Economic Calendar

Friday, September 26, 2008

Stocks slide on stalled bailout, WaMu collapse

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks dropped at the open on Friday after congressional talks on a $700 billion financial sector bailout stalled and authorities seized the largest U.S. thrift, heightening worries about the fallout from the credit crisis.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was down 126.80 points, or 1.15 percent, at 10,895.26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was down 18.36 points, or 1.52 percent, at 1,190.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was down 47.03 points, or 2.15 percent, at 2,139.54.

(Reporting by Kristina Cooke; Editing by Kenneth Barry)





Read more...

Bush says financial bailout will be passed

(Updates with quotes, background)

WASHINGTON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - President George W. Bush on Friday said that while there were disagreements on parts of the $700 billion U.S. financial bailout plan, Congress will end up passing legislation.

"There are disagreements over aspects of a rescue plan but there is no disagreement that something substantial must be done," Bush said in brief comments to reporters at the White House.

"The legislative process is sometimes not very pretty, but we are going to get a package passed," he said. "We will rise to the occasion. Republicans and Democrats will come together and pass a substantial rescue plan."

Negotiations on the financial rescue plan were to resume Friday on Capitol Hill where the administration's proposal has met resistance from skeptical lawmakers.

In another sign that the White House was pressing hard for a deal, Vice President Dick Cheney canceled trips to New Mexico and Wyoming to "assist with the pending legislation," his spokeswoman said.

Cheney as vice president can cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate on legislation. (Reporting by Tabassum Zakaria; Editing by Neil Stempleman)





Read more...

Dubai group ups InterContinental stake to 4.23 pct

LONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - A Dubai government holding, Diyafa World Limited, has increased its holding in the world's biggest hotel company InterContinental Hotels Group Plc (IHG.L: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) to 4.23 percent, the hotelier said on Friday.

The Dubai group is an existing shareholder of the British hotelier and earlier this week increased its holding above 3 percent and then over 4 percent, but there was no indication from whom it bought the shares.

"We regard them as long-term investors," an InterContinental spokesman said.

InterContinental's biggest shareholder are the billionaire Barclay brothers who hold a 10 percent stake. The brothers have been the source of bid speculation for the hotelier in the past.

InterContinental shares were up 0.29 percent at 692 pence in a lower London stock market by 1410 GMT. (Reporting by David Jones; editing by Sue Thomas)





Read more...

U.S. stocks on the move Sept 26

 (Updates to regular session)
 NEW YORK, Sept 26 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks on the move on
Friday:
 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 JPMorgan bought the banking assets of Washington Mutual
(WM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) after WaMu was closed by the U.S. government in by far
the largest failure of a U.S. bank.[ID:nN26278272].
 JPMorgan shares were little changed at $43.50.
 RESEARCH IN MOTION (RIM.TO: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)(RIMM.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The BlackBerry maker posted quarterly revenues that were
below the average Wall Street forecast. For details see
[ID:nWNAB3031] Shares fell 25 percent to $73.25.
 AMERICAN GREETINGS CORP (AM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 American Greetings posted a smaller-than-expected quarterly
profit, hurt by higher costs, and warned that its full-year
earnings could come in at the low end of its prior forecast.
 Shares fell 7.6 percent to $15.37.
 ACCENTURE LTD (ACN.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The company reported a quarterly profit that beat analysts'
expectations and forecast further growth in the year ahead, as
more clients seek its consulting and outsourcing services
despite a weak economy and gloomy financial markets.
[ID:nN25534697]
 Shares of Accenture rose 3.4 percent to $38.43.
 SYNNEX CORP (SNX.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The computer hardware distributor reported third-quarter
results above market estimates, helped by higher operating
margins, and gave fourth-quarter outlook mostly in line with
analysts' view. [ID:nBNG346322]
 Synnex shares rose 9 percent to $22.50.
 CHRISTOPHER AND BANKS CORP (CBK.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The women's apparel chain posted better-than-expected
quarterly earnings, but forecast weak third-quarter earnings
amid a challenging economic and retail environment.
[nBNG319298]
 Shares of the company fell 6 percent to $8.10.
 AMERICAN REPROGRAPHICS CO (ARP.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The provider of document-management services cut its 2008
earnings and revenue forecast, citing volatile financial
climate. [nBNG39059]
 Shares of the company fell 13 percent to $16.20.
 EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC (EMCI.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
 The provider of property and casualty insurance cut its
2008 earnings forecast, hurt by Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, as
well as losses on investments in Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Freddie
Mac (FRE.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) preferred stock. [ID:nBNG309209]
 Shares of EMC fell 10.4 percent to $26.75.
(Reporting by Kristina Cooke and Steven C. Johnson in New
York and Purwa Naveen Raman in Bangalore; Editing by Kenneth
Barry)






Read more...

German Inflation Slows Less Than Expected on Energy

By Christian Vits

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Inflation in Germany, Europe's largest economy, slowed less than economists forecast in September as a midyear spike in oil worked through to consumer prices.

Prices rose 3 percent from a year earlier using a harmonized European Union method, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. Economists expected the inflation rate to fall to 2.9 percent from 3.3 percent, according to the median of 15 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. From August, prices fell 0.1 percent.

While the cost of oil has receded from a record $147.27 a barrel in July, its are still up 30 percent over the past year, reducing consumers' and companies' spending power. The European Central Bank kept its benchmark rate at a seven-year high of 4.25 percent this month and ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Sept. 11 that inflation is the main worry of European citizens.

``German inflation is currently more persistent than we had thought as energy prices work through into consumer prices,'' said Andreas Rees, chief German economist at UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking in Munich. ``The ECB will remain more focused on inflation than on slowing economic growth.''

Under a national measure, the inflation rate declined to 2.9 percent from 3.1 percent in August and fell 0.1 percent from the previous month.

ECB Concerns

The ECB is concerned companies will raise prices to pass on higher raw-material costs and unions will push through bigger raises to compensate workers for the increased cost of living. With inflation breaching the ECB's 2 percent limit for the past year, the central bank's room for maneuver is limited even as growth weakens. ECB council member Axel Weber said this week that weaker growth won't ``magic away'' inflation.

Import-price inflation in Germany, which accounts for about a third of the euro-region economy, held at the fastest pace in almost eight years in August led by higher energy costs, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. Excluding energy, import prices rose 4.1 percent in the year.

The ECB raised its inflation projections this month to around 3.5 percent for 2008 and 2.6 percent for 2009. At the same time, ECB staff lowered their growth forecasts for this year and next to about 1.4 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively.

