstmann Little over its investments in two money-losing telecommunications companies, XO Communications Inc. and McLeodUSA Inc. The state sought return of $120 million lost from its retirement funds. In a 2004 settlement, the firm gave Connecticut $15 million.

Forstmann Little bought IMG, which represents athletes including Tiger Woods and Roger Federer, in 2004 for $750 million following the death of the company’s founder, Mark McCormack. In an interview then with BusinessWeek -- now Bloomberg Businessweek -- Forstmann credited his firm’s buyout standards for pulling off the deal.

“We don’t use public debt, and we don’t need to use bank debt either,” he said. “We can make an offer, which we did, that was totally certain. We had no financing conditions. We simply said to the trustees: ‘If you accept it, it’s done.’ Other people can’t do that.”

In hindsight, Forstmann told the Times, he “hugely overpaid” for IMG. As chairman and CEO, he broadened the company from talent management into licensing and entertainment.

Billionaire Bachelor

Forbes magazine estimated Forstmann’s net worth to be $1.6 billion in March 2011. He made regular appearances in gossip columns for squiring celebrities including Princess Diana, Elizabeth Hurley and Padma Lakshmi. In 2010, he acknowledged making a $40,000 wager on Federer to beat Rafael Nadal in the 2007 French Open final, a match Federer lost. The men’s tennis tour directed Forstmann not to violate its gambling rules, and Forstmann said he regretted making the wager.

Never married, he became the legal guardian of two boys in the 1990s after meeting them at an orphanage in South Africa. He hosted an annual off-the-record, invitation-only conference in Aspen, Colorado, for the world’s political and economic elite.

A major donor to Republican political campaigns, he gave $50 million in 1998 to a school-choice initiative he founded with philanthropist John Walton. Their charity, the Children’s Scholarship Fund, helps low-income families send their children to private schools.

Affluent Upbringing

Forstmann promised to give the majority of his wealth to charitable causes, signing onto The Giving Pledge, a movement started by Warren Buffett with Bill and Melinda Gates in 2010.

“I’ve tried to live by the motto, ‘You save one life and you save the world,’” Forstmann said. “I hope that by joining The Giving Pledge, it will encourage others to do the same.”

Theodore Joseph Forstmann was born on Feb. 13, 1940, the second of six children who were raised in affluence in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Forstmann’s father, Julius, had inherited Forstmann Woolen Co., a fabric company that had made his own father one of the world’s richest men. Forstmann grew up in fear of Julius, “an abusive alcoholic,” according to Burrough and Helyar.

Forstmann was a highly ranked junior amateur tennis player at 16, then quit after losing a match when a disputed call went against him. He played goalie for Yale University’s hockey team while earning a bachelor’s degree in English literature.

Path to LBOs

The failure of Forstmann Woolen left the future financier playing bridge games for money while attending Columbia University Law School.

After a few years at a Manhattan law firm, and a few more at small investment firms on Wall Street, Forstmann managed the sale of Graham Magnetics, a Texas company he had taken public.

The process took 18 months and the use of the secretary of his brother, Tony, at money manager Forstmann-Leff Associates, according to Burrough and Helyar. Forstmann earned $300,000 and turned his attention to LBOs, opening Forstmann Little in 1978 with his younger brother, Nick, and a former investment banker, Brian Little. (Little died in 2000, Nick Forstmann in 2001.)

In 1983, Forstmann Little faced off against Castle & Cooke Inc. in a bidding battle for soft-drink maker Dr Pepper. Castle & Cooke had a higher bid, one backed by junk bonds. With the support of company management, and a cash-backed bid, Forstmann prevailed.

Battle for Revlon

The story was different two years later, when Ronald Perelman, armed with Drexel Burnham junk bonds, sought a hostile takeover of Revlon Corp. Forstmann, working with company management, engineered a merger agreement that was rejected by Delaware courts as unfair to Perelman. Perelman proceeded with the first hostile takeover of a major public company using junk bonds.

The problem with junk bonds “was not that Mike Milken made $1 billion,” Forstmann told the Washington Post in 1995. “That would be great if he were doing something worthwhile. But what was happening was that all kinds of little people were sucked into investing in this crap and ended up losing a lot of money.”

The builder of companies told the Times in 2011 that he couldn’t relate to what Wall Street had become. “They’re all a bunch of traders,” he said. “Instead of trading thousands, they’re trading trillions.”

A wake for Forstmann will be held tomorrow and Tuesday at the Frank E. Campbell funeral chapel, 1076 Madison Ave. His memorial Mass will be at 10 a.m. on Nov. 29 at St. Patrick’s Cathedral in New York City.

To contact the reporter on this story: Laurence Arnold in Washington at larnold4@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Charles W. Stevens at cstevens@bloomberg.net



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Olympus’s $687M Scam Hid in Filing System

By Katie Linsell and Mariko Yasu - Nov 21, 2011 4:00 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Olympus $687 Million Scam Lay Hidden

Olympus has lost about 70 percent of its market value since Woodford was ousted. Photographer: Tomohiro Ohsumi/Bloomberg


Olympus Corp. (7733) executives including the current head of investor relations signed off on misleading accounts, restated earnings and delayed regulatory filings to help conceal $687 million in fake costs used to hide losses.

Documents filed at Companies House in Cardiff, Wales, reveal gaps in disclosure rules that enabled Olympus to mask the cost of the 2008 takeover of London-listed Gyrus Group Plc for more than three years. Like Enron Corp.’s use of off-balance sheet entities to hide losses, a simple idea underpinned Olympus’s complex deception, said Bruce E. Aronson, a former partner at Hughes Hubbard & Reed LLP in New York.

“The structures may seem sophisticated, but one feature of every scheme is that they pretend a security is still worth full book value,” said Aronson, who is studying comparative corporate governance in Tokyo. The schemes aren’t “a way of hiding losses in the long term.” They’re just “putting off the day of reckoning,” he said.

Olympus on Nov. 8 admitted inflated advisory fees paid in the $2.1 billion acquisition of Gyrus were used to conceal soured investments dating back decades. In a practice known as “tobashi” -- loosely translated as “to make fly away” -- the company used offshore entities to park assets in the hope that a market recovery would erase losses before they had to be accounted for.

A week after Olympus paid $620 million in March 2010 to buy back preference shares given to its advisers as fees, former Chairman Tsuyoshi Kikukawa and two senior aides, who were all serving as Gyrus directors, filed financial statements saying it wasn’t “meaningful to estimate a fair value” for the securities. Gyrus instead booked them at $177 million, the documents show.

KPMG Leaves

Gyrus’s auditor, KPMG Audit Plc, left the role in part because of its client’s accounting for the securities, it said in a letter to directors that was filed to Companies House. Olympus’s investors were never passed the letter or KPMG’s qualified accounts, according to two shareholders who declined to be identified.

The payment to the advisers, Axam Investments Ltd., is part of criminal probes in the U.S., U.K. and Japan.

Akihiro Nambu, the Japanese camera maker’s investor- relations head, signed the 2009 accounts on April 5, 2010. The third Gyrus director, Hisashi Mori, was fired last week as executive vice president over his role in hiding the losses.

Under the U.K.’s Companies Act 2006, it is an offense for directors not to circulate accounts and the auditor’s report to shareholders. Gyrus’s only shareholder is Olympus, and under Japanese law there is no obligation for the three directors of the U.K. company to pass on the report.

Delayed Filing

Repeated attempts to interview Kikukawa, Mori and Nambu and other Olympus officials, including visits to the homes of some, have failed. Tsuyoshi Kitada, a Tokyo-based spokesman, declined to comment on whether Gyrus’s 2009 accounts and the auditor’s report were sent to the full Olympus board.

Olympus executives delayed booking the true cost of the fees until March 2011, nine months after Axam Investments was struck off by the Cayman Islands registrar.

The tax haven’s secrecy rules mean the beneficiary of the payout is not yet known. However, Olympus’s admission the funds were intended to help erase losses suggests the money was to be routed back to the company.

Preference Shares

After they took over Gyrus’s board, Kikukawa, Mori and Nambu on Sept. 30, 2008, authorized the issue of $200 million of preference shares, filings show. The directors also gave themselves the right to allot $176,981,106 of the shares -- only disclosing that these were awarded to Axam more than 18 months later in the Gyrus annual return.

Because of the dividend set on the securities, their fair value was much higher. Olympus agreed to buy back the shares for $620 million, according to two March 22 agreements signed by Kikukawa and Mori, copies of which were given to Bloomberg News. Those agreements, and earlier exchanges with Axam, show Olympus executives knew the eventual payout to Axam would far exceed the nominal value booked in the 2009 accounts.

