Economic Calendar

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Hewlett-Packard Offers Up an Alternative to Oracle-Shunned Chips

By Aaron Ricadela - Nov 23, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Hewlett-Packard Co. is giving customers an alternative to machines that use Intel Corp.’s Itanium chips, a family of products that’s losing popularity after Oracle Corp. stopped developing related software.

Customers that use Hewlett-Packard software with Itanium- based servers will get to run their programs on Intel’s more popular Xeon chips in coming years, Palo Alto, California-based Hewlett-Packard said in a statement. Customers will also be able to move those applications to Microsoft Corp.’s Windows and Red Hat Inc.’s Linux operating systems.

Businesses are seeking alternatives after Oracle, the largest maker of database software, said in March it would stop developing software for Itanium chips, which are used in some Hewlett-Packard servers. Hewlett-Packard sued Oracle over the decision on June 15, alleging breach of contract, escalating tensions that flared after Oracle hired former Hewlett-Packard Chief Executive Officer Mark Hurd as a co-president.

Oracle’s move helped slice revenue at Hewlett-Packard’s “business critical systems,” which includes high-end servers, by 23 percent to $535 million in the quarter that ended Oct. 31, the company reported yesterday.

Users of Hewlett-Packard’s Integrity and certain other machines -- the ones that use Itanium -- will be able to run Itanium and Xeon blade servers side by side in the same computer chassis in about two years, said Martin Fink, a senior vice president for business critical systems at Hewlett-Packard.

No ‘Forced Migrations’

The systems, used to power ATM and telephone networks, include features that let them recover from system failures and run for long periods without downtime.

Hewlett-Packard is also working with Microsoft and an industry group responsible for developing the open-source Linux software to make those operating systems work better with Integrity, Fink said. Over time, customers could choose to move applications and databases, including ones made by Oracle, to the Xeon blades, he said. Hewlett-Packard will continue to support and develop new features for Itanium-based computers.

“This is not about forced migrations or forced transitions,” Fink said. “The beauty of this is one infrastructure that runs all of your hardware and system needs.”

Deborah Hellinger, a spokeswoman for Redwood City, California-based Oracle, declined to comment.

Hewlett-Packard fell less than 1 percent to $26.65 at the close in New York yesterday. The stock has tumbled 37 percent this year.

To contact the reporters on this story: Aaron Ricadela in San Francisco at aricadela@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Amazon, EBay Pop Up to Grab Holiday Sales

By Danielle Kucera - Nov 23, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and EBay Inc. (EBAY), aiming to get more consumers to shop online this holiday season, are taking their fight to brick-and-mortar retailers’ home turf on Black Friday, the busiest shopping day of the year.

EBay is planning holiday “pop-up” locations in New York, San Francisco and London that will let consumers scan a barcode and buy products on the spot, using mobile phones. Amazon opened an online Black Friday deals store on Nov. 1. It’s packing the site with offers each day to keep shoppers checking in over the Web, instead of heading to the mall.

Internet sellers aim to spur more buying from couches and armchairs among the more than 95 percent of U.S. consumers who still shop in stores, ratcheting up rivalry with traditional retailers as economic weakness weighs on spending growth. EBay’s outdoor displays and shopping cafes, for example, seek to catch the eye of shoppers who are hurrying in and out of stores, offering an alternative to post-Thanksgiving crowds and lines.

“If people have a finite amount of discretionary dollars to lock up before Black Friday, it suits these retailers well,” said Sucharita Mulpuru, an analyst at Forrester Research Inc. (FORR) “Web retailers are better-positioned than store retailers. They in many cases can have better offers because their economics are more favorable.”

Internet Retailers Gain

Amazon and EBay shares have gained this year as more consumers use tablets such as Apple Inc.’s iPad to shop and look for deals they can’t get at physical locations, which incur more overhead. Amazon’s stock price has risen 6.9 percent in 2011 and EBay has increased 4.3 percent, while Best Buy Co. (BBY) has declined 24 percent.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT) and other retailers are also pouring on the discounts, some opening earlier than ever on the day after Thanksgiving. They’re eager to win over the 49 percent of consumers who last year chose to shop less in physical retail locations and more online as they looked for cheaper items, Mulpuru said. That trend will probably continue, she said.

“This is everyone trying to clamor for what’s going to be a difficult holiday season,” she said.

EBay’s London pop-up store, open from Dec. 1 to Dec. 5, will feature physical products -- examples of what’s available online -- with so-called QR codes consumers can scan with mobile devices to buy through EBay’s marketplace, the world’s largest. In New York and San Francisco, the company is letting consumers buy items online through storefronts that feature digital screens with scannable price tags. The displays also let users simultaneously make a donation to the Marine Toys for Tots Foundation, an organization that gives toys to kids in need.

Mobile Shopping

The temporary locations may help fuel sales and shopping over mobile devices, which EBay projects will reach $5 billion this year. EBay’s total revenue is forecast to increase 33 percent to $3.3 billion in the fourth quarter. The company bought the RedLaser barcode-scanning app in June 2010, part of a push to expand into mobile payments.

E-commerce accounted for 4.6 percent of the total retail market in the third quarter, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. Even as they vie for a larger slice of overall retail sales, Amazon, EBay and smaller Internet vendors are also competing with one another in the existing e-commerce market, which may increase 15 percent to $59.5 billion in November and December this year, Forrester estimates.

Brittany Kim, a 29-year-old graduate student at Wheaton College in suburban Chicago, said she plans to increase her online shopping by about a third this holiday season. She said at least some of that will be on Amazon.

“They have everything,” Kim said while shopping recently in San Francisco. “They’re price-competitive.”

Consumer Confidence

Reviving sales growth as consumer confidence improves will be a priority this holiday season, Mulpuru said. While confidence is climbing, the University of Michigan index of consumer expectations for six months from now was 56.2 in November, far below the 80.5 average of the previous expansion that ended in December 2007. Revenue at EBay jumped 29 percent from 2006 to 2007, compared with a 4.9 percent increase from 2009 to 2010.

The San Jose, California-based company is setting up cafes beside its New York and San Francisco storefronts with food trucks and free Wi-Fi where users can sit and shop on their mobile phones. Passersby will be given a gift guide with popular holiday items -- Apple (AAPL) iPhones, Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI)’s “Call of Duty” video games, Wusthof knives -- with a QR code that directs users to the mobile EBay holiday Web page to browse.

“We want to be present during those moments when that inspiration hits consumers, when they see the product that they want, and they want to get it then and there,” said Richelle Parham, chief marketing officer of North America at EBay.

Black Friday Deals

EBay will tussle with Amazon in its bid to lure customers from physical retailers. Amazon’s Black Friday deals store will offer customers exclusive deals each day, including Cyber Monday, the Monday after Thanksgiving. The idea is to lock in consumers before they make the decision to hit stores. Shoppers are getting the message.

“Amazon is a center point of our family universe,” said Shana Deane, a 42-year-old mother of three from Sunderland, Massachusetts. “We have an Amazon credit card. We will definitely not go shopping anywhere on Black Friday.”

Amazon, the biggest online retailer, also is promoting its Price Check mobile application, which helps consumers make sure they’re getting the best deals while they’re out shopping. The holiday revenue will contribute to sales that the Seattle-based company says will be $16.5 billion to $18.7 billion in the fourth quarter -- growth of 27 percent to 44 percent compared with a year earlier.

Spending More

Forrester, based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, estimates that 12 percent of the 15 percent growth in the e-commerce market this holiday season will result from increased spending per buyer, an indication that the market is attracting more consumers looking to get the right value for their time and money as the economy remains sluggish.

Groupon Inc., LivingSocial.com and other daily-deal sites also may benefit as shoppers look to the Web for discounted gifts.