ECB Vice President Lucas Papademos said in an interview with Italy's Il Sole 24 Ore published today that there are ``clear indications'' of faster wage increases and that the bank ``cannot exclude renewed increases'' in oil and commodity prices. ``The outlook for inflation over the medium term will fundamentally depend on future unit-labor cost growth.''

Wage Demands

Germany's IG Metall labor union, representing 3.2 million workers, is seeking the biggest pay increase in 16 years for staff at companies such as ThyssenKrupp AG and Siemens AG. The union, Germany's biggest, wants wages to rise 8 percent next year, Chairman Berthold Huber said this week.

Still, with the economy cooling, companies may find it more difficult to pass on higher costs. The economies of the euro region and Germany both shrank between March and June and data since then has raised the possibility of a recession.

German business confidence declined more than expected to the lowest level in more than three years in September as the worsening financial crisis in the U.S. damped the outlook for global economic growth. The world's biggest financial companies have posted more than $520 billion in writedowns and credit losses after the subprime mortgage market collapsed.

``The time has come to lower interest rates,'' Gernot Nerb, an economist at Ifo institute which conducts the business confidence survey, said last week. ``That doesn't have to happen next week, but the signal should soon come that rates will fall in the next few months.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Vits in Frankfurt at cvits@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Turkish Foreign Trade Gap Widens to Record in August

By Steve Bryant

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Turkey's trade deficit widened in August to a record for a single month as higher global energy prices pushed up the import bill.

The gap grew to $8.1 billion from $5.9 billion in the year- earlier period, the statistics agency in Ankara said on its Web site today. The deficit was forecast at $7.5 billion, according to the median estimate of 10 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Turkey imports about 95 percent of the gas and oil it burns and higher global commodity prices may push the current-account balance to a record $51 billion this year from about $38 billion last year, according to the central bank's latest survey of economists. The widening imbalance threatens to weaken the lira as the global credit crunch reduces foreign investment in Turkey.

``The growing energy need makes the country more dependent on energy-exporting countries,'' Ozgur Altug, economist for Raymond James in Istanbul, wrote in a note to clients. ``In addition, rising energy prices do not allow an improvement.''

Imports increased 31 percent to $19.2 billion, from the year- earlier period, the agency said today. Imports of fuels and oils jumped to $4.5 billion from $2.8 billion a year earlier. Crude oil prices rose to about $120 per barrel in August, compared with about $70 a year earlier. Exports rose 26 percent to $11 billion in August, the statistics agency said.

Sales to the United Arab Emirates nearly quadrupled from a year earlier, reaching $953 million in August, just short of sales to Turkey's largest trading partner, Germany, which declined 2.5 percent to $1.01 billion.

The rise in exports to the Middle East reflects an increasing diversity in Turkish markets that may help bolster the country against a slowdown in European growth. Sales to the United Kingdom, the third biggest market, fell 8.6 percent while exports to Iraq, the ninth largest market, increased 48 percent.

The current-account gap, the broadest measure of trade in goods and services, was $47.1 billion in the 12 months through July, the central bank said on Sept. 10. That's about 7 percent of last year's gross domestic product.

To contact the reporter on this story: Steve Bryant in Ankara at sbryant5@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index Lower Than Forecast

By Shobhana Chandra

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Confidence among U.S. consumers fell in September from a preliminary reading, a sign the worsening credit crisis will prompt Americans to curtail their spending.

The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment declined to 70.3, lower than forecast, after a reading of 73.1 in early September. The measure was still higher than the August reading of 63, reflecting lower gasoline prices. The gauge of sentiment averaged 85.6 in 2007.

Since the preliminary report was issued on Sept. 12, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy, the federal government took over American International Group Inc. and stocks plummeted. The biggest financial meltdown since the Great Depression is likely to hurt consumer spending and the economy for the rest of the year.

``All the financial instability is hurting confidence,'' Karen Cordes, an economist at Scotia Capital Inc. in Toronto, said before the report. ``It'll keep many Americans wondering if they should save more now rather than spend. Consumer spending will likely fall quite a bit.''

The confidence index was forecast to fall to 70.8, according to the median of 62 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from 63.9 to 73.3.

Slower Growth

A government report earlier today showed consumer spending was less than initially estimated in the second quarter, dragging economic growth to a slower pace than previously reported. The U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter, down from a preliminary estimate of 3.3 percent issued last month, the Commerce Department said today in Washington.

The index of consumer expectations for six months from now, which more closely projects the direction of consumer spending, declined to 67.2 from a preliminary reading of 70.9 in early September. The measure is up from 57.9 in August.

A gauge of current conditions, which reflects Americans' perceptions of their financial situation and whether it is a good time to buy big-ticket items like cars, dropped to 75 from a preliminary reading of 76.5. The reading was 71 in August.

Consumers said they expect an inflation rate of 4.3 percent over the next 12 months, compared with 4.8 percent in the August survey.

Financial Crisis

The financial crisis escalated in the second half of September, bringing down Lehman Brothers and AIG and roiling stock markets. The S&P 500 index on Sept. 23 capped its biggest two-day slump in six years.

Earlier this month, the government also seized control of mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in an attempt to keep the housing slump from worsening.

The final Reuters/University of Michigan consumer confidence report reflects about 500 responses, compared with 300 households for the preliminary survey.

Regular unleaded gasoline prices have eased to an average of $3.72 a gallon at the pump so far this month, compared with $3.76 in August and more than $4 in July, according to AAA.

At the same time, eight consecutive months of job losses in the economy and declines in home prices are making shoppers wary.

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc., the largest U.S. home-furnishings retailer, reported a 19 percent drop in second-quarter profit, and predicted a decline in earnings this quarter.

Sales ``continued to be negatively affected by the economic slowdown in general and by issues specific to the housing industry in particular,'' Chief Executive Officer Steven Temares said on a conference call on Sept. 24.

To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net





Read more...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index Lower Than Forecast

By Shobhana Chandra

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Confidence among U.S. consumers fell in September from a preliminary reading, a sign the worsening credit crisis will prompt Americans to curtail their spending.

The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment declined to 70.3, lower than forecast, after a reading of 73.1 in early September. The measure was still higher than the August reading of 63, reflecting lower gasoline prices. The gauge of sentiment averaged 85.6 in 2007.

Since the preliminary report was issued on Sept. 12, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy, the federal government took over American International Group Inc. and stocks plummeted. The biggest financial meltdown since the Great Depression is likely to hurt consumer spending and the economy for the rest of the year.

``All the financial instability is hurting confidence,'' Karen Cordes, an economist at Scotia Capital Inc. in Toronto, said before the report. ``It'll keep many Americans wondering if they should save more now rather than spend. Consumer spending will likely fall quite a bit.''

