Economic Calendar

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

France, Germany clash over ECB role to stem crisis



PARIS/ROME | Wed Nov 16, 2011 9:31am EST

(Reuters) - France and Germany, Europe's two central powers, clashed on Wednesday over whether the European Central Bank should intervene to halt the euro zone's accelerating debt crisis as modest bond purchases failed to stop the rout.

Facing rising borrowing costs as its AAA credit rating comes under threat, France appeared to plead for stronger ECB action, adding to mounting global pressure spelled out by President Barack Obama.

Bond market contagion is spreading across Europe. Italian 10-year bond yields have risen above 7 percent, unaffordable in the long term. Yields on bonds issued by France, the Netherlands and Austria -- which along with Germany form the core of the euro zone -- have also climbed.

"The ECB's role is to ensure the stability of the euro, but also the financial stability of Europe. We trust that the ECB will take the necessary measures to ensure financial stability in Europe," government spokeswoman Valerie Pecresse said after a cabinet meeting in Paris.

Pecresse said Paris believed the risk premium investors charge to hold French debt rather than safe haven 10-year German Bunds "is not justified". That "spread" hit a euro era peak of 195 basis points on Wednesday.

But German Chancellor Angela Merkel made clear Berlin would resist pressure for the central bank to take a bigger role in resolving the debt crisis, saying European Union rules prohibited such action.

"The way we see the treaties, the ECB doesn't have the possibility of solving these problems," she said after talks with visiting Irish Prime Minister Enda Kenny.

The only way to recover markets' confidence was to implement agreed economic reforms and build a closer European political union by changing the EU treaty, Merkel said.

ECB policymakers continue to reject international calls to intervene decisively as Europe's lender of last resort, stressing it is up to governments to resolve the debt crisis through austerity measures and reforms.

Traders said the central bank bought Spanish and Italian bonds on Wednesday, but the respite was short-lived and there was no sign of a change in the ECB's policy of limited, stop-go purchases to calm markets temporarily while maintaining pressure on governments.

In Rome, Prime Minister-designate Mario Monti unveiled a government of technocrats, taking the key economy portfolio for himself in a drive to implement long delayed structural economic reforms and austerity measures.

Monti, a former European Commissioner, said he hoped markets would be reassured by his team, which features several academics and Intesa bank Chief Executive Corrado Passera, but no politicians. He will present his program to the Senate on Thursday.

Obama, on a visit to Australia, turned up the heat on Europe to act more boldly to extinguish the spreading bushfire.

"Until we put in place a concrete plan and structure that sends a clear signal to the markets that Europe is standing behind the euro and will do what it takes, we are going to continue to see the kinds of market turmoil we saw," he said.

Obama said that whilst there had been progress in putting together unity governments in Italy and Greece, Europe still faced a "problem of political will".

"We're going to continue to advise European leaders on what options we think would meet the threshold where markets would settle down. It is going to require some tough decisions on their part," he said.

SYSTEMIC CRISIS

Unicredit Chief Executive Federico Ghizzoni said he would ask the ECB to increase access to central bank funds for Italian banks, which have faced growing funding problems since Italy was sucked into the debt crisis in July.

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso told the European Parliament the euro zone faced a systemic crisis and fragmenting the European Union was no solution.

In Greece, technocrat Prime Minister Lucas Papademos, a former ECB vice-president, was set to win a big confidence vote in parliament for his interim government despite the refusal of the main conservative leader to sign up to more austerity.

New Democracy party chief Antonis Samaras gave Papademos only arms-length backing, refusing to bow to EU demands for a written commitment to the bailout program and calling for elections in three months to restore social peace.

With Papademos' national unity coalition already split, rebuilding Greece's shattered finances to avert default will be a daunting task as Europe battles to prevent its debt woes from dragging down the world economy.

Financial markets are skeptical that unelected technocrats will have the political clout to impose unpopular reforms, the two-year-old debt crisis risks engulfing the entire currency bloc and hurting global growth.

U.S. policymakers have voiced alarm at growing signs of strain in the money market, the plumbing of the international financial system.

Banks in the euro zone face increasing difficulties in obtaining dollar funding, and while the stresses are nowhere near as acute as they were in the 2008 financial crisis, they have continued to mount despite ECB moves to provide unlimited liquidity to banks.

"Markets are clearly expecting a circuit breaker to alleviate pressure on periphery bond yields," said David Scutt, a trader at Arab Bank Australia in Sydney. "If no announcement is forthcoming in the days ahead, one suspects that the situation could unravel fairly quickly.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Europe had a difficult task in boosting the creditworthiness of some of its economies while also boosting growth.

With a Brussels-based think-tank warning that France's economy should be "ringing alarm bells", Finance Minister Francois Baroin sought to calm fears about public finances.

"We have the necessary room to maneuver within the budget to meet our 2012 deficit target even if the economy slows more than expected," he said in an interview in Wednesday's edition of Les Echos. "Even with growth of 0.5 percent we can cope.

Baroin said the government was not working on a third savings package after announcing a second round of belt-tightening in three months last week in order to keep its deficit targets within reach, despite slowing growth.

Data on Tuesday showed the economy of the 17-nation euro zone barely grew in the third quarter. ECB President Mario Draghi has predicted the currency bloc will be in a mild recession by the end of the year.

Many analysts believe the only way to stem the contagion for now is for the central bank to buy large amounts of bonds -- effectively the sort of quantitative easing undertaken by the U.S. and British central banks.

The ECB has bought 187 billion euros in government bonds since May 2010 but it has so far "sterilized" all purchases by taking the equivalent amount in from the market in deposits. One option would be to stop fully sterilizing bond purchases.

This has been anathema in Germany, which fears that printing money could stoke inflation.

But on Tuesday Peter Bofinger, a member of the group of economists that advises the German government, said the ECB should indeed become the euro zone's lender of last resort if the bloc's debt woes risked tearing apart the financial system.

"If politics can't do it, then the ECB must do all it can to bring interest rates down to more reasonable levels," Bofinger said at Euro Finance Week.

(Additional reporting by Emelia Sithole-Matarise in London, Gareth Jones and Dina Kyriakidou in Athens, Deepa Babington in Rome; writing by Paul Taylor; editing by Janet McBride)





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EU Started Samsung, Apple Patent Probe on Own Initiative, Hellstroem Says

By Katie Linsell and Aoife White - Nov 16, 2011 7:25 PM GMT+0700

European Union regulators started an antitrust probe into Samsung Electronics Co. and Apple Inc. (AAPL)’s use of smartphone patents on their “own initiative” without waiting for a competitor to formally raise the issue.

Per Hellstroem, the head of the European Commission’s antitrust unit for consumer electronics, said in London today that the EU’s “preliminary investigation” is trying to determine the underlying facts about Apple’s and Samsung’s use of patents.

“There’s no formal complaint,” Hellstroem said at a conference organized by IBC Legal. “When we see that there are issues that may” potentially “involve competition issues we have the power to send requests for information to various parties.”

Samsung and Apple were questioned by the commission about “the enforcement of standards-essential patents in the mobile- telephony sector,” regulators said earlier this month. Apple said in a filing in a California court case last month that Samsung faced an EU antitrust investigation into its “egregious” misuse of patents.

Apple and Samsung have filed at least 30 lawsuits against each other in 10 countries, according to Samsung. While Cupertino, California-based Apple has also sued Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. and HTC Corp. (2498) over phones using the same operating system, the company’s now-deceased founder Steve Jobs took particular interest in Samsung devices because of what he saw as blatant similarities to the sleek look of its iPhone and iPad tablet computer.

To contact the reporters on this story: Katie Linsell in London at Klinsell@bloomberg.net Aoife White in Brussels at awhite62@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anthony Aarons at aaarons@bloomberg.net.