KPMG approved the 2009 Gyrus financial statement, though it did so with reservations because the company had failed to provide sufficient proof Axam wasn’t a related party. The auditors also took issue with the accounting treatment of the preference shares.

“We consider that there are circumstances connected with our ceasing to hold office that should be brought to the attention of the company’s members or creditors,” KPMG Audit wrote in a letter to Gyrus Group dated April 26, 2010.

‘Incorrectly Recorded’

When the 2010 financial statement was filed a year later, Gyrus revised earnings for 2009 because it had “incorrectly recorded” the preference shares at nominal value. Gyrus booked the securities in its year-end accounts at the same value as paid to Axam on March 31, 2010. The revision knocked about $330 million from Gyrus’s $716 million in net assets.

New auditor Ernst & Young LLC also approved accounts with reservation, citing the lack of information about Axam in a March 21, 2011, filing. Both Gyrus annual reports were submitted more than a year from the end of the reporting period, exceeding the U.K.’s nine-month limit.

“If you see companies producing the numbers late, there’s a problem with the audit procedures,” said Eli Amir, professor of accounting at London Business School. Auditors’ duty “is to the shareholders of the company,” so they may not report their findings to regulators, he said. “They might walk away to decrease their exposure to litigation or other sanctions.”

Failed to Account

Amir said he was speaking in general, and not specifically about Gyrus. KPMG’s London-based spokesman Gavin Houlgate and Ernst & Young spokeswoman Vicky Conybeer declined to comment.

Olympus’s annual report for the 12 months to March 31, 2010, showed a 15.5 billion yen ($201 million) “prior period adjustment” loss related to the purchase of preference shares from a third party. The company added about 13.5 billion yen to goodwill on its balance sheet to account for the purchase, according to a conference call after the earnings.

Olympus didn’t say who the third party was.

Southeastern Asset Management Inc., Olympus’s biggest shareholder, said it raised the issue in an email exchange with the company’s investor-relations department in May last year.

Nambu’s division claimed the purchase was related to financing for the Gyrus acquisition, not payment to an adviser, Southeastern wrote in a letter to the board dated Oct. 20 this year and which was copied to the U.K.’s Serious Fraud Office and Japanese regulators.

Olympus has appointed an independent committee including former judges to probe its acquisitions and hidden losses. The findings are expected by mid-December. Olympus last week said it would publish corrected accounts and its half-year earnings by Dec. 14.

The SFO, which prosecutes white-collar crime, has started a probe into accounting at Olympus, a person familiar with the case said last week, declining to be identified because they weren’t authorized to speak to the media.

To contact the reporters on this story: Katie Linsell in London at klinsell@bloomberg.net; Mariko Yasu in Tokyo at myasu@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Hirschberg at phirschberg@bloomberg.net



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India Searches Vodafone, Airtel Offices in Probe

By Abhishek Shanker - Nov 21, 2011 1:31 AM GMT+0700

India’s federal investigators indicted telecommunications carriers Vodafone India Ltd. and Bharti Airtel Ltd. (BHARTI) and conducted searches in a probe into alleged irregularities in allocations of mobile-phone airwaves.

Central Bureau of Investigation registered a case against three private cellular companies and two government officials for alleged irregularities in the grant of additional second- generation spectrum, causing a loss of about 5.1 billion rupees ($100 million) during 2001-2007, it said on its website.

Spokesmen at Bharti Airtel, India’s biggest mobile-phone company, and Vodafone India, unit of Vodafone Group Plc (VOD), confirmed the searches. The bureau also searched residences of Shyamal Ghosh, the telecom secretary in the federal government during 2001-02, and J.R. Gupta, then director at state-owned telecom company Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd., according to Dharini Mishra, a spokeswoman at the bureau.

The probe seeks information about possible malpractice in allocating spectrum during 2001-02 when Pramod Mahajan was the telecom minister under the National Democratic Alliance government led by Bhartiya Janta Party, the main opposition in the current government, Mishra said. Mahajan has been excluded from the case since he died, the bureau said.

“All our documents are in complete compliance with the governing laws and regulations,” Suresh Rangarajan, spokesman at Vodafone, said in an e-mailed statement on Nov. 19. “Vodafone India is completely co-operating with the officials and will provide them all the required details as part of their checks.”

‘Criminal Conspiracy’

Bharti Airtel’s spokesman Prem Subedi said the company secured all spectrum blocks as per the government policy.

“It has been alleged that the then-secretary in the ministry and another official entered into a criminal conspiracy with three beneficiary private companies and abused their official positions as public servants,” the agency’s statement said. “The public servants, with approval of the then minister of telecom took an alleged hurried decision on Jan. 31, 2002 to allocate additional spectrum beyond 6.2 megahertz in violation of the report of a technical committee.”

In a separate probe, India’s chief auditor said last year that former minister Andimuthu Raja in the Congress-led government and others conspired to grant licenses to unqualified companies for personal benefit, reducing state revenues by as much as $31 billion. The CBI put the loss at 220 billion rupees ($4.3 billion)

Investor Confidence

The scandal has weakened Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s government, lowered investor confidence in the economy, paralyzed legislation in parliament and sparked nationwide street protests.

The government is cracking down on corruption as it’s under pressure from social activists and opposition parties to curb official graft and make a stronger anti-corruption law. The government may seek lawmakers’ approval for such a law in its winter session from Nov. 22 to Dec. 21.

“The government is only trying to use its powers to find answers for some tough questioning on corruption issues in the upcoming parliament session,” said N. Bhaskara Rao, chairman of the Centre for Media Studies. “It has no inkling in solving the issue and regaining investors’ confidence.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Abhishek Shanker in Mumbai at ashanker1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jim McDonald at jmcdonald8@bloomberg.net




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Crude Trades Near Seven-Day Low as Saudi Arabia Says Market Is Balanced

By Ben Sharples and Alexander Kwiatkowski - Nov 21, 2011 7:41 AM GMT+0700

Crude traded near the lowest close in seven days in New York after Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi said markets are balanced and there is no oversupply.

Futures for January delivery were little changed after dropping 1.3 percent on Nov. 18. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, pumped 9.4 million barrels a day in October, similar to in September, Al-Naimi said in Riyadh yesterday. OPEC’s December meeting may lack the discord of its last gathering, according to its secretary general, as the 12- nation group weighs signs of declining growth in demand for oil.

Futures for January delivery traded at $97.56 a barrel, down 11 cents, at 8:23 a.m. in Singapore in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. They dropped Nov. 18 to $97.67, the lowest close in a week.

Brent oil for January settlement slid 0.6 percent to $107.56 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange Nov. 18.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Sharples in Melbourne at bsharples@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mike Anderson at manderson34@bloomberg.net




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Asian Stocks Retreat as U.S. Debt Committee Said to Be Close to Failure

By Nick Gentle - Nov 21, 2011 7:33 AM GMT+0700

Asian stocks fell for a fifth day amid concern a U.S. congressional committee will fail to agree ways to cut the nation’s indebtedness and as Deutsche Bank AG Chief Executive Officer Josef Ackermann said Europe needs a “firewall” to contain its debt crisis.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index retreated 0.5 percent to 113.67, on track for its longest streak of losses since August. Almost two stocks fell for each that rose on the gauge.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net




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Japanese Stocks Decline on U.S. Deficit Talks, Europe Debt Crisis Concern

By Yoshiaki Nohara - Nov 21, 2011 7:23 AM GMT+0700

Japan’s Topix Index of stocks fell for a second day on speculation a U.S. congressional committee will struggle to reach an agreement on deficit-cutting measures and on concern Europe’s debt crisis will linger, damping the earnings outlook for exporters.

Toyota Motor Corp. (7203), the world’s biggest carmaker by market value, fell 1.6 percent. Sony Corp. (6758), Japan’s No. 1 exporter of consumer electronics, slid 0.9 percent after a report showed Japan’s exporters declined more than expected in October. Osaka Securities Exchange Co. rose 2.1 percent after a newspaper reported the bourse will announce a merger agreement with Tokyo Stock Exchange Group Inc. tomorrow.

The Topix Index fell 0.3 percent to 718.19 as of 9:17 a.m. in Tokyo, set for the lowest close since March 12, 2009. The Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average was little changed at 8,375.60, after falling as much as 0.3 percent.

