Economic Calendar

Monday, April 2, 2012

Huawei to Seek Projects Related to Australia’s Broadband Network

By Soraya Permatasari - Apr 1, 2012 9:01 PM GMT+0700

Huawei Technologies Co., China’s largest maker of telephone equipment, said it will continue to seek projects related to Australia’s broadband network after being banned from bidding on contracts over security concerns.

“Our argument will always be that there is core parts of the national infrastructure that companies like us would not expect to be in,” John Lord, chairman of Huawei’s unit in Australia, told the Australian Broadcasting Corp.’s “Inside Business” program yesterday. “We would still argue that there’s parts of the NBN that are perhaps suitable.”

Huawei won’t be allowed to bid for work on the A$35.9 billion ($37 billion) project for Australia’s national broadband network, the government has said, marking at least the second time in six months that the Chinese company has been barred from an overseas government contract.

The Australian ban adds to political woes for Huawei, the world’s second-largest vendor of phone network equipment with $32 billion in sales last year. The company has repeatedly run into opposition from U.S. lawmakers, who have cited concerns about security because of alleged links to China’s military, which Huawei has denied.

Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard last month defended her government’s decision to ban Huawei, saying it was because of “national interests.”

Australian Network

The Australian network will provide fiber-optic access to about 3.5 million premises in Australia by mid-2015, Gillard said on March 29. The NBN plans to roll out fiber to 93 percent of Australia’s population during the next decade, with the rest served by wireless and satellite.

In October, the U.S. excluded Huawei from its Public Safety 700-MHz Demonstration Network, run by the National Institute of Standards and Technology along with the National Telecommunications and Information Administration, a part of the Commerce Department. The network allows communication in an emergency between first responders, including firefighters and police officers.

Lord reiterated Huawei has offered to limit all employees on the broadband project to security-cleared Australian citizens, open up its software code, and undergo a full audit of security measures.

Huawei has said it’s working on eight broadband networks similar to Australia’s in the U.K., Singapore, Malaysia, New Zealand, the United Arab Emirates, Cameroon, Benin and Brunei, and hasn’t been asked for security concessions in those markets.

To contact the reporter on this story: Soraya Permatasari in Melbourne at soraya@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Tighe at ptighe@bloomberg.net



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Suu Kyi Stands in Myanmar Election With Sanctions in Bala

By Daniel Ten Kate - Apr 1, 2012 2:39 PM GMT+0700

Myanmar dissident Aung San Suu Kyi faced voters for the first time today in by-elections the U.S. and European nations are watching closely as they consider lifting sanctions against the former dictatorship.

Suu Kyi, who won the Nobel peace prize during her 15 years under house arrest, is among those standing for 43 of 664 parliamentary seats left vacant by lawmakers who joined President Thein Sein’s government. She said two days ago her National League for Democracy party would tolerate irregularities in the first vote it’s contesting since 1990.

Aung San Suu Kyi is surrounded by the media as she visits a polling station in Kaw Hmu, Myanmar on April 1, 2012. Photographer: Paula Bronstein/Getty Images

“It’s more than words, I’m very, very happy,” May Nwe Soe, a 33-year-old garment factor worker, said of voting in Suu Kyi’s district today. “I just want Daw Suu to go to parliament,” she said, using a respectful title for Suu Kyi.

Moves toward greater political freedom in the nation of 64 million people bordering China and India have prompted Western nations to consider easing sanctions as companies from General Electric Co. to Standard Chartered Plc (STAN) await opportunities to invest. At stake for Thein Sein is dismantling a legacy of six decades of isolation that left Myanmar with per capita gross domestic product of just 14 percent of neighbor Thailand’s.

Suu Kyi, 66, spent last night in a village of 1,400 people in Kawhmu district about an hour’s drive south of Yangon, the country’s biggest city. Hundreds of residents yesterday lined a dirt road heading to the village to get a glimpse of the daughter of a Myanmar independence hero.

‘Democracy is Exciting’

“Don’t forget to vote tomorrow,” she told a crowd of several thousand people who chanted her name and “NLD - We Must Win” as she stood on a balcony at the house where she was staying. “Don’t miss this chance. If the people vote for me, I will come here often and I will try to develop the region.”

Voters started casting ballots when polls opened at 6 a.m. local time. In 2010, results were announced several days after the election.

“The voters are coming peacefully,” Myint Oo, the chairman of a ward in Suu Kyi’s district, said today. “Democracy is exciting because you can vote.”

Known in Myanmar simply as “The Lady,” Suu Kyi emerged on Myanmar’s political scene in 1988, when she returned to the country to care for her ailing mother after years of living overseas. She was first detained before 1990 elections in which her party won about 80 percent of seats for a committee that was designed to draft a new constitution. The military rejected the results.

Fairness Questioned

Suu Kyi refused to accept an army-drafted constitution in 2008 and boycotted an election two years later in which Thein Sein’s party won a majority. A meeting between Suu Kyi and the president in August led to her party rejoining the political system.

In a 90-minute briefing on March 30, Suu Kyi said her party will accept the results if the will of the people is “fairly reflected.” She called irregularities including vote-buying, incorrect voter lists and an incident where a candidate was almost hit with a betel nut “beyond what is acceptable for democratic selection.”

“I don’t think we can consider it a genuinely free and fair election if we take into consideration what has been going on in the last couple of months,” Suu Kyi told more than 300 journalists gathered at her lakeside home in Yangon. “But still I will be willing to work toward national reconciliation, so we will try to tolerate what has happened.”

Suu Kyi has appeared on state-run television and traveled throughout the country during the campaign period, falling ill on two occasions from exhaustion. Tens of thousands of people have greeted her at campaign stops around the country.

Military, Police Unseen

“We’re happy with what we’ve seen,” Chheang Vun, who is observing the election for Cambodia, said in Kawhmu district. “Myanmar is now very different. In the three days we’ve been here, we have not seen military or police.”

Thein Sein called on all political parties to accept the results in a March 24 speech published in the state-run New Light of Myanmar.

“We all need to work together to ensure that the outcome is accepted by all the people,” he said.

The elections “aren’t going to fundamentally shift power in the country, but they are hugely important in representing a historic compromise” between Suu Kyi’s party and the government, said Thant Myint-U, an author of two books on Myanmar whose grandfather, U Thant, was the first Asian head of the United Nations. “It will end a long chapter in Burmese history.”

Currency Float

Myanmar’s political opening is moving in parallel with efforts to rewrite investment laws and unify multiple exchange rates that impede trade. The country will adopt a managed float of its currency today, scrapping a 35-year fixed rate in a move to modernize the economy, the central bank said in a March 28 statement.

Rich in natural gas, gold and gemstones, Myanmar represents one of Asia’s last untapped frontier markets, attracting investors such as Jim Rogers, the chairman of Rogers Holdings, who predicted a global commodities rally in 1999. Myanmar’s opening is “a game-changer,” Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch said in a March 29 research note.

Honda Motor Co. is interested in building a motorcycle plant in Myanmar, Hiroshi Kobayashi, president and chief executive officer of Asian Honda Motor Co., told reporters in Thailand yesterday. The decision will depend on circumstances in the country and international consensus, he said.

U.S., EU Watching

American sanctions ban investment in Myanmar and imports from the country, restrict money transfers, freeze assets and target jewelry with gemstones originating in the nation. The European Union bans weapons sales and mineral imports.

The by-elections “are a tangible moment in the path to reform, just like the release of political prisoners in January,” Derek Mitchell, U.S. special envoy to Myanmar, told reporters on March 15. “We will respond after the elections in an appropriate fashion if we believe they were held free, fair and transparent.”

