Economic Calendar

Thursday, January 5, 2012

Paradise Lost for Aussie Surfboard Makers Amid China Imports

By Brendan Murray - Jan 5, 2012 3:04 PM GMT+0700

On Australia’s Gold Coast, a 22-mile- long (35-kilometer) stretch of beaches named Surfers Paradise and Rainbow Bay, Neil Rech opened a surf shop in December and unwittingly disturbed the peace.

His store, Sedition Surfboards, sells Chinese imports for A$250 ($258), one-third the cost of some Australian-made boards that competitors are offering. Rival retailers averse to discounts and upset about local job losses questioned his patriotism, and even threatened violence, he said.

“It’s quite heavy,” Rech, 34, said of the backlash. After teaching for two years in China before opening a store in Coolangatta, Queensland, “I realized how cheap you can actually get these boards so I thought it’d be a great opportunity to bring them here and sell them to the public cheaper.”

Inexpensive imports from Asia, coupled with a 55 percent jump in the local dollar since October 2008, are delivering a double dose of pain to one of Australia’s most iconic industries. The struggles at surfboard makers are playing out at manufacturers across a country where China’s demand for iron ore and fuel has spurred a mining boom while leaving non-resource businesses behind.

Manufacturers are on the wrong side of a divide in Australia’s economy, which has avoided a recession since 1991 and boasts an unemployment rate of 5.3 percent, about half the level in Europe. While the number of mining jobs (AULQMINN) soared 21 percent to 242,400 in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, manufacturing employment slumped 4.4 percent to 953,500 and retail positions sank 2.2 percent to 1.21 million.

‘Can’t Compete’

The nation’s currency has climbed 1.3 percent this year. It touched an all-time high of 80.15 euro cents today.

“Australia is certainly an economy in transition,” said Adam Carr, a senior economist in Sydney at ICAP Australia Ltd., a unit of the world’s biggest interdealer broker, who formerly worked at the Australian Treasury. “We can’t compete at the lower end of the chain.”

From Bells Beach to Brisbane, Australia’s board builders are facing a choice: close down, or try to preserve local designs and branding by applying them to products made abroad.

“We have to adapt,” said Michelle Blauw, co-owner of Currumbin, Queensland-based D’Arcy Surfboards and president of the Australian Surf Craft Industry Association. “You can’t always point the finger and blame everybody else for the situation that you’re in.”

Shares Slump

Manufacturers across Australia are grappling with rising costs and a strong currency that’s making their products less competitive overseas. BlueScope Steel Ltd. (BSL), the country’s biggest steelmaker, said in August it would stop exports, shut a mill and a blast furnace, and fire 1,000 workers. Its shares slid 79 percent (BSL) in 2011.

Weaker consumer spending is adding to the pinch, as the slowing global recovery hurts sales at companies including surf- accessory retailer Billabong International Ltd. (BBG) The Gold Coast- based surf-clothing maker’s stock plunged 78 percent last year. By comparison, Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index lost 15 percent.

D’Arcy sold its Gold Coast board-making facility in December after sales slowed because of the rising currency, cheap Asian imports and consumers’ belt tightening, Blauw said. The business is still running from her garage with two employees, down from a peak of 11, she said.

Closing Shop

Born in beach towns in the 1950s, the backyard nature of Australian surfboard manufacturing has become part of the challenge, according to Blauw. In a nation where a tenth of the 22.8 million inhabitants are recreational surfers, producing world surfing champions such as Layne Beachley and Mark Richards, there aren’t official statistics monitoring the board-making industry’s size, she said.

“Surfing is almost our national pastime,” Blauw said of the birthplace of the three-finned “thruster” surfboard in 1981, which changed maneuverability and revolutionized the sport. “But small manufacturers like ourselves are shutting down left, right and center.”

While the sale of board shorts and other surf wear has propelled companies such as California’s Quiksilver Inc. and Australia’s Rip Curl International Pty into global brands, many Aussie board makers haven’t been able to match that growth.

To protect Australia’s brand in the global market, Blauw is trying to organize manufacturers and craftsmen to push for mandated country-of-origin labeling so Australian-made boards are distinguishable from imports.

Australian board maker Ron Wade had a glimpse of the future when he saw Chinese boards six years ago.

Industry ‘Stuffed’

“I went, ‘Mate, if this is what’s going to come out of China, our industry’s stuffed,’” said Wade, 66, who started his company in Mona Vale, New South Wales, in 1967. “In the next 10 years, there will be a few factories around but they will be few and far between.”

Blauw said some Gold Coast board designers have recently gone to work in the mining industry in search of more income. Board companies that are staying afloat say the country is seeing the twilight of a cottage industry that reflected Australia’s reputation for laid-back lifestyles.

“The local manufacturers are losing some of that mystique,” said Mark Kelly, managing director of Global Surf Industries, who estimates that the global surfing-goods industry has grown to A$6 billion to A$7 billion a year. His Manly, New South Wales-based company sells more than 50,000 boards annually, including 15 brands that are made in China, Taiwan, Thailand and New Zealand. “It’s not a hobby anymore; it’s a real business.”

In Coolangatta, Rech said that while it may take time for his competitors to adjust to lower price tags on boards, Australia’s economy will be better off in the long run as the imports will benefit consumers.

“It’s like sticking a fat man on a treadmill,” he said. “First he doesn’t like it, but then he gets into it.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Brendan Murray in Sydney at brmurray@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stephanie Phang at sphang@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Stocks, Euro Decline on Debt Crisis Concern

By Stephen Kirkland and Lynn Thomasson - Jan 5, 2012 5:47 PM GMT+0700

Stocks (MXWD) and the euro declined on concern Europe will struggle to contain the debt crisis. Hungarian shares tumbled and the forint declined as borrowing costs climbed at an auction today.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 0.8 percent at 10:45 a.m. in London as UniCredit SpA, Italy’s biggest bank, tumbled for a second day. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures slid 0.8 percent. French 10-year bond yields were little changed after a government debt sale. The euro weakened 0.8 percent to $1.2845. Hungary’s forint sank 0.4 percent to 321.61 versus the euro.

Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos said yesterday deeper cuts in incomes and an agreement on international aid are the only way for the country to avert economic collapse and a “disorderly default.” France sold 10-year bonds at an average yield of 3.29 percent, up from 3.18 percent in December, and the yield on Hungary’s one-year bills climbed to the highest level since 2009. The U.S. service industry probably grew last month and jobless claims fell last week, economists said before reports today.

“We expect the euro-zone recession to deepen early in the year and for European financial-market pressures to remain intense in the next few months,” said Dominic Wilson, chief market economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Frankfurt.

The decline in the Stoxx 600 extended yesterday’s 0.6 percent drop. UniCredit slid 8.9 percent to the lowest level since 1992 after yesterday plunging 15 percent on plans to sell shares in a rights offer at a 43 percent discount.

Banks Decline

Societe Generale SA retreated 4.6 percent as the French bank said it plans to cut about 1,580 jobs at its corporate and investment banking unit. Banco Comercial Portugues SA and Banco Espirito Santo SA lost more than 6 percent in Lisbon.

The decline in S&P 500 futures indicated the U.S. equities gauge will drop for the first time this year. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index, due for release at 10 a.m. New York time, rose to 53 in December from 52 the previous month, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. Fifty is the dividing line between expansion and contraction in the services gauge.

A separate release may show the number of applications for jobless benefits fell last week. The data comes before tomorrow’s payrolls report from the Labor Department, which is forecast to show the U.S. economy generated 150,000 jobs last month, according to an economist survey.

Aid Talks

Hungary’s BUX Index (BUX) fell 3 percent, taking its three-day decline to 5.7 percent. The average yield on Hungarian 12-month bills jumped to 9.96 percent from 7.91 percent at the last sale of the same maturity on Dec. 22, according to auction results on the state debt management agency’s Bloomberg page.

The yield on France’s 10-year bond was little changed at 3.31 percent. The extra yield (.FRANGER) investors demand to hold French 10-year debt instead of benchmark German bunds rose two basis points to 141 basis points.

The Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, climbed 0.6 percent. The euro slid 0.7 percent against the yen, approaching an 11-year low, and depreciated 0.3 percent versus the pound.

Oil in New York fell 0.8 percent to $102.42 a barrel, the first decline in three days.

To contact the reporters on this story: Stephen Kirkland in London at skirkland@bloomberg.net; Lynn Thomasson in Hong Kong at lthomasson@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stuart Wallace at swallace6@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Toyota Beats Estimates, Kia Leads Asia in U.S.

By Alan Ohnsman - Jan 5, 2012 8:38 AM GMT+0700

Toyota Motor Corp. (JDCSTYTA)’s December sales gain beat analysts’ estimates and Kia Motors Corp. (000270) had the biggest increase among Asia-based brands, capping the U.S. auto industry’s best year since 2008.