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Industrial Production Rises More Than Forecast

By Alex Kowalski - Nov 16, 2011 9:15 PM GMT+0700

Industrial production in the U.S. advanced more than forecast in October, a signal manufacturing is contributing to fourth-quarter growth.

Output at factories, mines and utilities climbed 0.7 percent after a revised 0.1 percent drop in September, figures from the Federal Reserve showed today. Economists forecast a 0.4 percent gain, according to the median of 83 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Factory production, which makes up 75 percent of the total, increased 0.5 percent.

Producers are benefiting from rising sales both abroad and in the U.S., easing fears a global slowdown might curtail American manufacturing. The need to replenish low stockpiles may further stimulate factory output in the event consumer spending continues to pick up into the holiday season.

“Manufacturing is doing fairly well, which we see continuing into next year,” Mekael Teshome, an economist at PNC Financial Services Group Inc. in Pittsburgh, said before the report. “Exports have been a key component of growth, and inventory restocking and improved consumption are going to have a positive effect as well.”

Production estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from increases of 0.1 percent to 0.8 percent. The Fed revised the September reading from a previously estimated 0.2 percent gain, mainly reflecting a reduction in mining output.

Inflation Cools

The cost of living in the U.S. unexpectedly fell in October for the first time in four months, a sign that inflationary pressures may be starting to recede, data from the Labor Department also showed. The consumer-price index declined 0.1 percent from the prior month after a 0.3 percent rise in September. The so-called core rate that excludes volatile food and fuel costs rose 0.1 percent, matching September as the smallest gain this year.

Capacity utilization, which measures the amount of a plant in use, increased to 77.8 percent from a revised 77.3 percent in September that was lower than previously estimated, today’s industrial production report showed. The reading compares with the 79.5 percent average over the past 20 years.

The gain in factory output was the biggest in three months and followed a 0.3 percent advance in September. Manufacturing accounts for about 12 percent of the U.S. economy.

The output of motor vehicles and parts increased 3.1 percent after a 0.4 percent gain a month earlier, today’s report showed. Excluding autos and parts, manufacturing climbed 0.3 percent for a second month.

Mining, Utilities

Mining production, which includes oil drilling, increased 2.3 percent, the biggest gain since January 2010. Utility output decreased 0.1 percent after dropping 2 percent in September.

Production of business equipment increased 1 percent after rising 0.6 percent in September, an indication that investment in computers and communications gear may continue to bolster the expansion. In the third quarter, corporate spending on equipment and software climbed at a 17.4 percent pace, the most in a year, adding 1.2 percentage points to economic growth.

Stronger consumer spending could propel U.S. manufacturing further. Retail sales rose more than projected in October as Americans bought more electronics and demand for automobiles improved, Commerce Department figures showed yesterday. A month earlier, businesses had enough goods on hand to last 1.27 months at the current sales pace, near a record low, which may lead to more factory orders should demand persist.

Lower Dollar

Increased foreign demand for U.S.-made goods has also kept assembly lines running as a cheaper dollar makes American goods more competitive overseas. IntercontinentalExchange Inc.’s Dollar Index, which tracks the currency against those of six major trading partners including the euro, yen and pound, has dropped 12 percent from June 7, 2010, through yesterday. Exports rose to a record $180 billion in September, government data showed last week.

“We’re off to a great, great start,” Lee Banks, executive vice president at Parker Hannifin Corp., said during a Nov. 9 investor conference. “I just got back this week from spending time through Eastern Europe and every time you think things are stagnating you get out in the market and you look at the opportunities around the world for people that want to live like we live here, you see nothing but great opportunities.”

Parker Hannifin last month lifted its fiscal 2012 outlook. North American demand will also support the Cleveland-based maker of hydraulic equipment, according to Ann Duignan, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co. Projections for revenue growth in that region next year increased to about 8.3 percent from about 6.2 percent as orders “re-accelerated,” Duignan told Bloomberg News.

To contact the reporter on this story: Alex Kowalski in Washington at akowalski13@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net




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U.S. Stock Futures Decline as Euro Weakens on BOE Remarks; Oil Tops $100

By Stephen Kirkland - Nov 16, 2011 9:01 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Fabrizio Fiorini, chief investment officer at Aletti Gestielle SGR SpA talks about the outlook for Italian bonds. He speaks from Milan with Owen Thomas on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Daphne Roth, Singapore-based head of Asian equity research at ABN Amro Private Bank, talks about the impact of Europe's debt crisis on Asian equity markets and her asset allocation. Roth speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "On the Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Nader Naeimi, a Sydney-based strategist for AMP Capital Investors Ltd., talks about the impact of Europe's sovereign debt crisis on global financial markets and his investment strategy. Naeimi speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Charles Mounts, a managing director at Knight Capital, talks about Spain's bank turmoil and the contrast to other European sovereign debt problems. Mounts speaks with Sara Eisen and Stephanie Ruhle on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)


U.S. index futures and the euro fell as the Bank of England said failure to resolve Europe’s debt crisis may have “significant adverse effects” on the economy. The cost of insuring government bonds declined from records as the European Central Bank bought Italian and Spanish notes.

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures sank 1 percent to 1,241.5 at 8:59 a.m. in New York and the Stoxx Europe 600 Index slipped 0.3 percent. Credit-default swaps insuring Italian, Spanish and Belgian debt fell from all-time highs, and Italy’s 10-year yield decreased. The euro depreciated 0.5 percent to $1.3476. Oil topped $100 a barrel for the first time since July before a report forecast to show crude inventories declined.

“The European bond market is becoming very binary, and ECB-dependent,” said Mohit Kumar, head of European interest- rate strategy at Deutsche Bank AG in London. “Whenever the ECB steps in, the market likes it. When it steps back, you see pressure. There are no real buyers.”

Britain faces a “markedly weaker” outlook for the economy and persistent danger from Europe’s debt crisis, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said today. The ECB bought larger-than- usual sizes and quantities of Italian debt, said two people with knowledge of the trades, who declined to be identified because the deals are private. Italian Prime Minister-designate Mario Monti will present his Cabinet today. U.S. industrial output probably increased last month, economists said before a Federal Reserve report.

Collateral Range

Two shares fell for every one that gained in the Stoxx 600. Electricite de France SA slid 4.6 percent as the nation’s opposition Socialist and Green parties united to campaign for the closure of 24 nuclear reactors by 2025. Vivendi SA, the owner of the world’s largest video-game and music companies, advanced 3.7 percent after reporting profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.5 percent yesterday. The Fed report at 9:15 a.m. in Washington may show industrial production climbed 0.4 percent in October, twice as much as the previous month, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. Other data may show the cost of living was little changed, restrained by falling energy prices.

Credit-default swaps on Italy dropped nine basis points to 586, contracts on Spain were down seven basis points at 474 and Belgium’s fell one to 343.

The yield on the 10-year Italian security declined nine basis points to 6.98 percent, while the equivalent-maturity Spanish yield added three basis points. French 10-year borrowing costs relative to benchmark German bunds retreated from a euro- era record.

Money Markets

The three-month cross-currency basis swap, the rate banks pay to convert euro payments into dollars, increased to 122.5 basis points less than the euro interbank offered rate, the most expensive cost since December 2008. The measure was 119.5 basis points under Euribor yesterday.

The pound slid for a third day against the dollar after a report showed U.K. unemployment rose in the three months through September as joblessness among young people climbed above 1 million for the first time since at least 1992. The jobless rate climbed to a 15-year high of 8.3 percent.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.1 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index in Hong Kong tumbled 2.9 percent, while Taiwan’s Taiex Index fell 1.4 percent. South Korea’s Kospi Index (KOSPI) dropped 1.6 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Stephen Kirkland in London at skirkland@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stuart Wallace at swallace6@bloomberg.net



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U.S. Stock Futures Maintain Losses on CPI Drop

By Michael P. Regan - Nov 16, 2011 8:33 PM GMT+0700

U.S. stock-index futures maintained losses after the cost of living unexpectedly fell in October for the first time in four months.