U.S. consumers will spend $80 million to $100 million on daily-deal gifts between Thanksgiving and Christmas, estimates the website Yipit, which aggregates offers from a range of companies. That’s up from $15 million to $20 million during the same period a year ago, Yipit said. Some of the gains may be coming from shoppers who are seeking unique experiences and services, like those offered by deal sites, rather than toys or clothes.

“I don’t want to have to feel like I have to get the same thing every other mother is getting her 8-year-old,” Deane said. Taking part in the Black Friday craze “creates that false pressure,” she said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Danielle Kucera in San Francisco at dkucera6@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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MF Global Customers Missing $1.2 Billion Denied Committee

By Tiffany Kary - Nov 23, 2011 12:00 PM GMT+0700

MF Global Inc. brokerage customers, who may be missing more than $1.2 billion from their accounts, won’t be allowed to form a committee to represent their interests in bankruptcy court, a judge ruled.

Customer accounts believed to hold $5.45 billion were frozen Oct. 31, the day after the New York-based company reported a shortfall in funds that are required to be segregated under rules of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. A previous estimate of about $600 million in missing funds was raised to $1.2 billion yesterday by James Giddens, the trustee appointed to liquidate the company and distribute refunds to customers.

Judge Martin Glenn, overseeing a hearing today in Manhattan Bankruptcy court, said he will deny commodity customers’ request to form an official committee. He urged the trustee to work closely with commodities customers.

“With 38,000 customers, for them to have an effective voice, there needs to be some agreed organizational structure that will allow them to be heard by the trustee,” Glenn told a lawyer for the trustee. Glenn said there were no legal precedents that would let a bankruptcy court grant the official committee.

Far-Reaching Case

“Nobody in the legislative history of this country thought about a case like this,” Lewis Kruger, a lawyer for a group of customers, argued before Glenn today. “This case may determine whether there is a commodities market in the future. I have great concern about what’s going to happen in this industry. This is a far-reaching case and it needs to have an imaginative resolution.”

Separately, a spokesman for Giddens, Kent Jarrell, said the estate, which had previously run out of money to contribute to the 60 percent it plans to distribute to customers, will receive $1.3 billion from Harris Bank in Chicago. It’s the last large sum that will come into the estate, Jarrell said in an interview after the court hearing. It does not affect the missing funds, he said in an e-mail.

While Giddens is overseeing distributions to customers at MF Global Inc., its parent, MF Global Holdings Inc., once run by former New Jersey Governor and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) co- chairman Jon Corzine, filed for bankruptcy separately to apportion returns to creditors, including bondholders and lenders such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

Parent Gets Trustee

Glenn agreed today to let the parent company have a court- appointed trustee to oversee its wind-down in Chapter 11 bankruptcy after it failed to find an operating loan.

Kenneth Ziman, a lawyer for MF Global Holdings, said a trustee will be better able to respond to investigations and coordinate amid a lack of funds.

“The trustee would be better able to coordinate where resources are limited -- certainly that’s liquidity here,” Ziman said.

JPMorgan Chase, agent to a $1.2 billion loan, has agreed to allow the company to use $26 million of its cash collateral to fund the liquidation, subject to an agreement involving the trustee.

Glenn also said Giddens can process claims from commodities and securities customers under similar procedures, distributing as much funds as may be recovered. Commodity customers had said a committee was also necessary because Giddens, appointed under the Securities Investor Protection Act, was more familiar with securities rather than commodity accounts.

Faster

Glenn said he would require Giddens to report his progress faster than usual.

“One change I will make is requiring more frequent status reports to the court,” Glenn said of the trustee’s proposed management of claims. Glenn said the usual six-month updates wouldn’t be enough to show the trustee was acting expeditiously.

“Commodities customers believe there has been a series of errors already, giving some inequitable wins and others unnecessary losses,” Kruger said at the hearing. “There’s a lack of understanding of the commodities business, and the parade of letters you’ve seen all say that ability is not present.”

A lawyer for Giddens also said today that the $1.2 billion estimate may be too low.

“It could still go up,” said James Kobak, a lawyer for Giddens. “We hope that it will go down.”

Yesterday, he’d described forensic accountants and investigators working “around the clock,” and noted that the estimate of the broker’s shortfall may change. If the amount is $1.2 billion, that would mean customer accounts are missing about 22 percent of the total of $5.4 billion held in segregated accounts. A shortfall of 11 percent had been previously estimated by a person with knowledge of probes into the firm’s collapse.

Distribution

Distributing 60 percent of what should have been in commodity customers’ accounts, already under way, will take $1.3 billion to $1.6 billion, or almost all of the assets he has within his control, Giddens has said.

The shortfall is primarily in commodity accounts. Money frozen in securities accounts, of which there are only 400, will be refunded through a separate segregated account, Jarrell said yesterday.

“Essentially we have no more than 60 percent to give,” Kobak said at the hearing today.

The next motion the trustee will make will deal with “truing up” all customers to make sure everyone gets 60 percent of their collateral, Kobak said. It will also deal with the issue of bounced checks, which are estimated to be worth about $50 million, Kobak said.

Call Center

A lawyer for the trustee said their call center has been getting more than 4,000 calls a week. Glenn said his law clerks are also receiving a large number of calls from former MF Global customers without attorneys.

Giddens has so far brought $3.7 billion under his control, all of which has come from the former U.S. depositories of MF Global Inc., according to his statement yesterday. He has already distributed $1.5 billion in collateral, and is currently returning $520 million in cash to customers.

An MF Global customer filed a proposed class-action lawsuit today against Corzine and his bankrupt firm. Davide Accomazzo, managing director of Cervino Capital Management LLC, a Topanga, California-based commodity trading adviser, claimed in the suit filed in federal court in Manhattan that his money and other assets belonging to his clients were lost after MF Global commingled them with its own funds.

Accomazzo alleged in the proposed class-action, or group, lawsuit that MF Global perpetrated a fraud and argued it’s a “bedrock principle” that futures commission merchants such as MF Global weren’t allowed to mix funds held in customer accounts with their own funds under any circumstances.

Potential Conflicts

Separately, Glenn directed Giddens and his law firm to disclose all potential conflicts, and describe all its connections with JPMorgan Chase.

“I don’t think there’s any merit to the idea we’re in bed with the bank,” Kobak said, saying his law firm, Hughes Hubbard & Reed, has only done minor work for JPMorgan and isn’t conflicted.

The parent company’s $325 million of 6.25 percent notes rose 0.5 cent to 31.5 cents on the dollar at 9:10 a.m. today in New York, according to Trace, the bond price reporting system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The debt, issued at par in August, has declined from 50 cents on the dollar since the company’s Oct. 31 bankruptcy filing and dropped to as low as 28 cents on Nov. 21, Trace data show.

The company filed the eighth-largest U.S. bankruptcy after a wrong-way $6.3 billion trade on its own behalf on bonds of some of Europe’s most indebted nations. MF Global Holdings moved hundreds of millions of dollars from its futures client accounts to other accounts before its bankruptcy, according to a person familiar with the audit of the company.

It listed debt of $39.7 billion and assets of $41 billion. The firm said it has about $26 million in cash. Corzine quit as MF Global’s CEO on Nov. 4.

The brokerage case is Securities Investor Protection Corp. v. MF Global Inc., 11-02790, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan). The parent’s bankruptcy case is MF Global Holdings Ltd., 11-bk-15059, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).

To contact the reporter on this story: Tiffany Kary in New York at tkary@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Pickering at jpickering@bloomberg.net





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Groupon Shares Plunge for Second Straight Day, Trading Close to IPO Price

By Douglas MacMillan - Nov 23, 2011 5:12 AM GMT+0700

Groupon Inc., the largest Internet daily-deal site, plunged 15 percent, pushing the shares near their initial public offering price for the first time.