The confidence index was forecast to fall to 70.8, according to the median of 62 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from 63.9 to 73.3.

Slower Growth

A government report earlier today showed consumer spending was less than initially estimated in the second quarter, dragging economic growth to a slower pace than previously reported. The U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter, down from a preliminary estimate of 3.3 percent issued last month, the Commerce Department said today in Washington.

The index of consumer expectations for six months from now, which more closely projects the direction of consumer spending, declined to 67.2 from a preliminary reading of 70.9 in early September. The measure is up from 57.9 in August.

A gauge of current conditions, which reflects Americans' perceptions of their financial situation and whether it is a good time to buy big-ticket items like cars, dropped to 75 from a preliminary reading of 76.5. The reading was 71 in August.

Consumers said they expect an inflation rate of 4.3 percent over the next 12 months, compared with 4.8 percent in the August survey.

Financial Crisis

The financial crisis escalated in the second half of September, bringing down Lehman Brothers and AIG and roiling stock markets. The S&P 500 index on Sept. 23 capped its biggest two-day slump in six years.

Earlier this month, the government also seized control of mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in an attempt to keep the housing slump from worsening.

The final Reuters/University of Michigan consumer confidence report reflects about 500 responses, compared with 300 households for the preliminary survey.

Regular unleaded gasoline prices have eased to an average of $3.72 a gallon at the pump so far this month, compared with $3.76 in August and more than $4 in July, according to AAA.

At the same time, eight consecutive months of job losses in the economy and declines in home prices are making shoppers wary.

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc., the largest U.S. home-furnishings retailer, reported a 19 percent drop in second-quarter profit, and predicted a decline in earnings this quarter.

Sales ``continued to be negatively affected by the economic slowdown in general and by issues specific to the housing industry in particular,'' Chief Executive Officer Steven Temares said on a conference call on Sept. 24.

To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Brown, King, Face Pressure to Redouble Rescue Efforts

By Brian Swint and Jennifer Ryan

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Bank of England Governor Mervyn King face mounting pressure to step up their rescue efforts as the financial crisis threatens Britain's banking system.

``The time has come now for the central banks basically to offer something a little bit different other than liquidity in deference to the fact that the economic downturn is gathering momementum,'' George Magnus, senior economic adviser to UBS AG in London, told Bloomberg Television today. ``The mortgage industry is pretty much dead. The government does have to do something.''

Magnus joined Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist Jim O'Neill and former U.K. policy maker Willem Buiter in calling on Brown to follow the U.S. with a government-backed rescue of the mortgage market. Buiter also says the central bank should set aside inflation concerns and cut interest rates immediately.

``The one thing that separates the U.K. from the rest is that they haven't made full use of all the tools in their box now such as interest-rate cuts,'' said Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics in London. ``If these problems in markets continue to get worse, I wouldn't rule out something like the U.S. plan.''

U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson has proposed a $700 billion rescue to help banks get troubled assets off their books. Negotiations on the plan faltered in Congress yesterday.

The British government should ``take a leaf out of what the Americans are doing,'' UBS's Magnus said.

King's View

King told lawmakers on Sept. 11 he opposes using the central bank to provide long-term assistance to banks to unfreeze lending and warned the government would take on credit risk on its own balance sheet if it chose to do so.

The Bank of England still joined a renewed global coordinated effort to increase availability of dollars and ease money-market strains today, auctioning dollars for one-day and one-week maturities. The U.K. sale, totaling $40 billion, followed six emergency auctions of the same amount for overnight money.

The bank will also offer emergency sterling sales of three- month money, against collateral including mortgage securities.

Buiter, writing yesterday on his Mavrecon blog, called for more. The bank's Special Liquidity Scheme, which allows lenders to swap distressed assets for government debt, should be transferred to the Treasury, its January deadline scrapped and its terms modified to allow assets created this year to be swapped, he said.

Former policy maker Charles Goodhart last week criticized the bank for extending the program's deadline on Sept. 17 instead of scrapping it altogether.

Borrowing Costs

Bradford & Bingley Plc, the U.K.'s biggest lender to landlords, fell the most since June as the cost of borrowing money in credit markets soared. The cost of borrowing in dollars for three months stayed near the highest since January as institutions hoarded cash. The three-month Libor rate for pounds was 6.26 percent today, close to the highest this year.

``People are nervous about the capital position of the banks faced with the crisis in the securitization markets and falling house prices,'' Howard Davies, a former chairman of the Financial Services Authority and deputy governor of the Bank of England, told Bloomberg Television. ``That needs to be watched.''

Britain entered a recession in July, forecasts by the European Commission and the Confederation of British Industry, the country's biggest business lobby, show. King said in August that economic output will be ``broadly flat'' for a few quarters.

Inflation Risk

Policy makers Andrew Sentance and Kate Barker both indicated in speeches this week that, while the turmoil may intensify the economic slowdown, there is still a risk that the fastest inflation in a decade will become embedded in the economy.

``It is important that monetary policy does not overreact to developments on financial markets,'' Sentance said Sept. 24.

David Blanchflower, another of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee, called for a half-point cut at the September meeting and said this week that reductions need to come ``decisively and soon'' to slow gains in unemployment.

The CBI, Britain's biggest business lobby, today stopped short of calling for immediate interest-rate cuts, saying that the bank should deliver a reduction by the end of the year.

``We are beginning to see signs that inflation may have peaked, and that slowing activity means there is scope for interest-rate cuts,'' John Cridland, the CBI's deputy director general, told reporters in London.

Policy makers will resume rate cuts in October, BNP Paribas SA Economist Alan Clarke said today, changing an earlier forecast for a reduction in November. They are scheduled to make their next decision on Oct. 9.

``There is growing pressure for the bank to start lowering interest rates again,'' Capital Economics's Dale said. ``There will be a growing bandwagon in favor of sharp cuts.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian Swint in London at bswint@bloomberg.net; Jennifer Ryan in London at jryan13@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

U.S. Economic Growth Slower Than Initially Estimated

By Timothy R. Homan

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy expanded more slowly than previously estimated in the second quarter, showing consumer spending was weakening before the credit crisis intensified.

The annual rate of 2.8 percent was down from a preliminary estimate of 3.3 percent issued last month, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Measures of inflation were higher than previously projected. Personal consumption, trade and business investment contributed less to gross domestic product than the prior estimate, the report showed.

Americans have since cut back on purchases, businesses have put investment plans on hold, builders have scaled back and credit markets have seized up. Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley this week cut third-quarter GDP forecasts and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke warned the economy may falter without a $700 billion bank rescue.

