Economic Calendar

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Doha Bank of Qatar to Sell Shares to QIA for $404 Million

By Shaji Mathew

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Doha Bank QSC plans to raise 1.47 billion riyals ($404 million) by selling new shares to the Qatar Investment Authority as the country's third-biggest bank by assets seeks to raise its capital by 20 percent.

Doha Bank will offer 34.4 million shares to the Gulf emirate's $60 billion sovereign wealth fund at the closing price on Oct. 12 of 42.8 riyals, the bank said today in a statement on the Doha bourse Web site.

The Qatar Investment Authority, or QIA, said last month it would contribute between 10 percent and 20 percent of Qatari banks' capital to guarantee financing for development projects in the country, seeking to protect Qatar from the global credit crisis.

Doha Bank will issue shares to QIA in two phases and will call a shareholders' meeting on Dec. 24 to approve the plan, according to the statement.

To contact the reporter on this story: Shaji Mathew in Dubai at shajimathew@bloomberg.net





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OPEC Likely to Cut Production in Oran, Not in Cairo

By Ahmed Rouaba and Glen Carey

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- OPEC, supplier of more than 40 percent of the world's oil, is likely to cut production at its summit in Oran, Algeria, next month and may not lower output at its meeting in Cairo on Nov. 29, the group's president said.

``We aren't likely to take a decision in Cairo,'' Chakib Khelil, who is also Algeria's energy minister, told reporters today in Algiers. ``In Oran, we will have enough information to make a decision. There we will decide to cut.''

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries plans to meet in the Egyptian capital to discuss oil markets and halt a slide in prices after crude oil touched $54.67 a barrel, a 21- month low, on Nov. 13. The 13-member organization cut production by 1.5 million barrels a day at a meeting in Vienna last month.

The meeting in Cairo will ``asses the market situation and collect information from member countries,'' Khelil said. ``The current price of oil is low, but it can't remain low always. We believe prices should be between $70 and $90 a barrel.''

The Cairo summit, originally intended for only the group's Arab members, was upgraded to a full OPEC meeting on Nov. 13. The producer group was originally scheduled to meet next on Dec. 17 in Oran.

Market Expectation

OPEC members were expected to announce plans in Cairo to lower supply for the third time in as many months to prevent prices plunging toward $50 a barrel, according to 17 of 18 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Fourteen of the analysts predict the reduction will be 1 million barrels a day or more.

The International Energy Agency last week cut its world oil-demand estimate for 2030 by 10 million barrels a day, to 106 million barrels a day, because of high prices and slower growth, in a summary of its annual World Energy Outlook.

The Paris-based IEA, a policy adviser to oil-importing nations, expected prices to rebound and to average $100 a barrel between now and 2015 over concerns that the output of mature oilfields speeds up, causing a ``supply crunch'' in the next decade.

Saudi Arabia, the biggest OPEC producer, will help alleviate global financial stress by maintaining stable oil markets and boost its own economy by funding infrastructure projects, King Abdullah said in Washington yesterday.

``We will continue to fulfill our role in ensuring the stability of the oil market,'' Abdullah said in a statement after a five-hour summit with the Group of 20 leaders. ``Saudi Arabia has made many sacrifices, including maintaining costly additional productive capacity amounting to about 2 million barrels per day.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Ahmed Rouaba in Algiers through the London newsroom at +44- arouaba@bloomberg.net; Glen Carey in Dubai at gcarey8@bloomberg.net.





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Dubai Has `Manageable' Debt, DIC Chief Executive Ansari Says

By Ayesha Daya and Shaji Mathew

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Dubai, the second-biggest of the seven sheikhdoms that make up the United Arab Emirates, has ``manageable'' debt, the chief executive officer of government- owned fund manager Dubai International Capital said.

``The stakes are certainly much higher now,'' Sameer Al- Ansari said today at a conference in Dubai. The sheikhdom has ``always been leveraged,'' he said.

Dubai may need support to finance a surge in borrowing that paid for its investments and economic diversification plans, Moody's Investors Service said Oct. 13. Government-controlled companies owe at least $47 billion, more than the sheikhdom's gross domestic product.

In Dubai, ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum has borrowed as oil revenue dwindled, investing to boost earnings from tourism and finance. State-owned airline Emirates has increased its fleet to the largest in the Middle East and seeks to double tourists per year to 15 million by 2015.

Dubai International Capital will now focus on the Middle East because there are ``better opportunities in this region from a risk-return perspective,'' Ansari said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ayesha Daya in Dubai at adaya1@bloomberg.net; Shaji Mathew in Dubai at shajimathew@bloomberg.net.





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Kuwaiti Bourse Trading to Resume Tomorrow After Halt

By Fiona MacDonald and Glen Carey

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Kuwait's court for urgent cases ruled that trading at the country's stock exchange should resume tomorrow, after the bourse disputed a decision by another court that shut the market to protect investors from falling share prices.

The decision read out today in Kuwait City by Jugde Waleed Hasan will allow the exchange to operate. The ruling came a day before the administrative court is due to discuss its decision issued Nov. 13, which halted trading at the bourse.

Kuwait is the only Middle Eastern stock exchange to have suspended trading amid the global economic slowdown as regional bourses plunged on tighter credit markets. Kuwait's benchmark index declined 42 percent in the last six months, while Dubai's index lost 65 percent and Abu Dhabi fell 45 percent.

Kuwaiti traders on Oct. 27 left the floor of the emirate's exchange to lobby the nearby Ruler's Office and demand the government intervene to halt the decline in share prices.

Kuwait's central bank has taken measures to restore confidence in the banking system, including the rescue of Gulf Bank KSC after some of its clients refused to honor losses on currency derivatives trades. Policy makers have also guaranteed deposits in commercial banks, increased banks' loan-to-deposit ratio and cut the benchmark interest rate.

To contact the reporter on this story: Fiona MacDonald in Kuwait FmacDonald4@bloomberg.net; Glen Carey in Dubai at gcarey8@bloomberg.net.





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Gulf Shares Drop on Real-Estate Concern; Emaar, QIBK Decline

By Haris Anwar

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Persian Gulf stocks fell, with Dubai's index posting its biggest seven-day slump ever, on concern that the region's oil and real-estate driven economic boom has run its course.

Emaar Properties PJSC, the Middle East's largest developer, dropped to the lowest since September 2004. Qatar Islamic Bank SAQ, the country's biggest Muslim law-compliant bank, fell the most in three weeks. Bank Muscat SAOG, Oman's largest lender, declined for a fourth day.