The stock tumbled $3.51 to $20.07 at the close in New York, with 5.22 million shares changing hands, the highest volume since its second day of trading. Groupon, up 31 percent before this week, dipped as low as $20.03 earlier in today’s session, 3 cents more than the IPO price.


Groupon was dragged down for a second day on concern that profit margins will be squeezed by surging marketing costs and competition from rivals such as LivingSocial.com, backed by Amazon.com Inc. It also became cheaper to borrow the shares for so-called short sales, bets that pay off if a stock declines, said Herman Leung, an analyst at Susquehanna International Group LLP in San Francisco.

“It’s been impossible to borrow, and it’s been easing up a little bit,” said Leung, who has a neutral rating on shares of Groupon and doesn’t own any. “LivingSocial has been a little bit more aggressive lately as well.”

The so-called borrow rate, or fee imposed by brokers on traders who want to sell short, has dropped to about 30 percent from 99 percent earlier in the month, Leung said. At 30 percent, Groupon’s shares would have to decline by at least that much before the trader makes a profit.

Groupon was buoyed in the days after its IPO because it offered a small percentage of the outstanding shares -- holding a so-called low-float IPO -- which helped drive up demand. Now investors are having second thoughts, said Howard Lindzon, chief executive officer of the online investing community StockTwits.

“I think we all know this was a rushed deal,” he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles@bloomberg.net.



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Big Fish Sells Subscriptions to Its Games on the iPad

By Adam Satariano - Nov 23, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is letting a video-game company offer its titles by subscription on the iPad, expanding the role of a feature typically used by magazine and newspaper publishers.

Big Fish Games, a Seattle-based game publisher, won approval from Apple to become the first to offer users access to dozens of titles for $6.99 a month. Until now, games have only been available one at a time, requiring users to download individual applications.

When Apple introduced its subscription feature earlier this year, Paul Thelen, the founder of Big Fish, saw it as an opportunity to offer an “all-you-can-eat” service. That lets players jump in and out of different games without having to make a bunch of downloads. While game-subscription services have a mixed record of success, the popularity of the iPad, along with the easy payment method provided by Apple’s App Store, will make the offering attractive, Thelen said.

“This is the first time that the technology has matched the business model,” he said.


The setup is similar to Netflix Inc. (NFLX)’s streaming application for the iPad. Subscribers can get unlimited access to games such as “Mystery Case Files” and the “Mahjong Towers” series from inside the Big Fish app.

Games played through the subscription service, which are streamed to a user’s iPad from Big Fish’s data centers, will initially require Wi-Fi access to play.

Android Next?

The company has designed the application in a way that it can easily be modified to work on smartphones or tablets running Google Inc. (GOOG)’s Android operating system, as well as Internet- connected televisions, Thelen said. An Android version should be ready by the first quarter, he said.

In addition to the subscription plan, Big Fish also will offer a free version of its game service that limits play to 30 minutes a day and includes advertising. The subscription will initially cost $4.99 and will increase early next year to $6.99 after more titles are added, Thelen said. Apple collects a 30 percent commission.

Big Fish, founded in 2002, generated $140 million in sales last year, mostly from games downloaded to a personal computer or mobile device. About 75 percent of its players are women over the age of 30, Thelen said.

The company is in a position to pursue an initial public offering, he said.

“We’re at scale, have great momentum and remain in a position to pursue a public offering or any number of alternatives if the markets allow,” Thelen said.

Even so, Apple wasn’t quickly convinced that a monthly fee would work for games, he said. Tom Neumayr, a spokesman for Apple in Cupertino, California, didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

“It took longer than usual to be approved,” Thelen said. “They needed to be convinced there’s a reason to charge customers every month.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Satariano in San Francisco at asatariano1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net



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Steve Jobs’ Heirs Have Reason to Sell Apple and Disney

By Ronald Grover and Peter Burrows - Nov 22, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Laurene Powell Jobs

Apple CEO Steve Jobs, center, and his wife Laurene Powell Jobs, meet with customers after the launch of the new Apple iPhone in Palo Alto. Photographer: Paul Sakuma/AP


Steve Jobs’s widow may never find a better moment to sell her late husband’s $6.78 billion of Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Walt Disney Co. (DIS) stock.

Under U.S. law, Jobs’s heirs may sell Apple and Disney and avoid $867 million in capital gains taxes. If Apple’s late co- founder left his estate to his wife, Laurene Powell Jobs, the family won’t be liable for the 35 percent estate tax until she dies or gives money to others, according to estate planners.

“I can’t see any reason not to sell all of it,” said Kacy Gott, chief planning officer at the wealth-management firm Aspiriant, whose clients have assets of as much as $100 million. “They should have been looking to diversify years ago.”

Jobs’s heirs should sell some stock to reduce the estate’s risks, said Joyce Franklin, a San Francisco financial planner who works with high-tech executives. Making sales more attractive: the capital gains tax is set to rise to 20 percent in 2013 from 15 percent now, and high-income Americans will also be subject to a 3.8 percent levy on unearned gains.

Jobs owned 138 million Disney shares, valued yesterday at $4.74 billion, and 5.55 million Apple shares worth $2.05 billion, according to filings. Proxy statements show Jobs moved his holdings into trusts as his health worsened. Trusts let people distribute wealth over time and avoid probate fees.

If Jobs had sold all of his Disney and Apple on Oct. 4, the day before he died, he would have registered a gain of about $5.78 billion and a tax bill of $867 million. That’s based on his investment of $55 million in Pixar Studios, now part of Disney, and Apple shares granted in March 2003. They vested three years later at $64.66 each, filings show.

Disney Stake

Candace Pugatch, a spokeswoman for Laurene Powell Jobs, declined to comment on her tax situation or whether she plans to buy or sell any Apple or Disney shares.

Of the two holdings, Disney would be more complicated to sell. The stock represents almost 12 times the average number of Disney shares traded each day over the past year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Disney, based in Burbank, California, could buy some or all of the shares, said Michael Morris, an analyst with Davenport & Co. in Richmond, Virginia, who rates the stock “neutral.”

“They have not used leverage as effectively as other media companies and have the capacity to take on the added debt,” Morris said. The company bought back $5 billion in shares in fiscal 2011, according to a Nov. 10 statement.

The Apple holdings represent less than a third of the 17.6 million shares traded on a daily basis, making an open market sale much simpler.

Legacy Investor

“She may want to maintain the link because of what the companies meant to her husband, but legacy is the only reason to hold any of it,” Gott said. “You wouldn’t go out and buy $5 billion in Disney stock, so why should you keep it?”

Jobs died on Oct. 5 at age 56 from complications of pancreatic cancer. His will hasn’t been made public. Jobs is survived by his wife and four children, Lisa, Eve, Erin and Reed.

Under U.S. law, the trust can sell the shares and incur taxes only on the appreciation since Jobs’s death -- a gain of about $338 million. If Jobs had died in 2010, when there was no estate tax, his heirs would have faced the capital gains tax on his entire investment profit if they had sold. That provision lapsed in 2011 when the estate tax was reinstated.

The largest holding is Jobs’s 7.4 percent Disney stake, shares received in 2006 when the media and theme-park company acquired Pixar for $7.01 billion in stock.

Animation Gamble

Jobs bought Pixar from “Star Wars” producer George Lucas for $5 million in 1986 and invested $50 million more in the computer animation company over a decade, according to a person with knowledge of the situation who wouldn’t speak publicly. When Jobs died, the Disney stake was worth $4.35 billion.

Excluding dividends, that marks an 18.5 percent annual return through Oct. 5, based on $55 million invested at the end of 1986. In that span, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. produced a 15.4 percent average yearly gain, using historical prices from Global Financial Data and returns compiled by Bloomberg.