Sales rose 0.4 percent from a year earlier for Toyota, compared with the average 1 percent drop of five estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Deliveries increased 43 percent for Kia, 13 percent for affiliate Hyundai Motor Co. (005380) and 7.7 percent for Nissan Motor Co. (7201), according to statements yesterday. Honda Motor Co. (7267) reported a 19 percent drop, citing tight inventory.

Industrywide sales gained an estimated 8.7 percent as consumer confidence reached an eight-month high in December, and carmakers aired holiday ads and continued promotions begun in November. Kia’s December surge in the U.S. gave the Seoul-based company a 36 percent full-year increase, the largest for a major automaker.

“Kia has even more potential this year,” said Rebecca Lindland, a Norwalk, Connecticut-based analyst for IHS Automotive. “Our forecast is for them to be up 23 percent. Hyundai will be up by double digits again in 2012, but right now everything new from Kia is selling really well.”

Vehicle Shortage

For all of 2011, the U.S. market share for Japanese and South Korean automakers fell 2.6 percentage points from a year earlier to 43.7 percent, according to Autodata Corp., a research firm based in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. The share declined as Toyota (7203) and Honda ran short of vehicles because of Japan’s March earthquake and tsunami, as well as floods in Thailand late in the year that limited parts supplies.

For December, their share was 43.6 percent, a drop from 46.5 percent a year earlier, Autodata said.

Industrywide light-vehicle sales in 2011 rose an estimated 10.3 percent to 12.8 million units, according to Autodata. Sales figures weren’t available from all automakers.

Toyota gained 0.2 percent to 2,650 yen as of 10:02 a.m. in Tokyo trading, Honda climbed 1.3 percent to 2,475 yen and Nissan declined 1.1 percent to 691 yen. Hyundai rose 1.6 percent to 227,000 won in Seoul trading, and Kia slipped 0.2 percent to 68,600 won.

Toyota, Asia’s largest automaker, said December sales of Toyota, Lexus and Scion models totaled 178,131. The gain was led by the new Camry, which posted 33,506 in sales and was the best- selling U.S. car for a 10th year in a row, said Jim Lentz, the Toyota City, Japan-based company’s U.S. sales chief.

Toyota ‘Momentum’

“With consumer confidence continuing to show significant improvement, we believe this momentum will carry into 2012,” he said on a conference call yesterday.

Toyota’s 2011 U.S. sales shrank 6.7 percent to 1.64 million cars and light trucks. Its market share was 14.3 percent in December and 12.9 percent for the year, according to Autodata. The U.S. decline contributed to Toyota losing its top spot in global annual vehicle sales to General Motors Co. (GM)

Toyota will grow faster than the industry in the U.S. this year, with sales of about 1.9 million vehicles for a 15 percent increase from 2011, Lentz said.

That growth target won’t be easy to achieve, particularly because of tougher competition for Camry among midsize sedans, said Jeremy Anwyl, vice chairman of Edmunds.com, an auto pricing and data provider in Santa Monica, California.

‘Uphill Battle’

“Toyota is looking to regain some market share, but I think that’s going to be an uphill battle,” he said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.”

For Toyota and Honda (7267), “segments they used to dominate are now incredibly competitive and that’s not going to change,” Anwyl said.

Toyota’s Lexus, which lost its top ranking for luxury sales in the U.S. in 2011, will be the fastest-growing in the category this year, said Mark Templin, the brand’s U.S. sales chief.

“We’ll have a huge volume swing especially because of the launch of nine new vehicles,” Templin said on a conference call. “It gives us a big push this year.”

Lexus sales will grow “well above 20 percent,” he said.

Honda sold 105,230 Honda and Acura vehicles last month and 1.15 million for the full year, down 6.8 percent from 2010. The Tokyo-based automaker curtailed production at plants in North America and Japan for months after the natural disaster in the Asian nation.

“As we eagerly close one of the most challenging years American Honda has weathered, we are well-positioned for a strong 2012,” John Mendel, executive vice president of the company’s U.S. sales unit, said in a statement.

Honda Models

The company is counting on its revamped CR-V small crossover and a redesigned Accord sedan and coupe due late in the year to boost sales, he said.

Honda’s market share for the year fell to 9 percent from 10.6 percent in 2010, according to Autodata. Its December share shrank to 8.5 percent, a drop of 2.8 percentage points.

Nissan sold 100,927 Nissan and Infiniti vehicles in December. The Yokohama, Japan-based carmaker was able to avoid significant production cuts in 2011, and boosted its annual U.S. sales 15 percent to 1.04 million vehicles.

“We were very fortunate this year that we didn’t really miss any production,” Al Castignetti, vice president of U.S. sales for Nissan North America, said in a telephone interview. “We had the opportunity to pick up some market share.”

Nissan’s U.S. share rose 0.4 percentage point to 8.2 percent for the year, according to Autodata. Its December share declined 0.1 point to 8.1 percent.

Altima Outsells Accord

The midsize Altima, Nissan’s highest-volume U.S. model, was second among cars in the U.S. in annual sales, behind Toyota’s Camry. The Altima outsold the Honda Accord for the first time.

“While Hyundai and Kia drew more attention last year, Nissan was a company that has been one of the quiet achievers in the market,” IHS Automotive’s Lindland said.

Hyundai, South Korea’s largest automaker, said U.S. sales rose to 50,765 in December. For the year, the Seoul-based company’s sales gained 20 percent to a record 645,691.

Kia, Hyundai’s affiliate, sold 43,390 cars and light trucks in December, and a record 485,492 for the year.

Combined sales for Hyundai and Kia, which share engines, platforms and a chairman, increased 25 percent in December, less than a 27 percent average estimate of four analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

For the year, combined sales at the carmakers, which maintain separate U.S. operations, climbed 26 percent to 1.13 million vehicles, more than Nissan for the first time.

Japan’s Mazda Motor Corp. (7261) raised sales 4.1 percent last month and 9.1 percent for the year. Subaru, the auto brand of Toyota affiliate Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd., reported gains of 26 percent in December and 1.2 percent for the year.

Mitsubishi Motors Corp. (7211)’s sales rose 0.4 percent for the month and 42 percent in 2011, and Suzuki Motor Corp. (7269) had a 3.1 percent decline in December and an 11 percent increase for the year.

To contact the reporter on this story: Alan Ohnsman in Los Angeles at aohnsman@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jamie Butters at jbutters@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Asia Stocks, Aussie Drop on Europe Concern

By Lynn Thomasson - Jan 5, 2012 7:58 AM GMT+0700

Asian stocks (MXAP) and the Australian dollar weakened after Italy’s biggest bank said it needs to raise more capital, spurring concern that the European debt crisis is worsening.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) fell 0.3 percent as of 9:56 a.m. in Tokyo after climbing 2.4 percent in the past two days. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures were little changed. The so- called Aussie retreated 0.4 percent to $1.0332. The euro was little changed at $1.2933 after yesterday’s 0.8 percent decline. Gold and oil were also little changed.

“Problems sparked by the European debt crisis are reigniting and people in the market have reaffirmed that the situation has not changed,” said Mitsushige Akino, who oversees about $600 million in Tokyo at Ichiyoshi Investment Management Co. “That’s weakening the euro and hurting exporters with a heavy reliance on Europe.”

European shares snapped a four-day streak of gains yesterday as UniCredit SpA’s plan to sell shares fueled concern that banks need to raise capital to weather the debt crisis. Australia’s services industry shrank for a third straight month as consumer spending weakened, according to a private survey. Data later today may show that the Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index expanded in December at the fastest pace in three months, based on a Bloomberg survey of economist estimates.

To contact the reporter on this story: Lynn Thomasson in Hong Kong at lthomasson@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Poole at jpoole4@bloomberg.net




Read more...

China Telecom May Expand to France, Germany

By Bloomberg News - Jan 5, 2012 8:47 AM GMT+0700

China Telecommunications Corp. (728), the nation’s largest fixed-line phone company, plans to expand into more European markets after starting its first overseas wireless service in the U.K.

The service, aimed at Chinese residents, will begin in the U.K. by the end of March and expand to Germany and France if it’s successful, Ou Yan, managing director for China Telecom Europe, said in an e-mail yesterday. There are 2 million Chinese living in western Europe, Liu Changhai, the China Telecom executive responsible for regional development, said yesterday.

In the U.K., China Telecom will target the more than half a million Chinese citizens living in the country and the tourists that will flock to the Olympic Games in London in June. In China, intensifying competition has led companies including China United Network Communications Group Co. (CHTZ) to cut international roaming fees by as much as 90 percent.