“There’s likely to be a continuing impasse and people will focus on the stability of the U.S. politically,” said Tim Schroeders, who helps manage $1 billion in equities at Pengana Capital Ltd. in Melbourne. “People will probably sit on the sideline and wait for clarity.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net.




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Rajoy Party Wins Spanish Eletions After Debt Crisis Overwhelms Socialists

By Angeline Benoit and Charles Penty - Nov 21, 2011 7:16 AM GMT+0700

Mariano Rajoy won the biggest parliamentary majority in a Spanish election in almost 30 years, and told Spaniards to brace for difficult times as the nation fights to avoid being overwhelmed by the debt crisis.

Rajoy’s People’s Party swept the ruling Socialists from power after eight years, winning 186 of the 350 seats in Parliament, compared with 110 for the ruling party’s candidate Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba. That’s the worst result for the Socialists in more than three decades. Opinion polls in the month before the vote showed the PP winning 184 to 198 seats.

“Hard times lie ahead,” Rajoy told supporters outside the PP’s headquarters in Madrid, giving no new details of his plans. “We are going to govern in the most delicate situation Spain has faced in 30 years.”

Rajoy, 56, who said on Nov. 18 he hoped Spain wouldn’t need a bailout before he can be sworn in as prime minister in a month’s time, has pledged to slash the budget deficit and regain the nation’s AAA credit rating, without saying how he will do it. He inherits a stagnant economy with a 23 percent unemployment rate and borrowing costs back at the levels Spain was paying before it joined the euro.

Election ‘Not Sufficient’

“The victory of austerity-driven Rajoy is a positive step,” said Thomas Costerg, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London. “However, this election alone will perhaps not be sufficient to cheer up market sentiment.”

Spain’s 10-year bond yield rose as high as 6.78 percent on Nov. 17, the most since the start of the euro, before ending the week at 6.38 percent and leaving the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs at 441 basis points.

Rajoy pledged Spain would “stop being a problem and become part of the solution again,” in Europe, as he called for a “common effort.”

Hundreds of supporters gathered at PP headquarters, waving Spanish and party flags as Barry White, Shakira and Carlinhos Brown songs blasted from loudspeakers.

Spain faces a power vacuum of about a month as the new government can’t take over until the second half of December. Spanish law doesn’t allow Parliament to resume any sooner than Dec. 13, with Rajoy’s administration to be voted in the following week.

Slashing Deficit

“The room for maneuver of the new government is very limited,” said Jose Antonio Sanahuja, a professor of international relations at Madrid’s Complutense University. “Rajoy will have no option but to announce a package of extraordinarily tough reforms to convince the markets and his European partners Spain is different from Italy and Greece.’

Even as the PP says it will slash the deficit, create jobs and make life easier for businesses, fallout from the debt crisis may undermine Rajoy’s efforts to bring down bond yields.

“There are forces in motion that are not about which personality or interest group is implementing the various austerity programs,” Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. in New York. “The economies are deteriorating faster that the austerity is being implemented.”

The PP, which shepherded Spain into the single currency in 1999, has campaigned on its economic record, which includes eliminating a 7 percent budget deficit in the eight years to 2004 and reducing the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs from 300 basis points to seven. Unemployment fell to 11 percent from 18 percent as a construction boom fueled hiring.

Fighting for Euro

Now seven years after the fall of the PP government that qualified Spain for the single currency, Rajoy will be fighting to remain in the euro. He inherits a deficit of almost 7 percent of gross domestic product and a banking system struggling to find funding and saddled by bad loans from the real-estate boom.

Rajoy has pledged to cut the deficit by a third to 4.4 percent of GDP next year and finish the “restructuring” of the banking system. The new government will also have to crack down on spending in Spain’s autonomous regions, where budget overruns threaten the deficit goal. The PP already controls 11 of the 17 regional governments and won control of most municipal administrations in May. That may make it easier to reorder finances in the regions, which have 133 billion euros in debt.

Protecting Pensions

Rajoy has said he will cut “superfluous spending,” without giving details, and hasn’t said how he will overhaul the financial system. He has pledged to maintain the purchasing power of pensions, which accounted for 112 billion euros ($151 billion) this year, and said everything else can be trimmed.

For Rajoy the victory over the socialists comes after he suffered two defeats to outgoing Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero. After Aznar decided not to run again, he chose Rajoy to lead the PP in the 2004 election.

Rajoy was ahead in the polls when three days before the vote a terrorist attack on commuter trains in Madrid’s Atocha train station killed 192 people. The bombing triggered a backlash against the PP government, which tried to blame the bombing on Basque terror group ETA, even after an Al-Qaeda- linked group claimed it carried out the attack to punish the Aznar government for backing the U.S.-led war in Iraq.

Zapatero rode rising employment to a second victory over Rajoy in 2008, but the end of the country’s building boom contributed to the country’s worst recession in 60 years, quickly sapping support for the premier.

Socialists Sink

Zapatero, who alienated traditional Socialist voters by cutting wages and changing labor rules to favor employers, was replaced in the campaign by Rubalcaba, his former deputy. As unemployment continued to climb, Rubalcaba’s pledges to tax banks and the rich weren’t enough to woo back voters.

Still the landslide was due to a collapse in support for the Socialist, rather than a surge in backing for the PP. The PP won 10.8 million votes, compared with 10.3 million four years ago. Support for the Socialists plunged to almost 7 million votes, from 11.3 million in 2008. United Left, which includes Communists, won 11 seats, up from two, while Union Progress & Democracy, a party that wants to limit the power of the regions, took five seats, compared with one in the last election.

To contact the reporter on this story: Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net




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Treasuries Rise as Possible Budget Committee Failure Spurs Refuge Demand

By Wes Goodman - Nov 21, 2011 7:32 AM GMT+0700

Treasuries rose, extending gains from last week, as speculation the U.S. budget supercommittee will fail to agree on how to cut the deficit pushed stock futures down and boosted demand for the relative safety of debt.

Ten-year yields fell three basis points to 1.98 percent as of 9:28 a.m. in Tokyo, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. The 2 percent security maturing in November 2021 advanced 9/32, or $2.81 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 6/32.

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in December dropped 0.7 percent to 1,205.70.

The U.S. is scheduled to sell $35 billion of two-year notes today, the first of three auctions of coupon-bearing debt this week totaling $99 billion.

To contact the reporter on this story: Wes Goodman in Singapore at wgoodman@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net





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Spain Votes as Polls Show Crisis Handing Rajoy Landslide

By Angeline Benoit and Emma Ross-Thomas - Nov 21, 2011 12:27 AM GMT+0700

Spaniards may be set to hand opposition leader Mariano Rajoy the biggest majority in almost three decades as the risk of Spain becoming the next nation overwhelmed by Europe’s debt crisis bolsters support for his People’s Party.

Voting continues until 8 p.m. in mainland Spain as polls showed Rajoy may win as many as 198 of the 350 seats in Parliament, the largest majority any Spanish government has secured since 1982. The campaign, focused on the stagnating economy and 23 percent jobless rate, ended on Nov. 18 with borrowing costs near records. That prompted Rajoy, 56, to say he hopes Spain won’t need a bailout before the new government takes over in December.

Voters already bearing the deepest budget cuts in Spain’s three-decade democratic history may be prepared to accept further austerity in exchange for Rajoy’s pledge to create jobs. The ruling Socialists are set to become the fifth government ejected because of the sovereign debt crisis, after Italy and Greece appointed technocratic governments and Ireland and Portugal fired their leaders after they sought bailouts.

“Rajoy will likely implement quick policy changes in an effort to impress markets and his European partners,” said Antonio Barroso, an analyst at Eurasia and a former government pollster in Spain. “A strong PP victory, coupled with the swift policy changes, could send a positive signal to markets.”

Pre-Euro High

By 6 p.m. and amid rain in most of the country, 57 percent of eligible Spaniards had turned out to vote, compared with 61 percent at the same time during the last general election in 2008, the Interior Ministry said on its website. Polling stations close at 8 p.m. in mainland Spain and the first results will be published after 9 p.m. by the ministry. Almost 36 million people are eligible to vote, including 1.48 million living abroad.

Spaniards go to the polls as the country is being forced to pay as much to borrow as it did before joining the euro in 1999. The 10-year bond yield rose as high as 6.78 percent on Nov. 17, with the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs ending the week at 441 basis points, or 4.41 percentage points.

“I’m sure the PP will take even tougher measures, but maybe that’s what we need,” said Mercedes Gallardo, a 38 year- old bookstore owner, who has moved back to her parent’s house because of the crisis. Gallardo usually votes Socialist and doesn’t plan to vote today, she said in an interview in Madrid.