Jobs’s cost is likely what he spent to create Pixar, said Janet Brewer, a Palo Alto, California, lawyer who has worked with estates of as much as $300 million. She has no knowledge of the family’s actual holdings.

‘Perfect Time’

“From a tax point of view, this is the perfect time to diversify,” Brewer said.

Shares of Cupertino, California-based Apple have appreciated about 33 percent annually since the stock grant vested in 2006. Jobs’s holdings include 120,000 shares acquired in August 2007 from options exercised at $5.75 each. Berkshire Hathaway Class A has gained 4.3 percent a year since March 2006.

Three people who know Powell Jobs, who has a master’s degree in business administration from Stanford University, don’t think she is interested in taking her husband’s seats on the Apple or Disney board. Disney CEO Robert Iger joined Apple’s board this month.

Powell Jobs’s intentions may not matter if a bank is managing the investments, said John Barcal, an estate lawyer and associate professor at USC’s Leventhal School of Accounting who has worked with a trust that exceeds Jobs’s public holdings.

“I don’t know if his wife is a co-trustee or if it’s a bank, but a bank would be duty-bound to diversify the holdings,” Barcal said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ronald Grover in Los Angeles at rgrover5@bloomberg.net; Peter Burrows in San Francisco at pburrows@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Anthony Palazzo at apalazzo@bloomberg.net; Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net.



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Woodford to Face Olympus Board in Tokyo

By Chris Cooper and Mariko Yasu - Nov 23, 2011 4:19 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Olympus Corp. former President Michael C. Woodford left London last night and returns to Japan today for the first time since he was ousted last month, setting up a showdown with the fellow board members who fired him. Woodford left Japan Oct. 14, the day he was axed for questioning $1.4 billion in takeover costs now at the center of criminal investigations. The Briton is due to land in Tokyo this afternoon. Susan Li reports on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


Olympus Corp. former President Michael C. Woodford landed in Japan for the first time since he was ousted last month, setting up a showdown with the fellow board members who fired him.

The Briton walked into Narita airport’s arrival hall about 4.45 p.m. today, where he was surrounded by dozens of reporters and cameramen, with about half a dozen police officers to control the crowd. Woodford left the country Oct. 14, the day he was axed for questioning $1.4 billion in takeover costs that are now at the center of criminal investigations, including whether some of the money was paid to Yakuza gangsters.

Olympus called a board meeting Nov. 25, setting up a showdown between its first foreign president and directors who cited his management style when they unanimously voted to dismiss him. Since then, the company has admitted former Chairman Tsuyoshi Kikukawa and senior aides colluded to cover up losses, leading to calls for Woodford’s reinstatement.

“Olympus needs to rebuild its creditability given the financial scandal and confidence given the leadership reshuffles, and Woodford looks to have both,” said Gavin Parry, managing director of Hong Kong-based brokerage Parry International Trading Ltd. The board members “are still ultimately answerable to shareholders, with many shareholders voicing their support for Woodford’s return,” he said.

‘Many Tentacles’

The stock of the 92-year-old camera and endoscope maker has slumped 65 percent since Woodford was fired, on concerns about the scale of the losses, the threat of delisting and continuing criminal investigations. Olympus has risen 89 percent since Nov. 11 as investors bet the problems would be contained. Japan markets are closed for a public holiday today.

Woodford will press the board to carry out a forensic investigation of the accounting on past acquisitions, he said in an interview this week. The agenda for the meeting is confidential, said Tsuyoshi Kitada, an Olympus spokesman.

“The Olympus story has many tentacles, like an octopus,” Woodford told reporters at Narita airport. “I feel optimistic that I can get reassurances that the issues involved will be investigated right through to their conclusion.”

He was then escorted to a chauffeur-driven Teana saloon, manufactured by Nissan Motor Co. (7201), whose president, Carlos Ghosn, is among a handful of foreigners running publicly traded Japanese companies.

Covering Up Losses

Kikukawa and Woodford both remain on the board, along with company auditor Hideo Yamada, who offered to step down over the scandal, and Executive Vice President Hisashi Mori, who was fired. None of them have made public statements since newly installed President Shuichi Takayama said Nov. 8 the three were involved in covering up losses.

After being fired, Woodford went public with concerns he raised with Kikukawa and Mori over $687 million paid in advisory fees in the $2.1 billion acquisition of U.K. medical company Gyrus Group Plc and writedowns of stakes in three other takeovers. That money may have been rerouted to Olympus via offshore funds to help cancel out losses on securities investments dating back to the 1990s.

Other senior executives involved in the transactions and in hiding their true cost from investors, including current head of investor relations Akihiro Nambu, remain at the company and no other directors have admitted any failure of duty.

Olympus’s biggest shareholder, Southeastern Asset Management Inc., said Nambu’s department lied in an e-mail exchange last year about the fees and that all executives at the company involved in hiding losses should go.

Weak Objections

“Any objection for Woodford coming back is getting weaker and weaker and weaker as this thing gets stinkier,” said Josh Shores, a London-based principal for Southeastern.

Woodford said he is hoping to win his role back. “That’s one of the reasons I’m coming now, to demonstrate that I’m prepared to come to Japan,” he said in a Bloomberg Television interview in his car on the way to Heathrow airport in London.

The decision to hire Axes America LLC as Olympus’s financial adviser for the Gyrus acquisition was approved by the board, which left no clear record of the decision-making process, according to a PricewaterhouseCoopers report commissioned by Woodford before he was fired.

The financial advisory agreement, the terms of which led the fees to blow out over the course of two years, was approved by Kikukawa in 2007. The decision to issue $200 million in preferred shares to Axam Investments Ltd., a now-defunct Cayman Islands fund, as part of advisory fees was decided by the board in September 2008, according to the report.

Long Heritage

Olympus was formed in 1919 as a maker of microscopes and thermometers. The company then expanded into cameras in the 1930s and began developing endoscopes in 1949. By the year ended March 2011, medical systems accounted for 42 percent of overall revenue (7733), Olympus’s biggest division.

The company sought deals “as part of its efforts to accelerate growth in medical equipment as well as to reduce dependency on endoscopes,” President Takayama said last month. “The acquisition of Gyrus and the three Japanese companies were part of such a plan.”

Olympus paid a total of 73.4 billion yen ($953 million) for Altis Co., News Chef Co. and Humalabo Co. between 2006 and 2008. In March 2009, the company wrote down a total of 55.7 billion yen in the value of those companies, or 76 percent of the purchase price.

Organized Crime

Woodford, who met the intelligence team at Britain’s Serious Fraud Office, will meet officials at Japan’s Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission and the Tokyo District Public Prosecutors Office, he said this week. Japanese investigators are looking at whether Olympus worked with organized criminals in transferring the funds, the New York Times reported, citing a memo from law-enforcement officials.

An independent committee set up by Olympus to investigate its accounting said this week that it had found no evidence of criminal involvement. Woodford said it wasn’t possible to reach that conclusion without a forensic inspection of accounts.

Tokyo Metropolitan Police will provide Woodford with a security detail.

Following his three-day visit to Japan, Woodford travels to the U.S. to meet the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Department of Justice and Securities and Exchange Commission.

To contact the reporters on this story: Mariko Yasu in Tokyo at myasu@bloomberg.net; Chris Cooper in Tokyo at ccooper1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net


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AT&T Faces New Roadblock on T-Mobile

By Todd Shields - Nov 23, 2011 5:39 AM GMT+0700

AT&T Inc. (T)’s $39 billion bid for T- Mobile USA Inc. faces a new roadblock as Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski asked commissioners to send the proposal to an agency judge for a hearing.

The hearing, which could lead to a rejection of the deal, was proposed in an order that Genachowski offered today for consideration by the full FCC, officials who declined to be identified said in a briefing with reporters. Agency staff had found the proposed merger would significantly diminish wireless competition, one official said.