“Our target customers are the Chinese communities,” Liu said in an e-mailed response to questions. “We are exploring a new market.”

London-based China Telecom Europe is a subsidiary of the state-owned parent company and isn’t part of publicly traded China Telecom Corp., said Jacky Yung, a Hong Kong-based spokesman for the listed unit.

The U.K. service will run on the network of Everything Everywhere, the joint venture between France Telecom SA (FTE) and Deutsche Telekom AG (DTE), the company said yesterday. The company will become the first Chinese operator to start a mobile virtual network outside China, Liu said.

Roaming Rates

Setting up a mobile virtual network will help China Telecom, the nation’s third-largest wireless carrier, compete on international roaming rates with China United, according to Neil Juggins, a Hong Kong-based analyst at JI Asia Research Ltd.

China Telecom will lease capacity from Everything Everywhere. It also held talks with Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)’s wholesale business, people familiar with the matter said in September.

China Telecom signed a strategic agreement with France Telecom in October to provide services for business customers across each other’s networks.

China Telecom’s wireless service ranks behind China Mobile Ltd. (941) and China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd. in the world’s largest mobile market by users. China had 975 million mobile subscribers at the end of November, according to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Jonathan Browning in London at jbrowning9@bloomberg.net; Edmond Lococo in Beijing at elococo@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Kenneth Wong at kwong11@bloomberg.net; Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Verizon Wireless IPhone Sales Doubled to 4.2 Million Units Last Quarter

By Scott Moritz - Jan 5, 2012 4:43 AM GMT+0700

Verizon Wireless, the largest U.S. mobile carrier, sold 4.2 million Apple Inc. (AAPL) iPhones in the fourth quarter, more than doubling from the third quarter, said Fran Shammo, finance chief of the company’s parent.

The iPhone sales will narrow gross margins at the wireless business by 500 to 600 basis points, Shammo, chief financial officer of Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), said today at a Citigroup Inc. event in San Francisco. U.S. carriers sell smartphones such as the iPhone to subscribers at a loss to get them to sign up for contracts that typically run for two years.

The demand suggests Verizon Wireless is winning an increasing share of new iPhone users, after gaining rights to offer the handset to its subscribers last year. In the third quarter, Verizon added 2 million customers for the device, trailing the 2.7 million iPhone activations at AT&T Inc. (T), which has offered the handset since 2007.

Even with lower iPhone activations, Verizon Wireless has outpaced AT&T in total subscriber gains, helped by demand for handsets that run on Google Inc.’s Android operating system. Verizon Wireless, jointly owned by New York-based Verizon Communications and Vodafone Group Plc (VOD), added 882,000 contract, or postpaid, subscribers in the third quarter, compared with 319,000 at Dallas-based AT&T.

Verizon shares (VZ) fell 1.3 percent to $39.21 at the close in New York. The stock advanced 12 percent last year, compared with a 2.9 percent gain by AT&T. AT&T added 0.2 percent to $30.43 today and Cupertino, California-based Apple rose 0.5 percent to $413.44.

To contact the reporter on this story: Scott Moritz at smoritz6@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Elstrom at pelstrom@bloomberg.net




Read more...

No Deal of the Day for Groupon Investors

By Ari Levy and Danielle Kucera - Jan 5, 2012 1:03 AM GMT+0700

Groupon Inc. (GRPN)’s shares, which have fallen below the company’s initial public offering price, show that both merchants and investors are having second thoughts about the nascent daily-deal industry.

About half the businesses that have offered an online deal- of-the-day in the past aren’t planning to do so again in the next six months, according to a survey published on Jan. 2. The study, by Susquehanna Financial Group and daily-deal aggregator Yipit, showed that merchants were concerned about a low rate of repeat business from new customers gained through such offers.

“The risk factors are enormous” for daily-deal companies, said Sucharita Mulpuru, an analyst at Forrester Research Inc. in Cambridge, Massachusetts. “Their cost of merchant acquisition is going to get higher over time.”

To keep growing, the industry, which researcher BIA/Kelsey estimates may more than double to $4.17 billion by 2015, will probably agree to charge businesses less. Groupon, in fact, said in a June IPO filing that offering merchants more favorable terms may cut into its profits.

Margins are already shrinking. The amount of billings Groupon booked as revenue narrowed to 37 percent in the third quarter from 42 percent in the prior period and 44 percent in the first quarter. Chicago-based Groupon attributes the decline to getting into new products, such as travel and event tickets.

The company’s shares slipped 2.6 percent to $18.77 at 1:01 p.m. New York time. Yesterday, Groupon dropped 6.6 percent after the release of the Susquehanna and Yipit survey, which collected data from more than 100 merchants. This week marks the second time that Groupon stock has fallen below the $20 IPO (GRPN) price since its Nov. 3 debut.

Merchant Feedback

Groupon is the biggest Internet-deal provider, delivering discounts on restaurants, hotels, spa treatments, and other goods and services. Rivals include Washington-based LivingSocial and Seattle-based Amazon.com Inc., and Groupon also lists Google Inc. and Microsoft Corp. as competitors in its prospectus.

While 80 percent of the survey’s respondents were satisfied with daily-deal companies, about 52 percent of merchants said they’re not planning to offer a discount through such sites in the next six months.

“People are scrutinizing it a little more because of all the merchant feedback,” said Herman Leung, a Susquehanna analyst based in San Francisco. He has a “neutral” rating on Groupon’s stock. “About 76 percent of the merchants plan to do zero or one deal over the next six months. They’re seeing sufficient demand on their own as the economy is getting better.”

Julie Mossler, a spokeswoman for Groupon, declined to comment.

Small Business Market

Groupon created the online daily-deal market in 2008 and in the first three quarters of 2011 featured deals from more than 190,000 merchants worldwide, according to its prospectus. That leaves plenty of room for growth, as there were 5.9 million businesses with employees in the U.S. alone in 2009, according to the U.S. Small Business Administration.

Brendan Lewis, a spokesman for LivingSocial, said that even within the Susquehanna and Yipit survey, the numbers are encouraging.

“It shows the vast majority of merchants who have run deals are happy with their experience, and nearly half plan to run another deal in the immediate future,” Lewis said in an e- mail. “You’d be hard-pressed to find an 80 percent satisfaction rate among merchants for any other marketing channel in use today.”

Still, LivingSocial put off its IPO plans last year as Groupon and other Internet companies faced turbulent debuts in the public markets. The company instead lined up $400 million in private funding at a valuation of about $6 billion, a person with knowledge of the matter said in December.

Post-IPO Scrutiny

Staying private has allowed LivingSocial to shore up its finances without the scrutiny of the public markets. Groupon, meanwhile, has been criticized for its ballooning marketing expenses (GRPN), which have led to rising losses.

The company has more than 10,000 employees, up from 37 in June 2009. It spent $613.2 million on marketing in the first nine months of last year, resulting in a net loss of $238.1 million. Marketing costs will increase in the coming months as stores become less inclined to offer Groupons because they aren’t seeing users return, Mulpuru said.

“It’s been like a marketing blitzkrieg that’s grown the business to the size that it is,” Mulpuru said. “They were using investor money to subsidize these offers for so long. Then what merchants start recognizing is, ‘We’re just not getting new customers.’”

To contact the reporters on this story: Ari Levy in San Francisco at alevy5@bloomberg.net; Danielle Kucera in San Francisco at dkucera6@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Seagate Shares Jump After Disk-Drive Maker’s Quarterly Sales Top Estimates

By Nick Turner - Jan 5, 2012 6:06 AM GMT+0700

Seagate Technology Plc (STX), the world’s largest maker of computer disk drives, rose as much as 7.9 percent in late trading after reporting preliminary revenue figures that topped analysts’ estimates.

Sales were $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion in the fiscal second quarter, which ended Dec. 30, the company said today in a statement. Seagate shipped about 47 million drives, lifted by its acquisition of Samsung Electronics Co.’s hard-disk unit -- a deal completed (STX) Dec. 19. Analysts had projected revenue of $2.79 billion on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg (STX).

Seagate overcame supply-chain (STX) disruptions and increased the amount of storage on each drive to an average of 653 gigabytes in the quarter. The industry suffered a devastating flood last year in Thailand, which serves as a center of disk-drive manufacturing. Unlike factories owned by competitors, Seagate’s plants weren’t hit by floodwaters, helping it recover quickly.

The results “reflect the hard work and resiliency of the Seagate teams and our strategic suppliers who are working to help the industry recover from the massive disruption,” Steve Luczo, chief executive officer of the Cupertino, California- based company, said in the statement.

Seagate climbed as high as $18.15 in extended trading after the report was released. The shares, which advanced 9.1 percent in 2011, had closed at $16.82 earlier today.