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in December fell 0.8 percent to 1,243.7 at 8:32 a.m. in New York.

The consumer-price index declined 0.1 percent from the prior month, Labor Department data showed. The so-called core rate that excludes volatile food and fuel costs rose 0.1 percent, matching September as the smallest gain this year.

Earlier losses in futures came as the Bank of England said failure by European officials to resolve the debt crisis could hurt the global economy and results from Dell Inc. (DELL) and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) disappointed investors.

U.S. stocks rose yesterday amid progress in Italian Prime Minister-designate Mario Monti’s efforts to form a new government to battle the debt crisis and after growth in retail sales and New York-area manufacturing beat estimates.

The S&P 500 has rebounded 14 percent from its low for the year on Oct. 3 as improving economic data and better-than- estimated earnings bolstered optimism that the world’s largest economy will avoid a recession. The index is still down 7.8 percent from a three-year high reached at the end of April.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael P. Regan at mregan12@bloomberg.net




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European Stocks Resume Drop; Benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Index Falls 0.5%

By Adria Cimino - Nov 16, 2011 8:49 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Charles Mounts, a managing director at Knight Capital, talks about Spain's bank turmoil and the contrast to other European sovereign debt problems. Mounts speaks with Sara Eisen and Stephanie Ruhle on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Fabrizio Fiorini, chief investment officer at Aletti Gestielle SGR SpA talks about the outlook for Italian bonds. He speaks from Milan with Owen Thomas on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)


European stocks resumed their decline as Italy’s Mario Monti agreed to become the country’s prime minister amid concern the sovereign-debt crisis is hurting the global economy.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped 0.5 percent to 235.9 at 1:45 p.m. in London. The gauge earlier swung between a gain of 1.2 percent and a decline of 0.7 percent as the European Central Bank was said to buy Italian and Spanish bonds and the Bank of England warned failure to tackle the debt crisis could affect economic growth. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in December lost 1 percent, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.2 percent today.

“The market is reacting very strongly to any news,” said Guillaume Duchesne, an equity strategist at BGL BNP Paribas SA in Luxembourg. “The political situation will remain a determining factor. We’ll see what happens with Italy.”

The benchmark measure has declined 19 percent from this year’s high on Feb. 17 as European Union policy makers struggle to contain a crisis that has Greece on the edge of a default and the region’s highly indebted nations grappling with record bond yields.

Mario Monti said he will be both prime minister and finance minister in his new Italian government. The premier-designate concluded two days of talks with political leaders yesterday in a bid to gain broad support for a Cabinet tasked with pushing through an overhaul of the currency region’s third-biggest economy.

“Market participants do not want to give up hope on a resolution of the EU crisis as the EU remains focused on finding means to expand its bailout fund,” said Stephane Ekolo, chief European strategist at Market Securities in London.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adria Cimino in Paris at acimino1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Andrew Rummer at arummer@bloomberg.net




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JPMorgan Joins Goldman Keeping Italy Debt Risk in Dark

By Christine Harper and Michael J. Moore - Nov 16, 2011 7:01 AM GMT+0700

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), among the world’s biggest traders of credit derivatives, disclosed to shareholders that they have sold protection on more than $5 trillion of debt globally.

Just don’t ask them how much of that was issued by Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, known as the GIIPS.

As concerns mount that those countries may not be creditworthy, investors are being kept in the dark about how much risk U.S. banks face from a default. Firms including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan don’t provide a full picture of potential losses and gains in such a scenario, giving only net numbers or excluding some derivatives altogether.

“If you don’t have to, generally people don’t see the advantage to doing it,” said Richard Lindsey, a former director of market regulation at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission who worked at Bear Stearns Cos. from 1999 through 2006. “On the other hand, if there were a run on Goldman Sachs tomorrow because the rumor was that they had exposure to Greece, you’d see them produce those numbers.”

A case in point: Jefferies Group Inc. (JEF), the New York-based securities firm, disclosed every long and short position it held on European debt earlier this month after its shares plunged more than 20 percent. Jefferies also said it wasn’t relying on credit-default swaps, contracts that promise to pay the buyer if the underlying debt defaults, as a hedge on European holdings.

‘Funded’ Exposure

By contrast, Goldman Sachs discloses only what it calls “funded” exposure to GIIPS debt -- $4.16 billion before hedges and $2.46 billion after, as of Sept. 30. Those amounts exclude commitments or contingent payments, such as credit-default swaps, said Lucas van Praag, a spokesman for the bank.

Goldman Sachs includes CDS in its market-risk calculations, of which value-at-risk is one measure, and it hedges the swaps and holds collateral against the hedges, primarily cash and U.S. Treasuries, van Praag said. The firm doesn’t break out its estimate of the market risk related to the five countries.

JPMorgan said in its third-quarter SEC filing that more than 98 percent of the credit-default swaps the New York-based bank has written on GIIPS debt is balanced by CDS contracts purchased on the same bonds. The bank said its net exposure was no more than $1.5 billion, with a portion coming from debt and equity securities. The company didn’t disclose gross numbers or how much of the $1.5 billion came from swaps, leaving investors wondering whether the notional value of CDS sold could be as high as $150 billion or as low as zero.

Counterparty Clarity

“Their position is you don’t need to know the risks, which is why they’re giving you net numbers,” said Nomi Prins, a managing director at New York-based Goldman Sachs until she left in 2002 to become a writer. “Net is only as good as the counterparties on each side of the net -- that’s why it’s misleading in a fluid, dynamic market.”

Investors should want to know how much defaulted debt the banks could be forced to repay because of credit derivatives and how much they’d be in line to receive from other counterparties, Prins said. In addition, they should seek to find out who those counterparties are, she said.

JPMorgan sought to allay concerns that its counterparties are unreliable by saying in the filing that it buys protection only from firms outside the five countries that are “either investment-grade or well-supported by collateral arrangements.” The bank doesn’t identify the counterparties.

Citigroup, Morgan Stanley

Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. (C) and Morgan Stanley also don’t list gross amounts of CDS on GIIPS debt in their filings. All three banks provide figures within their disclosures that they say include a net of their credit-default swaps bought and sold on the five countries.

Citigroup’s net funded exposure as of Sept. 30 was $7.2 billion, and its unfunded commitments were $9.2 billion, the New York-based bank said in a filing and a presentation. Bank of America, based in Charlotte, North Carolina, said total net exposure was $14.6 billion for the five countries, while New York-based Morgan Stanley (MS) listed $2.1 billion.

Jon Diat, a Citigroup spokesman, declined to comment, as did Bank of America’s Jerry Dubrowski, JPMorgan’s Howard Opinsky and Morgan Stanley’s Mark Lake.

Banks exchange collateral, usually cash or liquid securities such as U.S. government debt, with trading partners as the value of their credit-default swaps fluctuates and their perception of one another’s ability to repay changes.

Bungee Cords

If the value of Italian bonds drops, as it did last week, a U.S. firm that sold a credit-default swap on that debt to a French bank would have to provide more collateral. The same U.S. company might be collecting collateral from a British bank because it bought a swap from that firm.

As long as all three banks can make good on their promises, the trade doesn’t have much risk. It could all unravel if the British firm runs into trouble because it’s waiting for a payment from an Italian company that defaults. The collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in 2008 demonstrated some of the ripple effects that one failure can have in the market.

“We learned from Lehman that all of these firms are tied together with bungee cords -- you can’t just lift one out without it affecting everyone else in the group,” said Brad Hintz, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York who previously worked at Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley. More disclosure “may push the stock prices down when it becomes clear how big the bungee cords are. But it certainly would be a welcome addition for an analyst.”