The Dubai Financial Market General Index tumbled 5.9 percent to 1,981.44, losing 32 percent in seven days, the most since Bloomberg started tracking the index in December 2003. In Qatar, the DSM 20 Index retreated 5.1 percent, bringing the seven-day drop to 25 percent. Oman's Muscat Securities Market 30 Index slid 6.1 percent to 5,846.19, its lowest close since May 2007.

``Investors are panicking and overreacting,'' Vyas Jayabhanu, head of Al Dhafra Financial Brokerage LLC, said in an interview from Abu Dhabi today. ``I've seen clients selling shares they bought for their grandkids. The biggest fear is that the demand for real-estate is going to slump. I won't touch banks and developers in this market.''

67 Percent Drop

Dubai's index has plunged 67 percent this year, while Qatar's benchmark dropped 42 percent and Oman's 35 percent. Gulf markets have suffered as oil prices declined, the credit crisis made it more difficult for the region's companies to borrow, and the real-estate market slowed.

Today's drop left Dubai's benchmark index valued at 4.7 times the earnings of its 29 companies, the lowest ratio since at least February 2007, data compiled by Bloomberg shows. Qatar's index trades at 7.2 times earnings, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is valued at 7.9 times earnings.

Crude oil closed at $57.04 a barrel on Nov. 14 in New York, down 61 percent from its July record, as slowing economies in the major consuming nations cut demand for fuel. The oil-rich Middle East has used record crude income for infrastructure projects including man-made islands and the world's tallest tower. Dubai property prices, including villas and apartments, fell 4 percent in the month to October, while in Abu Dhabi they slid 5 percent, HSBC Holdings Plc said last week.

Saudi Shares Gain

Emaar retreated 9.8 percent to 2.87 dirhams, the lowest since September 2004. Qatar Islamic Bank lost 9.3 percent, the most since Oct. 26, to 63.7 riyals. Bank Muscat retreated 7.5 percent to 0.848 rial, bringing the four-day drop to 16 percent.

Saudi Arabia's Tadawul All Share Index rose 1.3 percent to 5,145.84. King Abdullah yesterday said he expects infrastructure spending ``for the government and oil sectors to exceed $400 billion over the next five years.''

The kingdom invested in ``low-risk and very liquid'' assets and is well protected to weather the global economic turmoil, the Vice Governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency, Mohamed bin Suleiman Al-Jasser said today.

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange General Index dropped 0.3 percent and the Bahrain All Share Index declined 0.4 percent.

The Kuwait stock exchange was shut for trading after a court last week ordered the closure until Nov. 17 to protect investors from further losses.

The following stocks also rose or fell in the region. Stock symbols are in parentheses after company names:

Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. (TAQA UH) added 7.5 percent to 1.44 dirhams. Global Investment House KSCC raised its recommendation on the state-controlled energy company known as Taqa to ``buy'' from ``hold'' with a share-price estimate of 3.11 dirhams.

Aramex PJSC (ARMX UH) climbed 5 percent to 1.05 dirhams after the Middle East's biggest courier service company said it will buy back shares. The company did not say how many of its shares it planned to purchase.

Dana Gas PJSC (DANA UH) added 2.8 percent to 0.74 dirham. The U.A.E.-based oil and natural-gas producer and distributor said third-quarter profit rose 17 percent to 26 million dirhams ($7 million).

Dlala Brokerage & Investment Holding Co. (DBIS QD) declined 9.4 percent to 19.3 riyals. The Qatari asset manager and stockbroker will form a new real-estate company with capital of 30 million riyals ($8.25 million).

Sorouh Real Estate Co. (SOROUH UH), Abu Dhabi's second- largest property developer by market value, climbed 1.9 percent to 2.71 dirhams after it appointed Samer Abu-Hijleh as chief operations officer.

To contact the reporter on this story: Haris Anwar in Dubai on Hanwar2@bloomberg.net





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Saudi Arabia Is Protected Against Economic Crisis

By Ayesha Daya and Glen Carey

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Saudi Arabia invested in ``low-risk and very liquid'' assets and the kingdom is well protected to weather the global economic turmoil as the world's largest oil supplier tries to maintain stable oil supplies.

Saudi Arabia stashed away $1.3 trillion in reserves, as the biggest OPEC producer benefited from record oil prices earlier this year, Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency's vice governor Mohamed bin Suleiman Al-Jasser said at a conference in Dubai today.

``The economy at large has been very well protected,'' Al- Jasser said. ``We've built up reserves and pursued counter- cyclical policies to protect our economy.''

Saudi Arabia, the biggest Arab economy, has used oil prices averaging about $107.32 a barrel this year to attract investments and build its foreign currency reserves. The kingdom seeks to shift its economy away from oil and create jobs for its citizens by building industrial cities, like the $120 billion King Abdullah Economic City on the Red Sea coast.

Saudi Arabia will help alleviate global financial stress by maintaining stable oil markets and boost its own economy by funding infrastructure projects, King Abdullah said in Washington yesterday.

``We will continue to fulfill our role in ensuring the stability of the oil market,'' Abdullah said in a statement after a five-hour summit with the Group of 20 leaders. ``Saudi Arabia has made many sacrifices, including maintaining costly additional productive capacity amounting to about 2 million barrels per day.''

Oil prices have declined 60 percent since reaching a record high of $147.27 a barrel on July 11 as demand weakens because of the global credit crisis. Crude oil touched $54.67 a barrel, a 21-month low, on Nov. 13.

Middle East's oil producers are trying to fend of a further decline in oil prices on concern that this may force them to reduce government spending. The 13-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will meet in Cairo on Nov. 29 and in Oran, Algeria, on Dec. 17 to discuss plans to halt the fall in oil prices.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ayesha Daya in Dubai at adaya1@bloomberg.net





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Tokyo to Delay City Fuel Tax on Weak Growth, Tokyo Shimbun Says

By Masaki Kondo

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Tokyo may postpone implementing a municipal tax on consumption of fossil fuels as the global financial crisis take a toll on Japan's economy, the Tokyo Shimbun reported today.

Advisers to Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara will recommend delaying introduction of the so-called environment tax, aimed at reducing greenhouse-gas emissions, the Japanese-language newspaper said, without saying where it obtained the information.

The advisory panel will instead urge tax breaks for businesses and households that lower energy consumption, according to the report.

To contact the reporters on this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net





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Japan Year-End Bonuses Fall; First Drop in 6 Years, Nikkei Says

By Masaki Kondo

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Average year-end bonuses at 155 of Japan's largest companies will fall for the first time in six years as rising fuel bills prompt steelmakers and power suppliers to slash payouts, the Nikkei newspaper reported today.