March Forecast

In the March quarter, Seagate expects revenue of $4.2 billion to $4.5 billion. Analysts had predicted $3.6 billion on average. Gross margin, the percentage of revenue remaining after production costs, will be at least 33 percent. That’s up from about 30.5 percent in the period ended Dec. 30.

The floodwaters engulfed much of the industrial heartland north of Bangkok, sidelining production of disk drives and components. Western Digital Corp., Seagate’s biggest rival, had to close down production, though it too recovered more quickly than investors had anticipated.

Western Digital shares (WDC) jumped on Dec. 2 after the Irvine, California-based company resumed production and raised its quarterly revenue. The gain helped Western Digital pare its 2011 stock decline to 8.7 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nick Turner in San Francisco at nturner7@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Apple Said to Hire Adobe Exec to Run IAd

By Adam Satariano - Jan 5, 2012 6:18 AM GMT+0700

Apple Inc. (AAPL) hired Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) executive Todd Teresi to lead its iAd mobile-advertising business, three people with knowledge of the matter said, filling a role in an area where the company has struggled.

Teresi, who was vice president of Adobe’s media solutions group, has already started at Apple as vice president of iAd, said two of the people, who declined to be identified because the move hasn’t been announced. Teresi is reporting to Eddy Cue, a senior vice president who also oversees Apple’s iTunes and the App Store.

The iAd business, introduced in 2010, has attempted to parlay Apple’s leadership in consumer electronics into mobile- advertising revenue -- with mixed results. While the system has attracted ads from companies such as Walt Disney Co., some marketers have complained that iAd costs more than other ad services and only works on Apple devices. Apple trails Google Inc. (GOOG) in the mobile advertising market, which may generate $4.4 billion by 2015, according to research firm EMarketer Inc.

“Charging premium prices and reaching only Apple devices is a much harder sell,” said Noah Elkin, an analyst at EMarketer. “That has been a huge stumbling block.”

Tom Neumayr, a spokesman for Cupertino, California-based Apple, declined to comment. Jodi Sorensen, a spokeswoman for Adobe, confirmed that Teresi is no longer at the company.

Publishing Experience

Teresi, who joined Adobe last year, had worked at Yahoo! Inc. for almost a decade, serving as a senior vice president in charge of the company’s publishing network and vice president responsible for worldwide sales, according to his LinkedIn profile. Before joining Adobe, he was chief revenue officer at Quantcast Corp. (0096172D)

At Adobe, a company Apple co-founder Steve Jobs had chided for making subpar products, Teresi managed Digital Publishing Suite software, which let magazine and newspaper publishers including Conde Nast put out digital editions of their publications for Apple’s iPad and tablets running Google’s Android software. Teresi also was involved making deals in this area last year, including Adobe’s partnership with WoodWing Software and the acquisition of Auditude.

Madison Avenue

The new job makes Teresi the main liaison between Apple and Madison Avenue, the heart of the ad industry in New York. The role was vacated by Andy Miller, a founder of Quattro Wireless Inc., which Apple acquired (AAPL) two years ago and used as the basis for iAd.

In addition to generating revenue for Apple, the iAd program was conceived as a way for application developers to make money. When an iAd is carried within an app, Apple gives the developer 60 percent of the revenue. When the system was introduced in 2010, the ads were more interactive and graphically rich than others being shown on phones at the time.

The more feature-heavy ads also cost more for marketers, and Apple’s rivals have tried to lure customers by undercutting it on price and letting campaigns be shown on a wider range of devices. Google’s mobile-ad system works with Apple’s products as well as devices running its own Android software.

Google leads the mobile display-advertising market with a 23.8 percent share, according to IDC. Millennial Media has 16.7 percent, and Apple ranks third with 15.1 percent.

Faced with this competition, Apple has become more flexible. It trimmed the minimum ad purchase price required and offered more help to companies in building effective promotions.

Apple Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook also has been searching for a new head of retail, a position vacated last year by Ron Johnson, who is now the CEO of J.C. Penney Co.

Apple shares rose less than 1 percent to $413.44 at the close in New York. The shares climbed 26 percent in 2011, marking a third straight year of gains. Adobe shares dropped 1 percent to $28.28.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Satariano in San Francisco at asatariano1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Panetta’s Defense Strategy Questioned Before It’s Released

By Tony Capaccio - Jan 5, 2012 5:02 AM GMT+0700

The Defense Department promises to deliver tomorrow on pledges to create a “balanced” new U.S. military strategy that puts more emphasis on Asia even as defense budgets are cut. Critics say it can’t all be done.

A “balanced approach essentially means they are not doing anything bold at all,” Dov Zakheim, who was the Pentagon’s controller under President George W. Bush, said in an interview. “Everything gets cut.”

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and Army General Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, will present the Pentagon (USBODEFN)’s strategic review of U.S. roles and missions worldwide. The results will be parsed by allies and adversaries to assess where the U.S. may be pulling back, by military personnel wary of benefit cuts and by defense investors attempting to predict which contractors may benefit or lose out from the new priorities.

“We need to take a hard look” at all defense spending while maintaining U.S. military superiority, White House press secretary Jay Carney told reporters in Washington yesterday. President Barack Obama has met with Panetta on the issue seven times since September, including a session yesterday, Carney said.

Obama will visit the Pentagon to introduce the strategy at a news conference tomorrow at about 11 a.m. Washington time, according to a White House statement.

‘Turning Point’

“We are at a turning point after a decade of war” and “we need to reshape our defense priorities,” Tommy Vietor, spokesman for the National Security Council at the White House, said today. Faced with “budget constraints,” Obama is seeking “surgical” cuts that leave top priorities well-funded, Vietor said.

When Panetta’s predecessor as defense secretary, Robert Gates, announced the review last year, he said it was important for the public and Congress to get a full understanding of strategic choices for the U.S. military as it faced $450 billion in additional reductions through 2021, including about $261 billion through 2017.

Pentagon spokesman George Little and colleague Navy Captain John Kirby told reporters today not to expect specifics on weapons-program cuts.

“Tomorrow is about strategic guidance, not specific programs,” Kirby said. “What you are going to hear is an explanation of the strategy guidance that will govern whatever budget decisions are coming. I wouldn’t be expecting any specific budget decisions or discussions this week.”

Personnel Accounts

Zakheim, who is an adviser to Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and Republican presidential candidate, said he is skeptical the administration is willing “to go after personnel accounts.”

“What they really need to do is look much more carefully at trimming operations and maintenance accounts, taking on personnel accounts in a serious way, taking on military retirement in a serious way,” he said. “The question is how far are they going to go?”

The Defense Department won’t rely on cuts in weapons programs as the main way to meet its spending-reduction goals, Deputy Comptroller Mike McCord said Nov. 30.

The number of uniformed personnel, compensation, retirement health-care benefits and continued savings from efficiencies are getting more attention than major cuts in acquisition, according to McCord. The review is taking a “balanced” approach, he said.

Troop Reductions

Panetta may outline troop reductions beyond those announced in February 2011.

The fiscal 2012 budget request called for 547,400 Army personnel and 202,100 in the Marine Corps. The current plan calls for reducing the force in 2015 and 2016 by 27,000 GIs and as many as 20,000 Marines.

A draft of the review concludes that the Army, Navy, Air Force and Marines must combine resources to thwart any efforts by nations such as China and Iran to block U.S. access to strategic regions such as the South China Sea and the Persian Gulf, according to an administration official familiar with the review who asked not to be identified.

Panetta is expected to outline how the U.S. military will increase its Pacific presence, a shift in emphasis that began with the Quadrennial Defense Review in February 2010, which called for the Air Force and the Navy to craft an air-sea battle concept.

The plan is intended to combine the strengths of the Navy and the Air Force for long-range strikes. It may employ a new generation of bombers, a new cruise missile and drones launched from aircraft carriers. The Navy also is increasing funding to develop unmanned submarines.

Obama Asia Pledge

Obama said in November, during a visit to Australia, that “reductions in U.S. defense spending will not -- I repeat, will not -- come at the expense of the Asia-Pacific” region.

Panetta said in a November speech that “even as we enhance our presence in the Pacific, we will not surrender our status as a global power and a global leader.”

Any Pentagon trade-offs “in one area” to beef up the Pacific “will bear consequences in another,” said MacKenzie Eaglen, a defense analyst with the Heritage Foundation in Washington, which opposes major cuts in defense spending.

“As DoD squeezes U.S. force posture in Europe, including bases, it will have a direct impact on the military’s ability to respond to future conflicts like the no-fly zone in Libya, rapid response in Afghanistan post-9/11, and treating the wounded out of Iraq the past decade,” she said in an e-mail. “There are no consequence-free decisions.”

