Economic Calendar

Friday, May 25, 2012

U.S. Stocks Erase Loss as Europe Offsets China Concern

By Rita Nazareth - May 25, 2012 3:45 AM GMT+0700

U.S. stocks erased losses as Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said Greece is likely to stay in the euro and a majority of the region’s leaders support issuing a joint bond, offsetting earlier concern about a Chinese slowdown.

A measure of financial shares in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained, while technology and industrial companies retreated. Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) rose 3.3 percent after the largest personal-computer maker announced plans to slice its workforce by 27,000 and reported quarterly sales and earnings that topped estimates. Tiffany & Co. (TIF) tumbled 6.8 percent as the luxury jewelry retailer cut its profit and sales forecasts.

Traders work at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York on May 24, 2012. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks erased losses as Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said Greece is likely to stay in the euro and a majority of the region’s leaders support issuing a joint bond, offsetting earlier concern about a Chinese slowdown. (Source: Bloomberg)

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Arthur Levitt, former chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and a Bloomberg LP board member, talks about Facebook Inc.'s initial public offering and the potential impact on U.S. investor sentiment. Levitt speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)

The S&P 500 rose 0.1 percent to 1,320.68 at 4 p.m. New York time, reversing a loss of 0.6 percent. The index gained for a fourth day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 33.60 points, or 0.3 percent, to 12,529.75. The Nasdaq Composite Index (CCMP) fell 0.4 percent to 2,839.38. About 6.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, almost in line with the three-month average.

“The market has come down not necessarily because growth has slowed so significantly, but because of a potential disorderly unwind of the euro,” said Dan Veru, who oversees $3.7 billion as chief investment officer of Palisade Capital Management LLC in Fort Lee, New Jersey. “Greece won’t come out of the euro. There’s no mechanism in place to do that.”

Equities reversed losses as Monti said in an interview on Italian television station La7 today that “Europe can have euro bonds soon.” Italy can help push Germany to support the idea of collective debt and to embrace the “common good” of Europe, he said. Stocks dropped earlier as three officials said China’s biggest banks may fall short of loan targets for the first time in at least seven years amid an economic slowdown.

Economic Data

In the U.S., data showed companies placed fewer orders for computers, machinery and other capital equipment in April for a second month. Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded in May at the slowest pace in three months, indicating the industry that’s spurred the expansion is cooling.

Concern about a slowdown in global growth and a worsening of Europe’s debt crisis drove the S&P 500 down 5.5 percent so far this month. Financial, energy and technology shares have tumbled at least 7.7 percent in May.

Hewlett-Packard rose 3.3 percent to $21.77. The 8 percent workforce reduction, taking place through firings and early retirement offers, will generate annual savings of as much as $3.5 billion starting in 2014.

Facebook Inc. (FB) added 3.2 percent to $33.03, gaining for a second day. The social networking company is still trading below its initial public offering price of $38.

Airlines Rally

The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index (BUSAIRL) climbed 4.9 percent after JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised industry estimates, citing lower jet-fuel prices. Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) jumped 4.6 percent, the biggest gain in the S&P 500, to $8.74. US Airways Group Inc. (LCC) surged 11 percent to $12.16.

Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) rallied 3.4 percent to $31.55. The chemical maker said an arbitration panel ruled that Kuwait must pay $2.16 billion in damages after it canceled a 2008 agreement to buy a stake in the company’s plastics business.

Pandora Media Inc. (P) surged 12 percent to $11.60. The Internet radio pioneer rose the most since its first day of trading in June 2011 after first-quarter results exceeded analysts’ estimates on higher mobile advertising sales.

Technology had the biggest decline among 10 groups in the S&P 500, dropping 0.9 percent. Apple Inc. (AAPL), the most valuable company, lost 0.9 percent to $565.32.

NetApp Tumbles

NetApp Inc. (NTAP) plunged 12 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $28.82. The seller of hardware and software for storing data forecast first-quarter earnings trailing analysts’ estimates amid a weak economic outlook.

Tiffany tumbled 6.8 percent to $57.59. Chief Executive Officer Michael Kowalski said sales in the Americas region “underperformed, continuing a soft trend that began in the last quarter of 2011.” Sales in the first quarter rose 3 percent to $386 million in the Americas and declined 4 percent in the New York flagship store.

MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR) lost 6 percent to $1.58. The second-largest U.S. maker of polysilicon dropped after S&P cut its corporate credit rating two levels to B+ from BB.