Payouts averaged 0.6 percent less than a year earlier at 844,119 yen ($8,699), the first drop since 2002, Nikkei said, citing its own survey. Declines may be sharper at companies not among the 138 that set bonus levels early in the year, before the impact of the global financial crisis was felt, the Nikkei said.

Bonuses fell 5.4 percent at steelmakers and 3.8 percent at power generators, according to the report.

To contact the reporters on this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net





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Japanese Auto Output Set for First Fall in 5 Years, Nikkei Says

By Masaki Kondo

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's domestic vehicle production will probably fall for the first time in five years as the U.S. financial crisis weakens export demand, the Nikkei newspaper reported today.

Total domestic production by Japan's eight biggest carmakers will decrease to about 9.7 million vehicles in the year ending March 31, the Japanese-language newspaper said, without saying where it obtain the data. Automakers including Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor Co. initially projected an average 3 percent increase, raising output to 10.4 million units, the report said.

More than 10,000 jobs will likely be eliminated in the country's domestic auto industry this business year, according to the report.

To contact the reporters on this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net





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Toyota Will Cut 2009 Global Sales Target, Tokyo Shimbun Reports

By Masaki Kondo

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Toyota Motor Corp. will cut its global sales forecast for 2009 to less than 9 million units, the Tokyo Shimbun reported today.

Toyota will announce the revised forecast next month, the Japanese-language newspaper said, without citing anyone. A slump in demand is spreading to emerging markets from North America and Europe, the newspaper said.

The company in August cut its 2009 sales estimate by 6.7 percent to 9.7 million vehicles for next year. Executive Vice President Mitsuo Kinoshita said on Nov. 6 the automaker will review the sales goal.

To contact the reporters on this story: Masaki Kondo in Tokyo at mkondo3@bloomberg.net





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Alitalia Will Cancel More Flights Next Week, Corriere Reports

By Chiara Remondini

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Alitalia SpA will cancel more flights next week because of a ``significant'' increase in sick leave among its flight personnel, Corriere della Sera reported, without saying where it got the information.

The carrier grounded 400 flights last week because of wildcat strikes and disruptions in operating procedures, Corriere said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Chiara Remondini in Milan at cremondini@bloomberg.net





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Finmeccanica, Telecom Italia, Parmalat: Italian Equity Preview

By Chiara Remondini

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- The following companies' shares may have unusual price changes in Italy. Stock symbols are in parentheses and prices are from the previous close.

Italy's benchmark S&P/MIB Index rose 417, or 2 percent, to 20,831.

A2A SpA (A2A IM): Italy's largest municipal utility may have earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of about 1.1 billion euros ($1.39 billion) this year, Il Sole 24 Ore wrote in its weekly ``Letter to Investors,'' without saying where it got the information. The stock rose 1.1 percent to 1.58 euros.

Banco Popolare Scarl (BP IM): The Italian lender will decide whether to pay a dividend in March because ``there are too many variables'' at the moment, Chief Executive Officer Fabio Innocenzi told Il Sole 24 Ore. The bank indicated the dividend will vary between zero and the amount paid out the previous year, when it was 60 euro cents, according to the newspaper. The stock fell 0.3 percent to 8.14 euros.

ERG SpA (ERG IM): The controlling investor of Italy's biggest exporter of oil products may consider delisting the shares, Chairman Edoardo Garrone told Il Sole 24 Ore. The stock rose 3.8 percent to 11.52 euros.

Finmeccanica SpA (FNC IM): Pier Francesco Guarguaglini, chairman and chief executive officer of Italy's largest defense company is set to speak at the National Railway Industry Conference. The shares rose 1.9 percent to 9.15 euros.

Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISP IM): Romain Zaleski's holding company, Carlo Tassara SpA, will sell its stake in Italy's second- biggest bank, il Messaggero reported. Tassara will also sell holdings in Mediobanca SpA (MB IM) and Assicurazioni Generali SpA (G IM), the newspaper said. Intesa rose 0.9 percent to 2.41 euros, Mediobanca fell 0.8 percent to 8.95 euros, and Generali gained 0.6 percent to 19.31 euros.

Parmalat SpA (PLT IM): Italy's largest dairy company cut its annual profit and sales forecasts. Parmalat, the maker of Zymil low-lactose milk, also said nine-month profit soared on proceeds from settling lawsuits against banks that allegedly contributed to its collapse in 2003. The shares fell 0.5 percent to 1.28 euros.

Stefanel SpA (STEF IM): An Italian clothing maker posted a pretax loss of 18.3 million euros in the first nine months of the year, compared with a pretax profit of 6.3 million euros. Sales fell 15 percent to 207.7 million euros. The stock declined 2.6 percent to 40.9 euros cents.

Telecom Italia SpA (TIT IM): Brandes Investment Partners LLC, a U.S. investment company, has cut its 4 percent stake in Italy's biggest phone company, daily La Stampa reported, citing a Securities & Exchange Commission filing. The stock rose 4.5 percent to 1.02 euros.

To contact the reporters on this story: Chiara Remondini in Milan at cremondini@bloomberg.net





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Larsen to Add 10,000 People in 3 Years, Reiterates Forecasts

By Saikat Chatterjee

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Larsen & Toubro Ltd., India's biggest engineering company, said it will hire 10,000 people in three years and meet the revenue target for the year as orders from railways and power companies help counter a slowdown in other industries.

``The slowdown in some areas has been made up in other areas such as power, railways and shipbuilding,'' Chairman A.M. Naik told reporters in New Delhi, where he was attending the World Economic Forum's India Economic Summit, which began today. ``We have the same guidance as we have given in the beginning of the year.''

The company expects orders to increase as much as 35 percent in the year to March 31, he said.

Larsen & Toubro depends on orders to build plants for steel and automobile companies that are delaying or curtailing expansion plans in the wake of the worst financial crisis since the 1930s. The Mumbai-based engineering company is seeking to boost orders from railway and power companies in India that are less affected by the financial turmoil.

India will need to spend $600 billion on adding capacity to meet electricity demand, which may triple to 335,000 megawatts by 2017 if the current growth rate is maintained, according to McKinsey & Co. The government plans to spend $100 billion on generation, transmission and distribution of power to meet growing demand.

The company has an order backlog of about 609 billion rupees ($12.4 billion) from steel, copper and power companies in India and overseas.