Air Force, Navy

The commitment to Asia “is probably going to put more emphasis on the ‘AirSea battle’ versus land forces,” Robert Stallard, managing director of aerospace research for RBC Capital Markets in New York, said in an e-mail.

“This should mean that Air Force and Navy strategic assets come out relatively well, though we still expect to see budget pressure being felt in pretty much all areas,” he said. “I’m not sure Congress will be comfortable with the Army and Marine Corps being bill-payers for this.”

The strategy review also may revive debate about the Pentagon’s doctrine calling for the capability to fight two major conflicts almost simultaneously.

Irregular Warfare

The Quadrennial Defense Review in 2010 deemphasized that commitment without abandoning it. It said planning should focus more closely on scenarios such as irregular warfare including conflicts involving insurgents or drug traffickers and even humanitarian disasters.

“However you modify that strategy, you won’t get into a position where, if you get engaged in a conflict, you won’t be able to do anything else,” William Lynn, who was then deputy defense secretary, said in an October interview. “You’ll never say, ‘Once I’m in a conflict, everything else I can’t handle.’”

Zakheim said the Pentagon needs to explain clearly any modification in strategy to avoid sending the wrong message to Iran or North Korea.

“Suppose there is a threat from Iran and threat from Korea,” he said. “ What are we going to do? Ignore Iran or ignore North Korea?”

With budget cuts, the best the military can do is prepare to fight one major war while maintaining the capability to make life difficult enough to deter any second adversary tempted to make a move, John Nagl, a member of the Defense Policy Board, an advisory panel, said in an interview.

“It looks like we’re moving away from a two-war strategy,” said Nagl, who is president of the Center for a New American Security, a policy group in Washington. “Some capabilities are going to have to go.”

Budget Proposal

The Obama administration’s annual budget proposal will be released in February. Some details were contained in a Nov. 29 Office of Management and Budget document sent to the Pentagon that provided broad outlines for a fiscal 2013-2017 plan.

Defense spending (USBODEFN) in 2013 would be reduced about 1 percent from this year’s $518 billion spending plan before growing 1.8 percent in 2014 and 2.3 percent in 2015, dropping 1.9 percent in 2016 and rising 2.2 percent in 2017, according to the 23-page document.

The defense plan for 2012 to 2021 calls for $5.652 trillion in spending, according to the budget office. It calculated that the total defense cut mandated by budget-reduction legislation over those years is $488 billion, or about an 8.5 percent decrease.

That doesn’t include an additional $500 billion from automatic cuts that would take effect in January 2013 unless Congress stops the action.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tony Capaccio in Washington at acapaccio@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Walcott at jwalcott9@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Bachmann Ends Presidential Bid After Iowa

By Catherine Dodge and John McCormick - Jan 5, 2012 1:08 AM GMT+0700

U.S. Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota ended her campaign for the Republican presidential nomination after finishing sixth in yesterday’s Iowa caucuses.

“Last night, the people of Iowa spoke with a very clear voice and so I have decided to stand aside,” Bachmann said in a hotel ballroom in West Des Moines, Iowa (BEESIA). “We can leave this race knowing that we ran it with utmost integrity,” said Bachmann, who vowed to “continue fighting to defeat the president’s agenda of socialism.”

Bachmann, who pitched her hometown connections in the state where she was born and sought to appeal to evangelical Christians who play a crucial role in the Republican caucuses, had fallen in public opinion surveys after winning the Iowa Straw Poll in August.

The Minnesota (NFSEMN) lawmaker won support from about 5 percent of Iowans at the Republican caucuses. The leaders, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, each got about 25 percent.

Speaking with her husband and family members at her side as she withdrew from the race, Bachmann kept her focus primarily on President Barack Obama and continued her call for the repeal of the health-care overhaul he pushed through Congress.

‘Destructive’ Socialism

“I ran because I believe that, since day one, Barack Obama’s policies, based on socialism, are destructive to the very foundation of the republic,” said Bachmann, who often told voters that she had a “titanium spine” when it came to protecting Republican ideals.

Texas Governor Rick Perry, who finished fifth in Iowa, said via Twitter today that he is heading to South Carolina, which has its primary on Jan. 21, after the Jan. 10 New Hampshire primary.

Bachmann’s victory in the straw poll, a non-binding contest in Ames in which less than 17,000 votes were cast, had boosted her into the top tier of candidates. “This is the very first step towards taking the White House in 2012,” she told supporters at the time. “This was a wonderful down-payment on taking the country back.”

Momentum Waned

Her momentum waned after Perry entered the race on the same day as the straw poll and swooped into Iowa where he grabbed the media’s attention. As Perry’s support dwindled, the social conservative voters Bachmann was banking on ultimately gravitated to Santorum.

Bachmann, 55, made a point of visiting all of Iowa’s 99 counties -- an accomplishment Santorum beat her to -- as she focused on the state as the best place to propel her candidacy.

She is serving her third term in the House, where she organized the Tea Party Caucus shortly before the 2010 midterm elections. Tea Party activists pressing for a significant reduction in federal spending and strict adherence to the Constitution helped Republicans win control of the House in 2010 and Bachmann sought to rally these voters to her candidacy.

“I look forward for the next chapter in God’s plan,” Bachmann said as she was concluding her remarks today.

She declined to answer shouted questions from reporters on whether she intends to endorse another presidential candidate or run for re-election in her home district.

Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman Jr., who didn’t compete in Iowa and instead is focusing on the New Hampshire primary, was among the first presidential candidates to issue a statement about Bachmann’s departure.

“Michele Bachmann brought an energetic and passionate voice to this race,” he said in an e-mailed statement. “She should be proud of the ambitious solutions she offered to reduce our national debt and rebuild our economy.”

Romney, in a statement, said Bachmann “ran a campaign to advance the principles of limited government that I hold dear.” The Minnesota congresswoman showed “tenacity” and “fierce intelligence” during her campaign, he said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Catherine Dodge in Washington at cdodge1@bloomberg.net; John McCormick in West Des Moines, Iowa, at jmccormick16@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Greece May Face Default in March Without Troika Agreement, Papademos Says

By Maria Petrakis and Natalie Weeks - Jan 5, 2012 1:42 AM GMT+0700

Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos told business and union leaders today the economy could collapse as soon as March if the country doesn’t accept income cuts as a key means to secure agreement with international creditors on more financing.

Papademos said keeping the country’s “greatest achievement,” its use of the euro, means boosting competitiveness and creating conditions for more jobs and a return to growth.

“We have to give up a little so we don’t lose a lot,” Papademos said, according to an e-mailed transcript of his statements. Talks to resume this month with representatives of the European Union, International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank, the so-called troika, will focus on “shaping a credible economic adjustment plan for 2012 to 2015.”

“Without this agreement with the troika and subsequent financing, Greece in March faces the immediate risk of a disorderly default,” he said.

Appointed in early November to lead an interim government to secure a second financing package for the country, Papademos is racing to complete a voluntary swap of debt with private bondholders, part of the new rescue plan for the country, which also includes 130 billion euros ($168 billion) of public funds. The country redeems 14.4 billion euros of bonds on March 20.

Issue Range

Papademos said the troika had pointed to a range of issues to be tackled. They include adjustments to the minimum wage, abolition of Christmas and summer vacation bonuses and automatic wage increases.

Yannis Panagopoulos, the head of Greece’s biggest private- sector union group GSEE, said he was willing to discuss how to reduce non-wage costs and actions to protect jobs.

The organization won’t consider changes to national labor accords such as cutting the minimum wage and the so-called 13th and 14th wages, Panagopoulos said in comments televised live on state-run NET TV.

Greece’s debt is forecast to balloon to almost double the size of its shrinking economy this year without the write-off, the European Commission estimates. The swap is supposed to help reduce debt to 120 percent of gross domestic product by 2020.

To contact the reporter responsible for this story: Maria Petrakis at mpetrakis@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tim Quinson at tquinson@bloomberg.net




Read more...

GM Leads U.S. Automakers in December to Post the Best Sales Year Since ’08

By Tim Higgins and Keith Naughton - Jan 5, 2012 6:24 AM GMT+0700

General Motors Co. (GM), Ford Motor Co. (F), and Chrysler Group LLC finished 2011 stronger than analysts predicted, as annual U.S. auto sales reached 12.8 million in the best year since 2008, when GM and Chrysler sought U.S. bailouts.

Auto sales increased as consumer confidence reached an eight-month high in December, and carmakers aired holiday ads and continued promotions started in November. The U.S. automakers rallied in 2011, two years after GM and Chrysler emerged from U.S.-backed bankruptcies. GM also reclaimed the top spot in world vehicle sales from Toyota Motor Corp. (7203)

“It’s been a phenomenal turnaround for the Big Three,” Michelle Krebs, an analyst with researcher Edmunds.com, said in an interview. “Chrysler and GM have the American taxpayer to thank for that, but in the end, it’s been a good investment.”