FASB Rule

The Financial Accounting Standards Board in 2008 started requiring companies to disclose the worldwide gross notional credit protection they’ve written and bought. As of Sept. 30, JPMorgan said it had sold $3.13 trillion of credit-derivative protection and purchased $3.07 trillion, up from $2.75 trillion sold and $2.72 trillion bought at the end of 2010, filings show. Goldman Sachs disclosed it had written $2.07 trillion and bought $2.20 trillion, about the same amount it reported at year-end.

At the end of the second quarter, those two firms accounted for 43 percent of the $24 trillion of credit derivatives sold and bought by the 25 largest banks in the U.S., according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The top five account for 97 percent of the total, the data show.

Guarantees provided by U.S. lenders on government, bank and corporate debt in Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Spain rose by $80.7 billion to $518 billion in the first half of 2011, according to the Bank for International Settlements.

‘Ultra-Transparency’

Neither FASB nor the SEC requires banks to disclose how many of those derivatives are written by country or region. That’s something Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, would like to see changed.

“We should have ultra-transparency on those institutions,” Fisher said of the biggest financial firms in a Nov. 14 interview at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. “They should report both their gross and their net CDS exposure, and they should do it country-by-country. After all, they need to inform their shareholders.”

Banks are reluctant to provide the figures in part because doing so would reveal too much information about their positions and operations, said Jon Fisher, a portfolio manager at Fifth Third Asset Management in Minneapolis, which manages more than $16 billion. The sheer size of the numbers may also be a deterrent, investors said.

‘Biggest Fear’

“I think the biggest fear is the numbers are so large that even though they offset, it would maybe shock people,” said Ralph Cole, a senior vice president in research at Ferguson Wellman Inc. in Portland, Oregon, which manages $2.8 billion including JPMorgan stock. “Maybe they don’t think that disclosure will be treated fairly or understood well.”

Still, “they need to give us a good reason why we shouldn’t see that,” he said. “More disclosure is better, and you can see that in their valuations right now.”

Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have each fallen more than 40 percent this year, while JPMorgan has dropped 23 percent. Each of the lenders trades at least 24 percent below book value, indicating investors are questioning the assets on the firms’ balance sheets.

Lloyd C. Blankfein, 57, Goldman Sachs’s chairman and chief executive officer, said in an interview with the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission staff last year that the amount of the firm’s derivatives trades shouldn’t be a cause for alarm.

‘Longs and Shorts’

“We either have netting agreements, or they foot, or they cancel each other out, or they’re longs and shorts on the same instrument,” he said, answering a question about how the firm manages so many contracts in a crisis. “The only way you can run a business like that is to have these systems work so they can aggregate stuff, so you can run the business on a macro basis, and also so you can get the details quickly if you need them. And that’s all systems and technology.”

Lindsey, the former SEC official who’s now president of New York-based Callcott Group LLC, which consults on markets and market operations, said few firms have systems that can portray their real-time exposure to trading partners.

“That’s very difficult for any firm to have a good handle on all of that -- you know large positions and you know what certain positions are, but to be able to say I’ve adequately aggregated all of my long exposure and all of my short exposure to a specific counterparty may be very difficult,” Lindsey said. “I don’t know of a firm where it’s not pulled together by a phone call, where somebody says, ‘OK, we need to know our exposure to X,’ and a lot of people stop their day jobs and try to find an answer.”

‘Needlessly Cause Reaction’

Lindsey said banks may be wary of disclosures that could confuse investors. Figures such as gross notional exposure -- the total amount of debt insured by credit derivatives -- give investors an exaggerated sense of the risk and could “needlessly cause reaction,” he said.

Other methods, such as stress-testing, scenario analysis or so-called value-at-risk estimates, rely on models that may underestimate risk because historical data on sovereign defaults show them to be unlikely.

“If you’re looking at your exposure to a defaulting sovereign, there’s a relatively low frequency rate,” Lindsey said. “So it really depends on what they’ve done internally to back up their ideas of what their assessment of the probability of default is.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Christine Harper in New York at charper@bloomberg.net; Michael J. Moore in New York at mmoore55@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rick Green at rgreen18@bloomberg.net




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Apple Names Genentech’s Levinson Chairman, Adds Disney’s Iger to Its Board

By Ian King and Peter Burrows - Nov 16, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Apple Inc. (AAPL) beefed up its board by appointing Art Levinson as chairman, filling a vacancy left by the death of Steve Jobs, and adding Walt Disney Co. (DIS) Chief Executive Officer Robert Iger as a director.

Levinson, on Apple’s board since 2000, becomes non- executive chairman, the Cupertino, California-based company said yesterday in a statement.

Adding Iger may cement ties to Disney, on whose board Jobs had a seat, and may ensure that Apple retains access to the entertainment company’s TV shows and movies, said Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray Cos. Levinson’s appointment lets Tim Cook concentrate on being CEO without the added responsibility of being chairman, he said.

“They’re trying to shore up the Disney relationship or strengthen that relationship because it’s an important part of where Apple is going,” Munster said.

Apple may introduce a TV set by 2013, Munster said. The device would be easier to use than Apple TV, the set-top box it now sells, he said. One possibility would be for the company to strike licensing deals that let customers buy only programs they want, a la carte, rather than multichannel packages from cable companies, he said. Disney owns ABC and ESPN.

“The content piece is the critical key to the living room,” Munster said.

Apple, based in Cupertino, California, rose 2.5 percent to $388.83 yesterday. The stock had advanced 21 percent this year before today.

Audit Committee Seat

Iger will sit on Apple’s auditing committee, an assignment that may draw scrutiny because of the ties between Apple and Disney, said Charles Elson, director of the John L. Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware. Federal regulations require that audit committee members have no substantial commercial ties with the company on whose board they sit, he said.

Apple gets a small portion of sales from distributing movies, music and TV. Disney has been an important partner in pushing media companies to make content available in Apple’s iTunes store. When Apple added video fare to iTunes, Disney was the first major studio to sign on.

“I’m a little surprised that they would put Iger on the audit committee,” Elson said.

Apple maintains so-called “arms-length” commercial ties with Disney, according to a January filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. That meant that as a director at both companies, Jobs didn’t have a “material direct or indirect interest” in any of such dealings, Apple said then.

The same policies may apply to Iger.

‘Great Fit’

Iger’s Apple board seat is a rarity for a Disney executive. No other executive sits on an outside board, according to Bloomberg data. Michael Eisner, Iger’s predecessor, sat on no boards while he was CEO, and the seat will be Iger’s first on an outside company. Disney said on Oct. 7 that Iger would add the chairman’s title next year.

“He is going to make an extraordinary addition to our already very strong board,” Apple’s Cook said of Iger. His role at Disney in generating content, spurring innovation, harnessing new technology and expanding into new markets help make Iger “a great fit for Apple.”

Levinson is chairman and former CEO of Genentech Inc., which is now owned by Roche Holding AG. (ROG)

“He has been our longest serving co-lead director, and his insight and leadership are incredibly valuable to Apple, our employees and our shareholders,” Cook said in the statement.

Jobs became Disney’s largest shareholder when that company bought Pixar, the animation studio he helped create. He passed away on Oct. 5.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian King in 東京 at ianking@bloomberg.net; Peter Burrows in San Francisco at pburrows@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Stocks, U.S. Futures Retreat on Italy Concern

By Lynn Thomasson - Nov 16, 2011 3:30 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Daphne Roth, Singapore-based head of Asian equity research at ABN Amro Private Bank, talks about the impact of Europe's debt crisis on Asian equity markets and her asset allocation. Roth speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "On the Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Nader Naeimi, a Sydney-based strategist for AMP Capital Investors Ltd., talks about the impact of Europe's sovereign debt crisis on global financial markets and his investment strategy. Naeimi speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


Asian stocks and U.S. equity futures fell, while the euro sank to a five-week low against the dollar on concern economic growth in China and Japan is slowing and as Italian Prime Minister-designate Mario Monti prepared to form a new government.