Myanmar invited a limited number of election monitors and journalists from the U.S., EU and neighboring countries. Voters will pick from 17 parties and seven independent candidates to fill 37 seats in the lower house, six in the upper house and two for regional assemblies, according to Network Myanmar, a U.K.- based organization that promotes reconciliation in the country.

The by-elections “are a key moment in national reconciliation and should allow a substantial review of EU policy vis-à-vis Myanmar,” Catherine Ashton, the EU’s foreign policy chief, said in a March 28 statement.

Security Concerns

Elections in three constituencies in Kachin state, home to a violent ethnic rebellion, were suspended due to security concerns. Myanmar’s army has displaced 75,000 ethnic Kachins since last June in an area along the Chinese border, New York- based Human Rights Watch said in a March 20 report, underscoring the challenges that remain for Thein Sein as he aims to make peace with political rivals.

“Myanmar will become a new model for other countries to get through a transition with stability and irreversibility,” Nay Zin Latt, one of nine advisers to Thein Sein, said by e- mail. “The 2012 by-elections are much more free.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Hirschberg at phirschberg@bloomberg.net




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China Manufacturing Gain Masks Exporters’ Woes as Loosening Seen

By Bloomberg News - Apr 1, 2012 11:00 PM GMT+0700

A stronger reading for a Chinese manufacturing gauge failed to end predictions for policy loosening as analysts described the gain as seasonal and a separate survey showed exporters struggling.

A Purchasing ManagersIndex (CPMINDX) rose to a one-year high of 53.1 in March, China’s logistics federation and the National Bureau of Statistics said yesterday. The gauge has a pattern of rising each March. In contrast, a PMI from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics showed manufacturing contracting and export orders falling.

Workers assemble keyboards at the Logitech International SA factory in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, China. Photographer: Nelson Ching/Bloomberg

Premier Wen Jiabao has pledged to “fine-tune” economic policies as needed as weakness in export demand and a cooling housing market restrain an economy that probably grew at the slowest pace in almost three years in the first quarter. Analysts in a Bloomberg News survey last week unanimously said that banks’ reserve requirements will fall this year, while nine of 20 predicted lower benchmark borrowing costs.

“Policy easing is still needed to avoid a hard landing,” said Shen Jianguang, a Hong Kong-based economist for Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd., who previously worked for the International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank. Fiscal spending will be “the driving force” and more cuts in bank reserve requirements are needed, he said.

The Shanghai Composite Index has dropped about 9 percent from this year’s high on Feb. 27 on concern that the world’s second-biggest economy is faltering, while the yuan was little changed in the first quarter at 6.2980 per dollar.

‘Purely Seasonal’

Bank of America Corp. economist Lu Ting yesterday predicted two cuts by year-end in the proportion of deposits that lenders are required to set aside as reserves, a ratio now at 20.5 percent for the biggest lenders, such as Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. The government may step up the construction of low-cost housing and the central bank could encourage lenders to reduce rates for loans, including mortgages, he said.

“The rebound in the government PMI is purely seasonal,” said Joy Yang, chief China economist at Mirae Asset Securities (HK) Ltd., who previously worked at the IMF. “Flexible and paced easing” is needed, she said.

The government-backed PMI is skewed toward large enterprises and affected by seasonality, with the gauge climbing an average of 3.2 points each March from 2005 to 2011 as production returned to normal after a Lunar New Year holiday, HSBC said in a note. The latest number was higher than analysts’ median estimate of 50.8.

Export Weakness

The HSBC and Markit data indicated that export orders fell for a second month. At UBS AG, Hong Kong-based economist Wang Tao said that logistics federation data also showed a decline if seasonally adjusted.

“As inflation pressures continue to ease, weaker export growth is likely to prompt further easing measures,” said Qu Hongbin, a Hong Kong-based economist for HSBC. “Once the easing measures filter through, growth is likely to start bottoming out in the second quarter and rebound modestly in the second half.”

HSBC forecasts reserve-ratio cuts of at least 1 percentage point in the first half as well as additional tax breaks and fiscal spending, Qu said.

In a statement released March 31, the central bank reaffirmed a “prudent” monetary stance and said that economic growth is stable and Europe’s debt crisis is easing. Wen pared this year’s expansion target to 7.5 percent from an 8 percent goal in place since 2005, he announced March 5 at the legislature’s annual conference.

Trade Shortfall

China had its largest trade deficit since at least 1989 in February as Europe’s sovereign-debt turmoil damped exports and imports rebounded after the weeklong holiday. Exports fell for the first time in two years in January.

Mixed signs for the economy last week ranged from ICBC reporting higher-than-estimated net income for the fourth quarter, widening the bank's lead as the world’s most profitable lender, to a slide in industrial companies’ profits.

Morgan Stanley joined Nomura Holdings Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) in raising its forecast for China’s economic growth this year even as Societe Generale SA told clients to expect a slump in corporate profits. The world’s second-biggest economy will expand 9 percent, higher than a previous estimate of 8.4 percent, said Helen Qiao, a Morgan Stanley economist.

Such projections, still below last year’s 9.2 percent rate, offer little comfort for Australian mining company BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), seeing slower steel production in China, or German automaker Daimler AG (DAI), whose Mercedes dealers in the nation are giving record discounts.

Steel, Iron Ore

Curbs on property sales and plans to tilt the economy toward consumption and away from a dependence on capital spending have reduced production of steel and cement and helped push down iron-ore prices. Prices of new apartments fell in 45 of 70 major cities in February from January, according to government data.

Gross domestic product probably expanded 8.4 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, down from 8.9 percent in the fourth quarter.

The logistics federation’s PMI “indicates that economic growth is in an apparent rebound state,” Zhang Liqun, a senior researcher at the Development Research Center of the State Council, said in a statement. At the same time, the expansion may still slow based on market demand, Zhang said.

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Zheng Lifei in Beijing at lzheng32@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Panckhurst at ppanckhurst@bloomberg.net





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Sunday, April 1, 2012

Obama Enlists Donations Stressing 2012 More Important Than 2008

By Kate Andersen Brower - Mar 31, 2012 11:01 AM GMT+0700

President Barack Obama, seeking to raise $2 million in campaign funds in Vermont and Maine, told supporters that there may be more at stake in the U.S. election this year than in his victorious run to the White House in 2008.

“In 2008 I was running against a candidate who believed in climate change, believed in immigration, believed in the notion of reducing deficits in a balanced way,” the president said to about 100 contributors at a luncheon in Burlington, Vermont, the first of four events yesterday in two states he won by wide margins in 2008.

“We had some profound disagreements, but the Republican candidate for president understood that some of these challenges required compromise,” Obama said, referring to Senator John McCain. Now, he said, Republicans have a “fundamentally different vision of America.”

Obama has been increasing his fundraising and campaign appearances as he turns more directly to his re-election campaign and as the Republican nomination race enters its final stages. Obama is running with the nation’s unemployment rate stuck at about 8 percent or higher since he took office and the threat of higher oil prices stifling the recovery.

Obama raised $45 million for his campaign in February compared with $11.5 million for Republican front-runner Mitt Romney.

Agenda for Term

In seeking to rev up enthusiasm among his supporters, Obama cited victories during his first term, including passage of the health-care law that was the focus of Supreme Court arguments this week. The remarks on the health-care overhaul marked the president’s first on the issue this week.

Obama also outlined his future agenda, citing a push for a minimum tax on individuals who make $1 million or more annually, an initiative named for billionaire investor Warren Buffett.

The Senate is due to vote on the Buffett rule in two weeks. It would require a minimum 30 percent tax rate for the highest U.S. earners. The congressional Joint Committee on Taxation projects it would raise $47 billion over the next decade. Republicans, who have enough votes to block the legislation, have said they oppose it.