The 12.8 million figure for 2011 industrywide sales is an estimate by Autodata Corp. because not all automakers had reported results, the Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey-based company said yesterday in an e-mailed statement.

Sales dropped 18 percent in 2008 to 13.2 million, the worst since 1992. In November 2008, the U.S. automaker chief executive officers and UAW President Ron Gettelfinger went to Washington to seek U.S. assistance and were criticized for flying there in corporate jets.

For 2011, industrywide sales rose 10 percent while the December sales rate (SAARTOTL) was 13.6 million, Autodata said. That beat the 13.4 million rate forecast by the average estimate of 14 analysts, up from the 12.5 million pace a year earlier.

Market Share Gain

GM, Ford and Chrysler all gained share in 2011, ending the year controlling a combined 47.1 percent of the U.S. market, up from 45.2 percent in 2010, according to Autodata. For Ford, it was the third consecutive year of U.S. market share gains. Chrysler had the largest gain, rising to 10.7 percent of the market last year from 9.4 percent in 2010.

GM sold 2.5 million cars and light trucks in the U.S. last year, up 13 percent from 2010. In December, GM’s sales rose 4.5 percent to 234,351, topping the average 4.4 percent gain of eight estimates.

Ford’s U.S. light-vehicle sales rose 11 percent in 2011 to 2.14 million. In December, Ford’s sales of cars and light trucks rose 10 percent to 209,447, exceeding the average estimate for a 7.7 percent gain.

Chrysler’s 2011 sales soared 26 percent to 1.37 million. Chrysler’s December sales jumped 37 percent to 138,019 cars and light trucks, more than the average 33 percent estimate.

Toyota and Nissan (7201) Motor Co. also exceeded estimates.

‘High Note’

“The year ended on a high note,” said Krebs, who is based in West Bloomfield, Michigan. “That bodes well going into 2012.”

The economy expanded in the final three months of 2011 at a 2.8 percent annual rate, the strongest since the second quarter of 2010, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg early last month. Employers added 120,000 jobs in November, helping push down the jobless rate to 8.6 percent (USURTOT), the lowest since March 2009.

Toyota, Asia’s largest automaker, said it sold 1.64 million cars and light trucks in the U.S. last year, down 6.7 percent. In December, sales of Toyota, Lexus and Scion models increased 0.4 percent in the U.S. from a year ago to 178,131 vehicles. That topped an expected 1 percent decline for the month, the average of five analysts’ estimates.

Honda, Nissan

Honda Motor Co. (7267), Japan’s third-largest automaker, said yesterday its U.S. sales last year fell 6.8 percent to 1.15 million cars and light trucks. In December, sales of its Honda and Acura brands fell 19 percent from a year ago to 105,230 vehicles. That was worse than the 15 percent average of five analysts’ estimates for the December decline.

Nissan’s 2011 sales in the U.S. rose 15 percent to 1.04 million light vehicles. In December, Nissan’s deliveries rose 7.7 percent to 100,927, which topped the 5 percent gain predicted by the average of five analysts.

Nissan, based in Yokohama, Japan, was less affected than Toyota and Honda by natural disasters last year, including March’s earthquake and tsunami in Japan and October flooding in Thailand.

GM, based in Detroit, finished the year with a 53 percent increase in sales of the Cruze small car and a 12 percent rise in sales of Silverado pickups in December.

The company said industry sales have room to expand this year.

Caution Voiced

“We’re still in recession-like industry size,” Don Johnson, GM’s vice president of U.S. sales operations, said yesterday during a conference call with analysts. “The growth we’re seeing is still based on” a slow increase in jobs, he said.

One sector where employment is expanding is the auto industry, where companies announced plans last year to hire or rehire at least 25,000 workers in the U.S. by 2015.

Ford’s passenger car sales fell 15 percent in December, while sport-utility vehicle sales rose 16 percent, the company said. Ford brand sales for 2011 were above 2 million for the first time since 2007, the Dearborn, Michigan-based company said last week.

Sales of Ford’s Explorer SUV rose 37 percent and its F- Series pickup gained 24 percent. Fusion, the company’s top- selling car, decreased 4.5 percent and its Fiesta small car was down 30 percent.

Ford’s Forecast

Ford yesterday forecast industrywide U.S. vehicle sales this year in a range from 13.5 million to 14.5 million, including about 200,000 medium and heavy trucks. That suggests auto sales growth of as much as 11.5 percent this year.

“The momentum coming out of the fourth quarter of last year provides some confidence that the lower end of this range is less likely,” Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Ford’s chief economist, said on a conference call with analysts yesterday. On “economic data, the latest incoming statistics show some very positive momentum.”

Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler’s Jeep brand had a 41 percent increase, which included gains of 36 percent for Grand Cherokee and 39 percent for Wrangler SUVs.

The results “are really a great sign for Chrysler,” said Rebecca Lindland, a Norwalk, Connecticut-based analyst for IHS Automotive. “It’s a company that’s struggled in the past more than others.”

‘Signs of Recovery’

Chrysler had a target of boosting 2011 vehicle sales by 45 percent to 1.57 million vehicles. Chrysler’s full-year deliveries rose 26 percent to 1.37 million.

Volkswagen AG (VOW)’s VW brand sales rose 36 percent to 32,502 last month compared with a year ago, making it the brand’s best December since 1972, the company said yesterday in a statement.

“We believe the industry continues to show signs of recovery and consumers generally recognizing it is a good time to be out there buying vehicles,” Jonathan Browning, head of Volkswagen’s U.S. operations, said in a conference call yesterday.

Hyundai Motor Co. (005380), South Korea’s largest automaker, said its 2011 U.S. sales rose 20 percent to 645,691 cars and light trucks. In December, Hyundai’s sales gained 13 percent to 50,765. Kia Motors Corp. (000270), Hyundai’s affiliate, reported a 36 percent sales increase in 2011 to 485,492 cars and light trucks. In December, Kia rose 43 percent compared with a year ago.

Combined U.S. sales for Hyundai and Kia in 2011 gained 26 percent to a record 1.13 million cars and light trucks, topping Nissan’s 1.04 million.

Canadian sales of light vehicles rose 2.6 percent in December from a year earlier, according to DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc. of Toronto.

Sales increased to 114,557 units during the month, from 111,661 in December 2010, DesRosiers said in an e-mailed report yesterday. Sales for all of 2011 rose 1.8 percent to 1.59 million.

To contact the reporters on this story: Tim Higgins in Southfield, Michigan, at thiggins21@bloomberg.net; Keith Naughton in Southfield, Michigan at knaughton3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jamie Butters at jbutters@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Gross Retreats From ‘New Normal’ After Missing Rally

By Susanne Walker - Jan 5, 2012 1:18 AM GMT+0700

Bill Gross is backing away from Pacific Investment Management Co.’s outlook for a “new normal” after lagging behind the majority of his peers during the biggest bond-market rally in nine years.

The period of muted growth in developed economies, high unemployment and “relatively orderly” deleveraging that Mohamed El-Erian, who shares the title of chief investment officer with Gross, coined in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis appears to be morphing into a world of credit and zero-bound interest-rate risk, said Gross, the founder of Pimco and manager of the world’s biggest bond fund.

“It’s as if the earth now has two moons instead of one and both are growing in size like a cancerous tumor that may threaten the financial tides, oceans and economic life as we have known it for the past half century,” Gross wrote in a monthly investment outlook posted on the Newport Beach, California-based company’s website today. “Welcome to 2012.”

Most developed economies have not, in fact, deleveraged since 2008 and credit remains resilient because of the multitude of monetary stimulus packages being made available through central banks in the U.S. and Europe, Gross wrote. This risks leading to unraveling of financial markets if policy makers are unable to foster growth and inflation accelerates, he said.

Hedging Bets

Until the outcome is clear, Pimco is advising investors to consider ways to hedge their bets, including U.S. Treasuries, long-term inflation-indexed U.S. debt, high-quality corporates, senior bank debt and municipal securities.

“He’s obviously needing to address his mis-steps last year on Treasuries and suggesting that for a period of time, he’s wanting to hide from the rest of the fixed-income marketplace,” said Geoffrey Bobroff, a mutual-fund consultant based in East Greenwich, Rhode Island. “It’s quite a negative piece.”