Support Eroded

The PP, which shepherded Spain into the single currency, has campaigned on its economic record, which includes eliminating a 7 percent budget deficit in the eight years to 2004 and reducing the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs from 300 basis points to seven. The unemployment rate fell to 11 percent from 18 percent under the PP as a construction boom fueled hiring.

The surge in unemployment since the collapse of that boom in 2008 and spending cuts aimed at staving off contagion from the Greek crisis undermined support for the Socialists. Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, the former deputy prime minister who is standing after Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero decided not to run, has failed to win back traditional supporters even as he pledges new taxes on banks and the rich.

“Nothing will change except public spending will be reduced even more if the PP wins,” Ester Panduro, a 39 year-old accountant, said in an interview in Madrid’s Puerta del Sol, where about 100 people protested against the electoral system yesterday.

‘Absolute Power’

As the campaign drew to a close, Rubalcaba’s strategy focused more on stemming the PP’s advance than victory for the Socialists. He said in an interview on Nov. 18 with El Pais, a traditional Socialist ally, that what is “really worrying is the Spanish right wing taking over with absolute power.”

“Rajoy is coming to power not so much because Spaniards think the PP is the solution to their problems, but because with unemployment over 20 percent, the Socialist base has just collapsed,” said Ken Dubin, a political scientist who teaches at Carlos III University and the IE business school in Madrid.

Rajoy, who has been in politics for 30 years, has lost two general elections as the PP’s candidate. Polls indicated he was set to win the 2004 vote before the bombing of commuter trains in Madrid that killed 192 people. That attack, claimed by a group linked to al-Qaeda, and the PP government’s response to it, helped flip the vote in favor of the Socialists.

Power Vacuum

Most opinion polls show Rajoy with at least a 15 percentage-point lead. Even if he does clinch the majority that polls predict, Spain faces a power vacuum of as long as a month before the new government is sworn in. Spanish law doesn’t allow Parliament to resume any sooner than Dec. 13, with the new government not voted in until the following week. There’s no way of bringing forward that timetable, Jose Blanco, the government’s spokesman and development minister said on Nov. 18.

Asked in an interview on Onda Cero radio the same day if the new government will be able to take over before Spain needs bailout, Rajoy said: “I hope so,” and offered to cooperate with the outgoing government.

The PP says it will cut “superfluous spending,” without giving details, and promises a “restructuring” of the financial system, without saying what this will involve. Rajoy has pledged to maintain the purchasing power of pensions, which accounted for 112 billion euros ($151 billion) in the 2011 budget, and said everything else can be trimmed.

Obligations, Commitments

“Spain wants to be in the euro,” Rajoy said in the same interview. “The euro brings with it obligations and commitments, the first is not to spend what you don’t have. Spain will do its homework, as we already did in 1998.”

While Rajoy and Rubalcaba offer opposing solutions for Spain’s stagnating economy, both are former deputy premiers and education ministers who have also fought the Basque terror group ETA as heads of the Interior Ministry. They both sport gray beards, and are older than Zapatero, who came to power aged 43 in 2004. Rubalcaba, who has a doctorate in chemistry and was a sprinter while at university, served under former Prime Minister Felipe Gonzalez. Rajoy, a civil servant, worked for former Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar.

To contact the reporters on this story: Angeline Benoit in Madrid at abenoit4@bloomberg.net; Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net




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Supercommittee Expectations Wane on Tax Divide

By Kathleen Hunter and Laura Litvan - Nov 21, 2011 6:07 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image The U.S. Capitol in Washington

The sun rises over the Capitol in Washington. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

The Capitol stands in Washington. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg


The deficit-cutting congressional supercommittee is expected to announce tomorrow that it has failed to reach agreement on at least $1.2 trillion in federal budget savings, a Democratic aide said.

The aide, who wasn’t authorized to discuss internal matters publicly and requested anonymity, said in an e-mail this afternoon that it was highly unlikely that the talks could be salvaged. Tomorrow is the deadline for the Congressional Budget Office to receive a plan that it can analyze before the committee’s Nov. 23 target date for reaching an agreement.

Earlier today the supercommittee’s Republican co-chairman, U.S. Representative Jeb Hensarling of Texas, said the 12 panel members faced a “daunting challenge” as they sought to bridge gulfs over taxes and spending.

The panel has been deadlocked over taxes, with Democrats seeking tax increases on high earners while Republicans were pushing for an extension of tax cuts enacted under President George W. Bush. Another sticking point has been the Republicans’ call for cuts, over Democrats’ opposition, in entitlement programs such as Medicare.

‘Nobody wants to give up hope,” Hensarling said on the “Fox News Sunday” program. “Reality is, to some extent, starting to overtake hope.”

‘Silver Lining’

Senator Pat Toomey, a Pennsylvania Republican and supercommittee member, said on CBS’s “Face the Nation” that the “silver lining” in a failure to agree would be $1.2 trillion in automatic across-the-board budget cuts starting in 2013. That process, known as sequestration, is designed to spare the U.S. from another credit downgrade.

Senator John Kerry, a Massachusetts Democrat and supercommittee member, warned of potential risk of a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating if the group can’t come together and if lawmakers skirt the mandatory cuts.

“There is a real threat that not only will there be a downgrade but that the market on Monday will look again at Washington and say ‘You guys can’t get the job done,’” Kerry said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” program. “And just the political confusion and gridlock is enough to say to the world ‘America can’t get its act together.’”

Investors have largely shrugged off Standard & Poor’s Aug. 5 downgrade of U.S. debt from AAA to AA+. After the downgrade, the government’s borrowing costs fell to record lows as Treasuries rallied. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell from 2.56 percent on Aug. 5 to below 1.72 percent on Sept. 22. The yield on the 10-year note was at 2.01 percent at 5:14 p.m. on Friday, Nov. 18, in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices.

Market Reaction

“I don’t think there’d be much of a reaction” by markets to a supercommittee failure to agree on a plan, Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said on “Fox News Sunday.”

“It’s all relative to expectations,” he said, and investor expectations with regard to the committee “have been and are still very, very low.”

Senator Jon Kyl of Arizona, the No. 2 Senate Republican leader and a supercommittee member, said on “Meet the Press” that Republicans would look for a way “to work around” some of those automatic spending cuts, including easing the mandated $500 billion in cuts to Pentagon spending over the next decade.

“There is a way to avoid that if there’s good will on both sides,” he said of defense cuts he described as “Draconian.”

‘More Prudent’ Reductions

Hensarling said he hoped the across-the-board cuts required if no deal is reached would be altered to spare defense. Congress, he said, will have 13 months to make sure the reductions happen “in a smarter, more prudent fashion.”

If the supercommittee fails, he said, “the American people are still going to get the deficit reduction that was contemplated under the law, but it is a huge blown opportunity.”

Both Kerry and Senator Patty Murray of Washington, the supercommittee’s Democratic co-chairman, insisted today that Democrats have been willing to make some cuts to entitlement programs, which include Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. What was needed, Kerry said on NBC, was for Republicans to drop a push for another extension of the Bush-era tax cuts that now expire at the end of 2012.

‘Shared Sacrifice’

“There is one sticking divide, and that is the issue of what I call shared sacrifice, where everybody contributes in a very challenging time for our country, and that’s the Bush tax cuts and making sure that any kind of package includes everybody coming to the table, and the wealthiest of Americans, those who earn over $1 million every year, have to share, too,” Murray said on CNN’s “State of the Union” program. “That line in the sand, we’ve haven’t seen any Republicans willing to cross yet.”

Kyl said Republicans had offered to increase revenue by $300 billion as part of a broad tax overhaul. He said the compromise was “a big step for Republicans,” who oppose tax increases. He also restated the case against raising taxes in a struggling economy.

“You can’t grow if you raise taxes in the middle of a recession,” Kyl said.

Hensarling said that even if no agreement is reached, “the nation is still going to end up with what Republicans said, and that is there will still be a dollar of spending reduction for every dollar increase in the debt ceiling.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Laura Litvan in Washington at llitvan@bloomberg.net; Kathleen Hunter in Washington at khunter9@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net




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Sunday, November 20, 2011

Rhodes Scholarships Won by 5 at Stanford

By Oliver Staley - Nov 20, 2011 7:50 PM GMT+0700

Stanford University students won five Rhodes Scholarships, while Harvard, Brown and Princeton students took four each as the 32 U.S. recipients of one of the world’s most prestigious academic awards were named today.