The slump in the S&P 500 may be nearing an end after the measure dropped below its 150-day average, which may lure buyers into the market, said Oppenheimer & Co. The gauge slipped 8.7 percent between April 2 and May 18, falling below its average price from the prior 150 days on May 17 for the first time since Dec. 19, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

150-Day Average

Oppenheimer’s Carter Worth wrote in a May 21 report that declines to the 150-day average may prompt pessimists to stop selling and persuade investors who missed out on the market’s rally through April to buy.

The S&P 500 is “down to a level where rebound potential is high and that the right thing to do now is to put some money to work on the long side,” Worth, the New York-based chief market technician at Oppenheimer, wrote in the May 21 report. The stock index rose 1.8 percent this week through yesterday.

Worth highlighted 90 stocks to buy that are down to levels where “selling pressure is judged likely to abate.” The list included Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/B), Intel Corp. (INTC), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)

“If and as these names stop going down (read: stabilize) and actually start to rebound, one can make inferences about the current market correction being at an end,” Worth wrote in the report.

To contact the reporter on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net




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Buffett Says Free News Unsustainable, May Add More Papers

By Zachary Tracer - May 25, 2012 3:23 AM GMT+0700

Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) struck a deal this month to acquire 63 newspapers, said he may buy more publications as the industry rethinks whether to offer free content on the Internet.

“This is an unsustainable model and certain of our papers are already making progress in moving to something that makes more sense,” Buffett wrote in a letter to editors and publishers of Berkshire’s daily newspapers. “We want your best thinking as we work out the blend of digital and print that will attract both the audience and the revenue we need.”

Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, in Omaha, Neb., on Nov. 14, 2011. Photographer: Nati Harnik/AP Photo

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Buffett is adding to Berkshire’s newspaper holdings with the $142 million deal announced May 17 for Media General Inc. (MEG) publications including the Richmond Times-Dispatch of Virginia. The billionaire, who bought the Buffalo News in 1977 and said in 2009 that newspapers have the potential for unending losses, is now betting that papers with a community focus can profit as they change their models.

While circulation may slip, papers only fail when there are dailies competing in the same town, a publication forfeits its position as the primary source of locally important information or the market doesn’t have a sense of identity, he said.

“We don’t face those problems,” Buffett, 81, wrote in the letter dated yesterday and posted on the website of Berkshire’s Omaha World-Herald, which is in the Nebraska town where Buffett’s company is based. “Berkshire will probably purchase more papers in the next few years. We will favor towns and cities with a strong sense of community.”

Media General

Berkshire is the largest shareholder of Washington Post Co. (WPO) and purchased the World-Herald last year. Buffett said the company’s newspapers won’t “move the needle in terms of Berkshire’s economic value” in yesterday’s letter.

In the Media General deal, Berkshire also gave the Richmond-based company a $400 million term loan with an interest rate of 10.5 percent and received warrants for about 4.6 million Class A shares. Media General retained its television stations and said it’s selling the Tampa, Florida, group separately.

Media General has declined more than 90 percent since the end of 2003. The company fell 3.8 percent to $3.51 at 4:04 p.m. in New York. Berkshire slipped 0.2 percent.

The newspaper industry, suffering drops in print advertising, has recently embraced digital subscription plans. The New York Times (NYT) Media Group began charging readers to access its news stories online last year, attracting about 454,000 paying subscribers as of March. The so-called paywall is estimated to bring in $125 million next year for Times Co., according to Douglas Arthur, an analyst at Evercore Partners Inc. (EVR)

Newspaper Paywalls

Gannett Co. (GCI), owner of 82 daily newspapers, said this year it would begin charging readers to access news content online, except for flagship USA Today.

Press+, a startup that sells online subscription technology, is used by more than 300 publications, including some owned by MediaNews Group Inc., Tribune Co., GateHouse Media Inc. (GHSE), McClatchy Co. (MNI) and Lee Enterprises Inc. Press+, based in New York, was founded by former Wall Street Journal publisher L. Gordon Crovitz, along with Steven Brill and Leo Hindery in 2010.

The World-Herald and 17 of the Media General papers Berkshire is buying also use Press+, Crovitz said in an e-mail.

Buffett, a supporter of President Barack Obama and an advocate of higher taxes on the wealthy, said the newspapers would remain independent in their coverage of public policy.

‘Strong Political Views’

“I have some strong political views, but Berkshire owns the paper -- I don’t,” Buffett wrote in the letter. “And Berkshire will always be non-political.”

The billionaire investor said that editors should focus on making the papers “indispensable” to local communities.