The recommendations mark a departure from Gross’s call last year, when he advised buying higher-yielding emerging market debt as part of the “new normal” and cautioned investors to stay away from the U.S., noting that growth would be higher in developing economies, while excessive borrowing here, the U.K. and Japan would lead to inflation. To that end, Gross eliminated his holdings of Treasuries in February and had a net bet against the securities in the $244 billion Total Return Fund, missing the biggest rally in Treasuries since 2008. Gross issued a “Mea Culpa” to investors in October and boosted the debt to 23 percent of the portfolio by the end of November.

Investor Withdrawals

Pimco Total Return Fund (PTTRX) had $5 billion in client redemptions last year, its first year of withdrawals in records going back to 1993, according to Morningstar Inc. (MORN) Clients pulled $1.35 billion from the fund in December, according to the Chicago-based research firm.

Pimco Total Return in December 2009 became the biggest mutual fund in the history of the industry after beating most rivals and attracting a record $50 billion in deposits that year. In the five years through Dec. 30, the fund advanced at an annual rate of 8.1 percent, outperforming 97 percent of competitors.

“The bulk of sovereign bond holdings should be in the U.S.,” Gross wrote in today’s investment outlook. “As long as Euroland credit implosion is possible investors should gravitate to the ‘cleanest dirty shirt’ sovereigns with the least encumbered balance sheets. Focus on five- to nine-year Treasury maturities to guard against inflation which create opportunities to take advantage of roll-down capital gains.”

Bond Markets Rally

Treasuries returned 9.8 percent in 2011, while Gross’s Total Return Fund gained 4.2 percent, underperforming about 70 percent of its rivals, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“He’s very frustrated by the lack of delevering and he’s right,” said Bobroff. “His thesis is the same as it has been, but he’s very negative more-so on the next six to 12 months.”

Bonds worldwide returned 5.9 percent last year, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Global Broad Market Index. That was the biggest increase since the index gained 8.9 percent in 2002. Meanwhile, securities firms are predicting the smallest return on U.S. stocks than any time in seven years, forecasting the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will rise 6.4 percent in 2012 as budget deficits around the world limit gains. The index was unchanged in 2011.

“Investors must lower return expectations,” Gross wrote. “The financial markets and global economies are at great risk. Two to five percent for stocks, bonds and commodities are expected long-term returns for global financial markets that have been pushed to the zero bound, a world where substantial real price appreciation is getting close to mathematically improbable.”

‘Cost of Money’

Minutes released yesterday of the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 13 policy meeting said policy makers for the first time will make public their own forecasts for the federal funds rate beginning at the Jan. 24-25 meeting. Fed officials will show investors their forecast for the benchmark interest rate in the fourth quarter of 2012 and the next few calendar years, the minutes said.

“I expect the January Fed meeting to mirror in some ways what we have first witnessed from the ECB,” Gross wrote. “It won’t take the form of three-year financing by a central bank, but will give assurances via language that the cost of money (FDTR) will remain constant at 25 basis points for three years or more -- until inflation or unemployment reach specific target levels. If and when that doesn’t work, then a specific QE3 may be announced, probably by mid-year.”

“The financial markets are slowly imploding -- delevering -- because there’s too much paper and too little trust,” Gross wrote. “Goodbye ‘old normal,’ standby to redefine ‘new normal’ and welcome to 2012’s ‘paranormal.’”

To contact the reporter on this story: Susanne Walker in New York at swalker33@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dave Liedtka at dliedtka@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Kodak Drops After Report About Bankruptcy Filing

By Beth Jinks - Jan 5, 2012 4:26 AM GMT+0700

Eastman Kodak Co. (EK), the imaging company that lost 88 percent of its market value last year, fell after a report that the company is preparing for a bankruptcy filing should its effort to sell patents fail.

Shares of the Rochester, New York-based company declined (EK) 28 percent to 47 cents at the close in New York. The company may file for bankruptcy protection this month or early February if it can’t sell digital patents, the Wall Street Journal reported today, citing people familiar with the matter.

Bloomberg News reported in September that Kodak was weighing options including a bankruptcy filing, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Its revenue (EK) has tumbled because of slowing demand for traditional film and competition in digital cameras and printers from Canon Inc. and Hewlett- Packard Co. Kodak’s cash and equivalents fell to $862 million at the end of its third quarter from $1.4 billion a year earlier.

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Antonio Perez, who took the helm in 2005, is trying to turn around the money-losing company by focusing on the printing business. He is seeking to raise cash by selling a portfolio of more than 1,100 digital imaging patents, and some other business units.

Kodak doesn’t comment on market rumors or speculation, said Christopher Veronda, a spokesman for the company.

Shrinking Board

The New York Stock Exchange yesterday warned the company it needs to get its share price back above $1 within six months to continue trading, under listing standards rules.

Three board members resigned last month, including Laura D. Tyson, a director since 1997, and Adam H. Clammer and Herald Y. Chen, two directors from private-equity firm KKR & Co. who were elected in September 2009.

Kodak’s board decided early last year to reduce the number of directors, Tyson said yesterday in a telephone interview. Her 2012 schedule made it “virtually impossible” to continue to serve, and she resigned last week to help the company reach an “optimal board size.”

“It’s not a statement about the firm’s strategy or the firm’s leadership,” Tyson said. “I was part of the board for a long time, I was part of the strategy to transform the company, then part of the strategy of choosing the company CEO, I’ve worked closely with him and with the other members of the board.”

Tyson, a professor at University of California Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, declined to comment on Kodak’s next steps. She was an adviser to the administrations of Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton and sits on the boards of at least five companies, including Morgan Stanley (MS) and AT&T Inc. (T)

KKR’s Clammer and Chen got board seats after the firm invested $300 million of senior bonds and warrants for 40 million shares with an exercise price of $5.50. Kodak refinanced KKR’s bonds in March 2010 via private placement.

Credit-Default Swaps

Five-year credit-default swaps tied to Kodak’s debt jumped 2.9 percentage points to 70.4 percent upfront, according to data provider CMA. That’s in addition to 5 percent a year, meaning it would cost $7.04 million initially and $500,000 annually to protect $10 million of Kodak’s debt.

One-year protection surged to a record, adding 8.2 percentage points to 66.2 percent, according to CMA, which is owned by CME Group Inc. and compiles prices quoted by dealers in the privately negotiated market.

Credit-default swaps pay the buyer face value if a borrower fails to meet its obligations, less the value of the defaulted debt. The contracts, which investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditworthiness, rise as investor confidence deteriorates.

To contact the reporter on this story: Beth Jinks in New York at bjinks1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Ville Heiskanen at vheiskanen@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Obama Nominees in Jeopardy After Cordray

By Phil Mattingly - Jan 5, 2012 3:46 AM GMT+0700

President Barack Obama’s nominees for key positions at the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and Comptroller of the Currency are at risk of becoming collateral damage in an escalating fight between Senate Democrats and Republicans.

Obama’s decision to use a recess appointment to install the new director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau without formal Senate approval could imperil the nominations for other bank regulator jobs: Martin J. Gruenberg as head of the FDIC, Thomas Hoenig, the FDIC’s nominee for vice-chairman and Thomas J. Curry, Obama’s nominee to lead the OCC. All three were approved by the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan support and have been awaiting final confirmation by the full chamber.

Also at stake are two nominations of Fed governors that Obama announced last month: Jerome H. Powell, a former Treasury Department official under President George H.W. Bush, and Jeremy Stein, a Harvard University economist who has advised the current administration.

Obama installed Richard Cordray, a former Ohio attorney general, as CFPB director although the Senate had not formally adjourned, angering Republicans who opposed creation of the bureau.

“Breaking from this precedent lands this appointee in uncertain legal territory, threatens the confirmation process and fundamentally endangers the Congress’s role in providing a check on the excesses of the executive branch,” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, said in a statement.

Dodd-Frank Implementation

U.S. bank regulators are in the process of implementing hundreds of rules required by the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, which overhauled financial regulation. Large banks, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc., (GS) JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC), have been lobbying regulators as they work on rules that include higher capital requirements and a ban on proprietary trading.

Most Republicans have opposed the consumer bureau since its inception. Earlier this year, opponents in the House and Senate proposed bills that would restructure the new agency’s governance and funding or abolish it entirely. Cordray, who has been running the bureau’s enforcement division, has been blocked as Republicans pushed for the changes.

The fate of those nominations has become cloudier in the aftermath of Obama’s decision, said Mark Calabria, a former senior aide to Senator Richard Shelby, the top Republican on the Senate Banking panel.

‘Shuts Down’ Process

“You really do run the risk that this shuts down the nominations process altogether,” Calabria, now director of financial regulation studies at the Cato Institute, said in a phone interview.

While the banking nominees have bipartisan support and will likely move as a package on the Senate floor, “we’re in unchartered waters at this point,” he said.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, a Nevada Democrat, said he supported the move and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, a South Dakota Democrat, said he expected Cordray would move forward “on implementing long-overdue consumer financial protections.”

