Economic Calendar

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Brazil Stock Futures Rise as U.S. Economy Overshadows Oil Drop

By Allen Wan

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Brazilian stock futures rose as a smaller-than-estimated decline in U.S. gross domestic product overshadowed sliding oil prices.

Bovespa index futures added 0.2 percent to 58,420 at 8:38 a.m. New York time.

To contact the reporter on this story: Allen Wan in New York at awan3@bloomberg.net





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AIG, Jo-Ann Stores, Toll Brothers, Wyeth: U.S. Equity

By Whitney Kisling

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Shares of the following companies may have unusual moves in U.S. trading. Stock symbols are in parentheses and share prices are as of 8:10 a.m. New York time.

Alkermes Inc. (ALKS US) plunged 13 percent to $9. The developer of an inhaled insulin said Ortho-McNeil-Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Janssen Pharmaceutica International decided not to pursue further development of the four-week long- acting injectable formulation of risperidone.

American International Group Inc. (AIG US) surged 12 percent to $42.09. The insurer bailed out by the U.S. rose on speculation it may benefit from improved relations with former Chief Executive Officer Maurice “Hank” Greenberg, who led the company for almost four decades.

Guess? Inc. (GES US) added 3.5 percent to $33.28. The clothing maker reported second-quarter profit of 64 cents a share, topping the average analyst estimate by 47 percent.

Jo-Ann Stores Inc. (JAS US) climbed 6 percent to $27.19. The largest U.S. fabric retailer boosted its full-year forecast after reporting a narrower loss in the second quarter than analysts expected.

Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC US) added 2 percent to $49.90. The third-largest U.S. defense company won a $3.44 billion contract from the U.S. Air Force to support the B-2 weapon system and a $2.43 billon Navy contract for work on the U.S.S. Theodore Roosevelt, the Pentagon said.

Precision Castparts Corp. (PCP US): The maker of metal forgings for jet engines agreed to buy Carlton Forge Works and another manufacturing plant for $850 million to gain seamless rolled rings used in aircraft engines and gas turbines.

Sigma Designs Inc. (SIGM US) fell 11 percent to $15.25. The maker of chips for Internet television set-top boxes and Blu-ray video players reported second-quarter profit that was in line with analysts’ estimates.

Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL US) declined 2.3 percent to $22.60. The largest U.S. builder of luxury homes posted a wider quarterly loss, which was also bigger than analysts’ estimates.

Wyeth (WYE US) added 2 percent to $48.98. The drugmaker set to be acquired by Pfizer Inc. won final approval to sell the Torisel medicine in Europe for patients with relapsed and refractory mantle cell lymphoma.

To contact the reporter on this story: Whitney Kisling in New York at wkisling@bloomberg.net.





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U.S. Stock-Index Futures Fluctuate Before Reports on Economy

By Adam Haigh

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock-index futures drifted between gains and losses before a report that may show the world’s largest economy shrank at a faster pace in the second quarter than previously estimated.

Citigroup Inc. advanced 1.9 percent as the New York Post reported billionaire hedge fund investor John Paulson bought shares in the bank. Sigma Designs Inc. declined 5.1 percent after the maker of chips for Internet television set-top boxes and Blu-ray video players reported second-quarter profit that was in line with analysts’ estimates.

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in September slipped 0.1 percent to 1,025.3 at 7:11 a.m. in New York, having risen as much as 0.2 percent earlier. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures decreased less than 0.1 percent to 9,517. Nasdaq-100 Index futures dropped 0.2 percent to 1,633.75. Stocks in Europe and Asia declined.

The S&P 500’s 52 percent rally since March 9 left the gauge valued at about 19 times the earnings of its companies, the most expensive level since 2004. About 76 percent of companies in the index that have reported results since June 17 beat the average analyst estimate for second-quarter per-share profits, according to Bloomberg data.


“The key driver for the next leg of the market is confirmation that earnings numbers are improving,” said James Bevan, who helps oversee about $10 billion as chief investment officer of CCLA Investment Management in London. “The earnings numbers that are currently on the table are some 10 to 15 percent shy of where they should be given the scale of the recovery consistent with lead indicators.”

Economy Watch

A decline in the S&P 500 below its 200-month average would probably signal an additional slump of as much as 6.5 percent, according to Chicago-based Technical Analytics Inc. The index, which closed at 1,028.12 yesterday, has traded higher than its 200-day moving average since July 13 and rose 17 percent above it yesterday, the most since April 1999.

U.S. gross domestic product shrank at a 1.5 percent annual rate from April to June compared with the 1 percent drop reported last month, according to the median forecast of 75 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The Commerce Department’s GDP data is due at 8:30 a.m. in Washington.

Another report may show claims for unemployment benefits fell for the first time in three weeks and consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy, probably slipped last quarter at a 1.3 percent annual pace, a bigger drop than first estimated, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists.

‘Attractive’

Citigroup added 1.9 percent to $4.72 in pre-market New York trading. Paulson has acquired about a 2 percent stake in the New-York based bank, the New York Post reported today, citing unidentified people.

Sigma Designs slid 5.1 percent to $16.24 in Germany. Second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 28 cents matched the average analyst estimate.

Piper Jaffray Cos. and Greenhill & Co. may be active after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its recommendation for U.S. mid- capitalization brokerages to “attractive” from “neutral,” citing possible growth in merger and acquisitions and new equity issuances in the third quarter of 2009.

Greenhill was upgraded to “neutral” from “sell,” while Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” recommendation for Piper Jaffray. The stocks didn’t trade in Europe.

Guess? Inc. will probably move after reporting second- quarter adjusted profit of 64 cents a share, topping the average analyst projection. The stock didn’t trade in Europe.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Haigh in London at ahaigh1@bloomberg.net.




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Upbeat US Data amid Lackluster FX

by Korman Tam

The dollar was mixed against the majors in the Wednesday session, largely confined within recent ranges in lackluster trading. The greenback recovered from its session lows versus the euro at 1.4350 to hover near the 1.4230-level, while pushing the Canadian dollar just shy of the 1.10-figure.

New home sales posted a strong reading in July, surging by its largest figure in nearly 4-years, up by 9.6% to 433k units versus 384k units from June. Building permits were drifted by 1.1% to 564k units in July. Meanwhile, durable goods orders were sharply better than expected, posting a gain of 4.9% versus a 2.2% decline a month earlier in June. The excluding transports July durable goods orders also improved, edging higher by 0.8% compared with a 1.6% increase a month earlier.

In the coming session, traders will look ahead to weekly jobless claims and more importantly, the preliminary reading for Q2 GDP. Weekly jobless claims are expected improve to 565k from 576k a week earlier. Meanwhile, economic growth in the second quarter is expected to post a 1.4% contraction, deteriorating further from a 1.0% contraction in the previous quarter. The Q2 PCE is expected to hold steady at 1.3%.

Euro Trades Sideways

The euro continues to hover around the 1.4240 figure after pulling back from the session high near 1.4350. Eurozone economic reports released overnight saw Germany’s August Ifo index improved by more than expected to 90.5 from 87.3 in July while the expectations index jumped to 95.0 from 90.4. Germany’s CPI figures are due out in early Thursday trading and are seen remaining tempered in August.

EURUSD trades sideways, remaining confined within recent ranges. Interim resistance is seen at 1.4270, followed by 1.43 and 1.4350. Subsequent ceilings are eyed at 1.4380, backed by 1.44 and 1.4440. On the downside, support begins at 1.42, followed by 1.4160 and 1.4120. Additional floors will emerge at 1.41, followed by 1.4065 and 1.4030.

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