``Consumer spending doesn't bode well for overall growth over the next few quarters,'' said Russell Price, a senior economist at H&R Block Financial Advisors Inc. in Detroit. ``It's pretty clear now that we are in a recession, and it's a recession that still has some room to run.''

Treasury Yields

Treasuries were higher, pushing yields down. The benchmark 10-year note yielded 3.8 percent as of 8:55 a.m. in New York, down 6 basis points from yesterday. Stock futures were lower after negotiations on the bank bailout plan stalled on Capitol Hill.

Economists had projected growth would remain unchanged at 3.3 percent, according to the median of 76 estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. Forecasts ranged from 3 percent to 3.7 percent. Today's report is the final of three estimates.

The world's largest economy grew at a 0.9 percent pace in the first quarter.

Today's gross domestic product report showed that the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which is tied to consumer spending and strips out food and energy costs, rose at a 2.2 percent annual rate, higher than forecast and faster than the 2.1 percent previously estimated. Prices overall came in less than anticipated.

The biggest part of the economy, consumer spending, rose at a 1.2 percent annual rate from April through June, weaker than the 1.7 percent estimated last month. Spending received a lift during the second quarter from the government's stimulus plan.

Bernanke, who was on Capitol Hill this week urging quick passage of the administration's plan to rescue weakened Wall Street firms, said the U.S. faces ``grave threats'' to financial stability and warned the credit crisis is hurting business spending. He added that the outlook for consumer spending is ``sluggish at best.''

Labor Market

A deteriorating labor market is one reason consumer spending is likely to stagnate this quarter, the worst performance since 1991, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month.

The U.S. has lost jobs every month this year, and the unemployment rate in August jumped to a five-year high of 6.1 percent, according to Labor Department data.

Retail sales fell in August for a second consecutive month, the Commerce Department said previously. Holiday sales during November and December may be the weakest in six years as high food prices pare spending on non-essential items, the National Retail Federation said in a statement Sept. 23.

The trade gap widened to a $381.3 billion annual pace and added 2.9 percentage points to growth, the biggest contribution since 1980 and down from the previous estimate of 3.1 percent. Excluding trade, the economy would have contracted at a 0.1 percent pace after growing at a 0.1 percent rate in the first three months of the year.

The boost from trade may wane this quarter as growth among some of the U.S.'s biggest trading partners slows. Europe and Japan both shrank last quarter.

`Very Weak August'

Dell Inc., the world's second-largest personal-computer maker, said that a U.S. slowdown in technology spending that started last quarter has spread to Western Europe and some Asian countries.

``We saw a very weak August,'' Chief Financial Officer Brian Gladden said Sept. 16 at a Bank of America Corp. investment conference in San Francisco, reiterating comments made last month. ``It is not coming back the way we thought it would.''

Estimates for inventories were revised downward. Companies drew down stockpiles at a $50.6 billion annual rate from April through June, compared with a previous estimate of $49.4 billion. The decrease subtracted 1.5 percentage points from growth.

Revisions in today's report also showed a smaller decline in housing. Residential construction fell at an annual rate of 13.3 percent, higher than the 15.7 percent decrease previously estimated. The housing recession subtracted 0.5 percentage points from growth.

Corporate profits were revised lower. Earnings adjusted for the value of inventories and depreciation of capital expenditures, known as profits from current production, were down 3.8 percent to an annual rate of $1.53 trillion. The prior estimate was a drop of 2.4 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy R. Homan in Washington at thoman1@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Nigeria Orders Gas Companies to Prioritize Supplies

By Dulue Mbachu

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Nigeria ordered oil companies including Royal Dutch Shell Plc and Exxon Mobil Corp. to come up with a plan to boost domestic gas supplies by the end of October, or risk a suspension of all liquefied natural gas export projects.

Gas Minister Emmanuel Odusina said the companies must set aside between 280 million and 350 million cubic feet of gas by the end of the year for domestic use, according to an e-mailed statement from the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, which represents state interests in the energy industry.

``We must prioritize domestic gas supply over any LNG project, since the country needs power,'' Odusina said. Nigeria, whose natural-gas reserves of 187 trillion cubic feet are the world's seventh-biggest, is also Africa's most populous country and suffers from chronic power shortages.

The country of 140 million people is currently generating only 3,000 megawatts of power, out of an installed capacity of 6,000 megawatts. Parts of the country go for days and weeks without power, leaving companies to rely on their own generators.

President Umaru Yar'Adua is concerned that oil companies ignored his April directive to boost domestic gas supplies, the minister was cited as saying. The ``federal government's policy and regulations on gas supply to the domestic market are not up for discussions or negotiations any more,'' Odusina said, according to the statement.

LNG Projects

The oil majors that run five joint ventures producing most of Nigeria's oil also produce most of its gas. They are Shell, Exxon, Chevron Corp., Total SA and Eni SpA. The biggest LNG project in the country is the $10 billion Nigerian LNG Ltd.'s plant on Bonny Island, in which the state-owned NNPC has a 49 percent stake, followed by Shell with 25.6 percent, Total's 15 percent and Eni with 10.4 percent.

The Nigerian LNG company has long-term contracts with buyers in Italy, Spain, Turkey, Portugal and France and also sells on the spot market.

Exxon and Chevron also run gas projects in the ventures they operate in which NNPC has majority stakes. Precious Okolobo, Shell's spokesman in Nigeria, had no immediate comment on the government directive. Gloria Essiene-Danner, Exxon's spokeswoman in Nigeria and Scott Walker, Chevron's spokesman in Houston, weren't immediately available for comment.

Gas projects in the planning stages include Brass LNG, in which NNPC has a 49 percent interest, leaving Total, Eni SpA and ConocoPhillips each with 17 percent, and OK LNG in which Chevron, Shell and British Gas are working with the NNPC.

To contact the reporter on this story: Dulue Mbachu in Lagos via the Johannesburg bureau at abolleurs@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Shell Expects `Majority' of Gulf Output to Resume in 2 Weeks

By Tina Seeley

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Royal Dutch Shell Plc will have the ``majority'' of its Gulf of Mexico offshore oil production back in operation in one to two weeks, the head of its U.S. operations said.

``In a couple of weeks, we should be up and running,'' Marvin Odum told reporters today in Washington. ``Our offshore assets look like they survived very well'' through hurricanes Gustav and Ike.

Shell currently has 30,000 to 40,000 barrels a day of output in the Gulf out of a total of 350,000 barrels under normal production, he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tina Seeley in Washington at tseeley@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

GM Claims 100 Miles-a-Gallon Volt `Bragging Rights'

By Jeff Green

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp. reached a preliminary agreement with U.S. regulators to certify the Chevrolet Volt, an electric vehicle that can be recharged at home or with a 1.4-liter gasoline engine, as the first 100 mile- per-gallon car, the company said.