The MSCI All-Country World Index slid 0.6 percent as of 8:01 a.m. in London for a third day of declines, the longest stretch in a month. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.2 percent. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures lost 0.8 percent. The euro weakened 0.6 percent to $1.3457. Japan’s 10-year bond yield fell to the lowest level in a year after the Bank of Japan cut its economic assessment. The Indonesian rupiah dropped to a seven- week low after the central bank lowered the 2012 growth forecast yesterday.

“The problem is that while we’ve seen some kind of political resolution there, we are still waiting to see what’s the fiscal solution for Europe,” Daphne Roth, Singapore-based head of Asian equity research at ABN Amro Private Bank, told Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.” “The risk of a recession is still concentrated in the euro zone.”

Monti said after European markets closed that he is convinced Italy can overcome the crisis and he’ll meet with President Giorgio Napolitano tomorrow to present his Cabinet. The extra yield investors demand to hold 10-year bonds from France, Belgium, Spain and Austria instead of German bunds all climbed to euro-era records yesterday.

Futures on the S&P 500 expiring in December fell to 1,244.50. The index gained 0.5 percent yesterday. Economic reports today may show that U.S. industrial production climbed 0.4 percent in October, twice as much as the previous month.

Stocks Fall

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 1.4 percent. The Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 2.5 percent, the biggest decline in almost two months. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index tumbled 2.9 percent and South Korea’s Kospi Index retreated 1.6 percent.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HSI) slumped 2 percent. The city’s “rapid” credit growth has increased the risk that banks make bad loans as Hong Kong faces a potential recession, according to a report from the International Monetary Fund today.

“There are still worries about economic growth next year and a possible decline in company earnings,” said Larry Wan, Beijing-based head of investment at Union Life Asset Management Co., which manages the equivalent of $2.2 billion. “There’s not much optimism.”

China Bonds

China’s 10-year government bonds climbed after the finance ministry sold debt at a lower yield than estimated, bolstering speculation monetary policy will ease. The Ministry of Finance sold at least 28 billion yuan ($4.4 billion) of 10-year bonds at an average yield of 3.57 percent, according to a trader at a finance company that participates in government debt auctions. The yield on the 3.99 percent government bond due June 2021 dropped seven basis points to 3.63 percent, according to the National Interbank Funding Center.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average lost 0.9 percent. The country’s benchmark 10-year yield dropped one basis point to 0.955 percent at Japan Bond Trading Co. The central bank left its asset-buying fund unchanged at 20 trillion yen ($260 billion) and held the overnight lending rate between zero and 0.1 percent.

Euro Drops

The euro weakened against 12 of its 16 major counterparts. Spain is scheduled to sell as much as 4 billion euros ($5.4 billion) of bonds due 2022, while France will auction notes maturing from 2013 to 2016 tomorrow. Spain and Belgium sold less than the maximum target of bills at auctions yesterday as financing costs increased.

U.S. 10-year bond yields dropped two basis points to 2.01 percent. The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, climbed 0.5 percent to 78.25.

France, Spain, they’re all seeing yields move out, so you get the impression that we’re at some sort of juncture where banks, investors and corporations are starting to prepare for the worst-case outcome,” said Greg Gibbs, a currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Sydney. “The euro will remain under pressure.”

Rupiah, Oil

Indonesia’s rupiah fell 0.5 percent to 9,041 per dollar. Bank Indonesia estimates gross domestic product will increase 6.5 percent next year from a previous estimate of 6.7 percent. The central bank unexpectedly cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 6 percent last week.

The cost of protecting corporate and sovereign bonds from default rose in Australia and Asia outside of Japan, with the Markit iTraxx Asia index of 40 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan advancing 3 basis points to 208.5 basis points, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc prices show. The gauge is set for its highest close since Nov. 9, according to CMA.

Oil dropped from the highest level in more than three months, retreating 0.7 percent to $98.70 a barrel. Gold for immediate delivery fell 0.6 percent to $1,769.70 an ounce. Copper in London declined 0.9 percent to $7,618 a metric ton, reversing an advance of as much as 1.8 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Lynn Thomasson in Hong Kong at lthomasson@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Richard Dobson at rdobson4@bloomberg.net



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Facebook Identifies Those Responsible for Pornography in Users’ Newsfeeds

By Olga Kharif and Brian Womack - Nov 16, 2011 8:00 AM GMT+0700

Facebook Inc. has identified those responsible for the recent deluge of hardcore porn and violent images in some users’ newsfeeds, and said it is working with its legal team “to ensure appropriate consequences follow.”

The social networking company made the statement after porn, pictures of extreme violence and faked photos of celebrities such as Justin Bieber in sexual situations had overrun the profiles of some Facebook users.

Had Facebook not quickly stanched the inundation, the company ran the risk of losing some of its more than 800 million active users, said security researcher Sophos Ltd., based in Abingdon, U.K.

“Facebook needs to get this under control, because the content is so offensive,” said Graham Cluley, senior technology consultant at Sophos. “Some people may quit Facebook.”

Earlier today, Facebook said it had “drastically limited the damage caused” by a spam attack that took advantage of a browser vulnerability.

“Protecting the people who use Facebook from spam and malicious content is a top priority for us,” Palo Alto, California-based Facebook said in a statement.

Users were tricked into pasting malware into their browsers, which in turn resulted in the sharing of offensive content, Facebook said.

“We’ve built enforcement mechanisms to quickly shut down the malicious Pages and accounts that attempt to exploit it,” Facebook said.

Facebook users lamented the images on microblogging service Twitter Inc.

“Has anyone been on Facebook lately?” tweeted Jay Ciroc, who identifies himself as a recording artist living in New Jersey. “My newsfeed looks like a porn site.”

Some Twitter users said they’ll quit Facebook as a result.

To contact the reporters on this story: Olga Kharif in Portland at okharif@bloomberg.net; Brian Womack in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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Google Music Store Chases Apple’s ITunes

By Brian Womack and Andy Fixmer - Nov 16, 2011 9:37 AM GMT+0700

Google Inc. (GOOG) is entering the online music market almost a decade too late to pose a threat to Apple Inc. (AAPL), the largest seller of songs on the Web.

The service, scheduled to be unveiled at a Google event in Los Angeles today, will let users store songs online and listen to tracks on multiple devices, people familiar with the matter said. Apple opened the iTunes store in 2003 and made popular the legal downloading of music from the Internet.

Google’s new challenge to Apple escalates the rivalry between the two companies, already locked in a fight for smartphone users and mobile-advertising customers. The Internet- search giant also faces budding competition from Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), which has bolstered its music-download and storage service, and Spotify Ltd., whose partnership with Facebook Inc. has buoyed U.S. membership this year.

“They’re coming into this market rather late in the game, where there are large, established players,” said Ray Valdes, an analyst at Gartner Inc. in San Jose, California. “You can say it’s a saturated market.”

Google, the owner of the biggest Internet search engine, has expanded into music, television and movies to bolster sales of devices running its Android mobile software. The company, based in Mountain View, California, is also seeking rights for its Google+ social-network users to share music with each other, people familiar said.

Randall Sarafa, a spokesman for Google, declined to comment.

Sony, Vivendi, EMI

On the eve of the debut, Google reached an agreement with Sony Corp. (6758)’s music unit, a person with knowledge of the situation said yesterday. Vivendi SA (VIV)’s Universal Music Group and EMI Group Ltd. have already signed on, said two people with knowledge of the plans, who weren’t authorized to speak publicly. Songs will cost 99 cents to $1.29, though Google may offer discounts, said one person.

Warner Music Group hadn’t yet reached an accord with Google because of pricing and piracy concerns, two people familiar with the matter said earlier this week.