Obama linked the tax to his re-election campaign theme that the U.S. must cut its budget deficit without jeopardizing education and research programs.

‘Basic Math’

“If you make more than a million dollars a year, I don’t mean that you have a million dollars; I mean every year they’re making more than a million dollars, you should not pay a tax rate that’s lower than your secretary,” he told approximately 1,800 people at Southern Maine Community College. “This is not class warfare, this is not class envy, this is just basic math.”

Obama also jabbed at the Republicans running for president while at the University of Vermont in Burlington. He cited the debate in the primary battle among Romney, former Senator Rick Santorum and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, and said Abraham Lincoln “couldn’t win the nomination.”

Obama was making his first trip to Vermont since taking office. He won the state by 37 percentage points in the 2008 election. Yesterday marked his third visit to Maine, which he won by 18 percentage points in 2008.

Vermont residents have made more per-capita contributions to Obama’s re-election campaign than residents in any other state, even his home state of Illinois, according to a review by the Burlington Free Press.

State Visits

The president’s stop in Vermont reduces to seven the number of U.S. states that Obama has yet to visit since taking office: North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Idaho, Utah, Arkansas and South Carolina. None of these states voted for Obama in his 2008 presidential race against McCain.

Obama has made two trips to Maine since taking office, including a July 2010 family vacation to Acadia National Park.

Tickets for the first event started at $7,500 per person and went for as much as $35,800, according to the campaign. In Portland, Obama spoke to approximately 1,800 people at Southern Maine Community College. Tickets for those events went for $44 to $100.

At a dinner at the Portland Museum of Art, Obama told about 130 supporters seated around square tables adjacent to an Edgar Degas exhibition that, while the economy is improving, more must be done to invest in research, education and energy independence.

“The task before us still looms large and the other side doesn’t have answers to these questions,” he said at the final fundraiser of the day. “You don’t see them debating how we improve our education system; you don’t see them engaging, in any serious way, about how we’re going to retrain our workers. There’s not a conversation about how we restore manufacturing in this country.”

Obama said Republican presidential candidates have “one message,” which is cutting taxes “so that by every objective measure our deficit is worse.” Ticket prices started at $5,000 per person.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kate Andersen Brower in Portland, Maine at kandersen7@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Steven Komarow at skomarow1@bloomberg.net




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Switzerland Wants German Investigators Arrested on Espionage

By Richard Weiss and Leigh Baldwin - Mar 31, 2012 8:13 PM GMT+0700

Switzerland is seeking to arrest three German tax investigators who negotiated the purchase of data on Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN) clients for economic espionage, a German government spokeswoman said.

The tax investigators from the state of North Rhine- Westphalia negotiated the 2.5 million-euro ($3.3 million) purchase of personal information of clients of Credit Suisse who may have evaded taxes in Germany in 2010. Ingrid Herden, the spokeswoman for the state’s finance ministry, said she couldn’t confirm more details.

The two countries have been trying to agree on a proposal for a withholding tax that would legalize undeclared assets by Germans held in Switzerland by imposing a retroactive income tax. German political parties have been fighting over the proposed tax rate.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said the warrant won’t affect efforts by the two countries to reach such an accord.

“Switzerland has its legal system and we have our legal system,” Schaeuble told reporters today in Copenhagen after meeting with European finance counterparts. “The justice system in Switzerland is just as independent as it is in Germany.”

Switzerland’s public prosecution service confirmed it asked for administrative assistance from Germany in an investigation into the theft of tax data from Credit Suisse.

There is “concrete suspicion” that people inside Germany gave instructions to “spy on Credit Suisse” to gather the data, Jeannette Balmer, a Swiss prosecution spokeswoman, said in an e-mail today, without giving further detail.

To contact the reporters on this story: Richard Weiss in Frankfurt at rweiss5@bloomberg.net; Leigh Baldwin in Zurich at lbaldwin3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Benedikt Kammel at bkammel@bloomberg.net





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Facebook Valued at $102.8 Billion in Final Auction on SharesPost

By Brian Womack - Mar 31, 2012 11:01 AM GMT+0700

Facebook Inc. (FB)’s implied valued rose 8.9 percent to $102.8 billion yesterday in what was expected to be the last auction of its stock on SharesPost Inc.’s exchange before the social-networking company’s initial public offering.

SharesPost completed the auction at a price of $44.10 for 150,000 units, the firm said in an e-mailed statement. That’s up from an auction earlier this month with a price of $40.50 a share, valuing the company at $94.4 billion, based on a share count of 2.33 billion.

Facebook (FB), the world’s most popular social-networking service, filed for an IPO last month that could value the business at between $75 billion and $100 billion, people familiar with the matter have said. The Menlo Park, California- based company, which has more than 845 million users, is seeking $5 billion in what would be the largest Internet IPO on record.

The company decided to halt the trading of its shares on secondary markets at the end of this week as it prepares for the IPO, two people with knowledge of the matter said. Facebook aims to hold the offering in early May, one person said. SharesPost moved up the date of the Facebook auction to yesterday from April 2 to meet the deadline.

Earlier this month, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission settled with SharesPost to resolve claims that the online marketplace acted as an unregistered broker of shares. It was the first action in a broad probe of trades involving nonpublic startups.

To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Womack in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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Treasuries Drop on Outlook in Worst Quarter Since 2010

By Daniel Kruger - Mar 31, 2012 11:00 AM GMT+0700

Treasuries had their worst quarter since the last three months of 2010 while corporate bonds surged as the world’s largest economy showed signs of improvement.

U.S. government securities lost 1 percent from the start of the year to March 29, Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes show. An index of investment-grade and high-yield corporate bonds returned 3.2 percent, the most since the third quarter of 2010. Treasuries also trailed German debt, while stocks surged. U.S. payrolls added more than 200,000 jobs for a fourth month in March, the longest such run since 2000, data next week may show.

“Our economy is gaining traction,” said Thomas Roth, senior Treasury trader in New York at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities USA Inc. “If you think things are getting better, you’re not supposed to buy 10-year notes with 2 percent yields.”

Benchmark 10-year note yields climbed 33 basis points, or 0.33 percentage point, from the end of 2011 to 2.21 percent yesterday in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. They reached 2.40 percent on March 20, the highest level since Oct. 28, a week after the Federal Reserve upgraded its assessment of the U.S. economy. They had touched a record low 1.67 percent in September. The average over the past decade is 3.86 percent.

Ten-year yields will increase to 2.54 percent by year-end, according to the average forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 77 financial companies, with the most recent projections given the heaviest weightings.

Thirty-year bond yields rose 44 basis points from January through March to 3.34 percent.

Risk Appetite

Stocks rallied as data showing U.S. economic improvement fueled risk appetite. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had its biggest first-quarter advance since 1998, gaining 12 percent.

The U.S. economy grew at a 3 percent annual rate in the last three months of 2011, the same as previously estimated, revised figures from the Commerce Department showed on March 29. It gained at a 1.8 percent pace in the prior quarter. Consumer spending rose by 0.8 percent in February, the most in seven months, Commerce Department data showed yesterday.

“The U.S. has got some legs, at least for the next couple of quarters,” Jim O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said yesterday in an interview on Bloomberg Television in Italy. “There remain all sorts of issues, but I think the U.S. is going to continue to positively surprise.”

Employment Report

Employers in the U.S. added 205,000 jobs in March, economists in a Bloomberg News survey forecast before the Labor Department reports the data on April 6. The monthly increase was last below 200,000 in November. It would be the longest stretch above that figure since the five months ended in January 2000.