The University of Washington had two Scholars and California State University Long Beach and Bard College had their first ever recipients, according to a statement from the Office of the American Secretary of the Rhodes Trust.

The Rhodes Scholarships were established in 1902 in the will of Cecil Rhodes, a British mine operator and explorer who founded what is now the Johannesburg-based De Beers Group. Rhodes Scholarships fund two or three years of study at the University of Oxford in the U.K. Scholars are chosen from more than 1,500 applicants.

Past winners include former U.S. President Bill Clinton, Bobby Jindal, governor of Louisiana, and Rachel Maddow, host of the similarly named MSNBC news show.

Among this year’s winners were Ronan Farrow, Bard’s youngest graduate ever at 15 in 2004, who grew up with 14 adopted siblings from seven countries speaking six languages, the Rhodes Trust said. Bard is located in Annandale-on-Hudson, New York.

This year for the fourth time since 1976, there were more female U.S. Scholars than male, 17 to 15, the Trust said.

The total value of a scholarship is about $50,000 a year, the Trust said.

Before this year, 332 students from Harvard University, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, had been named Rhodes Scholars, the most from any U.S. university.

With today’s results, 3,260 Americans representing 314 colleges and universities have received Rhodes Scholarships, the Trust said.

Scholars are nominated by their universities and finalists are interviewed. This year, Rhodes finalist Patrick Witt, a quarterback on Yale’s football team, chose not to interview because it conflicted with yesterday’s game against Harvard.

To contact the reporter on this story: Oliver Staley in New York at ostaley@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jonathan Kaufman at jkaufman17@bloomberg.net





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Monti Must Govern Italy to 2013 to Lead Reform, Berlusconi Tells Corriere

By Elisa Martinuzzi - Nov 20, 2011 7:59 PM GMT+0700

Silvio Berlusconi, who resigned as Italy’s prime minister on Nov. 12, told Corriere della Sera that his successor Mario Monti must govern through 2013 to complete the reforms he plans to undertake.

Berlusconi isn’t setting a time limit on his successor, though he won’t back the government if, for example, it seeks to introduce a wealth tax, he told the daily newspaper.

Monti, who leads the technocratic government, has told the former prime minister he won’t run in the country’s next elections, Berlusconi told the Milan-based newspaper. The People of Liberty’s candidate will be selected through primaries and “I am reasonably convinced that Angelino Alfano will win.”

“Our government had no fault,” and the crisis is a euro crisis, as shown by spreads on Italy’s debt which have remained “high” since his resignation, the newspaper reported.

Berlusconi asked the new government to push for the European Central Bank to become a lender of last resort to preserve the euro, he was cited as saying. He’s also sought a review of European Banking Authority rules which “choke” Italy’s lenders, the newspaper reported.

To contact the reporter on this story: Elisa Martinuzzi in Milan at emartinuzzi@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dick Schumacher at dschumacher@bloomberg.net



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Ackermann Says Europe Needs Crisis ‘Firewall’

By Jiyeun Lee - Nov 20, 2011 7:28 PM GMT+0700

Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) Chief Executive Officer Josef Ackermann said Europe needs a “firewall” to prevent spillover from its debt crisis and should increase the size of its rescue fund.

“We need the firewall to cope with the spillover effect, if it occurs,” Ackermann, who also chairs the Institute of International Finance, said at a conference held by the Asian Development Bank and the Institute for Global Economics in Seoul today. “The stability facility should be increased.”

The failure of European leaders to end the debt crisis with their broadest effort yet has revived a Franco-German dispute over the European Central Bank’s role and fueled investor concerns over policy makers’ economic impotence. German Chancellor Angela Merkel has rejected French calls to deploy the ECB as a crisis backstop.

French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said in a speech in Paris on Nov. 16 that “the best way to avoid contagion is to have a solid firewall” by using central bank support for Europe’s 440 billion-euro ($595 billion) rescue fund. The European Financial Stability Facility should be increased to 1 trillion to 2 trillion euros, Ackermann said today, without explaining what he meant by “firewall.”

Banks represented by the IIF reached an agreement on Oct. 26 in Brussels with European leaders to accept a 50 percent writedown in the face value of Greek government bond holdings as part of wider measures to tackle the sovereign-debt crisis. The Greek deal was part of a European plan to cut the country’s debt load, recapitalize banks and boost the region’s rescue fund to 1 trillion euros.

System Deficiencies

European governments must make clear that the deal on Greece is an exception and won’t be applied to other European countries because investor concern has worsened the situation, Ackermann said on Nov. 18. The financial crisis has exposed a number of deficiencies in the international monetary system, he said today in his speech in Seoul.

“Lack of effective discipline to avoid imbalances, excess reserve accumulation, some exchange rate misalignments” are among the deficiencies of the system, Ackermann said.

Global regulators are ordering banks to hold more capital to increase their financial strength while firms shed sovereign- debt holdings investors consider risky. Under rules written by regulators in Basel, banks will have to hold higher levels of capital and different definitions for determining the risk their portfolios carry.

‘Less Profitable’

“The profitability of the sector as a whole will be reduced, and it will negatively impact the ability of the financial sector to support the growth of the real economy,” Ackermann said today. The results of regulation “will be a financial industry that is less profitable, less dynamic, and presumably less international,” he said.

Ackermann said he is confident about Italy’s funding capacity.

“The household, private debt to GDP in Italy is only about 36 percent, so actually it’s a wealthy country. Net assets to GDP is over 200 percent,” he said. “So under the new government, I’m pretty confident, if they initiate the right measures, Italy will be able to raise funds again.”

Deutsche Bank said its risks tied to Italian debt more than doubled in the third quarter as the Frankfurt-based bank stepped up market-making, more than offsetting risk reduction in other peripheral European nations, according to a statement on Oct. 25. The risks of Germany’s biggest lender related to Italy surged to 2.25 billion euros ($3.1 billion) as of Sept. 30 from 996 million euros in the prior three-month period, the statement showed.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jiyeun Lee in Seoul at jlee1029@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Tighe at ptighe@bloomberg.net



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Supercommittee Unlikely to Reach Deficit Deal

By Brian Faler and Steven Sloan - Nov 20, 2011 5:55 PM GMT+0700

A member of the congressional supercommittee expressed doubt that the panel would reach an agreement on a U.S. deficit-reduction package by its Nov. 23 deadline.

Senator Jon Kyl, an Arizona Republican, called a slimmed- down debt plan rejected this past week by Democrats a “last- ditch” effort by his party to ensure the panel is able to “at least accomplish something and not come away with a goose egg.”

It’s too late for lawmakers to send new proposals to the Congressional Budget Office to be analyzed for their impact on the deficit, he told reporters yesterday.

Kyl said his colleagues hope that “even at this late date” the committee could put together ideas that had already been analyzed by the CBO. “I think that’s pretty doubtful at this point but obviously nobody wants to quit until the stroke of midnight,” he said.

The panel has been deadlocked over income-tax increases, with Republicans pushing to permanently extend President George W. Bush’s tax cuts, as well as to make cuts in politically sensitive entitlement programs such as Medicare.

The deadline for an agreement on how to carve $1.2 trillion out of the budget is Nov. 23, though under the rules a CBO cost estimate of any final plan must be publicly available 48 hours beforehand. There was little sign of urgency yesterday in the mostly empty Capitol. Democratic members of the supercommittee did not meet, while Republicans held a conference call.

‘Not Fair’

Meanwhile, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, charged with electing more Democrats to the U.S. House, fired off a fundraising appeal blasting Republicans on the supercommittee. “Republicans are insisting on eliminating the Medicare guarantee while cutting taxes for millionaires and refusing to include a robust jobs plan,” said the e-mail, which was attributed to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. “That’s not fair,” she said. “Let’s seize this moment and show the world Democrats are strong and united,” she said.

Kyl said a pared back deficit-reduction proposal offered in the past week by Republicans was designed to break the stalemate by steering clear of politically sensitive programs such as Medicare and instead cut other, less controversial, types of mandatory spending.

“I thought maybe this last-ditch effort to focus just on savings that we had all pretty much agreed was possible might be a way to achieve, as I say, kind of a last-minute compromise,” Kyl said.

‘Last-Ditch Effort’

It would have cut $643 billion, according to a Republican aide, almost entirely by cutting spending though it would have raised taxes by $3 billion by ending a break for corporate jet travel. Democrats rejected the offer because it didn’t include enough revenue increases, according to a Democratic leadership aide. Both aides spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to discuss negotiations.