Hiring Plan

While Larsen & Toubro has slowed hiring, the company will still add 10,000 people in three years as it starts new units in Chennai and Coimbatore in the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, Naik said.

The company will stick to its capital expenditure targets although many customers have been hit by the slowdown, Naik said.

JSW Steel Ltd., the country's third-biggest producer planning a new factory, has reduced the size of the project by almost three-fourths to 40 billion rupees. Steel Authority of India Ltd., the nation's second-biggest producer, said on Nov. 11 it may lower output as the global financial crisis cuts car and construction demand and commodity prices tumble.

Tata Motors Ltd., India's biggest truckmaker, said it will cut production at two of its plants temporarily to avoid inventory building up.

Naik also called for lower interest rates, to shore up the Indian economy.

India's central bank unexpectedly cut interest rates for the second time in two weeks on Nov. 1 and reduced the amount of money lenders must hold in reserve in a bid to protect the economy from the global slowdown.

Larsen's stock has fallen 62 percent this year, compared with the 54 percent drop in the benchmark Sensitive Index, on concern orders may slow as the financial crisis holds up project financing.

To contact the reporters on this story: Saikat Chatterjee in New Delhi at schatterjee4@bloomberg.net.





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China's Taxi Industry Urged to Set Up Unions to Stop Protests

By Zhang Shidong

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- China's state-approved trade union urged the taxi industry to set up union branches to protect workers' interests and maintain social and political stability, after drivers in at least three cities went on strike this month.

``The long-standing conflicts over management systems, industry guidance and the distribution of profit have led to an unsound environment for the whole industry and its employees,'' the All China Federation of Trade Unions said in a statement seen today on its Web site. ``Taxi drivers don't have suitable and smooth channels for voicing their complaints which has led to frequent mass incidents.''

An estimated 2,000 taxi drivers in the southern Chinese city of Sanya went back to work on Nov. 14 after a five-day strike, the official Xinhua news agency reported yesterday. The drivers were protesting the local government's failure to implement cuts in the cost of renting their vehicles and to curb competition from illegal taxis, Xinhua said.

The drivers returned to work after Sanya Party Secretary Jiang Zelin promised to ensure the implementation of a Jan. 1 directive that cut monthly rental fees to 5,300 yuan ($776) from 7,200. He said companies who had ignored the reduction would be forced to return the extra money they had charged drivers over the past 11 months.

Three transport officials in Sanya resigned yesterday for failing to implement the directive, Xinhua said yesterday, citing a spokesman for the city's Communist Party Committee.

Traffic Violations

The industrial action in Sanya followed a two-day strike by almost 9,000 drivers in Chongqing, the country's fourth-largest city. They were protesting over shortages of compressed natural gas which fuels their vehicles, the unfair division of fares between cabbies and their companies, high fines for traffic violations and competition from unlicensed taxis, Xinhua said in a report on Nov. 10.

Drivers in Yongdeng, a county in northwest Gansu province, also stopped work last week in protest at the rise in the number of illegal taxis, the news agency said in an earlier report.

An estimated 70 percent of taxi drivers in China come from rural areas and very few companies have set up a union, the All China Federation of Trade Unions said in its statement.

Taxi companies should set up collective bargaining mechanisms with their drivers, the union said. They should also implement labor contracts which would set salaries, vacation time and social insurance payments and make sure these increase in line with profit growth.

To contact the reporter on this story: Zhang Shidong in Shanghai at szhang5@bloomberg.net





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Lend Lease's Clarke Says Selling Assets `Tougher Than Usual'

By Jason Scott

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Greg Clarke, chief executive officer of Lend Lease Corp., says Australia's largest developer is finding it ``tougher than usual'' to sell assets.

Lend Lease last week scrapped plans to sell its half of the King of Prussia shopping center, the third-largest mall in the U.S. The Sydney-based company had cash reserves of more than A$800 million ($518 million) as of Oct. 31.

Clarke spoke today on ABC's Inside Business television program.

On asset sales:

``We've got 25 percent of our profits every year from assets we've developed for sale around the world. We're finding that at the minute tougher than usual, but we've got a number of people negotiating with us for some of those assets and we're pretty hopeful we will manage to sell some.

``One of the reasons we have the lowest level of debt in the property industry is that we didn't spend all our money at the top of the market. So we're trying not to sell assets that we don't need to sell. We're still pretty confident about being able to sell them, but if we can't we won't sell them, because we're not a distress seller.

``There are buyers available for the assets we have, specifically in the U.K. and the U.S. The market's tough but there's still a lot of buyer interest.''

On Australian commercial property, economy:

``In the property sector you're a hostage to market cycle. One of the reasons we deal in the U.K., the U.S., Singapore and Australia is the cycles are slightly different. Even though the Australian market looks a bit unhealthy at the moment, it looks a damn sight better than the U.K., Europe and the U.S. If we were a U.K.-only property business we'd be in terrible trouble.

``There's a chance, and I don't know how big a chance, that the housing market and the value of commercial property, like retail and residential, will fall significantly. We've seen it fall into a pit in the U.K. and the U.S. If the same happens in Australia, nobody knows if it will, that won't put us out of business. We haven't made bets and taken on levels of debts where market changes can put us out of business.

``The most highly leveraged vehicle in the world is the Australian household. It has world-class high credit-card debt, world-class high property-mortgage leverage. If people can't service those property debts or those credit card debts, that will cause a recession.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at Jscott14@bloomberg.net.





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China Should Spend More on Public Services, UN Says

By Dune Lawrence

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- China needs to spend more on education, health care and social welfare to sustain economic expansion as a global recession looms, the United Nations said in a report today.

The fruits of China's rapid growth haven't spread equally, and disparities limit continued expansion, according to the China Human Development Report. Shanghai and Beijing compare in development to European countries such as Cyprus and Portugal, while inland provinces like Guizhou in the southwest are closer to African economies like Botswana and Namibia, it said.

Improving services including health care will support a shift to consumption-led growth by boosting consumer spending and labor productivity, the UN said. Investing 372 billion yuan ($55 billion) a year, or 7.5 percent of state income, would let China assure nine years of compulsory education nationwide, basic medical care and old-age insurance, the report estimates.

``You have an opportunity here of doing the right thing, and also helping the financial crisis,'' said Khalid Malik, UN resident coordinator in China. ``If you can increase spending on health, education, social security, this would also help in maintaining the growth rates.''

China announced a 4 trillion yuan stimulus package focused on roads, railways, airports and low-rent housing on Nov. 9. Asia's second-biggest economy, which expanded by more than 10 percent a year since 2003, grew 9 percent in the three months from July to September, the fifth straight quarterly slowdown.