“Our future depends on remaining the primary source of information in certain subjects of great importance to our readers,” Buffett wrote. “Technological change has caused us to lose primacy in various key areas, including national news, national sports, stock quotations and employment opportunities. So be it. Our job is to reign supreme in matters of local importance.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Zachary Tracer in New York at ztracer1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dan Kraut at dkraut2@bloomberg.net





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Facebook Investor Spending Month’s Salary Exposes Hype

By Danielle Kucera and Douglas MacMillan - May 25, 2012 3:32 AM GMT+0700

Ryan Cefalu, who lives with his wife and two kids in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, saw in Facebook Inc. (FB)’s much-anticipated initial public offering a chance to buffer his retirement fund. His expectations fizzled along with the stock within the first minutes of trading.

“It’s disheartening to know that things get over-hyped,” Cefalu, a 34-year-old data-systems manager who spent about $4,000 on the stock, said in an interview. “That’s about a 12th of my annual income -- so a month’s salary. I’m trying to do an on-my-own retirement kind of thing.”

Pedestrians walk past the share price for Facebook Inc. displayed at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on May 21, 2012. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Mike Abramsky, a principal at Red Team Global, talks about his suggestion that Facebook Inc. purchase Research In Motion Ltd. and the potential benefits for the social networking company. Abramsky speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television's "In the Loop." (Source: Bloomberg)

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Arthur Levitt, former chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and a Bloomberg LP board member, talks about Facebook Inc.'s initial public offering and the potential impact on U.S. investor sentiment. Levitt speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Facebook Inc.’s initial public offering has triggered allegations the social network and banks led by Morgan Stanley selectively disclosed crucial information to investors. Bloomberg's Jon Erlichman reports on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Steven Spencer, a partner at SMB Capital, talks about the performance of Facebook Inc. stock and short-selling strategy. Spencer speaks with Stephanie Ruhle, Erik Schatzker, Scarlet Fu and Dominic Chu on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)

May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Robert Prongay, an attorney at Glancy Binkow & Goldberg, talks about the lawsuit the firm has filed with a California court over Facebook Inc.'s initial public offering. He speaks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." Bloomberg's Emily Chang also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

The Facebook Inc. logo is displayed at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on May 18, 2012. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

Members of the media stand under Facebook Inc. signage projected on a screen at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on May 18, 2012. Photographer: Peter Foley/Bloomberg

A television technician checks monitors displaying Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer of Facebook Inc., inside a satellite truck in the parking lot at the company's headquarters in Menlo Park, California on May 18, 2012. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

Onlookers peer through the window during the Facebook Inc. initial public offering (IPO) at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on May 18, 2012. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

Members of the media broadcast live from Facebook Inc. headquarters in Menlo Park, California on May 18, 2012. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

News of the Facebook Inc. initial public offer is displayed on a news ticker in New York on May 17, 2012. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

The Facebook Inc. logo is displayed on a computer screen in this arranged photograph in San Francisco on May 17, 2012. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

The Facebook Inc. logo is reflected in water droplets in this arranged photograph in San Francisco on May 17, 2012. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

A pedestrian walks past the share price for Facebook Inc. displayed at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York on May 21, 2012. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg

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Facebook, a site used by 901 million people, allocated more than 25 percent of shares to retail investors, said two people familiar with the offering who asked not to be identified because the process was confidential. That means the value of stock bought by that group for $38 in the IPO has dropped by at least $630 million in total, based on the closing price of $32 yesterday and assuming investors held the stock.

While asset managers and hedge funds got to buy the stock in private trading years before the IPO and investment banks made money in the offering, smaller investors had to wait until last week’s IPO for a piece of the action. The outcome: After Facebook and its underwriters misjudged demand in pricing the IPO and glitches on the Nasdaq hampered trading on the first day, the world’s largest social-network website lost 18 percent in three days. The shares are still about 13 percent under their $38 IPO price after paring some losses.

The stock rose 3.2 percent to $33.03 at 4 p.m. in New York today.

‘Should I Bail?’

Facebook, the biggest technology IPO in history, turned into a quagmire of blame. Buyers of the stock sued the company, Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and the underwriters, claiming they were misled. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the brokerage industry’s watchdog both said they may review the offering, and the scrutiny prompted Morgan Stanley (MS), the lead underwriter, to defend its handling of the IPO in a statement.

“I thought it would be fun to get in on the initial frenzy,” said Linda Lantz, an online marketer in Granite Bay, California, who bought 100 shares. “Now it makes me think ‘Oh god, should I bail or is it going to come back?’”