The hearing would take place after the resolution of a Justice Department court challenge to the transaction, the FCC officials said. The antitrust case is scheduled for trial in February.

AT&T is “reviewing all options,” Larry Solomon, senior vice president of corporate communications, said in an e-mailed statement.

“The FCC’s action today is disappointing,” Solomon said. “It is yet another example of a government agency acting to prevent billions in new investment and the creation of many thousands of new jobs at a time when the US economy desperately needs both.”

The purchase of Bellevue, Washington-based T-Mobile would eliminate one of four national U.S. wireless carriers. AT&T has said the transaction would help it bring wireless high-speed Internet service to more people.

‘Significant Obstacle’

The deal would lead to massive job losses as AT&T realizes savings, and the record at the FCC doesn’t show the merger would significantly spur the spread of wireless high-speed Internet service, an agency official said today. Wireless concentration would increase in 99 of 100 markets, the official said.

The FCC can designate a transaction for a hearing, which is akin to a trial, when it cannot find the deal is in the public interest. The administrative law judge presiding over the hearing delivers an initial decision that goes to agency commissioners for a vote. Commissioners may vote in coming days on Genachowski’s proposal.

“A hearing could go on for six to 12 months,” Andrew Lipman, a Washington-based partner with Bingham McCutchen LLP, said in an interview. “It’s certainly a significant obstacle and roadblock.”

Echostar Challenge

The last time the FCC designated a media merger for a hearing was in 2002, when the agency challenged Echostar Communications Corp.’s bid for fellow satellite company DirecTV (DTV), Lipman said. The companies dropped their bid, he said.

AT&T could continue to fight the Justice Department in federal court, and if it wins there seek a settlement to stave off an appeal of the verdict and to satisfy the FCC, Christopher King and David Kaut, analysts with Stifel Nicolaus & Co., said in a note to investors today.

The federal district court judge’s decision “would likely be pivotal,” Kaut and King wrote.

AT&T has agreed to pay T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom AG (DTE) a breakup fee of $3 billion as well as spectrum if the deal collapses for a total package valued at as much as $7 billion.

“Too much money remains at stake for it to concede defeat and drop the deal,” Andrew Gavil, an antitrust professor at Howard University School of Law in Washington, said in an interview. “They’ve locked themselves in to take it to the mat.”

‘Serious Concerns’

AT&T shares closed down 28 cents at $28.08 in New York Stock Exchange trading. Shares of deal opponent Sprint Nextel Corp. (S), the third-largest U.S. wireless carrier, rose 2 cents to $2.62.

Genachowski released a statement on Aug. 31, the day the Justice Department sued to block the deal, that cited “serious concerns about the impact of the proposed transaction on competition.”

Today’s action “means the FCC has found merit in our arguments that a combined AT&T/T-Mobile will create a duopoly in the wireless market which will increase prices for service and for handsets,” Andrew Jay Schwartzman, policy director of Media Access Project, a Washington-based nonprofit law firm, said in an e-mailed statement.

The FCC asked Dallas-based AT&T in an Oct. 13 letter for information about the deal’s effect on jobs, saying the carrier had provided “almost nothing” in response to an earlier query.

AT&T said in an Oct. 31 filing it would preserve more than 20,000 call-center jobs, offer alternative positions to non- management T-Mobile workers whose functions aren’t needed and bring 5,000 call-center positions to the U.S. from overseas.

Qualcomm Deal

Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt urged the FCC in a Nov. 21 letter to block the transaction if the agency finds that the deal will harm competition and raise prices for consumers. Sprint is based in Overland Park, Kansas.

“The proposed merger actually threatens that market competition,” Schmidt, a Republican, wrote in the three-page letter, which was addressed to Genachowski and posted on the FCC website. “Concentrated markets lack competitive balance; they give powerful players the ability to restrain competition and consumer choice.”

Separately, Genachowski asked commissioners today to allow AT&T to purchase airwaves from Qualcomm Inc., an official said. AT&T in December agreed to pay $1.93 billion for airwaves covering 300 million people from Qualcomm, which acquired the spectrum for a mobile-television service it later closed. Genachowski proposed conditions on the deal, said the official, who declined to offer details.

To contact the reporter on this story: Todd Shields in Washington at tshields3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Shepard at mshepard7@bloomberg.net




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Asian Stocks Decline on U.S. Economy

By Jonathan Burgos - Nov 23, 2011 8:46 AM GMT+0700

Asian stocks fell, with a regional gauge heading for its lowest close in a month, after a mining tax was approved in Australia’s lower house of parliament and a report showed slower-than-expected economic growth in the U.S.

Samsung Electronics Co. (005930), South Korea’s biggest exporter of consumer electronics, slid 2.4 percent in Seoul on speculation exports will drop as growth in the world’s biggest economy slows. BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), the world’s biggest mining company, declined 1.9 percent in Sydney after Australia’s House of Representatives passed a law taxing mining profits. AirAsia Bhd. (AIRA) slipped 4.9 percent in Kuala Lumpur after the budget carrier reported a 53 percent decline in profit.

“Europe is probably already in recession and that’s going to hurt demand for U.S. exports and put downward pressure on U.S. growth,” Alan Gayle, a senior strategist at RidgeWorth Capital Management in Richmond, Virginia, which oversees about $44 billion, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “The Federal Reserve is going to continue to do all that it can to support the economy. The more important question to the market is how effective would they be.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index fell 1.2 percent to 383.98 as of 9:41 a.m. in Hong Kong, poised for its lowest close since Oct. 7. Stocks retreated this month as surging bond yields in Italy and Spain added to evidence Europe’s sovereign debt crisis is spreading to major economies.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slid 1.1 percent, while South Korea’s Kospi Index declined 1.6 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped 1.7 percent and China’s Shanghai Composite Index added 0.2 percent. Japanese markets are closed today for a holiday.

U.S. Futures

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) fell 0.9 percent today. The measure dropped 0.4 percent in New York yesterday, extending its longest slump in almost four months, as slower- than-estimated economic growth overshadowed signs the Federal Reserve may provide more stimulus.

Exporters fell after a revised Commerce Department report showed that U.S. gross domestic product climbed at a 2 percent annual rate from July through September, less than projected and down from a 2.5 percent prior estimate. Fed officials said the central bank should consider easing policy further, according to minutes of their Nov. 1-2 meeting.

Raw material producers dropped as BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto Group and other iron-ore and coal suppliers and producers face paying about A$11 billion ($10.8 billion) in extra charges in the first three years of the mining tax passed by the lower house of Australia’s parliament yesterday.

The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index declined 18 percent this year through yesterday, compared with a 5.5 percent loss by the S&P 500 and a 19 percent drop by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Stocks (MXAPJ) in the Asian benchmark are valued at 11.2 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 12 times for the S&P 500 and 9.8 times for the Stoxx 600.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net





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Madoff Trustee Will Get $326 Million Settlement From U.S. Tax Collector

By Karen Gullo - Nov 23, 2011 8:58 AM GMT+0700

The trustee liquidating Bernard Madoff’s investment company reached a settlement with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service to recover $326 million transferred to the agency purportedly on behalf of the con man’s foreign account holders.

Trustee Irving Picard found that Madoff or his company made payments to the IRS under a section of U.S. tax code that requires that 30 percent of dividend payments to non-resident aliens and foreign corporations be withheld for taxes, according to a filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan.

A total of $330 million in payments were made on behalf of 145 foreign account holders and were reported to the IRS as federal income tax that was withheld from dividend payments. The agency erroneously paid refunds on claims related to the payment in the amount of $4.2 million, according to the filing.