`Bang for Buck'

``There are many people who hope that this slowdown can be a reason the package can throw a lot more resources at social security and other social stuff,'' said Stephen Green, head of China research at Standard Chartered Bank Plc in Shanghai. ``There's a strong argument that more social spending would support more consumption in the medium term. The problem is you don't get instant GDP bang for your buck.''

Personal spending on education and medical care in 2005 reduced total consumption by 581 billion yuan, according to research cited in the document.

The government's stimulus plan, equivalent to almost a fifth of China's $3.3 trillion gross domestic product last year, includes funds for higher subsidies to farmers and allowances for poor city residents, according to the initial announcement. Most of the details released so far outline infrastructure spending.

Income Gap

The UN report argues that investment in public services may produce better results. Every 1 yuan rise in spending on rural education, for example, yields 8.43 yuan in added farm and livestock production, compared with a 6.75 yuan boost from infrastructure, it said.

In addition, unequal investment in public services between urban and rural areas is exacerbating China's wealth gap between cities and the countryside, threatening social stability, the UN said.

Last year, Chinese city dwellers' per-capita disposable income was three times as high as rural residents', official figures show. Taking public services and benefits into account, urban incomes were at least five times higher, according to UN estimates.

China's global rank in the UN's human development index has climbed to 81 from 101 in 1991. The ranking is based on life expectancy, adult literacy rates and school enrollment ratios, and real gross domestic product per capita.

To contact the reporter on this story: Dune Lawrence in Beijing at dlawrence6@bloomberg.net





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G-20 Calls for Action on Growth, Overhaul of Financial Rules

By Michael McKee and Simon Kennedy

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Leaders from the biggest developed and emerging nations agreed to further steps to shore up a global economy sliding into recession, and laid out regulatory proposals to prevent a recurrence of the financial crisis.

The Group of 20 yesterday urged a ``broader policy response,'' citing the potential for additional interest-rate cuts and fiscal stimulus, in a statement after meeting in Washington. The group set a March deadline for recommendations on strengthening accounting standards, derivatives markets and oversight of hedge funds and debt-rating companies.

The call for an overhaul of the world financial industry indicates leaders want future expansions to be smoother than the boom and bust of this decade. A lack of any specific pledges to stimulate growth may disappoint some investors, analysts said.

``This isn't a strong action statement on addressing the matters at hand,'' said Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics Ltd. in Valhalla, New York. Markets may be vulnerable after the weekend meeting because there was no clear pledge for coordinated tax and interest-rate cuts, he said.

Rather than take the same steps together, nations should act ``as deemed appropriate to domestic conditions,'' the leaders said in their statement.

The group pledged not to erect new trade barriers, guaranteed more resources for the International Monetary Fund if needed and promised to meet again before May.

`Clear Determination'

``There was a common understanding that all of us should promote a pro-growth economic policy,'' U.S. President George W. Bush said. U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown said ``there is a clear determination on the part of world leaders in every continent to take necessary action to move economies out of this difficult period.''

Tumbling stock markets and forecasts for a worldwide recession are intensifying pressure on the G-20 leaders to act, 15 months after the credit crunch began. The IMF predicts advanced economies will together contract next year for the first time since World War II.

Writedowns and losses totaling $964.6 billion at financial institutions have triggered a surge in the cost of credit, cutting off access to capital for consumers and companies. The euro-area fell into its first recession in 15 years in the third quarter and data suggests the U.S., Japan and U.K. have as well.

China Shudders

Emerging markets are also feeling the pain, with Chinese industrial production growing at the weakest in seven years last month. The MSCI World Index of stocks is close to its lowest since 2003 and has fallen 45 percent this year.

The G-20 leaders, representing 90 percent of the world economy, blamed the crisis on investors who ``sought higher yields without an adequate appreciation of the risks.'' At the same time, the group faulted regulators in developed nations for failing to ``adequately appreciate and address the risks building up in financial markets.''

Reaching agreement on what to do was difficult, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said after the meeting. ``I'm a friend of the U.S. but it wasn't always easy,'' he said. ``There were misunderstandings to overcome.''

Sarkozy, who pushed Bush into convening the summit, and other European leaders want more government control -- reaching across international borders -- over lending practices and investing. Bush, with only two months left before he leaves office, opposes any movement toward a global authority overseeing financial markets.

Accommodating Differences

The statement papered over differences by recognizing that regulation is ``first and foremost'' a national responsibility, while at the same time demanding ``intensified international cooperation'' to oversee financial firms whose operations and problems cross national borders.

The leaders called for the creation of ``supervisory colleges'' for bank regulators around the world to better to coordinate oversight and share information about activities and risk-taking of international banks.

Capital standards should be raised, they said, particularly for banks' structured credit and securitization activities.

The leaders directed their finance ministers to work on recommendations for enhancing disclosure by investors and institutions, including hedge funds, of their financial conditions.

Debt-rating companies, which blessed many of the products that have since gone into default, should be registered, and oversight of their actions strengthened to ensure they provide unbiased information and avoid conflicts of interest.

Accounting Standards

Accounting standards should be harmonized around the world, the group said, and regulators should consider whether current rules properly value securities, particularly complex, illiquid products, during times of stress.

The leaders endorsed the use of clearinghouses for financial derivatives to back trades and absorb losses in case of a dealer failure. The first central clearinghouse for the $33 trillion credit-default swap market should be in operation by year-end in the U.S., under an agreement signed last week by three U.S. financial regulators.

Such products should be traded on exchanges or electronic trading platforms, the leaders said, and more disclosure should be required for other derivatives traded over the counter.

The leaders said executive compensation should be managed to ``avoid excessive risk-taking,'' while stopping short of calling for any caps.

Trade Talks

Warning against protectionism as a way to fight recession, the G-20 vowed not to raise any trade barriers for the next year. They also said they will seek ways by the end of the year to conclude the Doha round of trade talks that collapsed in July.

An accord ``would be a signal that would be of equal weight as an economic stimulus program,'' German Chancellor Angela Merkel said.

The governments will review the ``adequacy of resources'' at the IMF and World Bank, and look for ways to increase them, along with buttressing the role of smaller economies. Some emerging-market nations with large reserves have been reluctant to raise contributions to the IMF unless they are given more of a say in how the organization is run.

Leaders will meet again before the end of April, most likely in London, when a new American administration is in office. President-elect Barack Obama didn't attend the meeting, sending former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and former Republican Representative Jim Leach to meet delegations instead.