Apple first unveiled its iPod music player in 2001, and in 2003 started the iTunes music store, offering songs for 99 cents apiece. The company, which makes its own hardware and the software that runs it, has benefited in the past decade as consumers shifted from CDs to online music services. Apple’s iTunes service works on its own devices, such as the iPod, iPhone and iPad tablet, as well as personal computers from other manufacturers.

Android Versus IPhone

Google fights back in the smartphone market by letting multiple phonemakers customize the Android system. T-Mobile USA Inc. introduced the first phone powered by Android software, made by HTC Corp., in October 2008, more than a year after Apple’s iPhone debuted.

Android garnered 53 percent of the global smartphone industry in the third quarter, making it No. 1, according to Gartner. Apple’s iPhone software had 15 percent.

Still, Google may have a harder time narrowing Apple’s music lead, given the longer head start and how established iTunes has become. ITunes customers have downloaded 16 billion songs, and the store had $1.5 billion in revenue in Apple’s most recent quarter.

“They have to overcome the No. 1 incumbent in this area,” said Mark Little, an analyst at research firm Ovum in London. “That’s not an easy company to grab share from.”

Amazon, Spotify

Amazon.com, the world’s largest online retailer, offers MP3 song downloads from the major labels with a service that began with a public test in 2007. Amazon also unveiled a storage service for users earlier this year.

Music provider Spotify, helped by its partnership with leading social-networking service Facebook, is emerging as another online-music alternative. Since its start in the U.S. in July, Spotify has grown to about 2 million subscribers who pay $5 to $10 per month for a premium service, according to Ken Parks, chief content officer for the London-based company.

Another startup, Rdio Inc., will offer free song streaming without advertising. Users of the free service are granted a limited amount of music each month and access is available only for listening on computers, San Francisco-based Rdio said last month.

The new online store won’t be Google’s first effort in music. Earlier this year, the company rolled out a service that stores song libraries and playlists, and suggests music based on listeners’ collections. That offering lacked the ability to purchase songs directly from Google after some labels stymied the effort, Jamie Rosenberg, director of digital content for Android, said at a conference in May.

Web Reach

Even if it takes a while for Google to secure an agreement with Warner, whose artists include Green Day and Madonna, the company’s reach on the Web may help it succeed. Google’s network of websites had the most visitors worldwide in September with 1.1 billion, according to ComScore Inc. Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) sites had 914 million, and Facebook was No. 3 with 770 million.

“I doubt they’ll meet with immediate success,” Valdes said. “If they fail, it will take a while for that to become evident because they have enough presence to make at least slow progress for some time.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian Womack in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net; Andy Fixmer in Los Angeles at afixmer@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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Euro Declines to Lowest in Five Weeks Before Spanish, French Debt Auctions

By Candice Zachariahs - Nov 16, 2011 3:25 PM GMT+0700

The euro sank to five-week lows against the dollar and the yen as Spain and France prepare to sell securities tomorrow after a slump in euro-area debt signaled the region’s debt crisis is spreading.

The 17-nation currency weakened for a third day as the extra yield investors demand to hold bonds from France, Belgium, Spain and Austria instead of German bunds stayed near euro-era records. The dollar rose against 15 of its 16 major peers as investors sought safer assets. China’s yuan failed to extend a gain from yesterday after the People’s Bank of China set its daily reference rate weaker for a second day.

“France, Spain, they’re all seeing yields move out, so you get the impression that we’re at some sort of juncture where banks, investors and corporations are starting to prepare for the worst-case outcome,” said Greg Gibbs, a currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Sydney. “The euro will remain under pressure.”

The euro fell 0.3 percent to $1.3493 at 8:20 a.m. London time, after touching $1.3429, the weakest level since Oct. 10. The shared currency declined 0.4 percent to 103.89 yen after weakening to 103.41 yen, also the least since Oct. 10. Japan’s currency gained 0.1 percent to 76.99 versus the dollar.

Spain is scheduled to sell as much as 4 billion euros of bonds due 2022, while France will auction notes maturing from 2013 to 2016 tomorrow. Ten-year Spanish yields jumped 23 basis points to 6.34 percent yesterday, with the extra yield over similar-tenor bunds widening to 455 basis points. It declined two basis points to 6.32 percent today. The spread investors demand to hold 10-year French debt instead of bunds was 191 basis points.

Stop-Losses

The euro extended declines on speculation so-called stop- loss orders around the $1.35 level were activated, according to Satoshi Okagawa, a senior global markets analyst at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp., a unit of Japan’s second largest banking group by market value.

“Stop-losses in euro-dollar were probably triggered,” Singapore-based Okagawa said, referring to automatic orders to buy or sell a currency at a certain level to limit losses. “Selling of the euro looks strong.”

The euro has dropped 1.5 percent over the past six months, according to Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The yen has gained 7.4 percent and the dollar has risen 3.5 percent, the best performers among the 10 developed-nation peers tracked by the gauge.

“When U.S. employment starts to improve among exporters and manufacturers, the dollar is likely to be bought from the second half of next year,” said Masashi Murata, vice president of foreign exchange in Tokyo at BBH Investment Services Inc., a unit of New York-based Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.

BOJ Decision

The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits was 395,000 last week, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists before the report tomorrow. That compares with a figure of 390,000 for the previous week, the lowest level in seven months.

The yen maintained gains against its major counterparts after the Bank of Japan held its key interest rate near zero and cut its economic assessment for the nation, citing risks from a global slowdown. BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and his policy board also left an asset-buying fund unchanged at 20 trillion yen in a unanimous decision, the central bank said in a statement released today.

The yen tends to strengthen in periods of financial and economic stress because Japan doesn’t rely on foreign capital to balance current accounts -- the broadest measure of trade. The U.S. dollar benefits because of its status as the world’s primary reserve currency.

Greek Confidence Vote

Losses in the euro were limited before Italian Prime Minister-designate Mario Monti is due to meet with President Giorgio Napolitano to officially accept the post and possibly present his ministers. Greece’s Prime Minister Lucas Papademos faces a roll-call vote today in parliament, which will give him a three-month mandate to implement budget measures and ensure a bailout package.

China’s yuan failed to rally versus the dollar as the central bank’s reference-rate fixing suggests the nation won’t bow to a U.S. call for faster currency appreciation.

“The fixing in the past two days had certain political undertones to it,” said Sacha Tihanyi, a Hong Kong-based currency strategist at Scotia Capital, the investment banking unit of Bank of Nova Scotia. “It may be China sending the message, as has been the case in the past, that overly direct criticism of its currency policy is counter-productive.”

President Barack Obama said “enough is enough” on what the U.S. views as a too-slow appreciation of the yuan at a news conference concluding a summit with Asia-Pacific leaders in Hawaii on Nov. 13.

The PBOC set its daily reference rate at 6.3509 per dollar, the weakest level since Oct. 24. The yuan is allowed to trade up to 0.5 percent on either side of the daily reference rate. The yuan was at 6.3443 per dollar from 6.3465 yesterday, according to the China Foreign Exchange Trade System.

To contact the reporter on this story: Candice Zachariahs in Sydney at czachariahs2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net


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Asian Stocks Fall for Second Day on Europe Concern as Italian Yields Rise

By Yoshiaki Nohara - Nov 16, 2011 11:50 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Nader Naeimi, a Sydney-based strategist for AMP Capital Investors Ltd., talks about the impact of Europe's sovereign debt crisis on global financial markets and his investment strategy. Naeimi speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Daphne Roth, Singapore-based head of Asian equity research at ABN Amro Private Bank, talks about the impact of Europe's debt crisis on Asian equity markets and her asset allocation. Roth speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "On the Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)


Asian stocks fell for a second day after Italian bond yields rose amid concern Italy’s new government will struggle to trim its debt and keep Europe’s crisis from spreading.