The country's biggest automaker, whose sales of pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles collapsed this year as gasoline topped $4 a gallon, is cutting the mileage deal while urging Congress to approve $25 billion in government loans to help the industry meet new federal fuel-economy standards.

Earning a 100 mpg certification would give Detroit-based GM the holy grail auto companies began seeking following the oil shocks of the 1970s. The Environmental Protection Agency agreed to a testing method that will produce a rating at least that high, said Tony Posawatz, 48, vehicle-line director for the Volt in Warren, Michigan. The four-passenger car, which goes on sale in November 2010, will be able to travel 40 miles (64 kilometers) before the internal-combustion engine needs to recharge the battery.

``It's a huge milestone to beat 100 mpg. It's bragging rights,'' said Rebecca Lindland, an analyst at Global Insight Inc. in Lexington, Massachusetts. ``To many people, GM is just about gas-guzzling SUVs. They never get credit for fuel economy. If Toyota were doing the Volt, they would be having parades and waving flags.''

While the Volt is classified as an electric car, GM will still be able to claim it's the most fuel-efficient vehicle on the road because the gasoline-powered generator will start after the sedan exceeds the battery's 40-mile range.

`Final Policy'

The EPA won't confirm how it gauges fuel economy of plug-in models until testing methodology is complete, spokeswoman Catherine C. Milbourn said in a statement. The agency ``hopes to have a final policy soon,'' she said.

The government- and industry-backed Partnership for a New Generation of Vehicles tried to create an 80-mpg auto in the 1990s. The group disbanded in 2001 after failing to develop one. The Progressive Automotive X Prize is offering $10 million to the first team to produce a 100-mpg vehicle that passes its tests and can be commercially produced.

Toyota Motor Corp.'s hybrid Prius is the highest-rated car on the road today, achieving 48 mpg in the city and 45 mpg on the highway. It has a 1.5-liter gasoline engine, isn't rechargeable at an electric outlet and can drive only 2 miles on its battery, according to the company, which leads global sales in the category.

$25 Billion More

As with all automakers selling in the U.S., GM must increase the average mileage of the fleet as much as 40 percent to 35 mpg by 2020 to comply with new federal standards. The House agreed to fund $25 billion in low-interest loans Sept. 24 to help offset investment by GM, Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC in fuel-saving technologies. The Senate may vote on the plan this week.

U.S. auto companies estimate they'll need $80 billion to $100 billion to meet the new fuel-economy mandate. Members of Michigan's congressional delegation said this week they'll seek an additional $25 billion in credit.

The Volt may sell for more than $30,000, according to GM Vice Chairman Robert Lutz, 76. The sedan is the centerpiece of a drive by Chief Executive Officer Rick Wagoner, 55, to narrow the technology gap with competitors including Toyota.

GM lost $18.7 billion in the first half as sales of pickups, SUVs and vans dropped 16 percent. The shares, which declined 60 percent in 2008 through yesterday, fell 24 cents to $9.80 at 10:02 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

Difficult Measurement

Obtaining a 100-mpg rating will require the EPA to develop a new way of measuring fuel efficiency for a car that's likely to rely more heavily on electric than internal-combustion power, according to GM's Posawatz. The automaker promised to share mileage data captured from the Volt's onboard computers to verify real-world performance if EPA will grant the certification now, he said.

``It's a new process. No one has done a vehicle like this before,'' said Posawatz. ``We would like to have 80 percent of the people get better than the label.''

A vehicle of the Volt's design should be able to exceed 100 mpg in tests, said Michael Duoba, a research engineer at Argonne National Laboratory in Argonne, Illinois, and chairman of the Society of Automotive Engineers committee trying to develop fuel-economy tests for plug-in cars. Argonne is testing models that use similar technology to make its assessment.

Depending on assumptions about how much gasoline is consumed after the battery needs recharging on the road, Volt could get 120 mpg to 200 mpg, he said. Modified Prius models, with an electric range of about 10 miles, may have difficulty beating 100 mpg in the same tests, he said.

Toyota Plug-In

Toyota City, Japan-based Toyota may launch a plug-in model for 2010 with an all-electric range of at least 10 miles, spokesman John Hanson said. Closely held Chrysler plans its own plug-in electric car for 2010, to be developed in part with General Electric Co.

``It's too early to say what the overall miles-per-gallon figure is going to be'' on the plug-in Prius, Hanson said.

Honda Motor Co.'s FCX Clarity fuel-cell car, leased since July to celebrities in Los Angeles including actress Jamie Lee Curtis, is rated at 72 mpg via a formula that converts hydrogen fuel into the equivalent of gasoline efficiency ratings. Honda, based in Tokyo, hasn't announced full-scale production for the model.

Chevy's Volt can be plugged into a standard 120-volt outlet and be charged in about eight hours, GM said. The process takes less than three hours with a 240-volt outlet.

The cost for a full charge providing 40 miles of driving is about 80 cents per day, at an electricity cost of 10 cents per kilowatt hour, according to GM.

Charging the Volt about once daily will consume less electricity annually than the average home's refrigerator and freezer, the company said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Poet Looking to Buy Privately Held Ethanol Plants, CEO Says

By Christopher Martin and Mario Parker

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Poet LLC, the largest U.S. ethanol producer by capacity, is seeking to buy distilleries as the industry struggles to counter narrowing profit margins, said Jeff Broin, Poet's chief executive officer.

Companies across the Midwest have shut production or canceled plans to build distilleries as the price of corn, the main ingredient of ethanol, climbed 50 percent from a year ago.

``There have been some acquisition opportunities that we're taking a look at,'' Broin said in an interview in New York yesterday. Poet, which has no plans to sell shares in an initial offering, would likely seek privately held producers rather than publicly traded companies, he said.

There are 172 distilleries in the U.S. with capacity to produce 10.4 billion gallons annually, according to the Renewable Fuels Association. Production was running at an annual rate of about 9 billion gallons as of June, according to the latest Energy Department data.

The Energy and Security Act of 2007, which President George W. Bush signed into law in December, requires the U.S. to use 9 billion gallons of renewable fuels such as ethanol in gasoline this year.

On Sept. 16, VeraSun Energy Corp. said it may have a net loss of as much as $103 million in the third quarter because of bad corn hedging bets. The company said two days later that it retained Morgan Stanley to ``act in an advisory capacity to evaluate strategic alternatives.''