Work Together

Obama ``asked us to represent him in receiving the views of these important partners,'' Albright and Leach said in a statement, adding that they held meetings with more than a dozen delegations. ``We also conveyed President-elect Obama's determination to continuing to work together on these challenges after he takes office in January.''

Heads of emerging-market nations said the G-20 should now replace the Group of Eight as the forum for addressing economic issues.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said the G-8 has ``become a group of friends'' and there's ``no sense in making political and economic decisions without the G-20 countries.''

The G-20 members are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, the U.S., the U.K. and the European Union.

The Netherlands and Spain were also represented, as were the IMF, World Bank, Financial Stability Forum and United Nations.

To contact the reporter on this story: Michael McKee in Washington at mmckee@bloomberg.netSimon Kennedy in Washington at Skennedy4@bloomberg.net;





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Brisconnections' Rowe Says Company May Appoint Debt Collectors

By Jason Scott

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Trevor Rowe, chairman of BrisConnections, a venture between Leighton Holdings Ltd. and Macquarie Group Ltd., says if necessary the company will appoint debt collectors to get money owed to it by investors who bought its stapled securities.

Shares of the toll road builder have dropped 99.9 percent since its A$1.23 billion ($797 million) initial public offering in July. The shares were sold as stapled securities, with A$1 paid on application and two further installments of A$1 each payable in nine months and 18 months, it said in July.

Leighton, Australia's biggest builder, and Macquarie, the nation's biggest investment bank, set up the venture in May to manage a project to build A$4.8 billion of roads in Queensland state.

Rowe spoke today on ABC's Inside Business television program.

On the stapled securities:

``Anyone buying the units of BrisConnections needs to understand, and we've been assiduously trying to ensure the market is fully informed, that there's two additional installments due of A$1 each. So anyone buying these units has a liability for A$1 in April 2009 and a year later for another A$1. If they don't pay in April we have an obligation under the underwriting agreement that we need to pursue the collection of any outstanding installments, but we get the money anyway because it's underwritten by Deutsche Bank and Macquarie Bank.

``We are obliged to pursue people. We'll probably have debt collectors go out and endeavor to collect it.

``In the longer term this is an extremely valuable investment. This is a crucial piece of infrastructure connecting the Brisbane central business district with the airport and the airport precinct, the trade zone, and to the northern suburbs.''

On the credit crisis:

``There is this de-leveraging process still working itself through the financial markets. There's a ways to go on that yet.

``Liable spreads are easing and easing significantly but we're not seeing a proper functioning of credit markets yet, they are still dysfunctional, and then finally, the spill over into the real economy I think has been more severe than policy makers and a lot of us thought it would. It's happened very quickly.

``It's going to take some time to work itself through. If the U.S. is not in a recession, it certainly looks like it, and I'm very negative on Europe and the U.K.

``The big question for Australia is where does China sit in all this? Now, that extraordinary fiscal stimulus package they announced of some $568 billion, a lot of that was existing money, a lot of it's spread over a back-ended period but nevertheless I think the Chinese will defend an 8 per cent growth rate because they have to from a socioeconomic point of view. Their banking system, ironically, looks in better shape than the U.S. banking system.

``In Australia, we're very fortunate we've got this bipolar economy between the resource infrastructure side of it and the very weak consumer demand area, and of course the government's taken some pretty bold measures in terms of getting the economy moving.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Scott in Perth at Jscott14@bloomberg.net;





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China Shouldn't Relax Monetary Policy Too Fast, Official Says

By Li Yanping

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- China shouldn't relax monetary policy too fast, even amid an economic slowdown, a central bank official said.

``Monetary policy shouldn't be loosened too fast because there is still a risk that inflation will rebound,'' Jiao Jinpu, vice president of the People's Bank of China's Graduate School Council, told reporters today at a financial conference in Beijing. ``The lagging effect of China's monetary policy may be more obvious while all major economies are slowing down.''

The central bank has cut benchmark interest rates three times in two months, scrapped restrictions on how much banks can lend and shifted from a ``tight'' to ``moderately loose'' monetary policy after growth expanded at the slowest pace in five years in the third quarter through September.

``Monetary policies shouldn't be adjusted too aggressively or it may have negative long-term consequences,'' said Wu Jinglian, a senior economist at the State Council Development and Research Center, at today's conference. ``Measures to bolster the economy should come more from the government's fiscal policies.''

China's under-developed financial system, volatilities in money and loan growth and turbulent global financial markets are factors that are hindering the effectiveness of the central bank's policy adjustments, Jiao said.

``As the global financial crisis is having an increasing impact on China's economy and financial system, we must constantly observe the situation and use a mix of measures flexibly and prudently to counter risks,'' said Jiao, referring to adjustments in interest rates, reserve ratios, open market operations and exchange rates.

China ratcheted up interest rates when the government was trying to stop the economy from overheating. Fan Gang, an academic adviser to the central bank, said on Nov. 14 that the government had over-tightened policies earlier, helping cause the domestic slowdown.

To contact the reporters on this story: Li Yanping in Beijing at yli16@bloomberg.net





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ICICI, Bajaj Say India Needs to Reduce Rates, Taxes

By Subramaniam Sharma and Cherian Thomas

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- India needs to cut interest rates, lower taxes and draw up a stimulus plan to help shield the economy from a global slowdown, business leaders said.

Rates need to be cut ``by 200 to 300 basis points,'' K.V. Kamath, chief executive officer of ICICI Bank Ltd., the nation's second-biggest, told the World Economic Forum's India Economic Summit in New Delhi today. The government should also cut taxes and pump money into infrastructure projects, said Rahul Bajaj, chairman of Bajaj Auto Ltd., India's No. 2 motorcycle maker. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

Indian companies are struggling as the global credit crunch makes it harder for them to borrow and a looming world recession damps exports. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh told the Group of 20 nations meeting in Washington yesterday that India's pace of economic expansion may slow to between 7 percent and 7.5 percent this year, from an average of about 9 percent in the past four.

``Recession will hit the export performance of developing countries and the choking of credit, combined with elevated risk perception, will lead to lower capital flows and reduced levels of foreign direct investment,'' Singh said. ``The combined effect will be to slow down economic growth in developing countries.''

Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram and central bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao have been loosening fiscal and monetary policy to cope with a liquidity shortage that began in September as the global financial crisis unfolded, putting pressure on India's money and foreign-exchange markets.