Treasuries (YCGT0025) fell this month as Greece pushed through the biggest sovereign restructuring in history after getting private investors to forgive more than 100 billion euros ($132 billion) of debt. The move opened the way for a 130 billion-euro bailout package designed to prevent a collapse of the economy.

“Part of the reason yields went up was the better economic numbers,” Maury Harris, chief economist at UBS AG in New York, one of the 21 primary dealers that trade directly with the Fed, said March 28. “But an important part of that was” a decline in the “risk coming out of Europe with the progress that you’ve seen there.”

German (GDBR10) 10-year bunds were little changed this quarter as their haven appeal waned, with yields falling four basis points to 1.79 percent. Treasuries still lagged behind German sovereign debt, which returned 0.2 percent from January through March.

Real Yield

The increase in U.S. yields this year has brought them closer to the annual rate of inflation. Ten-year notes have a so-called real yield of minus 66 basis points, compared with minus 152 basis points at the end of 2011.

The five-year, five-year forward break-even rate, which projects the pace of consumer-price increases starting in 2017, was 2.66 percent on March 28 after reaching 2.78 percent on March 19, the highest level since August.

While the measure, which the Fed prefers to look at in determining inflation expectations and monetary policy, is up from this year’s low of 2.37 percent on March 5, it’s below the 2.72 percent average over the past decade.

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said this week the economic recovery isn’t assured. Policy makers don’t rule out further options to support growth, he said on March 27, according to a transcript of an ABC News interview provided by the network.

Quantitative Easing

The central bank bought $2.3 trillion of debt under two rounds of quantitative easing from December 2008 to June 2011 to support the economy. It also has kept the benchmark interest rate for overnight loans between banks at zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008 and has pledged to keep it there through most of 2014.

Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said March 29 the central bank may need to raise interest rates before late 2014 and additional stimulus isn’t necessary as the U.S. economy shows signs of strength.

“A lot of people were quick to embrace” the changes suggested by U.S. yields’ climb from March 13 through March 20, Scott Sherman, an interest-rate strategist at the primary dealer Credit Suisse Group AG in New York, said yesterday. “They priced out expectations for additional asset purchases. They also priced forward earlier rate increases.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Kruger in New York at dkruger1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dave Liedtka at dliedtka@bloomberg.net





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Clinton Says Will Soon Be Clear If Iran Serious About Talks

By Nicole Gaouette - Mar 31, 2012 9:07 PM GMT+0700

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said it will soon be clear whether Iran is serious about talks on its nuclear program, and warned that the window to engage “will not remain open forever.”

Negotiations between Iran, the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council and Germany are set to be held April 13 and 14 in Istanbul, Clinton said, even as the U.S. and its allies pursue a range of sanctions against the Islamic republic. While the U.S. says Iran must allay concerns that it’s pursuing nuclear weapons, Iran says its program is for peaceful purposes, including medical research.

“It soon will be clear whether Iran’s leaders are prepared to have a serious, credible discussion about their nuclear program,” Clinton said today in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia’s capital. “It is up to Iran’s leaders to make the right choice. So far they have given little reason for confidence. What is certain is that Iran’s window to seek and obtain a peaceful resolution will not remain open forever.”

Clinton is in Riyadh for the inaugural meeting of a Gulf Cooperation Council strategic group to discuss the creation of a missile defense system. She goes to Istanbul this evening for an April 1 ‘Friends of Syria’ meeting, bringing together Syrian opposition groups and their international backers.

Syria has said it accepts a six-point UN peace plan put forward by Kofi Annan, the former UN chief who is acting as the international body’s envoy to Syria. It calls for President Bashar al-Assad’s government to pull back its forces, allow humanitarian aid workers and international monitors to enter, and permit peaceful protests to take place.

Clinton warned that verbal acceptance of the proposal is not enough.

“The world will judge Assad’s sincerity by what he does, not by what he says,” Clinton said. “As of today, regime forces continue to shell civilians, lay siege to neighborhoods, and even target places of worship.”

At least 25 people were killed by security forces in Syria today, the U.K.-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said in an e-mail.

Clinton said Annan should set a deadline for Syria to meet its commitment to implement the peace plan. The GCC, in a closing statement for today’s meeting, urged the envoy “to determine a timeline for next steps if the killing continues.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Nicole Gaouette in Riyadh at ngaouette@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Walcott at jwalcott9@bloomberg.net




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Obama Plans Overhaul of Student-Loan Debt Collector Practices

By John Hechinger - Mar 31, 2012 11:00 AM GMT+0700

The Obama administration proposed requiring that debt collectors let student-loan borrowers make payments based on what they can afford, rather than on the size of their debt.

The U.S. Education Department, which hires private collectors, said yesterday it would mandate that the companies use a standard form to gather debtors’ income and expenses. If borrowers protest, they would be offered an income-based formula, which can result in payments as low as $50 a month for an unmarried person with $20,000 in income and $20,000 in loans.

A "Bail Out Schools, Not Banks" protest as President Barack Obama spoke about college affordability at Colorado University in Denver on October 26, 2011. Photographer: Jewel Samad/AFP/Getty Images

The collection companies -- which receive commissions of as much as 20 percent of recoveries -- are facing complaints that they insist on stiff payments from defaulted borrowers even though the Obama administration and Congress have approved more- lenient plans, Bloomberg News reported March 26. The education department is also reviewing the commissions it pays collectors.

“We definitely feel a sense of urgency to make sure we are doing everything we can to serve the interests of taxpayers and students,” Justin Hamilton, an Education Department spokesman, said in a telephone interview.

The agency first proposed changing the rule governing the treatment of defaulted borrowers a year ago, Hamilton said. After a public comment period, the regulation may take effect as soon as July 2013.

More Favorable

The final proposal, worked out yesterday in discussions with negotiators representing the government, industry and borrowers, was more favorable to the debtors than what the agency originally suggested, according to Deanne Loonin, an attorney with the National Consumer Law Center in Boston.

In particular, for students seeking to “rehabilitate” their loans in default, the proposed rule prohibits basing payments on a borrower’s loan amount, which has been standard practice for collectors, Loonin said in a telephone interview. Current government contracts provide what are among the biggest incentives to debt collectors that extract minimum payments based on loan amounts.

“This regulation is a really important step toward treating very vulnerable borrowers consistently and fairly and giving them the second chance they are entitled to by law,” said Loonin, who represented borrowers in the negotiations.

‘Best Information’

Along with examining incentive payments in borrower contracts, the department is looking at collector scripts and “making sure they’re giving people the best information available,” Secretary of Education Arne Duncan said in an interview on March 28, after testifying about the agency’s budget before a House panel.

With $67 billion of student loans in default, the Education Department hires 23 private debt-collection companies to chase borrowers. The contractors include Pioneer Credit Recovery, a unit of SLM Corp. (SLM), the largest student-loan company, known as Sallie Mae.

Companies that collect student loans directly for the department and through state agencies received about $1 billion in commissions last year, according to a review of contracts and agency data.

Sallie Mae, based in Newark, Delaware, will abide by any changes from the Education Department, said Patricia Nash Christel, a spokeswoman.

“We’re proud to offer programs that give consumers the opportunity to improve their credit and provide cost savings for the American taxpayer,” Christel said in an e-mail.

In 2009, Congress expanded a program that lets lower-income borrowers tie payments to their incomes. Debtors pay on a sliding scale tied to their debt, salaries and family obligations.

In October, Obama proposed making payments even lower and forgiving loans after two decades for some borrowers, a change that could take effect as soon as this year.