There’s no record of Madoff’s company having bought or sold any securities for the customers or any dividends paid, according to the filing. The IRS payments were made “presumably to give the investment advisory arm of BLMIS an air of legitimacy and to avoid any inquiries from the IRS,” Elyssa Kates, a lawyer for Picard, said in the filing.

The IRS will pay $326 million to Picard, who will reserve $103 million to pay any settlement or judgments against the IRS or the trustee. The agreement is subject to bankruptcy court approval, Kates said. The settlement payment is for eventual distribution customers with valid claims, according to the filing.

The case is Securities Investor Protection Corp. v. Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, 08-01789, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan

To contact the reporter on this story: Karen Gullo in San Francisco at kgullo@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Hytha at mhytha@bloomberg.net




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New Jersey Workers Won’t Get Day After Thanksgiving Off, Christie Says

By Terrence Dopp - Nov 23, 2011 8:16 AM GMT+0700

New Jersey state employees won’t get the day after the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday as excused time off, Governor Chris Christie said, in a break with tradition.

Christie, 49, said he won’t give public workers a long weekend following the holiday, which falls on the fourth Thursday of November each year. Previous governors have signed executive orders giving workers the extra free day.

“It’s time to get to work,” Christie said today during his monthly “Ask the Governor” radio call-in show on WKXW-FM in Ewing. “People should have access to their state government,” he said.

Christie tried to end the practice last year, yet was overruled by the Public Employment Relations Commission in Trenton. The panel said an agreement between Jon Corzine, Christie’s predecessor, and state unions guaranteed workers the extra day off, said Michael Drewniak, a Christie spokesman.

“No one was expecting the governor to give us the day,” said Hetty Rosenstein, state director of the Communications Workers of America, the largest state employees union. “It’s not a big deal.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Terrence Dopp in Trenton at tdopp@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: William Glasgall at wglasgall@bloomberg.net.




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Euro Trades Near Month Low Before Europe Manufacturing, Services Reports

By Kristine Aquino and Masaki Kondo - Nov 23, 2011 8:26 AM GMT+0700

The euro traded 0.6 percent from a one-month low against the dollar before data forecast to show European manufacturing and services contracted amid the region’s sovereign-debt crisis.

The 17-nation euro was 0.7 percent from a six-week low versus the yen ahead of reports that economists predict will show purchasing managers’ indexes for manufacturing in Germany and France, Europe’s two biggest economies, also fell this month. The pound was 0.3 percent from a one-month low against the greenback before the Bank of England releases minutes of its November meeting today.

“The bias for the euro is that it falls,” said Imre Speizer, a strategist in Auckland at Westpac Banking Corp., Australia’s second-largest lender. “Overall the euro-zone economy is looking weak and trending weaker, and we’re expecting they’re going to recession sometime maybe next year.”

The shared currency was at $1.3511 as of 9:24 a.m. Singapore time from $1.3505 in New York yesterday. It reached $1.3422 on Nov. 17, the least since Oct. 10. The euro traded at 103.98 yen from 103.96 yen. It declined to 103.23 yen on Nov. 21, the lowest level since Oct. 10. The dollar was little changed at 76.96 yen.

The euro may fall toward $1.3150, Speizer said.

Japanese markets are shut today for a holiday, while markets in the U.S. will be closed tomorrow for Thanksgiving.

European Manufacturing

A preliminary reading of a euro-area composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services industries fell to 46.1 in November from 46.5 last month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. That would be the least since June 2009. Markit Economics will release the report today.

A manufacturing index in Germany fell to 48.5 this month, the least since July 2009, while a similar gauge in France dropped to 48 from 48.5 in October, according to two separate surveys. The preliminary figures will be released today. Readings above 50 indicate growth for all three measures.

Demand for the pound was limited by prospects the BOE will signal additional easing in meeting minutes scheduled for release today.

The minutes “will provide important indications about the likelihood of additional asset purchases by the BoE in coming months,” Valentin Marinov, a foreign-exchange strategist at Citigroup Inc. in London, wrote in a note to clients. “A partial confirmation that more asset purchases will come soon could be less supportive for sterling.”

BOE Easing

The Bank of England held the ceiling for asset purchases at 275 billion pounds ($430 billion) at its Nov. 10 meeting. The bank, which expanded so-called quantitative easing by 75 billion pounds last month, said the current purchases will take another three months to complete and the “scale of the program will be kept under review.”

The pound traded at $1.5636 from $1.5634 yesterday, when it fell to $1.5582, the weakest level since Oct. 12.

The pound has lost 3.8 percent over the past 12 months, the third-worst performer among 10 developed-nation currencies tracked by Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The dollar declined 2.3 percent in the same period.

Figures from the Commerce Department today may show total bookings for U.S. durable goods declined 1.2 percent last month, according to a Bloomberg survey. That compares with a revised 0.6 percent decrease in September.

To contact the reporters on this story: Kristine Aquino in Singapore at kaquino1@bloomberg.net; Masaki Kondo in Singapore at mkondo3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net




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Pimco’s El-Erian Says U.S. Economic Setting ‘Terrifying’

By Cordell Eddings and Betty Liu - Nov 23, 2011 12:20 AM GMT+0700

Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Chief Executive Officer Mohamed A. El-Erian said U.S. economic conditions are “terrifying” as the nation struggles to recover from recession.

The odds of the U.S. returning to recession are as high as 50 percent, El-Erian said during an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop” with Betty Liu. U.S. economic growth was worse than expected and congressional policy makers are gridlocked over what to do about the economy and the deficit, which risk exacerbating an already weak recovery, he said.

“We have less economic momentum than we thought we had and we have no policy momentum,” said El-Erian, who also serves as co-chief investment officer with Pimco founder Bill Gross at the world’s largest manager of bond funds.

“What’s most terrifying,” he said, “we are having this discussion about the risk of recession at a time when unemployment is already too high, at a time when a quarter of homeowners are underwater on their mortgages, at a time then the fiscal deficit is at 9 percent and at a time when interest rates are at zero.”

The economy in the U.S. expanded less than previously estimated in the third quarter, reflecting a drop in inventories that points to a pickup in growth as 2011 comes to a close.

Structural Issues

Gross domestic product climbed at a 2 percent annual rate from July through September, less than projected and down from a 2.5 percent prior estimate, revised Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 81 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for no revision. Excluding stockpiles, so-called final sales climbed 3.6 percent, the most since last year’s fourth quarter.

Conditions may worsen if policy makers in Washington and in Europe do not act quickly to address structural economic issues, El Erian said.

The debt crisis that began more than two years ago in Greece and snared Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain is close to reaching France. U.S. lawmakers yesterday failed to agree on spending cuts to address budget deficits.

“The big concern is us being tipped over by Europe. And things in Europe are getting worse, not better,” he said. “Unlike Europe, the U.S. doesn’t have an engineering problem. It faces a political problem.”

European policy makers have to choose between a full fiscal union or a smaller euro zone, two options with heavy costs that have paralyzed policy makers, El-Erian said from Pimco’s headquarters in Newport Beach, California.

Total Return Fund (PTTRX)

“The muddled middle is no long sustainable,” El-Erian said. “Europe needs to make a choice if it wants to save the euro,” he said.

Pimco’s $244 billion Total Return Fund, the world’s largest mutual fund, has returned 2.3 percent in the past year, lagging behind 79 percent of its peers, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Over the past five years, the bond fund has returned 7.7 percent on average, topping 97 percent of rival funds.