Boosting Liquidity

The Reserve Bank of India yesterday announced more measures to boost cash in the financial system after cutting interest rates twice in less than a month to prop up growth.

The central bank has cut its benchmark lending rate to 7.5 percent from a seven-year high of 9 percent. It also pared the amount lenders must set aside as reserves to cover deposits by 3.5 percentage points in a month, freeing up as much as 1.4 trillion rupees ($29.5 billion) in cash to ease lending.

Anilkumar M. Naik, chairman of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., India's biggest engineering company, also called for lower borrowing costs to shore up the economy. ``Development will suffer'' on account of high interest rates that need to be reduced, he said in New Delhi today.

The company has slowed hiring, although it expects industries such as railway and power companies to take up some of the slack. Larsen & Toubro depends on orders to build plants for steel and automobile companies that are delaying or curtailing expansion plans.

Fiscal Stimulus

Bajaj, who wants key rates and the cash reserve ratio cut further, said India needed a fiscal stimulus plan along the lines of China's $586 billion program to bolster growth.

``Growth has to be stimulated by fiscal stimulus,'' Bajaj said. ``My concern is that the efficiency with which we implement these policies leaves something to be desired.''

India, which may not be able to match the China plan, should ensure the prime minister's five-year $500 billion infrastructure spending target is met, Bajaj said.

``The government should follow pro-growth policies,'' Bajaj told the WEF meeting today. ``The government should consider reductions in indirect taxes like excise duties on some products to increase demand.''

He called on the finance minister to help Indian business bring prices down.

ICICI's Kamath said inflation would continue to decline and come within a range of 4 percent to 5 percent in the next three to four months. The decline in crude oil prices would encourage this trend, allowing further cuts in interest rates, he said.

Inflation Slows

India's inflation rate fell the most in at least 18 years in the week to Nov. 1 to 8.98 percent, giving the central bank room to make further unscheduled interest-rate cuts. Inflation has fallen to the lowest level in five months as it dropped from a 16-year high of 12.91 percent in the week to Aug. 2.

Many state-run banks including ICICI's rival State Bank of India were persuaded by Finance Minister Chidambaram to cut lending rates for their best borrowers.

The central bank decided to extend the period for rupee loans to 270 days from 180 days to help exporters fighting the slowdown in demand, as part of yesterday's measures.

India's exports grew 15 percent in September, the slowest pace in 18 months, as the weakening global economy damped demand. Overseas shipments, which account for about 15 percent of the economy, rose 10.4 percent to $13.7 billion from a year earlier, after gaining 27 percent in August.

Rupee, Stocks Drop

The Indian rupee had the biggest weekly drop in a month as of Nov. 14 on concern a recession in the world's industrialized economies will increase risk aversion and erode demand for emerging-market assets.

The rupee has declined 13.4 percent in the past six months, making it the third-worst performer among Asia's 10 most-active currencies, as the global financial crisis caused investors to sell local equities.

The benchmark Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index has dropped 54 percent this year as overseas investors have pulled out $12.7 billion from stocks this year as of Nov. 12, after buying a record $17.2 billion of equities in 2007.

To contact the reporters on this story: Subramaniam Sharma in New Delhi at ssharma@bloomberg.net; Cherian Thomas in New Delhi at cthomas1@bloomberg.net.





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G-20 Calls for Action on Growth, Overhaul of Financial Rules

By Michael McKee and Simon Kennedy

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Leaders from the biggest developed and emerging nations agreed to further steps to shore up a global economy sliding into recession, and laid out regulatory proposals to prevent a recurrence of the financial crisis.

The Group of 20 yesterday urged a ``broader policy response,'' citing the potential for additional interest-rate cuts and fiscal stimulus, in a statement after meeting in Washington. The group set a March deadline for recommendations on strengthening accounting standards, derivatives markets and oversight of hedge funds and debt-rating companies.

The call for an overhaul of the world financial industry indicates leaders want future expansions to be smoother than the boom and bust of this decade. A lack of any specific pledges to stimulate growth may disappoint some investors, analysts said.

``This isn't a strong action statement on addressing the matters at hand,'' said Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics Ltd. in Valhalla, New York. Markets may be vulnerable after the weekend meeting because there was no clear pledge for coordinated tax and interest-rate cuts, he said.

Rather than take the same steps together, nations should act ``as deemed appropriate to domestic conditions,'' the leaders said in their statement.

The group pledged not to erect new trade barriers, guaranteed more resources for the International Monetary Fund if needed and promised to meet again before May.

`Clear Determination'

``There was a common understanding that all of us should promote a pro-growth economic policy,'' U.S. President George W. Bush said. U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown said ``there is a clear determination on the part of world leaders in every continent to take necessary action to move economies out of this difficult period.''

Tumbling stock markets and forecasts for a worldwide recession are intensifying pressure on the G-20 leaders to act, 15 months after the credit crunch began. The IMF predicts advanced economies will together contract next year for the first time since World War II.

Writedowns and losses totaling $964.6 billion at financial institutions have triggered a surge in the cost of credit, cutting off access to capital for consumers and companies. The euro-area fell into its first recession in 15 years in the third quarter and data suggests the U.S., Japan and U.K. have as well.

China Shudders

Emerging markets are also feeling the pain, with Chinese industrial production growing at the weakest in seven years last month. The MSCI World Index of stocks is close to its lowest since 2003 and has fallen 45 percent this year.

The G-20 leaders, representing 90 percent of the world economy, blamed the crisis on investors who ``sought higher yields without an adequate appreciation of the risks.'' At the same time, the group faulted regulators in developed nations for failing to ``adequately appreciate and address the risks building up in financial markets.''

Reaching agreement on what to do was difficult, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said after the meeting. ``I'm a friend of the U.S. but it wasn't always easy,'' he said. ``There were misunderstandings to overcome.''

Sarkozy, who pushed Bush into convening the summit, and other European leaders want more government control -- reaching across international borders -- over lending practices and investing. Bush, with only two months left before he leaves office, opposes any movement toward a global authority overseeing financial markets.

Accommodating Differences

The statement papered over differences by recognizing that regulation is ``first and foremost'' a national responsibility, while at the same time demanding ``intensified international cooperation'' to oversee financial firms whose operations and problems cross national borders.

The leaders called for the creation of ``supervisory colleges'' for bank regulators around the world to better to coordinate oversight and share information about activities and risk-taking of international banks.

Capital standards should be raised, they said, particularly for banks' structured credit and securitization activities.

The leaders directed their finance ministers to work on recommendations for enhancing disclosure by investors and institutions, including hedge funds, of their financial conditions.