Esprit Holdings Ltd. (330), a clothier that counts Europe as its biggest market, fell 4.1 percent. Sony Corp. (6758), which depends Europe for 21 percent of its sales, fell 3 percent. AviChina Industry & Technology Co. jumped 10 percent in Hong Kong after billionaire Li Ka-shing bought its shares. Olympus Corp. jumped as much as 16 percent, extending its biggest two-day gain since at least 1974, following a report the scandal-hit company may avoid delisting.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 1.2 percent to 116.26 as of 1:48 p.m. in Tokyo, after swinging between gains and losses at least eight times. More than three stocks fell for each that rose on the gauge. The measure fell 0.9 percent yesterday.

Italy is not terminal yet, but it will need evidence of concrete steps toward reform,” said Prasad Patkar, who helps manage about $1 billion at Platypus Asset Management Ltd. in Sydney. “The market will create risk-on and risk-off until evidence emerges one way or another.”

Stocks fell after Italy’s 10-year yield rose again above the 7 percent threshold that prompted Greece to seek a bailout. Italy’s prime minister designate Mario Monti prepares to meet President Giorgio Napolitano today to present his new government.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average dropped 0.6 percent as the Bank of Japan kept the overnight lending rate between zero and 0.1 percent and cut its economic assessment. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.7 percent, while South Korea’s Kospi Index declined 0.7 percent.

Exporters, Banks

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid 1.9 percent after the International Monetary Fund said Hong Kong’s “rapid” credit growth has increased the risk that banks make bad loans.

Asian exporters and banks tied to Europe declined. Sony fell 3 percent to 1,313 yen. HSBC Holdings Plc (5), Europe’s biggest lender, lost 2.1 percent to HK$60.75.

Esprit slid 4.1 percent to HK$9.63. The clothier that has lost more than 70 percent of its value this year will be removed from the MSCI Hong Kong Index at the end of the month, the gauge’s compiler said.

AviChina Industry & Technology, a Chinese developer of vehicles and civilian aircraft, jumped 10 percent to HK$3.85 in Hong Kong trading after billionaire Li Ka-shing bought 4.6 million shares of the company on Nov. 11.

Olympus Rises

Shares of Olympus, which lost 81 percent in the month to Nov. 11, advanced 9.2 percent to 699 yen. The stock rebounded by its daily limit and settled after the close for the last two trading days as investors bet declines were overdone.

“The chances are about 90 percent that the company won’t be delisted,” said Kazuyuki Terao, Chief Investment Officer of RCM Japan Co. “That means the stock is looking cheap at the current price.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 14.5 percent this year through yesterday, compared with a 14.1 percent loss by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. The S&P 500 is little changed for the year. Stocks in the Asian benchmark are valued at 12.7 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 12.7 times for the S&P 500 and 10.3 times for the Stoxx 600.

MSCI Inc., which operates Asia’s benchmark index, will reshuffle the gauge’s members after the close on Nov. 30, it said in a report on its website dated yesterday. Japan’s Sanrio Co., the maker of Hello Kitty products, will be added. Bearing- maker Minebea Co. and Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co. will be removed.

Elpida Memory Inc. (6665) jumped 11 percent to 365 yen in Tokyo after it kept its membership of the Asia-Pacific index. The stock plunged yesterday on speculation MSCI Inc. would remove the memory-chip maker, which has lost almost two-thirds of its market value this year.

To contact the reporter on this story: Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net.



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Hewlett-Packard Enters Ultrabook Market With Slim $900 Laptop

By Aaron Ricadela - Nov 16, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ), which last month abandoned a proposal to spin off its personal-computer unit, plans to introduce its first lightweight ultrabook laptop to compete with Apple Inc.’s MacBook Air.

The HP Folio laptop, has a 13.3-inch (33.8 centimeters) screen, weighs 3.3 pounds (1.5 kilograms) and is 0.7 inches thick. The PC will go on sale Dec. 7 at a starting price of $900, according to a statement. It’s Hewlett-Packard’s first entry into the ultrabook category of laptops created by chipmaker Intel Corp. (INTC) The new standard offers slim designs, instant startup and all-day battery life.

The idea is to make Windows laptops that can compete more closely with Apple’s skinny MacBook Air, which starts at $999 with an 11-inch screen and $1,299 for a 13-inch model. Hewlett- Packard, based in Palo Alto, California, plans to sell the Folio to consumers and business users and it includes an ethernet port for use in hotel rooms that don’t feature WiFi, Mike Hockey, a company spokesman, said in an interview.

The Folio is part of Hewlett-Packard’s holiday lineup of PCs and follows Chief Executive Officer Meg Whitman’s Oct. 27 decision to keep the company’s $41 billion PC division in-house. Her predecessor, Leo Apotheker, said in August he was exploring a possible spinoff of the business.

The HP Folio features a metal case, 4 gigabytes of memory, a solid-state hard drive and Intel’s Core i5 chip, the company said in the statement. Hewlett-Packard said the Folio’s battery can run as long as nine hours without recharging.

Intel’s Mobile Push

Intel, the largest chipmaker, is seeking to extend its dominance to the mobile market, having made little headway in the tablet-computer sector. Recent floods in Thailand have also limited supplies of hard-disk drives used in PCs.

Santa Clara, California-based Intel doesn’t make ultrabook laptops. Having created the specifications, it leaves the manufacturing to partners, such as Acer Inc. (2353) and Lenovo Group Ltd. (992) Dell Inc. (DELL) plans to offer an ultrabook late in the fiscal year that ends in January, the company told analysts yesterday.

Hewlett-Packard is scheduled to report fiscal fourth- quarter earnings Nov. 21. Dell, based in Round Rock, Texas, reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $15.4 billion yesterday that was little changed from a year earlier and trailed analyst estimates of $15.7 billion. Citing an “uncertain macroeconomic environment,” the company said revenue growth this year would be on the “lower end” of a prior forecast of 1 percent to 5 percent.

Hewlett-Packard closed up 3.4 percent to $28.2 in New York trading yesterday. The shares are down 33 percent this year. Dell rose 2 percent to $15.63.

To contact the reporters on this story: Aaron Ricadela in San Francisco at aricadela@bloomberg.net Ian King in San Francisco at ianking@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Olympus Faces U.S. Lawsuit Over Alleged Fraud

By Mariko Yasu and Edvard Pettersson - Nov 16, 2011 10:34 AM GMT+0700

Olympus Corp. (7733), the camera maker being investigated by Japanese, U.S. and U.K. authorities for alleged accounting irregularities, was sued by an investor in its American depositary receipts seeking class-action status.

Olympus, former president Michael C. Woodford, ex-chairman Tsuyoshi Kikukawa and current president Shuichi Takayama caused the company to engage in fraud, resulting in investor losses, according to the complaint filed Nov. 14 in federal court in Pennsylvania.

The lawsuit by New York-based Sarraf Gentile LLP seeks class, or group, status on behalf of other investors in the U.S. Plaintiff Lloyd Graham, who bought Olympus ADRs on Oct. 27, seeks unspecified damages.

New York-based Bernstein Liebhard LLP said in a separate statement today it also had filed a class lawsuit in the same court against Olympus. That filing couldn’t be confirmed on the court’s website.

Olympus shares fell by more than 34 percent on Nov. 8 in New York, the day the company reversed denials that there was any wrongdoing over $687 million in advisory fees paid on its $2 billion acquisition of Gyrus Group Plc in 2008. The company said it had paid the inflated fees to advisers to hide losses.

Kikukawa resigned last month and an internal investigation is continuing into allegations about accounting problems made by Woodford after he was fired Oct. 14.

Yoshiaki Yamada, a spokesman for Tokyo-based Olympus, declined to comment, saying he hasn’t confirmed the lawsuit yet. Olympus said last week its shareholders in Japan requested the company’s auditors to sue directors for 139.4 billion yen ($1.8 billion) in compensation.

The case is Graham v. Olympus Corp., 11-07103, U.S. District Court, Eastern District of Pennsylvania (Allentown).