To contact the reporter on this story: Cordell Eddings in New York at ceddings@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dave Liedtka at dliedtka@bloomberg.net




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Fed Requires Top Banks to Submit Capital Plans

By Craig Torres, Cheyenne Hopkins and and Ian Katz - Nov 23, 2011 7:36 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Alan Gayle, senior investment strategist at RidgeWorth Capital Management in Richmond, Virginia, talks about the outlook for U.S. stocks. Gayle also discusses the nation's economy and Federal Reserve monetary policy. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Michael Dueker, a former St. Louis Federal Reserve economist, now the chief economist for Russell Investments North America, talks about the U.S. economy and central bank monetary policy. Some Fed policy makers said the central bank should consider easing policy further, according to minutes of their Nov. 1-2 meeting. Dueker speaks from Seattle with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


The Federal Reserve told the 31 largest U.S. banks to test their loan portfolios and trading books against a deep recession and a European market shock to ensure they have enough capital to withstand losses.

The most severe test scenarios outlined by the Fed today include an unemployment rate of as much as 13 percent, an 8 percent drop in gross domestic product and a 21 percent plunge in home prices.

The tests may bolster confidence in the nation’s banks by demonstrating they can handle a deeper downturn after a year in which global financial markets were battered by the European debt crisis and U.S. unemployment remained stuck around 9 percent. The Fed helped clear away uncertainty surrounding bank capital adequacy in May 2009, when it published so-called stress tests showing that 10 U.S. banks needed to raise at total of $75 billion, giving investors more clarity on their capital needs.

“Transparency is very important to enhancing global stability,” and “helps with the overall confidence of the banking system,” said Sabeth Siddique, a director at Deloitte & Touche LLP and a former assistant director on the Fed’s supervision and regulation staff.

The KBW Bank Index (BKX), which includes shares of 24 companies, including Bank of America Corp. and Capital One Financial Corp., is down 31 percent this year, compared with a 5.5 percent decline for the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index.

‘Unique Risks’

The so-called Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review is a centerpiece of the Fed’s heightened oversight of the largest lenders. The aim “is to ensure that institutions have robust, forward-looking capital planning processes that account for their unique risks, and to help ensure that institutions have sufficient capital to continue operations throughout times of economic and financial stress,” the Fed said in a statement.

Bank-holding companies with assets of $50 billion or more are being asked as part of their 2012 capital plan review to project revenues, losses and capital positions through the end of 2013 using four different scenarios, two provided by the Fed and two defined by the banks.

“They need to continue to think carefully on their overall capital adequacy and capital actions they’d take including dividend payments and buybacks,” Siddique said.

Asset Prices

The reviews will extend from the fourth quarter of 2011 until the last quarter of 2014, taking into account loan-loss reserves at the end of 2013. Each Fed scenario for the U.S. variables includes five measures of economic activity and prices, four aggregate gauges of asset prices or financial conditions and four measures of interest rates. It said the scenarios don’t represent its outlook for the economy.

The decision to make the scenario public before the tests begin marks a step toward greater transparency in supervision by the Fed. The central bank didn’t disclose the scenarios when it started its 2011 stress tests in November last year. The Fed completed those tests in March.

The Fed will also publish the results of the tests for the 19 largest bank holding companies. Six institutions with large trading operations will have to estimate potential losses from a hypothetical “global market shock,” the Fed said. That shock will be based on market price movements seen during the second half of 2008, it said, and include a scenario involving “sharp market price movements in European sovereign and financial sectors.”

Shock Scenario

The Fed said it would publish the results of the market shock scenario of the six institutions: Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo & Company.

“This is a massive amount of information they will give to markets to judge the quality of banks,” said Doug Landy, a partner at Allen & Overy LLP and a former New York Fed attorney.

The Fed said it would approve dividend increases and other capital distributions “only for companies whose capital plans are approved by supervisors and are able to demonstrate sufficient financial strength to operate as successful financial intermediaries under stressed macroeconomic and financial market scenarios.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Craig Torres in Washington at ctorres3@bloomberg.net; Cheyenne Hopkins at Chopkins19@bloomberg.net;

Ian Katz in Washington at ikatz2@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net




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FOMC Minutes Show Additional Easing Discussed

By Joshua Zumbrun - Nov 23, 2011 3:16 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Some Federal Reserve policy makers said the central bank should consider easing policy further, according to minutes of their Nov. 1-2 meeting. "It was noted that any such accommodation would likely be more effective if it were provided in the context of a future communications initiative,” the Fed said in minutes released today. Michael McKee reports on Bloomberg Television's "Money Moves." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 22 (Bloomberg) -- David Resler, chief economic adviser at Nomura Securities International, talks about the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy and the U.S. economy, and potential implications of the failure by the congressional deficit-reduction supercommittee to reach an agreement. Resler speaks on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness With Margaret Brennan." (Source: Bloomberg)


Some Federal Reserve policy makers said the central bank should consider easing policy further, according to minutes of their Nov. 1-2 meeting.

“A few members indicated that they believed the economic outlook might warrant additional policy accommodation,” the Fed said in minutes released today in Washington. “It was noted that any such accommodation would likely be more effective if it were provided in the context of a future communications initiative.”

The central bank also considered changing its pledge to hold interest rates near zero through at least mid-2013, as “a few members expressed interest in using language specifying a period of time during which the federal funds rate was expected to remain exceptionally low, rather than a calendar date, arguing that such language might be better to indicate a constant stance of monetary policy over time,” the minutes said.

Policy makers led by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke are considering further easing to reduce an unemployment rate stuck near 9 percent even as recent data indicate the economy is picking up. Bernanke, at a press conference after the last meeting, said the “pace of progress is likely to be frustratingly slow.”

Stocks, Treasuries

Stocks fell as slower than anticipated economic growth in the third quarter overshadowed the Fed report. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.4 percent to 1,187.73 as of 3:07 p.m. in New York. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell two basis points to 1.94 percent.

The Fed released the minutes early after Reuters inadvertently published the information ahead of the permitted time of 2 p.m.

The FOMC said at its gathering last month that the economy in the third quarter picked up while “significant downside risks” remained. The panel refrained from taking any new steps to ease monetary policy.

“The economic data have been a little better than expected so I think the urgency for QE3, or some other type of policy accommodation has probably diminished to some degree,” Stephen Stanley, chief economist for Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut, said in reference to a possible third round of large-scale asset purchases.

Forward Guidance

“There’s still a real need for them to clarify not just the narrow issue of forward guidance on the funds rate but more generally the very broad strategic issues around what exactly the Fed is trying to do,” Stanley said.

The Fed left its benchmark interest rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008, and reiterated language from its August and September meetings that the rate is likely to stay very low through at least mid-2013. The central bank continued its so-called Operation Twist program to buy $400 billion of longer-term securities and sell $400 billion of short-term debt.

The committee discussed options for improving its communication policies, and Bernanke asked the Fed’s subcommittee on communications to “give consideration to a possible statement of the Committee’s longer-run goals and policy strategy,” the minutes showed.

“He also encouraged the subcommittee to explore potential approaches for incorporating information about participants’ assessments of appropriate monetary policy into the Summary of Economic Projections,” the minutes said, referring to the economic forecasts of FOMC members that are released four times a year.

Presidents Differ

In speeches this month, Fed presidents have differed over whether the economy requires additional easing.

More action “may be needed” to reduce “persistently high unemployment,” San Francisco’s John Williams said Nov. 15 in Scottsdale, Arizona. The Boston Fed’s Eric Rosengren said last week that lower interest rates still have the ability to boost growth. James Bullard of St. Louis said the central bank’s policy is “appropriately calibrated” and should only be loosened if the economy deteriorates.

Additional asset purchases would constitute a third round of so-called quantitative easing after the Fed bought $2.3 trillion in housing and government debt in two rounds from December 2008 to June 2011.

The economy expanded less than previously estimated in the third quarter, reflecting a drop in inventories that points to a pickup in growth as 2011 comes to a close, a Commerce Department report showed today.

GDP Report

Gross domestic product climbed at a 2 percent annual rate from July through September, less than projected and down from a 2.5 percent prior estimate. Excluding stockpiles, so-called final sales climbed 3.6 percent, the most since last year’s fourth quarter.