To contact the reporter on this story: John Hechinger in Boston at jhechinger@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lisa Wolfson at lwolfson@bloomberg.net


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Groupon Reports ‘Material Weakness,’ Restates Quarterly Revenue

By Ari Levy - Mar 31, 2012 11:01 AM GMT+0700

Groupon Inc. (GRPN), the largest provider of daily deals online, reported a “material weakness” in its financial controls and said fourth-quarter results were worse than previously stated because of higher refunds to merchants.

The revisions reduced revenue in the period by $14.3 million to $492.2 million, the Chicago-based company said yesterday in a regulatory filing. Groupon had reported $506.5 million last month.

Andrew Mason, chief executive officer of Groupon Inc., in New York. Photographer: Stephen Yang/Bloomberg

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Paul Kedrosky, author of the Infectious Greed Blog and a Bloomberg contributing editor, talks about Groupon Inc.'s revision of its fourth-quarter results. The largest provider of daily deals online reported a "material weakness" in its financial controls and said results were worse than previously stated. Kedrosky speaks with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Groupon Inc., the largest provider of daily deals online, reported a "material weakness" in its financial controls and said fourth-quarter results were worse than previously stated because of higher refunds to merchants. Trish Regan reports on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)

Groupon's international company headquarters, launched in Chicago in November 2008, now markets products and services in 43 countries around the world. Photographer: Scott Olson/Getty Images

The announcement marks another setback for Groupon, which has struggled to get its financial statements in order since filing for an initial public offering in June. Two months after its prospectus, the company abandoned a controversial accounting method for operating income after a review by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Groupon then restated 2010 results in September because it had counted the total amount of its daily- deal sales as revenue, including fees paid to merchants.

“This feeds some of the negative sentiment around their disclosure,” said Ken Sena, an analyst at Evercore Partners Inc. in New York, who has an equalweight rating on Groupon shares.

Groupon shares fell 5.9 percent to $17.29 in extended trading yesterday after the announcement. The stock, down 8.1 percent since the IPO in November, had climbed 3.8 percent earlier in the day.

‘Wildly Profitable’

Groupon also stumbled ahead of its IPO when Chairman Eric Lefkofsky said the company is “going to be wildly profitable” in an interview with Bloomberg News. In July, the company updated its IPO filing, asking investors to disregard those comments because they didn’t accurately or completely reflect his views.

The changes announced yesterday are “are primarily related to an increase to the company’s refund reserve accrual,” leading to higher reimbursement rates, Groupon said. In response to the conclusion that the company’s internal controls contained a material weakness, Groupon said it’s been working for several months with an accounting firm and will report on the effectiveness of those controls by the end of the year. While Groupon’s independent auditor is Ernst & Young LLP, the company said it’s working with a different accounting firm.

The auditors are at fault for not identifying problems with the financial controls earlier, said Herman Leung, an analyst at Susquehanna Financial Group in San Francisco.

Lack of Controls?

“This should have been highlighted by the auditors,” said Leung, who has a neutral rating on shares of Groupon and doesn’t own the stock. “The business is growing so fast that it sounds like they don’t have the proper financial controls to deal with the growth.”

Charlie Perkins, a spokesman for New York-based Ernst & Young, declined to comment on the earnings restatement.

Groupon said the revision accounts for an increase in higher-priced deals, which are more likely to be refunded by customers. Last year the company began Groupon Reserve, a service for upscale deals such as a five-course meal at Santa Monica, California-based restaurant Whist for $99.

The higher refunds widened Groupon’s net loss by $22.6 million, or 4 cents a share.

Groupon pioneered the daily-deal market, where consumers buy discounts on restaurant meals, nail-salon packages and other services. Groupon (GRPN) splits the revenue from the offers with merchants.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ari Levy in San Francisco at alevy5@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Brzezinski Says Romney Lacks ‘Grasp’ of Foreign Policy

By Viola Gienger - Mar 31, 2012 11:01 AM GMT+0700

A former Democratic national security adviser assailed Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney for lacking a grasp of foreign policy and said the former Massachusetts governor would return the U.S. to the policies of George W. Bush.

“If we take seriously what he has been saying in the course of the campaign, we have every reason to be very worried,” former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital With Al Hunt,” airing this weekend. “He probably subscribes to the notions articulated by his Republican predecessor,” George W. Bush, Brzezinski said.

Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney greeted by Maj. Gen. Kelley, deputy commander land component forces, Camp Arifjan, Kuwait, on May 23, 2006. Photographer: Lt. Col. Martin Moerschell/United States Air Force/AP Photo

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski talks with Bloomberg's Al Hunt about Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney's foreign policy stance. Former CBS Sports college basketball analyst Billy Packer talks about this weekend's NCAA men's basketball tournament semifinals. Bloomberg's Greg Stohr and commentators Kate O'Beirne and Margaret Carlson speak about the Supreme Court's review of President Obama's health-care law. (Source: Bloomberg)

Romney is surrounding himself with advisers from the Bush administration, and he doesn’t display a “broad grasp of what is unique about this century, how it differs from the preceding one,” said Brzezinski, who was President Jimmy Carter’s national security adviser.

In Brzezinski’s view, the best candidate to succeed Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a second term for Obama would be Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry, a Massachusetts Democrat and former presidential nominee. Chuck Hagel, a former Senate Republican from Nebraska, also would be “awfully good,” he said.

Romney has faced criticism from Republican rivals as well as Democrats for comments such as his description this week of Russia as “without question, our number-one geopolitical foe.”

Campaign Advisers

His campaign advisers have included Robert Joseph, a former White House and State Department official under Bush who helped coordinate a white paper on what the Bush administration said was Saddam Hussein’s “quest for nuclear weapons.” No evidence of an Iraqi nuclear weapons program was found after the U.S. invaded Iraq in 2003.

Romney’s comments on Iran, Brzezinski said, “are just so casual, and at the same time so militant, that one has to wonder whether he’ll feel bound by what he said in the course of the campaign.”

Brzezinski, an early supporter of then-candidate Barack Obama, also said he’s been disappointed by what he said is the president’s failure to capitalize on his understanding of foreign policy.

Brzezinski, author of the book “Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power,” published in January, said the U.S. in recent decades has missed opportunities to generate the political will and make the necessary sacrifices to avoid a slide into what he says would be a chaotic world marred by sporadic violence.

Sermons, Strategy

Obama hasn’t been able “to set a firm course of action and to, in effect, combine his tendency to sermonize with his capacity to strategize,” Brzezinski, who now serves as a counselor and trustee for the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington policy research organization, said in the interview.

Iran’s nuclear program is one area in which Obama is being backed into a corner, Brzezinski said.

Israeli officials have said time is running out for diplomacy or financial sanctions before it’s too late to use a military strike that might prevent Iran from developing the ability to build a nuclear weapon. Iran says it’s pursuing nuclear power solely to generate electricity and for medical research.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak appear to be trying to “maneuver us into a situation in which we feel we have to support them,” risking Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces in the Persian Gulf region, Brzezinski said.

Patience on Iran

The U.S. should “be patient in pursuing” an agreement with Iran, while extending its nuclear deterrence pledge to Israel and Persian Gulf nations, the former national security adviser said.

“We have done that successfully in protecting South Korea and Japan from North Korea,” he said. “We did the same thing for decades in Europe against the Soviet Union. We have deterred the would-be nuclear threats, but we didn’t preempt and go to war in a preventive attack.”

A pre-emptive attack on Iran to stop its nuclear program “will produce disasters now,” he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Viola Gienger in Washington at vgienger@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Walcott at jwalcott9@bloomberg.net





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Friday, March 30, 2012

European Stocks Advance as Ministers Set Rescue Limit

By Tom Stoukas - Mar 30, 2012 7:36 PM GMT+0700

European stocks rose, extending the best first-quarter rally for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) since 2006, as euro-area finance ministers set the overall ceiling for the rescue of the region’s indebted nations at $1.1 trillion. U.S. index futures and Asian shares also climbed.