For Cefalu, whose children are age 12 and 1, the first-day glitches meant more than a bad day of trading: they made him buy twice as many shares as he intended after an order he canceled went through hours later, he said. With shares of Zynga Inc. (ZNGA) slumping along with Facebook, he estimates he lost a combined $2,250 as a result of the Facebook debut debacle.

Technical Problems

Michael McClafferty, a freshman finance major at Michigan State University, saw his “first big investment” turn into a $3,000 loss when he sold the shares at $35.

“I didn’t want to lose more,” McClafferty said. “I didn’t know what to do.”

The 19 year-old student estimates he spent $8,000 more than he wanted to while repeating orders that wouldn’t go through on the first day, and failing to cancel them because of the technical problems.

“I didn’t know what happened,” he said. “Then I was like, ‘they should be able to do something about it.’ They messed up pretty big from what I see, and it hurt more people than just me.”

Retail Investors

On its debut, the Menlo Park, California-based website jumped to $45 at the start of trading, which was delayed 30 minutes, before ending the day up 0.6 percent at $38.23. It paled in contrast with Google Inc.’s 18 percent jump in its 2004 initial public offering, Visa Inc.’s 28 percent gain in 2008 and LinkedIn Corp.’s 109 percent surge last May.

“The reaction of the retail investor is ‘Wow, what a flop,’” Jay Pestrichelli, co-founder of the Omaha, Nebraska- based investment adviser Zega Financial, said in an interview.

Frustrations of individual investors were exacerbated by a snafu at the Nasdaq, where trade confirmations were delayed and some orders may have been mishandled. Nasdaq’s woes were felt across the brokerage industry, according to Fidelity Investments, the second-largest mutual fund company.

Some customers who purchased Facebook stock “may have experienced delays in status updates,” Fidelity said in a statement. “This is an industry-wide issue that affected many different broker-dealers and other market participants.”

Fidelity Customer ‘Concerns’

Boston-based Fidelity said it’s working with other brokerage firms to “get Nasdaq to come to a resolution that addresses the concerns of our customers.”

Joseph Christinat, a spokesman for Nasdaq, declined to comment. Larry Yu, a spokesman for Facebook, declined to comment.

Facebook increased the number of shares sold and the price range days before the IPO, raising $16 billion and valuing the company at $104.2 billion.

Pat Brogan, a Yahoo! Inc. manager who trades on sites run by E*Trade Financial Corp. (ETFC) and Fidelity Brokerage in her spare time, called the experience of buying Facebook stock the “biggest fiasco” in her 30 years of day trading.

“They flooded the market with so many shares,” Brogan said. “I’m actually going to dump them if they get back to $38.”

Demand from retail buyers was higher than normal for Facebook, with personal investment website Sigfig.com seeing 10 times more orders than it had for other recent technology IPOs, said Terry Banet, chief investment officer for the site.

“Facebook wanted to get more retail involvement and they succeeded,” Banet said.

‘Obvious Gamble’

Some investors managed to take advantage of the initial gain. James DiMaggio, a 29-year-old product line sales manager at Ametek Inc. in Morton, Pennsylvania, said he bought 200 shares at $38, sold half for $40.98 and made about $280.

“The other half is now tanking,” said DiMaggio, who estimates his losses so far at $320. “It was really exciting in the beginning. I don’t gamble, and this is obviously a gamble.”

In the wake of the stock’s losses this week, small-time investors took to the Web to express their agitation on sites including Twitter Inc. and online investing community StockTwits Inc.

“There’s a lot of questioning about the IPO process in general and a sentiment that the real investor is getting taken by the larger Wall Street,” said Phil Pearlman, executive editor of StockTwits.

Some investors still see potential in the long term. At Sigfig, 7 percent of users who bought Facebook on May 18 sold it the same day, below the 15 percent to 31 percent first-day flipping of stock that has been more typical of recent technology IPOs, according to Banet.

Long-Term Potential

“Short term fluctuations don’t bother me,” said Charles Landry of Sacramento, California, who bought 1,000 shares on May 18. “Facebook has the potential to be, in the long term, one of the iconic companies in Silicon Valley, a la Google, a la Apple.”

Renee Morrison, who runs accounting at Empyrion Wealth Management in Roseville, California, had never bought a stock in her life before investing in Facebook last week. She too plans to wait it out, she said.

“I have been very well educated and prepared that it’s kind of like gambling, there’s no guarantee,” Morrison said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Danielle Kucera in San Francisco at dkucera6@bloomberg.net; Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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