Today’s GDP report followed data on housing, industrial production and retail sales that indicated the economy is gaining strength.

Fed policy makers discussed developments in financial markets, including the bankruptcy of MF Global Inc. The Fed “saw the financial stability implications of this development as limited to date,” according to the minutes. Participants “took note of the possible adverse effects on U.S. financial markets and the broader U.S. economy if European sovereign debt and banking problems intensified.”

In his post-meeting press conference, Bernanke said that purchases of mortgage-backed securities are “a viable option” for a third round of purchases “if conditions were appropriate.” He declined to say what conditions could warrant such a move.

Payroll Growth

The Fed met before the Labor Department announced on Nov. 4 that the economy added 80,000 jobs in October. That followed 104,000 jobs in August and 158,000 in September.

The central bank added new charts of the direction of risks to its economic outlook, released in its summary of economic projections. According to the charts, 11 policy makers saw risks weighted toward lower economic growth, while none saw so-called upside risks.

Four policy makers saw risks of inflation being lower than expected, while three saw risks of higher inflation. The remaining 10 policy makers saw inflation risks as “broadly balanced.”

The pace of job and economic growth is weighing on shoppers at merchants like Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world’s largest retailer.

“Our core customer was still impacted by high unemployment and continued uncertainty over the economy, leading to declining consumer confidence,” Bill Simon, the top U.S. executive for Wal-Mart, said in a Nov. 15 conference call with analysts.

To contact the reporter on this story: Joshua Zumbrun in Washington at jzumbrun@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net




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U.S. Stocks Fall on GDP Revision

By Rita Nazareth - Nov 23, 2011 4:30 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, driving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its longest slump in almost four months, as slower-than-estimated economic growth overshadowed signs the Federal Reserve may provide more stimulus. Bloomberg's Michael McKee also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Daniel Wiener, chairman of Adviser Investment Management, Wendy Schiller, a professor of political science at Brown University, and Bloomberg Businessweek's Peter Coy talk about the U.S. economy, the stock market and budget policy. They speak with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television's "Taking Stock." (Source: Bloomberg)


U.S. stocks fell, driving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its longest slump in almost four months, as slower-than-estimated economic growth overshadowed signs the Federal Reserve may provide more stimulus.

Alcoa Inc. (AA) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC) slid at least 2.1 percent to pace losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow Jones Transportation Average slumped 1.1 percent. Campbell Soup (CPB) Co. decreased 5.3 percent as the world’s largest soup maker’s sales trailed projections. Netflix Inc. (NFLX), the video- streaming and DVD subscription service, sank 5.4 percent after agreeing to sell $400 million in stock and convertible notes.

The S&P 500 declined 0.4 percent to 1,188.04 at 4 p.m. New York time. The gauge lost 5.6 percent in five days. The Dow retreated 53.59 points, or 0.5 percent, to 11,493.72 today.

“Economic growth remains slow,” John Carey, a Boston- based money manager at Pioneer Investments, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about $220 billion. “The evidence is not there that the actions of the Fed and the fiscal stimuli have really helped much. Investors remain concerned about Europe. People are getting concerned as they look into next year and wonder what happens to Europe and what happens here.”

Stocks fell as revised Commerce Department figures showed that gross domestic product climbed at a 2 percent annual rate from July through September, less than projected and down from a 2.5 percent prior estimate. Equities briefly turned higher as some Fed officials said the central bank should consider easing policy further, according to minutes of their Nov. 1-2 meeting.

‘New Bazooka’

Benchmark gauges also rose earlier today after the International Monetary Fund revamped its credit-line program to encourage countries facing outside shocks to turn to the fund with few conditions attached, as European leaders fail to end their debt turmoil. Michael Meister, finance spokesman for German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic party, said “we haven’t any new bazooka to pull out of the bag.”

“The IMF has realized there’s an unresolved issue and they are trying to do what they can to keep this from reaching a liquidity crisis,” Peter Sorrentino, a senior fund manager at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati, which oversees $14.5 billion of assets, said in a telephone interview.

The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index dropped 0.8 percent amid concern about economic growth. The KBW Bank Index (BKX) retreated 1.3 percent. Bank of America lost 2.2 percent to $5.37. Alcoa declined 2.2 percent to $9.26.

Campbell Soup lost 5.3 percent to $31.84. The company reported fiscal first-quarter sales of $2.16 billion, trailing the average analyst estimate by 2.4 percent, according to Bloomberg data.

Zero-Coupon

Netflix sank 5.4 percent to $70.45. Technology Crossover Ventures will purchase $200 million in zero-coupon senior convertible notes due 2018, and T. Rowe Price (TROW) Associates Inc. funds will buy $200 million in stock. The transactions suggest Netflix’s cash squeeze may last longer than it had anticipated, said Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Securities. The company needs to spend more to make its streaming content stand out against a growing list of competitors, he said.

Hewlett-Packard Co. slipped 0.8 percent to $26.65 after losing as much as 6 percent following profit forecasts that missed analysts’ estimates. Meg Whitman, who took over as chief executive officer two months ago, used her first earnings conference call to tell investors they need to lower their expectations. The first-quarter profit forecast (HPQ) and full-year earnings outlook both missed estimates -- a sign the company is still reeling from a technology-spending slump.

More Losses

The recent retreat in U.S. stocks, led by banks and brokerages, is signaling more losses through the end of the year, a period in which the S&P 500 usually performs best, according to Bank of America Corp.

Financial shares have posted the worst return (SPXL1) this month among the S&P 500’s 10 industries, dropping 9.9 percent through yesterday. The weakness in the group and the benchmark gauge’s decline below 1,200 suggested the index is at risk of sinking to this year’s intraday low of 1,074.77, said Mary Ann Bartels, Bank of America’s head of U.S. technical and market analysis.

“A seasonal year-end rally will likely turn into a Christmas Bah, Humbug,” Bartels wrote in a note to clients yesterday. She sees a 50 percent chance of “a European meltdown” that would send the S&P 500 to as low as 935.

To contact the reporter on this story: Rita Nazareth in New York at rnazareth@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net



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Groupon Shares Plunge, Trading Close to IPO

By Douglas MacMillan - Nov 23, 2011 5:12 AM GMT+0700

Groupon Inc., the largest Internet daily-deal site, plunged 15 percent, pushing the shares near their initial public offering price for the first time.

The stock tumbled $3.51 to $20.07 at the close in New York, with 5.22 million shares changing hands, the highest volume since its second day of trading. Groupon, up 31 percent before this week, dipped as low as $20.03 earlier in today’s session, 3 cents more than the IPO price.

Groupon was dragged down for a second day on concern that profit margins will be squeezed by surging marketing costs and competition from rivals such as LivingSocial.com, backed by Amazon.com Inc. It also became cheaper to borrow the shares for so-called short sales, bets that pay off if a stock declines, said Herman Leung, an analyst at Susquehanna International Group LLP in San Francisco.

“It’s been impossible to borrow, and it’s been easing up a little bit,” said Leung, who has a neutral rating on shares of Groupon and doesn’t own any. “LivingSocial has been a little bit more aggressive lately as well.”

The so-called borrow rate, or fee imposed by brokers on traders who want to sell short, has dropped to about 30 percent from 99 percent earlier in the month, Leung said. At 30 percent, Groupon’s shares would have to decline by at least that much before the trader makes a profit.

Groupon was buoyed in the days after its IPO because it offered a small percentage of the outstanding shares -- holding a so-called low-float IPO -- which helped drive up demand. Now investors are having second thoughts, said Howard Lindzon, chief executive officer of the online investing community StockTwits.

“I think we all know this was a rushed deal,” he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles@bloomberg.net.




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