Daimler AG rallied after Bank of America Corp. recommended buying the shares. Credit Agricole SA (ACA) advanced 2.2 percent as it began talks with China’s Citic Securities Co. to sell its CLSA brokerage unit. HeidelbergCement AG (HEI) jumped 5.5 percent after HSBC Holdings Plc raised its rating on the stock.

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Richard Koo, chief economist at Nomura Research Institute, discusses the economic outlook for Spain. He speaks with David Tweed in Cernobbio, Italy, on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) gained 0.8 percent to 262.73 at 1:34 p.m. in London. The benchmark gauge has gained 7.5 percent so far this year as Greece obtained a second bailout and U.S. economic data beat forecasts. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in June added 0.4 percent today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.3 percent.

“The U.S. recovery is now sustainable and, of course, Europe is still at pains but northern Europe remains one of the stronger areas in terms of growth,” said Larry Hatheway, a London-based economist and asset-allocation strategist at UBS AG. He spoke to Linda Yueh and Mark Barton in a Bloomberg Television interview.

The volume of shares changing hands on the companies listed on the Stoxx 600 was 7.8 percent higher than the average of the last 30 days, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Financial Firewall

Euro-area ministers, meeting in Copenhagen today, set the maximum lending volume of the proposed European Stability Mechanism at 500 billion euros ($667 billion) and the combined lending ceiling of the ESM and the temporary fund -- the European Financial Stability Facility -- at 700 billion euros.

This, in addition to the 102 billion euros already paid to support current rescue programs, takes the total size of the firewall to 800 billion euros, the Eurogroup said in a statement.

“Finally, Robust firewalls have been established,” the ministers said in the statement. “This comprehensive strategy has paid off and led to a significant improvement in market conditions.”

In the U.S., consumer spending rose in February by the most in seven months, showing the biggest part of the economy is strengthening.

Purchases climbed 0.8 percent, the largest gain since July, Commerce Department figures showed.. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for a 0.6 percent increase. Incomes advanced less than projected, sending the saving rate down to the lowest level in more than two years.

Consumer Sentiment

Another report may show the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final March confidence index fell to 74.5 from 75.3 the previous month, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. That would be the first monthly decline since August.

Daimler rose 2.9 percent to 45.53 euros as a gauge of European carmakers was the best-performing group in the Stoxx 600. Bank of America recommended buying Daimler’s shares, saying the company “is finally cutting out costs, reducing complexity, simplifying engineering and refreshing the product portfolio.”

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) advanced 3 percent to 67.80 euros. Preferred shares of Volkswagen, Europe’s largest maker of automobiles, gained 2.2 percent to 132.55 euros.

Michelin & Cie, the world’s second-largest tiremaker, climbed 2.6 percent to 55.98 euros and Continental AG (SXXP) rallied 5.1 percent to 72.16 euros.

CLSA Brokerage Stake

Credit Agricole rose 2.2 percent to 4.72 euros after its corporate and investment banking unit entered exclusive talks with Citic Securities Co., China’s largest broker by market value, to sell the remaining 80.1 percent stake in its CLSA brokerage unit.

BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest mining company, added 2.4 percent to 1,922.5 pence as a gauge of mining shares rose 2.6 percent. Rio Tinto Group, the world’s third-largest mining company, gained 3.1 percent to 3,481.5 pence.

HeidelbergCement jumped 5.5 percent to 45.92 euros after HSBC upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral, meaning that investors should hold more shares than is represented in benchmark indexes. Lafarge SA (LG), the world’s biggest cement maker, advanced 5.3 percent to 36.05 euros.

Meyer Burger Technology gained 2.4 percent to 14.95 Swiss francs after HSBC raised its recommendation on the shares to neutral, the equivalent of hold, from underweight, the equivalent of sell.

Bad Bank

Commerzbank AG (CBK) added 3.2 percent to 1.92 euros. Germany’s second-largest bank plans to set up a so-called bad bank to liquidate its Eurohypo AG public-finance and commercial-property unit over the coming years, Handelsblatt reported, citing unidentified people in the finance industry.

Vestas Wind Systems A/S, the world’s largest wind-turbine maker, surged 5 percent to 58.40 kroner. The stock was raised to neutral from sell at UBS AG, which said the company could be a target for acquisition.

Subsea 7 SA added 2.7 percent to 150.4 kroner. The oilfield-services provider won a $175 million contract for work at the Cheviot Oil Field.

Telecom Italia SpA fell 2.3 percent to 88 euro cents. Italy’s biggest phone company posted a bigger-than-estimated loss in 2011 after Italy’s largest phone company wrote down goodwill for 7.3 billion euros ($9.68 billion).

Shire Plc dropped 3.5 percent to 2,044 pence after saying the experimental drug SPD476 to treat diverticulitis failed to meet the main goal of an investigational study and that the company won’t pursue a regulatory filing.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tom Stoukas in Athens at astoukas@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andrew Rummer at arummer@bloomberg.net




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U.S. Stock Futures Rise; S&P 500 Heads for Weekly Advance

By Rita Nazareth - Mar 30, 2012 8:32 PM GMT+0700

U.S. stocks rose, extending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s biggest first-quarter advance since 1998, as larger-than-forecast growth in consumer spending bolstered optimism in the economy.

The S&P 500 increased 0.3 percent to 1,408.12 at 9:30 a.m. New York time. The benchmark gauge has rallied 12 percent since the beginning of 2012, gaining for a second straight quarter. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 42.76 points, or 0.3 percent, to 13,188.58 today.

“Things are not going gangbusters, but they are more positive,” Ann Miletti, senior portfolio manager for Wells Fargo Advantage Funds in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin, said in a telephone interview. Her firm manages $213 billion. “The tail risk of Europe seems to have gone away. In an environment where you have stocks trading at discounts to their historical levels, it does create a sweet spot.”

More than $3.6 trillion was restored to U.S. equity values since the S&P 500 reached last year’s low in October as better- than-estimated economic and corporate data bolstered demand for stocks. The index climbed 28 percent from Oct. 3 through yesterday. The rally sent the S&P 500 to 14.5 times reported earnings, the highest valuation since July while below the average since 1954 of 16.4.

The S&P 500 has increased 3.2 percent in March (SPX), rallying for a fourth straight month. The Dow has climbed 1.9 percent since the end of February and is poised to cap a sixth month of gains. Both gauges are headed for the longest stretches of monthly gains since 2009.

Dow History

Over the last 100 years, the Dow has advanced 1.3 percent on average in April (INDU) and gained 57 percent of the time, according to data compiled by Bespoke Investment Group. The index has risen an average 2.1 percent in April over the last 50 years and 2.9 percent in the past 20 years, the data showed, marking the best month for the Dow in both time frames.

Stocks rose today as government data showed U.S. consumer spending increased 0.8 percent in February, the most in seven months and more than the median economist estimate of 0.6 percent, signaling the biggest part of the economy is strengthening. Another report may show consumer sentiment held near a one-year high.

Investors also watched the latest attempts in taming Europe’s debt crisis. Adding the 300 billion euros already committed to Greece, Ireland and Portugal, euro-area finance ministers put the overall size of the firewall at 800 billion euros. Finance ministers ruled out using the 240 billion euros left in the temporary rescue fund to go beyond that.

To contact the reporter on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net





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Foxconn Auditor Finds ‘Serious’ Violations of Chinese Law

By Stanley James - Mar 30, 2012 11:08 AM GMT+0700

An audit of Foxconn Technology Group (2354) found “serious and pressing” violations of Chinese labor laws, prompting the biggest maker of Apple Inc. (AAPL) devices to pledge to cut working hours and give employees more oversight.