The plan is “unacceptable,” Democratic Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts said Nov. 18. Not requiring more taxes from high earners would be “unconscionable,” Kerry said. Senator Patty Murray, a Washington Democrat who co-chairs the panel, said Nov. 18 “where the divide is right now is on taxes, whether or not the wealthiest Americans should share in the sacrifice.”

Representative Dave Camp, a Michigan Republican and panel member, said Nov. 18 that Democrats “have not been willing to make the common-sense spending reductions we need to make but yet are continuing at the same time to insist on $1 trillion in job-killing tax increases.”

‘Sequestration’

Failure by the supercommittee to agree on a plan by Nov. 23 could trigger automatic, across-the-board spending cuts of $1.2 trillion starting in January 2013. That process, called “sequestration,” is designed to spare the U.S. from another credit downgrade.

After Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. AAA debt on Aug. 5, the government’s borrowing costs fell to record lows as Treasuries rallied. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell from 2.56 percent on Aug. 5 to below 1.72 percent on Sept. 22. The yield on the 10-year note was at 2.01 percent at 5:14 p.m. on Friday, Nov. 18, in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices.

Some Democrats who represent districts with many elderly or low-income residents said sequestration is preferable to some options being considered by the supercommittee, such as cutting Medicare benefits.

“Sequestration is not the worst thing that could happen,” said Representative Keith Ellison, a Minnesota Democrat and co- chairman of the Congressional Progressive Caucus. “Getting a deal where there’s minimal revenue and all cuts on ordinary people, I’d rather see sequestration than that.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian Faler in Washington at bfaler@bloomberg.net; Steven Sloan in Washington at ssloan7@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net





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Iran: Oil Market Will Suffer If Exports Disrupted

By Anthony DiPaola and Ladane Nasseri - Nov 20, 2011 5:18 PM GMT+0700

Any disruptions to Iran’s oil exports would create “severe problems” for the global crude market, Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi said in an interview broadcast by Al Jazeera television.

Iran will seek a “fair price” for crude when the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries meets next on Dec. 14, Qasemi said, adding that the global market for crude does not face a shortage.

“There is currently no need to use oil as a political tool,” he said in the interview posted yesterday on the news channel’s website. “In case we are urged to and feel it is necessary, we will use it as a political tool.”

Iran, the second-biggest producer in OPEC, has come under increasing pressure from the U.S. and its allies, which accuse the country of seeking to develop nuclear weapons. Iran’s government rejects the claim, saying it wants nuclear technology to provide energy for a growing population.

Qasemi told the broadcaster his nation see no threat to its crude production or obstacles to its exports and will continue to supply enough oil to world markets. The country holds 154.8 billion barrels in crude reserves, he said.

OPEC’s last meeting in June ended without an agreement on output quotas after Iran and five other members rejected a proposal by Saudi Arabia, the group’s largest producer, for the group to raise output by 1.5 million barrels a day. OPEC pumped 30.14 million barrels a day in October, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

To contact the reporter on this story: Anthony DiPaola in Dubai at adipaola@bloomberg.net; Ladane Nasseri in Tehran at lnasseri@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Bruce Stanley at bstanley5@bloomberg.net





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Spain Votes as Polls Show Crisis Handing Rajoy Landslide

By Emma Ross-Thomas and Angeline Benoit - Nov 20, 2011 4:04 PM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Conservative People's Party Leader Mariano Rajoy

Conservative People's Party leader Mariano Rajoy. Photographer: Denis Doyle/Bloomberg

Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Antonio Barroso, an analyst at Eurasia Group, talks about the election in Spain and the country's debt crisis. He speaks with Louise Beale and David Tweed on Bloomberg Television's "Last Word." (Source: Bloomberg)


Spaniards may be set to hand opposition leader Mariano Rajoy the biggest majority in almost three decades as the risk of Spain becoming the next nation overwhelmed by Europe’s debt crisis bolsters support for his People’s Party.

Voting started at 9 a.m. in mainland Spain as polls showed Rajoy may win as many as 198 of the 350 seats in Parliament, the largest majority any Spanish government has secured since 1982. The campaign, focused on the stagnating economy and 23 percent jobless rate, ended on Nov. 18 with borrowing costs near records. That prompted Rajoy, 56, to say he hopes Spain won’t need a bailout before the new government takes over in December.

Voters already bearing the deepest budget cuts in Spain’s three-decade democratic history may be prepared to accept further austerity in exchange for Rajoy’s pledge to create jobs. The ruling Socialists are set to become the fifth government ejected because of the sovereign debt crisis, after Italy and Greece appointed technocratic governments and Ireland and Portugal fired their leaders after they sought bailouts.

“Rajoy will likely implement quick policy changes in an effort to impress markets and his European partners,” said Antonio Barroso, an analyst at Eurasia and a former government pollster in Spain. “A strong PP victory, coupled with the swift policy changes, could send a positive signal to markets.”

Pre-Euro High

Polling stations close at 8 p.m. in mainland Spain and the first results will be published after 9 p.m. by the Interior Ministry. Almost 36 million people are eligible to vote, including 1.48 million living abroad.

Spaniards go to the polls as the country is being forced to pay as much to borrow as it did before joining the euro in 1999. The 10-year bond yield rose as high as 6.78 percent on Nov. 17, with the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs ending the week at 441 basis points, or 4.41 percentage points.

The PP, which shepherded Spain into the single currency, has campaigned on its economic record, which includes eliminating a 7 percent budget deficit in the eight years to 2004 and reducing the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs from 300 basis points to seven. The unemployment rate fell to 11 percent from 18 percent under the PP as a construction boom fueled hiring.

Support Eroded

The surge in unemployment since the collapse of that boom in 2008 and spending cuts aimed at staving off contagion from the Greek crisis undermined support for the Socialists. Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, the former deputy prime minister who is standing after Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero decided not to run, has failed to win back traditional supporters even as he pledges new taxes on banks and the rich.

“Nothing will change except public spending will be reduced even more if the PP wins,” Ester Panduro, a 39 year-old accountant, said in an interview in Madrid’s Puerta del Sol, where 100 people protested against the electoral system yesterday.

As the campaign drew to a close, Rubalcaba’s strategy focused more on stemming the PP’s advance than victory for the Socialists. He said in an interview on Nov. 18 with El Pais, a traditional Socialist ally, that what is “really worrying is the Spanish right wing taking over with absolute power.”

“Rajoy is coming to power not so much because Spaniards think the PP is the solution to their problems, but because with unemployment over 20 percent, the Socialist base has just collapsed,” said Ken Dubin, a political scientist who teaches at Carlos III University and the IE business school in Madrid.

Power Vacuum

Rajoy, who has been in politics for 30 years, has lost two general elections as the PP’s candidate. Polls indicated he was set to win the 2004 vote before the bombing of commuter trains in Madrid that killed 192 people. That attack, claimed by a group linked to al-Qaeda, and the PP government’s response to it, helped flip the vote in favor of the Socialists.

Most opinion polls show Rajoy with at least a 15 percentage-point lead. Even if he does clinch the majority that polls predict, Spain faces a power vacuum of as long as a month before the new government is sworn in. Spanish law doesn’t allow Parliament to resume any sooner than Dec. 13, with the new government not voted in until the following week. There’s no way of bringing forward that timetable, Jose Blanco, the government’s spokesman and development minister said on Nov. 18.

The PP says it will cut “superfluous spending,” without giving details, and promises a “restructuring” of the financial system, without saying what this will involve. Rajoy has pledged to maintain the purchasing power of pensions, which accounted for 112 billion euros ($151 billion) in the 2011 budget, and said everything else can be trimmed.

Obligations, Commitments

“Spain wants to be in the euro,” Rajoy said in an interview on Nov. 18 with Onda Cero radio. “The euro brings with it obligations and commitments, the first is not to spend what you don’t have. Spain will do its homework, as we already did in 1998.”

While Rajoy and Rubalcaba offer opposing solutions for Spain’s stagnating economy, both are former deputy premiers and education ministers who have also fought the Basque terror group ETA as heads of the Interior Ministry. They both sport gray beards, and are older than Zapatero, who came to power aged 43 in 2004. Rubalcaba, who has a doctorate in chemistry and is a former sprinter, served under former Prime Minister Felipe Gonzalez. Rajoy, a civil servant, worked for former Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar.