To contact the reporters on this story: Mariko Yasu in Tokyo at myasu@bloomberg.net; Edvard Pettersson in Los Angeles at epettersson@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Douglas Wong at dwong19@bloomberg.net; Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net.




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Dell’s Sales Disappoint as It ‘Prunes’ PCs to Focus on Profits

By Aaron Ricadela - Nov 16, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Dell Misses Sales Estimates

Michael Dell, chairman and chief executive officer of Dell Inc. Photographer: Tony Avelar/Bloomberg

Nov. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Shaw Wu, analyst at Sterne Agee & Leach Inc., talks about third-quarter revenue at Dell Inc. The third-largest maker of personal computers reported sales that missed estimates, even as its focus on higher-margin technology boosted profit. Wu speaks with Lisa Murphy and Julie Hyman on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)


Dell Inc. (DELL), the third-largest maker of personal computers, missed third-quarter revenue estimates after walking away from $2 billion in potential PC sales to focus on more profitable technology.

The Round Rock, Texas-based company gave up billions in “low-value” PC opportunities because it wanted to preserve margins, Vice Chairman Jeff Clarke told analysts on a conference call yesterday. That contributed to revenue declining to $15.37 billion in the period, from $15.39 billion a year earlier. Analysts had projected $15.7 billion.

While Dell beat profit estimates for the third quarter, the company told investors to expect more slow sales growth for the rest of the year. The company is coping with a hard-drive shortage triggered by flooding in Thailand, and it faces more price competition with PC market leader Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) Dell is increasingly opting to sidestep the low end of the market in favor of servers, services and networking equipment.

“They walked away from unprofitable business,” Jayson Noland, an analyst at Robert W. Baird in San Francisco. He has an “outperform” rating on Dell. “It sounds like HP got really aggressive on pricing.”

Dell shares were little changed in late trading yesterday after the earnings report. The stock, up 15 percent this year, had closed at $15.63 in New York.

Third-quarter net income rose to $893 million, or 49 cents a share, from $822 million, or 42 cents, a year earlier. Excluding some costs, profit was 54 cents a share, topping the 47-cent estimate.

‘A Bit Lighter’

Slow consumer sales in the U.S. and Western Europe and weak orders from the federal government hurt demand last quarter, Dell Chief Financial Officer Brian Gladden said in an interview.

“The revenue did come in a bit lighter than expected,” he said. The company is “pruning” its product line to focus on more profitable areas, he said. Dell’s sales of servers and networking gear rose 13 percent during the quarter, and services increased 10 percent, while revenue from desktop and laptop computers fell.

Total revenue will increase 1 percent to 5 percent this fiscal year, which ends in January, Dell said. Growth is “trending” to the lower end of that range, the company said. Analysts had predicted sales growth of 2 percent.

While the flooding may result in higher disk-drive costs, lower memory-chip prices are helping PC makers rein in expenses, said Chris Whitmore, an analyst at Deutsche Bank AG in San Francisco.

“Memory pricing has just been fantastic for the box makers,” said Whitmore, who recommends buying Dell shares.

Tighter Focus

Under Chief Executive Officer Michael Dell, the company is winnowing its line of consumer products and focusing on small and medium-size businesses and government agencies, which account for more than half its sales. Dell now ranks behind Hewlett-Packard and Lenovo Group Ltd. in the PC industry, after leading the market as recently as 2006.

The company plans to keep making acquisitions to expand in hardware and software for corporate and government data centers, its CEO said at a company conference last month.

Dell also is increasing research-and-development spending as it integrates enterprise-computing companies it’s acquired, Michael Dell told analysts yesterday. R&D outlays on an annual basis are approaching $1 billion, he said. In the previous fiscal year, Dell spent $661 million.

“This is a new Dell,” he said. “In a $3 trillion industry, there’s plenty of opportunity for us to grow.”

Even so, Dell’s continued reliance on PCs has made it vulnerable to the Thailand floods.

Rising waters have swamped industrial parks where manufacturers make about a quarter of the world’s disk drives. The flood has caused drive prices to increase by $10 to $25, Seagate Technology Plc CEO Steve Luczo said in a interview this month.

Dell has loaded up on disk-drive inventory, helping mitigate the shortage.

“It’s still a pretty fluid situation,” Gladden said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Aaron Ricadela in San Francisco at aricadela@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net



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Apple Assigns Levinson Chairman; Iger to Board

By Ian King and Peter Burrows - Nov 16, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Apple Names Genentech’s Arthur D. Levinson Chairman of Board

Customers stand outside the new Apple Inc. store in the Westfield Stratford City mall. hotographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Brian Marshall, an analyst at ISI Group in San Francisco, talks about Apple Inc.'s business outlook and stock valuation. Apple beefed up its board by appointing Art Levinson as chairman, filling a vacancy left by the death of Steve Jobs, and adding Walt Disney Co. Chief Executive Officer Robert Iger as a director. Marshall speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


Apple Inc. (AAPL) beefed up its board by appointing Art Levinson as chairman, filling a vacancy left by the death of Steve Jobs, and adding Walt Disney Co. (DIS) Chief Executive Officer Robert Iger as a director.

Levinson, on Apple’s board since 2000, becomes non- executive chairman, the Cupertino, California-based company said yesterday in a statement.

Adding Iger may cement ties to Disney, on whose board Jobs had a seat, and may ensure that Apple retains access to the entertainment company’s TV shows and movies, said Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray Cos. Levinson’s appointment lets Tim Cook concentrate on being CEO without the added responsibility of being chairman, he said.

“They’re trying to shore up the Disney relationship or strengthen that relationship because it’s an important part of where Apple is going,” Munster said.

Apple may introduce a TV set by 2013, Munster said. The device would be easier to use than Apple TV, the set-top box it now sells, he said. One possibility would be for the company to strike licensing deals that let customers buy only programs they want, a la carte, rather than multichannel packages from cable companies, he said. Disney owns ABC and ESPN.

“The content piece is the critical key to the living room,” Munster said.

Apple, based in Cupertino, California, rose 2.5 percent to $388.83 yesterday. The stock had advanced 21 percent this year before today.

Audit Committee Seat

Iger will sit on Apple’s auditing committee, an assignment that may draw scrutiny because of the ties between Apple and Disney, said Charles Elson, director of the John L. Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware. Federal regulations require that audit committee members have no substantial commercial ties with the company on whose board they sit, he said.

Apple gets a small portion of sales from distributing movies, music and TV. Disney has been an important partner in pushing media companies to make content available in Apple’s iTunes store. When Apple added video fare to iTunes, Disney was the first major studio to sign on.

“I’m a little surprised that they would put Iger on the audit committee,” Elson said.

Apple maintains so-called “arms-length” commercial ties with Disney, according to a January filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. That meant that as a director at both companies, Jobs didn’t have a “material direct or indirect interest” in any of such dealings, Apple said then.

The same policies may apply to Iger.

‘Great Fit’

Iger’s Apple board seat is a rarity for a Disney executive. No other executive sits on an outside board, according to Bloomberg data. Michael Eisner, Iger’s predecessor, sat on no boards while he was CEO, and the seat will be Iger’s first on an outside company. Disney said on Oct. 7 that Iger would add the chairman’s title next year.

“He is going to make an extraordinary addition to our already very strong board,” Apple’s Cook said of Iger. His role at Disney in generating content, spurring innovation, harnessing new technology and expanding into new markets help make Iger “a great fit for Apple.”

Levinson is chairman and former CEO of Genentech Inc., which is now owned by Roche Holding AG. (ROG)

“He has been our longest serving co-lead director, and his insight and leadership are incredibly valuable to Apple, our employees and our shareholders,” Cook said in the statement.

Jobs became Disney’s largest shareholder when that company bought Pixar, the animation studio he helped create. He passed away on Oct. 5.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian King in 東京 at ianking@bloomberg.net; Peter Burrows in San Francisco at pburrows@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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