Inspectors found at least 50 breaches of Chinese regulations as well as the code of conduct Apple signed when it joined the Fair Labor Association in January after deaths of workers at suppliers, the monitoring group said today. Foxconn will bring hours in line with legal limits by July 2013 and compensate its more than 1.2 million employees for overtime lost due to the shorter work week, it said.

Employees of Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd. work along a production line in the Longhua Science and Technology Park, also known as Foxconn City, in Shenzhen, China. Photographer: Thomas Lee/Bloomberg

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Fair Labor Association Chief Executive Officer Auret van Heerden talks about the group's audit of Foxconn Technology Group. The audit found “serious and pressing” violations of Chinese labor laws, prompting the biggest maker of Apple Inc. devices to pledge to cut working hours and give employees more oversight. Van Heerden speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Auret van Heerden, president and chief executive officer of the Fair Labor Association, talks about the group's audit of Foxconn Technology Group that found "serious and pressing" violations of Chinese labor laws, prompting the biggest maker of Apple Inc. iPads to pledge to cut working hours and give employees more oversight. Van Heerden speaks with Trish Regan on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Brian Blair, an analyst at Wedge Partners Corp., and Bloomberg's Jon Erlichman talk about an audit of the labor practices of Foxconn Technology Group, the biggest maker of Apple Inc.'s iPads. They speak with Trish Regan on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." TKNG Capital Partners' Neil Grossman also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray Cos., talks about an audit of labor practices of Foxconn Technology Group, the biggest maker of Apple Inc.'s iPads. He speaks with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Dominic Chu reports on the impact on Apple from an audit of Foxconn Technology Group that found “serious and pressing” violations of Chinese labor laws. He speaks on Bloomberg Television's "Inside Track." (Source: Bloomberg)

Workers are seen inside a Foxconn factory in the township of Longhua in the southern Guangdong province May 26, 2010. Employee deaths at global contract electronics manufacturer Foxconn, Apple's main supplier, has cast a spotlight on some of the harsher aspects of blue-collar life on the Chinese factory floor. Photographer: Bobby Yip/Landov

Workers at Foxconn City, in Shenzhen, China. Photographer: Thomas Lee/Bloomberg

Employees at Hon Hai's Foxconn plant in Shenzhen. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

“The eyes of the world are on them and there’s just no way they can’t deliver,” FLA President Auret van Heerden said. “It’s a real showstopper.”

Assessors found cases of employees working longer hours and more days in a row than allowed by FLA standards and Chinese law. They uncovered inconsistent health and safety policies and instances of unfair pay for overtime work. To meet its commitments, Foxconn must hire, train and house tens of thousands of workers to assemble products for Apple, Dell Inc. (DELL), Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) and other customers, the FLA said.

Foxconn Response

“We are committed to work with Apple to carry out the remediation program, developed by both our companies,” Foxconn said in an e-mailed statement today. “Our success will be judged by future FLA audits and the monitoring of the implementation of the remediation program, by reviews carried out by Apple and other customers and by future employee surveys.”

Shares in Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Foxconn’s flagship, dropped 2.1 percent to NT$113.5 as of 11:54 a.m. in Taipei after dropping as much 3 percent, the largest decline since Feb. 21. Apple fell after the report was released, dropping 1.3 percent to $609.86 at the close in New York.

Apple said it appreciated the work FLA has done to assess conditions at Foxconn.

“We fully support their recommendations,” Cupertino, California-based Apple said in an e-mailed statement. “Empowering workers and helping them understand their rights is essential.”

Costs for Consumers

Apple, the world’s most-valuable company, will have to cut profit margins or pass the resulting costs on to consumers, said Alberto Moel, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in Hong Kong.

“The benefit we, the consumers, and Apple extract from these products at the expense of Foxconn and its workforce is completely unequal,” Moel said in an interview earlier this week. “Foxconn will also have to meet these requirements for all its customers -- Apple, Dell, HP -- because it is at risk of being audited at any production line.”

Foxconn’s pledges will leave more money in the pocketbooks of workers and give them more time to spend it, dovetailing with government plans to rebalance the economy away from exports and toward domestic consumption. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang told Apple Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook during a March 27 meeting in Beijing that multinational companies should pay more attention to caring for workers and share development opportunities, the official Xinhua News Agency reported.

Profit Margins

Apple’s operating margin rose to 31 percent last year, from 12 percent in 2005, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At Foxconn’s flagship company, Taiwan-listed Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. (2317), the measure fell to 1.1 percent from 3.2 percent.

Apple built computers in the U.S. for much of its 36-year history. As the manufacturing capabilities in Asia improved, it joined other electronics companies in moving assembly lines to China to take advantage of less expensive labor. Now Apple products, including the iPhone and iPad, read on the back: “Designed by Apple in California. Assembled in China.”

The conditions at those facilities have been under scrutiny in recent years, particularly after at least 10 workers committed suicide at plants owned by Foxconn. Three employees died last year and more than 70 were hurt in blasts at two iPad facilities, one owned by Foxconn.

Responding to the criticism, Apple agreed to FLA audits. After surveying more than 35,000 workers and logging over 3,000 hours on site, inspectors found long hours and a failure to engage workers in management decisions.

Inland Expansion

As Foxconn grows, it’s expanding to inland Chinese cities such as Chengdu in the southwestern province of Sichuan and Zhengzhou in the central province of Henan -- where Cook visited yesterday -- to be closer to workers’ hometowns.

When most employees are migrant workers from other areas of the country, businesses can end up with a lot of dissatisfaction and turnover, the cost of which is “humongous,” Moel said.

“If you bring the factories to the workers, they can go home at night,” Moel said.

At two factories in Shenzhen in southern China and at a third in Chengdu, inspectors found the average working week exceeded both the FLA’s 60-hour cap and China’s 49-hour maximum.

Workers were excluded from decision making on health and safety issues, with management nominees dominating the company’s labor union, the FLA said. “Factories’ communications are almost entirely top down,” the report said. Fewer than 1 in 1,000 employees at three business units making Apple products were managers, it found.

Less Than Big Mac

Foxconn pledged to allow workers to elect representatives to union positions and other workplace committees, in line with government rules that are rarely followed in China.

The FLA auditors found no issues related to child or forced labor, according to the report. The average age of workers was 23, they found.

While Foxconn scored well for paying wages on time and at rates higher than the local minimum, more than 64 percent of employees said the basic wage was insufficient.

Foxconn workers in Shenzhen start on 1,800 yuan ($285) a month, rising to about 2,200 yuan after probation, the report said. The average wage in one of the Shenzhen plants was 2,687 yuan and in the other it was 2,872 yuan.

The minimum wage set by the government is 1,500 yuan a month, and 13.3 yuan an hour for part-time employees -- or less than the 15.5 yuan price of a Big Mac.

Updates Coming

More than 80 percent of workers surveyed said they were either content with their hours or wanted more overtime to earn extra money, the report said. Still, employees who worked shorter weeks were more content and expressed a higher level of loyalty to the company, it said.

Today’s report isn’t the first time worker violations have been highlighted. Apple’s own annual audits have cited excessive working hours as a problem since 2006.

The companies haven’t made adequate changes in the intervening years, said Scott Nova, executive director of the Worker Rights Consortium, a labor group in Washington.

“Apple and Foxconn don’t deserve the benefit of the doubt at this point,” Nova said. “The burden is now on Apple and Foxconn to demonstrate that these promises are real by actually implementing these changes.”