To contact the reporters on this story: Angeline Benoit in Madrid at abenoit4@bloomberg.net; Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net



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‘Doubtful’ Supercommittee Will Agree, Kyl Says

By Brian Faler and Steven Sloan - Nov 20, 2011 6:38 AM GMT+0700

A member of the congressional supercommittee expressed doubt today that the panel would reach an agreement on a deficit-reduction package by its Nov. 23 deadline.

Senator Jon Kyl called a slimmed-down debt plan rejected this week by Democrats a “last-ditch” effort by Republicans to ensure the panel is able to “at least accomplish something and not come away with a goose egg.”

It’s too late for lawmakers to send new proposals to the Congressional Budget Office to be analyzed for their impact on the deficit, he told reporters.

Kyl, an Arizona Republican, said his colleagues hope that “even at this late date” the committee could put together things that had already been analyzed by the CBO. “I think that’s pretty doubtful at this point but obviously nobody wants to quit until the stroke of midnight,” he said.

The panel has been deadlocked over income-tax increases, with Republicans pushing to permanently extend President George W. Bush’s tax cuts, as well as cuts in politically sensitive entitlement programs such as Medicare.

The deadline for an agreement on how to carve $1.2 trillion out of the budget is Nov. 23, though under the rules a CBO cost estimate of any final plan must be publicly available 48 hours beforehand. There was little sign of urgency today in the mostly empty Capitol. Democratic members of the supercommittee did not meet, while Republicans held a conference call.

‘Not Fair’

Meanwhile, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, charged with electing more Democrats to the U.S. House, fired off a fundraising appeal blasting Republicans on the supercommittee. “Republicans are insisting on eliminating the Medicare guarantee while cutting taxes for millionaires and refusing to include a robust jobs plan,” said the e-mail, which was attributed to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. “That’s not fair” and “let’s seize this moment and show the world Democrats are strong and united.”

Kyl said a pared back deficit-reduction proposal offered this week by Republicans was designed to break the stalemate by steering clear of politically sensitive programs such as Medicare and instead cut other, less controversial types of mandatory spending.

‘Last-Ditch Effort’

“I thought maybe this last-ditch effort to focus just on savings that we had all pretty much agreed was possible might be a way to achieve, as I say, kind of a last-minute compromise,” Kyl said.

It would have cut $643 billion, according to a Republican aide, almost entirely by cutting spending though it would have raised taxes by $3 billion by ending a break for corporate jet travel. Democrats rejected the offer because it didn’t include enough revenue increases, according to a Democratic leadership aide. Both aides spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to discuss negotiations.

The plan is “unacceptable,” Democratic Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts said yesterday. Not requiring more taxes from high earners would be “unconscionable,” Kerry said. Senator Patty Murray, a Washington Democrat who co-chairs the panel, said yesterday “where the divide is right now is on taxes, whether or not the wealthiest Americans should share in the sacrifice.”

Representative Dave Camp, a Michigan Republican and panel member, said yesterday that Democrats “have not been willing to make the common-sense spending reductions we need to make but yet are continuing at the same time to insist on $1 trillion in job-killing tax increases.”

‘Sequestration’

Failure by the supercommittee to agree on a plan by Nov. 23 could trigger automatic, across-the-board spending cuts of $1.2 trillion starting in January 2013. That process, called “sequestration,” is designed to spare the U.S. from another credit downgrade.

After Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. AAA debt on Aug. 5, the government’s borrowing costs fell to record lows as Treasuries rallied. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell from 2.56 percent on Aug. 5 to below 1.72 percent on Sept. 22. The yield on the 10-year note was at 2.01 percent at 5:14 p.m. yesterday in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices.

Some Democrats who represent districts with many elderly or low-income residents said sequestration is preferable to some options being considered by the supercommittee, such as cutting Medicare benefits.

“Sequestration is not the worst thing that could happen,” said Representative Keith Ellison, a Minnesota Democrat and co- chairman of the Congressional Progressive Caucus. “Getting a deal where there’s minimal revenue and all cuts on ordinary people, I’d rather see sequestration than that.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian Faler in Washington at bfaler@bloomberg.net; Steven Sloan in Washington at ssloan7@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net




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Spain Set to Vote for Rajoy Cuts as Crisis Claims Fifth Leader

By Emma Ross-Thomas - Nov 20, 2011 6:01 AM GMT+0700

Spaniards may be set to hand opposition leader Mariano Rajoy the biggest majority in almost three decades as the risk of Spain becoming the next nation overwhelmed by Europe’s debt crisis bolsters support for the People’s Party.

Rajoy will win as many as 198 of the 350 seats in Parliament in the national election today, the largest majority any Spanish government has secured since 1982, polls show. The campaign, focused on the stagnating economy and 23 percent jobless rate, ended on Nov. 18 with borrowing costs near records. That prompted Rajoy, 56, to say he hopes Spain won’t need a bailout before the new government can take over in December.

Voters already bearing the deepest budget cuts in Spain’s three-decade democratic history may be prepared to accept further austerity in exchange for Rajoy’s pledge to create jobs. The ruling Socialists are set to become the fifth government ejected because of the sovereign debt crisis, after Italy and Greece appointed technocratic governments and Ireland and Portugal fired their leaders after they sought bailouts.

“Rajoy will likely implement quick policy changes in an effort to impress markets and his European partners,” said Antonio Barroso, an analyst at Eurasia and a former government pollster in Spain. “A strong PP victory, coupled with the swift policy changes, could send a positive signal to markets.”

Pre-Euro High

Polls open at 9 a.m., with almost 36 million people eligible to vote. Polling stations close at 8 p.m. in mainland Spain and the first results will be published after 9 p.m. by the Interior Ministry.

Spaniards go to the polls as the country is being forced to pay as much to borrow as it did before joining the euro in 1999. The 10-year bond yield rose as high as 6.78 percent on Nov. 17, with the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs ending the week at 441 basis points, or 4.41 percentage points.

The PP, which shepherded Spain into the single currency, has campaigned on its economic record, which includes eliminating a 7 percent budget deficit in the eight years to 2004 and reducing the gap between Spanish and German borrowing costs from 300 basis points to seven. The unemployment rate fell to 11 percent from 18 percent under the PP as a construction boom fueled hiring.

Support Eroded

The surge in unemployment since the collapse of that boom in 2008 and spending cuts aimed at staving off contagion from the Greek crisis undermined support for the Socialists. Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, the former deputy prime minister who is standing after Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero decided not to run, has failed to win back traditional supporters even as he pledges new taxes on banks and the rich.

As the campaign drew to a close, Rubalcaba’s strategy focused more on stemming the PP’s advance than victory for the Socialists. He said in an interview on Nov. 18 with El Pais, a traditional Socialist ally, that what is “really worrying is the Spanish right wing taking over with absolute power.”

“Rajoy is coming to power not so much because Spaniards think the PP is the solution to their problems, but because with unemployment over 20 percent, the Socialist base has just collapsed,” said Ken Dubin, a political scientist who teaches at Carlos III University and the IE business school in Madrid.

Rajoy, who has been in politics for 30 years, has lost two general elections as the PP’s candidate. Polls indicated he was set to win the 2004 vote before the bombing of commuter trains in Madrid that killed 192 people. That attack, claimed by a group linked to al-Qaeda, and the PP government’s response to it, helped flipped the vote in favor of the Socialists.

Vacuum

Most opinion polls show Rajoy with at least a 15 percentage point lead. Even if he does clinch the majority that polls predict, Spain faces a power vacuum of as long as a month before the new government is sworn in. Spanish law doesn’t allow Parliament to resume any sooner than Dec. 13, with the new government not voted in until the following week. There’s no way of bringing forward that timetable, Jose Blanco, the government’s spokesman and development minister said on Nov. 18.

The PP says it will cut “superfluous spending,” without giving details, and promises a “restructuring” of the financial system, without saying what this will involve. Rajoy has pledged to maintain the purchasing power of pensions, which accounted for 112 billion euros ($151 billion) in the 2011 budget, and said everything else can be trimmed.

Obligations, Commitments

“Spain wants to be in the euro,” Rajoy said in an interview on Nov. 18 with Onda Cero radio. “The euro brings with it obligations and commitments, the first is not to spend what you don’t have. Spain will do its homework, as we already did in 1998.”

While Rajoy and Rubalcaba offer opposing solutions for Spain’s stagnating economy, both are former deputy premiers and education ministers who have also fought the Basque terror group ETA as heads of the Interior Ministry. They both sport gray beards, and are older than Zapatero, who came to power aged 43 in 2004. Rubalcaba, who has a doctorate in chemistry and is a former sprinter, served under former Prime Minister Felipe Gonzalez. Rajoy, a civil servant, worked for former Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar.