Obama administration officials said the president made the appointment because Republicans refused to let the Senate hold a simple majority vote on the nomination. While the Democrats control 53 votes in the 100-member chamber, Senate leaders need the approval of at least 60 senators to hold a vote.

Republican Opposition

In May, 44 Republicans -- led by Shelby and McConnell -- signed a letter vowing to block any nominee to head the bureau until its leadership and funding structures are changed. A 45th Republican signed onto the letter after it was sent.

A procedural vote on Cordray’s nomination failed in December. After lawmakers left town for their winter break, senators kept the chamber in “pro forma” sessions in an effort to block a recess appointment.

Before they left, McConnell signaled that Republicans would respond to a recess appointment by refusing to approve other nominations. In a speech on the Senate floor, McConnell said he was willing to move forward with a “package of nominations” as soon as the administration confirmed it would “respect practice and precedent on recess appointments.”

Republicans said there would be repercussions to the recess appointment.

“Senators of both parties should be deeply troubled by the President’s actions today -- actions which will come back to haunt them,” Senator Orrin Hatch, a Republican from Utah, said in a statement.

Senate Democrats and consumer advocates applauded the White House move. Without a director in place, the consumer bureau can’t supervise and regulate non-bank financial firms, such as mortgage originators and payday lenders.

“This is a culmination of a long fight,” Travis Plunkett, the director of legislative affairs for the Consumer Federation of America, said today in a conference call with reporters.

To contact the reporter on this story: Phil Mattingly in Washington at pmattingly@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lawrence Roberts at lroberts13@bloomberg.net




Read more...

EU Governments Moving Closer to Iran Oil Embargo as Greece Lifts Objection

By James G. Neuger - Jan 5, 2012 2:46 AM GMT+0700

European Union governments moved closer to halting oil purchases from Iran, stepping up the confrontation over the Islamic republic’s nuclear program.

EU foreign ministers are aiming to announce harsher sanctions on Iran’s energy and banking industries at their next meeting on Jan. 30 after Greece lifted its objections to an oil embargo.

“We want to tighten sanctions on Iran -- the things that have been mentioned are the oil sector and the financial sector,” EU spokesman Michael Mann said by telephone in Brussels today.

French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe said in Lisbon today that he hopes a decision about an embargo on Iranian oil exports may be adopted at the Jan. 30 meeting of foreign ministers.

Oil fluctuated near an eight-month high after the European Union said it’s working to sanction oil imports from Iran and its banks and on concern that Europe’s debt crisis will affect consumption market. Crude for February delivery rose 29 cents to settle at $103.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The U.S. today welcomed the push toward an embargo.

“This is consistent with tightening the noose around Iran economically,” State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said at a briefing in Washington. “The place to get Iran’s attention is in the oil sector.”

Iranian ‘Bluster’

Nuland also dismissed as “bluster” a threat by Iran to require permission for foreign warships to enter the Strait of Hormuz, a shipping channel from the Persian Gulf for about a fifth of the global crude oil supply.

“This is the kind of bluster that indicates they’re feeling pressure,” she said. The U.S. will “continue to play a global role” in ensuring freedom of navigation in international waters such as the Strait of Hormuz, she said.

A French-British push for an oil embargo was deflected last month by Greece, which relied on Iran for 14 percent of its oil imports in the first half of 2011, according to U.S. data.

Greece has since decided to abide by any EU-imposed embargo, an official at the Greek environment, energy and climate ministry said yesterday on condition of anonymity.

Iran, the world’s third-largest oil exporter, denies Western contentions that it is seeking to build atomic weapons and says it’s pursuing nuclear technology to generate electricity.

To contact the reporter on this story: James G. Neuger in Brussels at jneuger@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Hertling at jhertling@bloomberg.net




Read more...

Obama Installs Cordray at Consumer Bureau

By Hans Nichols and Laura Litvan - Jan 5, 2012 12:26 AM GMT+0700

President Barack Obama installed Richard Cordray as head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau with a recess appointment today, testing the limits of his executive authority to fill the post without Senate approval.

“I am now the director and my work will be to protect American consumers,” Cordray said at the airport in Cleveland, where he was accompanying the president to a speech on the economy. “I’m going to be 100 percent focused on that.”

Obama nominated Cordray to be the bureau’s first director in July, almost one year after enactment of the Dodd-Frank financial regulatory law creating the agency. Republicans blocked Cordray’s confirmation by the Senate last month. Putting him in the job today may set up an election-year court fight between the White House and Congress.

The president’s decision drew quick criticism from Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell, who said in a statement that Obama “arrogantly circumvented” the American people and upended “long-standing” practices that limited recess appointments.

“Breaking from this precedent lands this appointee in uncertain legal territory, threatens the confirmation process and fundamentally endangers the Congress’s role in providing a check on the excesses of the executive branch,” said McConnell, of Kentucky.

House Speaker John Boehner, an Ohio Republican, called the appointment an “extraordinary and entirely unprecedented power grab” by the president.

Ohio Announcement

Obama, who is making confrontation with congressional Republicans a part of his re-election strategy, has said filling the consumer bureau post is critical to protecting middle-income Americans from “unscrupulous” lenders. He plans to make the announcement this afternoon in Ohio, a key battleground for the 2012 presidential election.

Cordray is the former attorney general of Ohio and accompanied Obama on Air Force One for the trip to the state.

The Constitution gives a president the power to make appointments when the U.S. Senate is in recess. To keep Obama from appointing officials after Congress started a holiday break last month, congressional Republicans refused to adopt a resolution to formally adjourn and senators have appeared every three days for a brief pro forma session.

Senate Recess

The Congressional Research Service, in a 2001 memo, said congressional practice and Justice Department opinions have backed the position that the Senate should be out of session for more than three days before the president can make a recess appointment.

Pfeiffer, in a post on the White House website, accused Senate Republicans of making an “overt attempt” to block the president from using his constitutional authority to make recess appointments by insisting the chamber remain in pro forma session.

“Gimmicks do not override the president’s constitutional authority to make appointments to keep the government running,” Pfeiffer wrote. Lawyers who advised President George W. Bush on recess appointments wrote that the Senate “cannot use sham ‘pro forma’ sessions to prevent the president from exercising a constitutional power,” he wrote.

Obama’s press secretary, Jay Carney, cited a legal opinion by the White House counsel’s office that determined the Senate was in recess and not conducting any business.

Legal Justification

“When the Congress refuses to act, the president will,” Carney told reporters traveling with the president. “The fact of the matter is that the Senate has been in recess and will continue to be in recess.”

In making the appointment, Obama is going beyond the power asserted by previous administrations to install officials without Senate action. In a 1993 court case involving the Postal Service Board of Governors, Justice Department lawyers argued in court papers that presidents can make recess appointments when the Senate is out of session for more than three days.

The brief suggested that a president might lack that authority during shorter breaks. Pointing to the constitutional requirement that the Senate and House get one another’s consent before adjourning for more than three days, the Justice Department said the constitutional framers might not have considered shorter recesses to be significant.

“If the recess here were of three days or less, a closer question would be presented,” the Justice Department argued.

Support from Democrats

Obama was backed by congressional Democrats, including Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, a South Dakota Democrat.

Reid said in a statement that filling the job will give middle-income families “the advocate they deserve to fight on their behalf against the reckless practices that denied so many their economic security.”

In choosing Cordray last July, Obama passed over Elizabeth Warren, the Harvard University professor who set up the bureau and is running for the U.S. Senate from Massachusetts.

Even before Cordray received the nod, the bureau became ensnared in a partisan fight over demands by Senate Republicans for changes in the agency’s structure and funding. In May, 44 Republicans -- a 45th later joined them -- said they wouldn’t confirm a director without the changes, and on Dec. 8 they blocked the nomination on a procedural vote.

Consumer Bureau

Without a director in place, the consumer bureau can’t supervise and regulate non-bank financial firms, such as mortgage originators and payday lenders. On July 21, it acquired the authority to supervise and regulate deposit-taking banks.

The appointment heightens a clash between Obama and Congress, including December’s showdown over a two-month extension of a payroll tax (FFSTEMPL) cut for workers. Obama will need Congress to pass a full-year extension, which is “essentially the last must-do item of business on the president’s congressional agenda” in 2012, White House spokesman Josh Earnest said on Dec. 31.

The president also may need Congress’s cooperation on pending nominations to the Federal Reserve Board and judgeships and on his proposals in a jobs bill.

The Senate is scheduled to stay symbolically open for business until lawmakers resume work on Jan. 23.

To contact the reporters on this story: Hans Nichols in Washington at hnichols2@bloomberg.net; Laura Litvan in Washington at llitvan@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net




Read more...