Aventine Renewable Holdings Inc. said Sept. 17 that it may have to delay construction of distilleries in Aurora, Nebraska, and Mt. Vernon, Indiana.

Government Support

Under the government's renewable fuels standard, gasoline sold in the U.S. must include 15 billion gallons of ethanol a year by 2015.

The U.S. subsidizes the industry by providing a 51 cent-a- gallon tax incentive for blending the fuel with gasoline, and by imposing a 54 cent-a-gallon tariff on ethanol imported from Brazil.

Profit margins on ethanol production will improve ``as long as government policies support us,'' Broin said.

Eliminating the tariff on imports from Brazil would damage the industry because the U.S. doesn't have the capacity or efficiency to compete today, according to Broin.

``The U.S. needs to follow the Brazil model and protect the industry until it's got enough capacity,'' he said.

Poet, based in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, is the largest ethanol producer by capacity. Brookings, South Dakota-based VeraSun is the second largest.

To contact the reporters on this story: Mario Parker in Chicago at mparker22@bloomberg.net; Christopher Martin in New York at +1- cmartin11@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

Crude Oil Declines After U.S. Financial-Rescue Plan Hits Snag

By Mark Shenk

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell, leading energy futures lower, after negotiations over the $700 billion financial bailout plan stalled, adding to concern that U.S. economic growth in the world's biggest energy-consuming country will falter.

Oil prices dropped as much as 3.5 percent after House Republicans rejected the proposed rescue of the U.S. financial system, imperiling an agreement hours after an announcement that one was near. U.S. fuel demand over the past four weeks was down 5.3 percent from last year, a government report showed this week.

``The oil market is at the mercy of what is going on in Washington,'' said Gene McGillian, an analyst at TFS Energy LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. ``If there isn't an agreement, prices will drop further because the economy will slow further and demand destruction will continue.''

Crude oil for November delivery fell $2.62, or 2.4 percent, to $105.40 a barrel at 10:03 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices are down 28 percent from the record $147.27 a barrel reached on July 11.

Gasoline for October delivery declined 8.69 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $2.6104 a gallon in New York. Heating oil fell 5.73 cents, or 1.9 percent, to $2.9685.

Oil prices may decline next week, according to a survey of analysts by Bloomberg News. Fourteen of 29 analysts, or 48 percent, said prices will decrease through Oct. 3.

The U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter, slower than the previous estimate, as consumer spending and trade contributed less to growth, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. The revised figures were down from an estimate of 3.3 percent last month.

GDP Forecasts

Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley this week cut third-quarter Gross Domestic Product forecasts, and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke warned the economy may falter without the $700 billion bank rescue. The U.S. was responsible for 24 percent of global oil consumption last year, according to BP Plc.

Total SA, Europe's third-largest oil company, said it restored power to its Port Arthur refinery in Texas following Hurricane Ike, and plans to restart the plant. About 41 percent of oil production in the Gulf of Mexico remains shut following this storms this month, the Minerals Managements Service said yesterday.

Brent crude oil for November settlement declined $2.21, or 2.1 percent, to $102.39 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange.

To contact the reporter on this story: Mark Shenk in New York at mshenk1@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

EDF Chief Says Government May Cut Holding Over Time

By Tara Patel

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Electricite de France SA Chief Executive Officer Pierre Gadonneix said the government may cut its stake in Europe's biggest power producer and probably retain a majority holding.

``Over time, the portion held by the government will drop,'' Gadonneix said today in an interview on BFM radio. ``This balance corresponds well to the French culture and it hasn't hurt us in our international development,'' he said, adding that the government's role ensures long-term vision and development.

The French government, which owns 85 percent of the utility, sold a 2.5 percent stake Dec. 3 to raise 3.7 billion euros ($5.4 billion) for renovating the country's universities. That was less than the 3 percent stake for 5 billion euros announced prior to the sale by President Nicolas Sarkozy. Shares of the French utility have lost 37 percent of their value since the sale.

France's debt is expected to reach its highest level since 2005 next year in part because not enough government-owned assets were sold, the budget ministry said today.

``It's out of the question to sell shares at current market prices,'' French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde told reporters today in Paris, referring to all government holdings in French companies. ``We'll see what 2009 brings. It will depend on market prices.''

Nuclear Drive

EDF agreed two days ago to buy British Energy Group Plc for 12.5 billion pounds ($23 billion) as the U.K. accelerates a drive for atomic power. The Paris-based utility has also offered to acquire Constellation Energy Group Inc. with buyout firms KKR & Co. and TPG Capital LP for $6.2 billion, 32 percent more than Warren Buffett's MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co.

MidAmerican's offer to buy Baltimore-based Constellation for $4.7 billion, or $26.50 a share, ``does not provide adequate value to shareholders,'' EDF said in a public filing this week.

``I think there will be a stabilization of the capitalization of Constellation over the coming months,'' Gadonneix said in the interview. ``We won't sit back and wait for things to happen.''

The French utility has a 9.5 percent stake in a joint venture with Constellation to develop new generation reactor models called EPRs, or Evolutionary Power Reactors, that are capable of producing about 1,600 megawatts of electricity.

``I am determined that we will have a U.S. partner,'' Gadonneix said. ``We won't go alone.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Tara Patel in Paris at tpatel2@bloomberg.net





Read more...

U.K Government Bonds Advance as U.S Bank-Rescue Plan Stalls

By Andrew MacAskill and Lukanyo Mnyanda

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- U.K. government bonds rose as U.S. lawmakers failed to broker a deal on a $700 billion plan to buy troubled assets from financial institutions, prompting investors to seek the safest assets.

Two-year notes headed for their secondly weekly gain as congressional leaders were deadlocked over the details of a rescue plan that would calm markets. The Bank of England, along with regional central banks, said it agreed to allow lenders to borrow dollars from them for a week in a fresh effort to ease money markets.

``We are just caught in the ebb and flow related to the announcement of the U.S. package,'' said Sean Maloney, a fixed- income strategist in London at Nomura International Plc. ``Gilts may grind a little higher but we can't get carried away because sentiment is very fragile.''

The yield on the 10-year note fell 7 basis points to 4.55 percent as of 1:54 p.m. in London. The 5 percent security due March 2018 gained 0.52, or 5.2 pounds per 1,000-pound ($1,841) face amount, to 103.42. The yield on the two-year note declined 7 basis points to 4.25 percent. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown urged Congress yesterday to back the plan for financial companies as European finance ministers expressed concern market turmoil will damage the world economy. Brown is scheduled to meet President George W. Bush today to discuss the economy.

Demand for the safety of government debt increased as stock markets worldwide dropped. The MSCI World Index fell 0.7 percent and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index declined 1.9 percent.