To contact the reporters on this story: Angeline Benoit in Madrid at abenoit4@bloomberg.net; Emma Ross-Thomas in Madrid at erossthomas@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net






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Penn State Wins First Game Without Paterno 20-14 Over Ohio State

By Nancy Kercheval - Nov 20, 2011 8:17 AM GMT+0700

No. 21 Pennsylvania State University defeated Ohio State University 20-14 to win its first college football game since Coach Joe Paterno was fired amid a child sex scandal probe targeting his former defensive coordinator.

Stephfon Green ran for two touchdowns and Anthony Fera kicked two field goals today for the Nittany Lions, who earned a share of the Big Ten’s Leaders Division title. The winner of next week’s game at Wisconsin will play in the conference’s first championship game Dec. 3.

Paterno, 84, who is being treated for lung cancer, was fired Nov. 9 for his handling of child molestation charges against former defensive coordinator Jerry Sandusky. The dismissal ended Paterno’s 46 years at the helm of the Nittany Lions that produced 409 victories.

Green’s 39-yard run and Fera’s 43-yard field goal gave Penn State a 10-0 lead in the first quarter at Ohio Stadium in Columbus.

Braxton Miller scored on a 24-yard run to bring the Buckeyes within three points, 10-7, with 12:32 left in the second quarter. Green sprinted four yards for Penn State before Miller connected with Jake Stoquaneburner to narrow the Nittany Lions’ lead to 17-14. Fera added his second field goal, a 46- yard kick, as time ran out in the first half.

The teams were scoreless in the second half.

Matthew McGloin completed 10 of 18 passing attempts for 88 yards and one interception. Miller had seven passes for 83 yards and one touchdown.

Penn State improved to 9-2 overall and 6-1 in the Big Ten, while Ohio State fell to 6-5 and 3-4 in the conference.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nancy Kercheval in Washington at nkercheval@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Sillup at msillup@bloomberg.net




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Iran’s Nuclear Drive May Arm Terrorists: Barak

By Meera Louis - Nov 20, 2011 12:10 AM GMT+0700

Iran’s determination to build nuclear weapons will result in nations such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey seeking nuclear arms, starting a “countdown” to terrorists getting nuclear materials, Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said.

“People understand now that Iran is determined to reach nuclear weapons, Barak, a former Israeli Prime Minister, said on CNN’s “Fareed Zakaria GPS” in an interview to be aired tomorrow. “The countdown toward nuclear materials in the hands of terrorists will start, even if it takes half a generation. But more than this, they will use the nuclear umbrella to kind of intimidate neighbors all around the Gulf to sponsor terror.”

Iran may face more international sanctions after a report by the United Nations nuclear watchdog agency said there was “credible” evidence showing Iran worked on bomb components until at least 2010. The country is under four sets of UN Security Council sanctions.

Iran, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ second-biggest producer, has dismissed the charges, called the evidence fake and said it only wants atomic power.

The U.S. is trying to draw China and Russia into an agreement to maintain pressure on Iran, President Barack Obama said Nov. 12. The U.S. will continue to work with other countries to pressure Iran because “we are determined to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons,” White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said in a statement yesterday.

Obama “is an extremely strong supporter of Israel in regard to its security,” Barak said. Barak declined to discuss whether Israel might attack Iran.

Barak also predicted the downfall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad within a year. The deaths of Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi and Iraq’s Saddam Hussein have made al-Assad’s response to the Arab Spring uprisings against his rule “more brutal, because he understands that, beyond a certain point, there is no way,” Barak said. “It’s literally a struggle for life or death.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Meera Louis in Washington at mlouis1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lawrence Roberts at lroberts13@bloomberg.net





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Democrats Disagree With Republicans on Taxes to Cut Deficit

By Catherine Dodge - Nov 19, 2011 9:58 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Representative Dennis Kucinich, an Ohio Democrat, talks about the U.S. economy and prospects for agreement by the deficit-reduction supercommittee by its Nov. 23 deadline. Kucinich, speaking on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness With Margaret Brennan," also comments on the bankruptcy of MF Global Holdings Ltd. (Source: Bloomberg)


A House Democratic leader said a U.S. deficit-cutting agreement can’t include the extension of Bush-era tax cuts, while an influential Republican said his House colleagues won’t back a deal calling for new tax revenue.

The disagreement underscores the crux of the problem facing a congressional panel seeking to meet a Nov. 23 deadline to trim at least $1.2 trillion from the deficit over the next decade.

Representative Jim Jordan, head of the Republican Study Committee, which pushes for deeper spending cuts, said any deficit-cutting proposal that includes a tax increase is unlikely to clear a majority of the House’s Republicans.

Representative James Clyburn, a Democratic member of the supercommittee, said if Republicans demand an extension of the tax cuts won by President George W. Bush in 2001 and 2003 the chances of an agreement are dim.

“It would be difficult” to win passage of a supercommittee plan that includes more taxes, said Jordan, of Ohio, on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt,” airing this weekend.

“If it’s a net tax increase, this is the most fundamental principle within the Republican Party,” Jordan said. “This is a sacred trust I think we as Republicans have with voters.”

As members of the bipartisan supercommittee negotiate over possible spending cuts and revenue increases, for which some Republicans have voiced support, Jordan said it’s “anyone’s guess” whether the group will agree on a proposal.

‘Big’ Deal Unlikely

“The word is today that they may not get to some kind of agreement,” Jordan said in the interview, taped yesterday. “What I’m most concerned about, though, is we should not have any type of tax increase in this proposal. The last thing we need for our economy is to increase the tax burden on job- creators.”

Clyburn, in a separate “Political Capital” interview airing on the same program, said a large deal approaching $4 trillion isn’t likely. He said he sees a chance of a smaller package as long as Republicans agree to revenue increases.

“I’ve kind of given up on big and bold, but I’m never going to give up on balance,” said Clyburn, of South Carolina.

If Republicans insist on extending Bush tax cuts for the wealthy “then we probably won’t get a deal,” he said.

Clyburn, the third-ranking House Democrat, said he hopes President Barack Obama won’t relent as he did last year and allow the tax cuts of his predecessor to continue again.

“I have no idea whether he will or not,” Clyburn said. “I hold out hope that the president will hold fast.”

Obama, winding up his nine-day trip to Pacific Rim nations, hasn’t been in contact with congressional leaders on the supercommittee talks, according to spokesman Jay Carney. Carney said the president has been in “regular contact with his staff in Washington, including those who are monitoring” the deficit-reduction talks.

Republicans on the supercommittee have offered to increase tax revenue by $300 billion, which was seen by some lawmakers as a breakthrough given the party’s resistance to higher taxes.

Trigger Looms

Democrats are pushing for a larger increase in tax revenue, while Republicans want the plan to tackle long-term growth in spending on Medicare and other federal entitlement programs, creating an 11th-hour deadlock in talks.

Failure by Congress to enact a plan by year’s end that would cut at least $1.2 trillion over the next decade would force that amount in automatic spending cuts beginning in 2013.

Jordan said he’s not persuaded by several previous bipartisan proposals for deficit reduction, including one by the chairmen of Obama’s Simpson-Bowles fiscal commission and one by a group of six senators, which called for a mix of revenue increases and spending cuts.

“The taxes always get raised, and the spending cuts never happen,” he said. “Americans aren’t going to go for this. They say, ‘We are tired of these games, we don’t trust them to come through with the spending cuts.’”

Bush Tax Cuts

Republicans would be open to a proposal by Obama to expand a payroll tax break set to expire at the end of the year to foster job growth, Jordan said.

“If that’s part of a tax package that doesn’t increase the overall burden, I think you could get Republicans to look at it,” he said.

Jordan said he’s confident Republicans will prevail in efforts to extend the tax cuts enacted under President George W. Bush, which are set to expire at the end of 2012.

“We kept them in place just a year ago when Democrats controlled all of government and we got the president to go along,” he said.

Obama relented and allowed the Bush tax cuts to continue last year, Jordan noted, and if Republicans gain full control of the government next year they will support an extension.

The 2012 elections will likely result in Republicans keeping the House majority won last year and winning control of the Senate, he said. He also hopes to see a Republican in the White House, defeating Obama’s bid for re-election.

“And then I’m confident we can extend the Bush tax cuts,” he said. “Some of those have been in place for 11 years. That is tax policy.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Catherine Dodge in Washington at cdodge1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net



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