Debt-rating companies, which blessed many of the products that have since gone into default, should be registered, and oversight of their actions strengthened to ensure they provide unbiased information and avoid conflicts of interest.

Accounting Standards

Accounting standards should be harmonized around the world, the group said, and regulators should consider whether current rules properly value securities, particularly complex, illiquid products, during times of stress.

The leaders endorsed the use of clearinghouses for financial derivatives to back trades and absorb losses in case of a dealer failure. The first central clearinghouse for the $33 trillion credit-default swap market should be in operation by year-end in the U.S., under an agreement signed last week by three U.S. financial regulators.

Such products should be traded on exchanges or electronic trading platforms, the leaders said, and more disclosure should be required for other derivatives traded over the counter.

The leaders said executive compensation should be managed to ``avoid excessive risk-taking,'' while stopping short of calling for any caps.

Trade Talks

Warning against protectionism as a way to fight recession, the G-20 vowed not to raise any trade barriers for the next year. They also said they will seek ways by the end of the year to conclude the Doha round of trade talks that collapsed in July.

An accord ``would be a signal that would be of equal weight as an economic stimulus program,'' German Chancellor Angela Merkel said.

The governments will review the ``adequacy of resources'' at the IMF and World Bank, and look for ways to increase them, along with buttressing the role of smaller economies. Some emerging-market nations with large reserves have been reluctant to raise contributions to the IMF unless they are given more of a say in how the organization is run.

Leaders will meet again before the end of April, most likely in London, when a new American administration is in office. President-elect Barack Obama didn't attend the meeting, sending former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and former Republican Representative Jim Leach to meet delegations instead.

Work Together

Obama ``asked us to represent him in receiving the views of these important partners,'' Albright and Leach said in a statement, adding that they held meetings with more than a dozen delegations. ``We also conveyed President-elect Obama's determination to continuing to work together on these challenges after he takes office in January.''

Heads of emerging-market nations said the G-20 should now replace the Group of Eight as the forum for addressing economic issues.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said the G-8 has ``become a group of friends'' and there's ``no sense in making political and economic decisions without the G-20 countries.''

The G-20 members are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, the U.S., the U.K. and the European Union.

The Netherlands and Spain were also represented, as were the IMF, World Bank, Financial Stability Forum and United Nations.

To contact the reporter on this story: Michael McKee in Washington at mmckee@bloomberg.netSimon Kennedy in Washington at Skennedy4@bloomberg.net;





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IMF's War Chest, Surveillance Role Expand to Deal With Crisis

By Christopher Swann

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- The International Monetary Fund, struggling a year ago with less relevance and revenue, emerged from Group of 20 talks with more money to lend and a mandate to increase monitoring of a global financial system in crisis.

``Unfortunately, I'm not expecting that countries will stop lining up in front of the IMF during the coming weeks,'' IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said at a press conference yesterday after G-20 talks in Washington. ``Our role in surveillance will certainly increase.''

Demand for IMF loans is soaring as market turmoil spreads from rich nations to poorer ones. The IMF has lent $40 billion in the past two weeks and more requests for aid are under review. Japan yesterday offered to increase the fund's lending capacity to $300 billion from $200 billion.

``To face a crisis like this, we need multilateral entities that are much stronger, much more active and much more agile,'' Mexican President Felipe Calderon told a press conference.

The IMF in late October approved a short-term lending program that almost doubles the amount developing countries are allowed to borrow. Eligible countries can draw 500 percent of their quota -- the amount they contribute to the IMF -- as many as three times in a 12-month period. The usual IMF loan length is three to five years.

The G-20, in a statement released earlier yesterday, said the IMF has an ``important role in crisis response'' and sought to ensure it has ``sufficient resources to continue playing their role in overcoming the crisis.''

Adequacy Review

``We should review the adequacy of the resources of the IMF, the World Bank Group and other multilateral development banks and stand ready to increase them where necessary,'' the G-20 said in the statement.

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown has called on other nations with large foreign exchange reserves, such as Saudi Arabia and China, to pledge resources to the IMF.

When he was appointed a year ago Strauss-Kahn faced annual losses of $400 million by 2010 if the IMF's business didn't improve and its staff of 2,600 wasn't reduced.

Strauss-Kahn, in a statement released a month after taking office in November 2007, said an overhaul of the IMF needed to address the ``twin issues of the fund's relevance and legitimacy.''

The Washington-based lender yesterday announced it had agreed to a $7.6 billion loan to Pakistan. Last week the fund approved a $15.7 billion loan to Hungary and a $16.4 billion loan to Ukraine.

Deal Completion

Iceland is in talks for $2.1 billion and Belarus is seeking $2 billion. Strauss-Kahn said today the IMF's executive board would complete the Iceland deal on Nov. 19.

The office of Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso released a statement on Nov. 14 announcing the $100 billion addition to the IMF's coffers and calling on other members of the fund to boost the amount they contribute.

``The IMF has been called into question over recent years because there have been no fires to put out in the global financial system,'' said Claudio Loser, the former director of the fund's Western Hemisphere department and now a scholar at the Inter-American Dialogue, a policy-analysis center in Washington. ``Now there are plenty of fires to put out.''

The fund said last week it would strengthen its surveillance of financial markets, conducting ``early warning exercises'' with the Financial Stability Forum, or FSF. The FSF includes officials from the Group of Seven nations as well as Australia, Singapore, Switzerland and the Netherlands.

The IMF and FSF ``should strengthen their collaboration, enhancing efforts to better integrate regulatory and supervisory responses'' and also ``conduct early warning exercises,'' the G-20 statement said.

Urging Reviews

European officials earlier urged the IMF to conduct mandatory reviews of all 185 member nations' financial systems, in order to better anticipate market turmoil.

Officials from countries including Switzerland and the Netherlands said the IMF should expand its Financial Sector Assessment Program, a voluntary early-warning system set up in 1999 in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis.

The check-ups are designed to identify weaknesses in a country's financial institutions and rules and assess how well risks are managed.

The IMF has this year conducted voluntary financial-sector reviews for only 11 countries, mostly in eastern Europe. Expanding the reviews to all 185 member states would make them comparable to the yearly assessments the IMF does on the economies of its members.

The IMF on Nov. 6 released updated forecasts for the world's leading industrial and developing economies that predicted contractions in the U.S., Japan and euro region in 2009. Global growth will be 2.2 percent next year, down from 3.7 percent this year, the IMF said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Christopher Swann in Washington at cswann1@bloomberg.net.





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