To monitor Foxconn’s compliance, the FLA will give regular updates on its website, the new report said.

“We’ve set milestones and concrete deliverables for them to give workers a say,” said Van Heerden, a former South African activist who was imprisoned and tortured under the apartheid regime, exiled in 1987 and later appointed under Nelson Mandela as labor attache to the United Nations.

Companies working with the FLA must agree to disclose their suppliers and have them submit to inspections. The FLA audits about 5 percent of its members’ supply chains each year.

Apple’s membership in the independent FLA will increase scrutiny of its other suppliers, including Seoul-based Samsung Electronics Co. (005930) and Inchon, South Korea-based Hynix Semiconductor Inc. (000660)

“Apple is the most valuable company on the planet and Foxconn the biggest producer of electronics,” Van Heerden said. “This could set the bar for the electronics industry as a whole.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Stanley James in Hong Kong at sjames8@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Ben Richardson at brichardson8@bloomberg.net




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Sun Hung Kai Loses $4.9 Billion as Kwoks Arrested

By Kelvin Wong - Mar 30, 2012 4:41 PM GMT+0700

Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. (16) plunged the most in 14 years and lost $4.9 billion of market value after anti-graft investigators arrested the billionaire brothers who run Hong Kong’s biggest developer.

Co-chairmen Thomas and Raymond Kwok were detained by the Independent Commission Against Corruption, Sun Hung Kai said late yesterday. Rafael Hui, a former No. 2 official in the government, was also arrested, according to a person with knowledge of the matter who asked not to be identified because of the ongoing probe.

Raymond Kwok, joint chairman of Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd., left, and Thomas Kwok, joint chairman, talk after the company's annual general meeting in Hong Kong, China, on Thursday, Dec. 8, 2011. Photographer: Jerome Favre/Bloomberg

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Andrew Sullivan, principal sales trader at Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Ltd., discusses investment strategy and the arrest of the billionaire co-chairmen of Hong Kong's biggest developer Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. He speaks from Hong Kong with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television's "First Look." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 30 (Bloomberg) -- Francis Lun, managing director at Hong Kong-based Lyncean Holdings Ltd., talks about the arrest of Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. co-chairmen Thomas and Raymond Kwok and the implications for the company. Hong Kong anti-graft investigators arrested the billionaire co-chairmen of Sun Hung Kai, the city’s biggest developer, in one of the former British colony’s highest-profile corruption cases in decades. Lun speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

The arrests mark one of the highest-level investigations in the ICAC’s 38-year history and come four days after a Hong Kong leadership election in which close ties between government and business emerged as a key campaign theme. Current Chief Executive Donald Tsang is being probed separately by the ICAC for accepting trips on the yachts and planes of tycoons.

“This will no doubt further strengthen the impression among the public that there is a collusion between business and government,” said Shiu Lik-king, a lecturer of public policy at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. “Politics is all about perception. Once the public think you’ve done it, it won’t matter even if you’re not convicted at the end.”

Sun Hung Kai plunged 13 percent, the most since January 1998, to close at HK$96.50 in Hong Kong after a suspension yesterday. The stock has dropped 17 percent since the company said March 19 Executive Director Thomas Chan Kui-Yuen was arrested by the ICAC.

Stocks, Bonds

Citigroup Inc. and Barclays Plc cut their ratings on the developer’s stock, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. suspended the rating.

“Investor short-term concern on corporate governance is unavoidable,” Oscar Choi and Ken Yeung, analysts at Citigroup, wrote in a note to clients today. Citigroup said it downgraded the shares citing it expects the difference between the market value and the value of the developer’s assets to widen following the news of the arrests.

Sun Hung Kai’s $500 million of 4.5 percent bonds due February 2022 dropped to 95.6 cents on the dollar to yield 5.07 percent, as of 10:07 a.m. in Hong Kong, according to BNP Paribas SA prices. That’s the lowest price since the bonds were sold on Feb. 6. The company has the equivalent of $10.6 billion of bonds and loan facilities outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Standard & Poor’s lowered the outlook on the developer’s A+ credit rating to negative, saying that ICAC’s probe “may weaken the stability of its management and reputation of the company.” S&P said it aimed to resolve the “CreditWatch negative” in the next three months. Moody’s Investors Service is assessing whether the incident has any impact on Sun Hung Kai’s rating, said Sydney-based spokesman Hector Lim.

Eight People Arrested

Thomas and Raymond Kwok, and Hui were released by the ICAC late yesterday, Radio Television Hong Kong reported today. Thomas and Raymond were detained in connection with a probe into offenses suspected to have been committed under the Prevention of Bribery Ordinance, the company said. They will keep running the developer, and the arrests won’t affect the normal business operations, Sun Hung Kai said.

Hui, 64, who was chief secretary from 2005 to 2007, resigned as an independent director of AIA Group Ltd. (1299) “to attend to other commitments,” the insurance company said in a statement yesterday. In his more than three decades in government, Hui served as secretary for financial services and set up the city’s public pension fund before being appointed as the city’s No. 2 official.

The ICAC said it arrested two executives and a former senior government official for suspected corruption, without identifying anybody. Five other people were arrested earlier for their alleged role in the case, it said yesterday.

Family Business

Raymond Kwok was shown entering the ICAC headquarters in footage broadcasted by Cable TV yesterday. Margaret Ng, a spokeswoman for Sun Hung Kai, declined to comment, as did Alan Tse, a spokesman for the ICAC.

Sun Hung Kai has been run by Thomas Kwok, 59, and Raymond Kwok, 58, since the ouster as chairman in 2008 of their elder brother Walter. Walter is still a non-executive director of the company.

Walter Kwok applied to the High Court in 2008 to prevent the board from removing him from office, alleging that his brothers opposed his inquiries into impropriety in the way the company awarded construction contracts, and other corporate governance issues. Their ages are cited in the company’s latest annual report.

Hong Kong Election

The two Kwok brothers and their mother lost almost $2 billion on paper today, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The shares, a 42.9 percent stake in Sun Hung Kai, are in a family trust held by HSBC Holdings Plc and are worth $13.9 billion.

Sun Hung Kai built and runs the 118-floor International Commerce Centre, which at 484 meters (1,588 feet) is Hong Kong’s tallest building, as well as the International Finance Centre complexes in Hong Kong and Shanghai.

In the election for the city’s next chief executive, candidate and former chief secretary Henry Tang lost public support after admitting knowledge of a basement built without planning permission under a luxury home his wife owns. Thousands of people took to the streets in early March to demand that Chief Executive Tsang quit after it emerged he had taken trips on yachts and planes of his tycoon friends.

Chief Executive-elect Leung Chun-ying, chosen by a panel of 1,193 on March 25, has promised measures to close the wealth gap and reduce home prices. Savills Plc said the price of an apartment in Hong Kong is almost two times higher than in London, which placed second on the property broker’s list of most expensive places to buy a home.

1970s Corruption

The ICAC was formed in 1974 after protests erupted in the city when a chief police superintendent fled while under investigation for possessing HK$4.3 million of assets. The officer, Peter Godber, was extradited from England in 1975, and was sent to jail for four years for conspiracy and accepting bribes, according to the commission’s website.

The agency also uncovered corruption among senior officials in the city’s legal department and the government property agency since its formation. It prosecuted 275 people last year, with 235 convicted according to its website.

Chan, an executive director for Sun Hung Kai since 1987, was arrested by the ICAC, the company said in a March 19 statement. Chan, 65, according to the developer’s annual report, is responsible for land acquisitions and project planning.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kelvin Wong in Hong Kong at kwong40@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Andreea Papuc at apapuc1@bloomberg.net; Hwee Ann Tan at hatan@bloomberg.net




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