Extend Gains

Gilts extended their gains after comments by Republican Senator Richard Shelby on the bailout plan and the release of lower-than-expected U.S. economic-growth figures.


Shelby suggested in an interview with CNBC that opponents of the Paulson bailout were in no hurry to reach an agreement. He said the plan was ``flawed'' and that he could let markets open on Monday without a deal.

They also rose after figures showed the U.S. economy grew 2.8 percent in the second quarter, less than the 3.3 percent forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's largest bank by market value, cut 1,100 jobs in its global banking and markets division as the deepening financial crisis threatens to extend a decline in profit. Money market rates have soared as banks have all but stopped lending to each other. The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for borrowing dollars stayed near the highest level since January.

Central Banks

With the cost of borrowing dollars jumping, the European Central Bank, Swiss National Bank and Bank of England began auctions today totaling $74 billion in one-week funding. The Bank of England said it loaned $30 billion in one-week loans and $10 billion overnight.

Bank of England policy maker Andrew Sentance said today members of the Monetary Policy Committee face a ``difficult balancing act'' in setting rates to tame prices while growth slows, the Leicester Mercury newspaper reported. There is a threat the fastest inflation in a decade may persist even as the financial crisis raises the chance of the bank undershooting its target for consumer prices, policymaker Kate Barker said yesterday.

The pound climbed against the dollar, headed for a third- weekly gain. The British currency advanced to $1.8414 per dollar, from $1.8372 yesterday, and is 0.5 percent higher in the week. Against the euro, the pound was little changed 79.48 pence per euro, down 0.7 percent since Sept. 19.

Expect Volatility

``The major event of the day for sterling is coming from the U.S.,'' said Ian Stannard, a currency strategist in London at BNP Paribas SA, the most accurate currency forecaster in a 2007 Bloomberg News survey. ``Until a deal is agreed we can expect volatility and some spikes to the upside.''

The pound's trade-weighted index, a gauge of the currency's performance against Britain's major trade partners, was little changed at 87.33, according to Deutsche Bank AG. The gauge, down 0.3 percent this week, has dropped 7.8 percent in 2008.

British policy makers kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged on Sept. 4 as they weighed the risks of accelerating inflation against the danger that mounting bank losses will push Europe's second-biggest economy into a recession. The next Bank of England decision is Oct. 9.

To contact the reporters on this story: Andrew MacAskill in London at amacaskill@bloomberg.netLukanyo Mnyanda in London at lmnyanda@bloomberg.net;


Read more...

Sadia Fires Finance Chief After 760 Million-Real Currency Loss

By Carlos Caminada

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Sadia SA, Brazil's second-biggest food company, fired Chief Financial Officer Adriano Lima Ferreira after the company posted a 760 million-real ($410 million) loss from currency-related investments.

Investor relations director Welson Teixeira Jr. assumed Lima's post, Concordia, Brazil-based Sadia said in a statement last night. The transactions carried out by Lima's finance team exceeded Sadia's self-imposed limits for currency risk, Teixeira said in a conference call today. Sadia is conducting an internal audit and will restructure the finance department, he said.

``We are carrying out a thorough assessment,'' Teixeira said. ``There have been excesses.''

Sadia increased its short- and medium-term debt to help cover the loss from currency operations, Teixeira said. The company will operate with higher debt levels in coming months to proceed with the majority of its expansion plans, he said.

The loss was limited to financial transactions and didn't affect operations, Teixeira said. Sadia currently has 1.6 billion reais of cash, he said.

``We were able to reestablish the levels of liquidity of the company,'' Christiane Assis, Sadia's investor relations manager, said in another conference call. ``We are very comfortable with the levels right now.''

Sadia's cash position is more than enough to honor any payments in the next 12 months, Assis said.

A small part of the loss was related to transactions with Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Teixeira said, without disclosing any details.

To contact the reporter on this story: Carlos Caminada in Sao Paulo at at ccaminada1@bloomberg.net



Read more...

Brazil's Real Falls as U.S. Bailout Plan Reaches Standstill

By Adriana Brasileiro

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil's real fell as negotiations on the $700 billion financial rescue plan reached a standstill in Washington, increasing aversion to higher-yielding emerging- market assets.

The real weakened 1.8 percent to 1.8525 per dollar at 9:53 a.m. New York time, from 1.8206 yesterday. Today's slide extends the real's loss this week to 1.3 percent. Brazil's currency has lost 11.9 percent this month and is the worst performer among the 16 most-actively traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg.

``Today is a day of low volume and high anxiety levels because of this snag in the U.S. financial package,'' said Paulo Fujisaki, a foreign-exchange strategist at Socopa Corretora in Sao Paulo. ``It's a good day for speculators; we won't really see trades based on fundamentals.''

Local stocks fell, with the Bovespa index slumping almost 3 percent.

The yield on Brazil's zero-coupon bond due in January 2010 fell 1 basis point, or 0.01 percentage point, to 14.79 percent.

The yield on Brazil's overnight futures contract for January 2010 delivery was little changed at 14.72 percent.

Brazilian pension funds have posted losses since the collapse of the U.S. subprime market. Previ, Latin America's biggest pension fund, lost 10 billion reais on its stock portfolio in the past year.

The equity portfolio of the pension funds of employees of Banco do Brasil SA, Brazil's largest state-owned bank, fell to 80 billion reais, the fund President Sergio Rosa told reporters in Rio de Janeiro today.

-- With reporting by Diana Kinch in Rio de Janeiro. Editors: Glenn J. Kalinoski, Michael Weiss

To contact the reporter on this story: Adriana Brasileiro in Rio de Janeiro at abrasileiro@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Yen Heads for Biggest Weekly Gain Since May on Bailout Clash

By Ye Xie and Bo Nielsen

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- The yen rose against the dollar and headed for its biggest weekly gain since May as U.S. lawmakers disagreed over a financial rescue and Washington Mutual Inc. became the nation's biggest bank to collapse.

Japan's currency also strengthened against the euro and the Brazilian real after a group of Republicans opposed to the Treasury's $700 billion asset-purchase plan submitted an alternative proposal, prompting investors to reduce holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.

``It's a nightmare,'' said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in Toronto. ``Safe-haven trades are back on. There's an enormous amount of uncertainty. No one is committed to big positions.''

The yen rose 0.7 percent to 105.82 per dollar at 10:13 a.m. in New York, from 106.56 yesterday, extending this week's gain to 1.5 percent. The yen increased 0.5 percent to 154.94 per euro, from 155.68, and was up 0.4 percent for the week. The dollar traded at $1.4635 per euro, compared with $1.4609, having depreciated 1.2 percent this week.

U.S. lawmakers were preparing to meet again today in Washington after some House Republicans said they wouldn't back Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bailout plan. Their rival proposal calls for a mortgage-backed security insurance fund financed by premiums from the holders of those securities.

``The delay of the package isn't doing the markets any favors,'' said David Powell, a currency strategist at Bank of America Corp. in London. ``But we still see the package being passed next week. Nobody wants to be seen as the person who caused the breakdown on these negotiations.''

Stronger Yen

The yen gained 2.3 percent to 57.16 versus the real today and 1.1 percent to 88.03 against the Australian dollar as a drop in U.S. stocks encouraged investors to exit trades in which they get funds in a country with low borrowing costs and buy assets where returns are higher. Japan's 0.5 percent target lending rate compares with 4.25 percent in Europe, 7 percent in Australia and 13.75 percent in Brazil.

The U.S. government seized Seattle-based Washington Mutual, which faced $19 billion of mortgage-related losses, after customers withdrew $16.7 billion since Sept. 15. JPMorgan Chase & Co. agreed to acquire WaMu's deposits and branches for $1.9 billion.

The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and their counterparts in the U.K. and Switzerland said today they will provide dollars to money markets for next week to ensure ample liquidity at the end of the quarter.

Cash Hoarding

The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for dollar loans, was little changed today at 3.76 percent, near the highest level since January, on concern Paulson's bailout plan will be diluted, encouraging banks to hoard cash.

``News about Washington Mutual will make the market nervous, and people will doubt whether a U.S. rescue plan will work,'' said Motonari Ogawa, director of currency trading in Tokyo at Barclays Capital Inc., a unit of the U.K.'s third- biggest bank.

U.S. Treasury notes extended their longest stretch of weekly gains since February. The yield on the two-year note fell 14 basis points, or 0.14 percentage point, to 2.02 percent today. It has dropped almost 40 basis points in the past five weeks. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index sank 1.1 percent.

The yen may rise further as the VIX volatility index, a Chicago Board Options Exchange gauge reflecting expectations of stock market price changes, closed above 30 for the past nine days, indicating markets are facing a shock comparable to the 1997 Asian currency crisis and the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, according to JPMorgan Chase.

`Act Quickly'

``The U.S. needs to act quickly, because the financial system and the dollar are at risk,'' said Akio Shimizu, chief manager of currency trading in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp., a unit of Japan's largest publicly listed lender.

The yen has increased 2.8 percent versus the dollar in September, the first monthly gain since March. Against the euro, Japan's currency has advanced 3 percent. The dollar is up 0.3 percent versus the euro this month.

Futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade showed traders were certain the Fed would reduce the 2 percent target rate for overnight lending between banks by Oct. 29. There's a 76 percent chance policy makers will cut by a quarter-percentage point and 24 percent odds of a half-point decrease. Traders priced in a 68 percent likelihood of no change a week ago.

The U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter, slower than the previous estimate, the Commerce Department said today. The Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment declined to 70.3, lower than forecast, after a reading of 73.1 in early September. The measure was still higher than the August reading of 63.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ye Xie in New York at yxie6@bloomberg.net; Bo Nielsen in Copenhagen at bnielsen4@bloomberg.net





Read more...

Platinum, Palladium Fall on Signs of Slumping U.S. Economy

By Halia Pavliva

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Platinum tumbled the most in a week and palladium declined as the sagging U.S. economy signaled declining demand for the metals used in car and truck parts.

U.S. gross domestic product expanded more slowly than estimated in the second quarter, showing consumer spending was weakening before the credit crisis intensified. Platinum consumption by automakers accounts for more than 60 percent of global demand.

``All economic reports of late are pointing to a significant recession, and the platinum-group metals are suffering from that,'' Miguel Perez-Santalla, a sales vice president at Heraeus Precious Metals Management in New York, said in a report.

Platinum futures for January delivery fell $48.10, or 4 percent, to $1,143.10 an ounce at 9:40 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. A close at that price would mark the biggest percentage drop for a most-active contract since Sept. 16. Before today, the metal tumbled 48 percent from a record $2,308.80 on March 4.

Palladium futures for December delivery dropped $4.95, or 2 percent, to $237.50 an ounce. Before today, the price declined 36 percent this year.

The metals are used in jewelry and pollution-control devices in cars.

The U.S. economy's expansion rate of 2.8 percent was less than an estimate of 3.3 percent last month, Commerce Department data showed today. Personal consumption, trade and business investment contributed less to GDP than the prior estimate.

To contact the reporter on this story: Halia Pavliva in New York at hpavliva@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

Sugar Rises in New York to Highest in 6 Months on Weaker Dollar

By Ron Day

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Sugar rose to its highest price since March as the dollar weakened, trimming the cost of commodities for buyers using other currencies.

The dollar fell against a weighted basket of six major currencies including the euro and yen as the U.S. Treasury's $700 billion financial-rescue plan faced opposition in Congress. Sugar has surged as Brazil and India, the world's largest growers, produce less.

Raw-sugar futures for March delivery gained 0.02 cent, or 0.1 percent, to 14.57 cents a pound at 9:53 a.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. Earlier, sugar reached 14.72 cents, the highest for a most-active contract since March 5. The price climbed 6.7 percent this week through yesterday.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ron Day in New York at rday1@bloomberg.net.





Read more...

Coffee Falls Most in Week as U.S. Financial Rescue Plan Stalls

By Shruti Date Singh

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Coffee fell the most in more than a week in New York on concern the global economy will keep slowing if the U.S. Congress doesn't pass the proposed $700 billion financial bailout plan.

House Republicans haven't accepted Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to deal with the U.S. credit crisis. The uncertainty is hurting most commodities, said Lars Steffensen, managing director of commodity trading at Ebullio Capital Management in Southend-on-Sea, U.K. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 raw materials fell for the third time in five days, with coffee dropping the most among the agricultural futures.

``The thinking was that the U.S. bailout was going to give us a new economic foundation,'' Steffensen said. ``With it breaking down, I think people are saying, `Ooh, we should scale back a bit.' In coffee there are no big fundamentals driving the price. The price is purely on the macros news.''

Arabica coffee futures for December delivery declined 1.8 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $1.358 a pound at 9:51 a.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. A close at that price would be the biggest drop for a most-active contract since Sept. 18.

In London, robusta coffee futures for January delivery fell $23, or 1.1 percent, to $2,156 a metric ton on the Liffe exchange.

To contact the reporter on this story: Shruti Date Singh in Chicago at ssingh28@bloomberg.net.





Read more...