Economic Calendar

Friday, September 30, 2011

Google Targets IBM, Adobe With Premium Service for Analyzing Internet Ads

By Douglas MacMillan - Sep 30, 2011 1:00 AM GMT+0700

Google Inc. (GOOG), owner of the world’s most popular search engine, will sell an analytics service for online advertisers, in a direct challenge to offerings from International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) and Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE)

Google Analytics Premium costs $150,000 a year and gives increased processing power, phone support and the ability to measure the impact of a new campaign within four hours of posting it online, said Amy Chang, director of product management, in an interview.

Mountain View, California-based Google is adding new services catering to large businesses to lessen its reliance on online advertising. While a free version of Google’s analytics tool has hundreds of thousands of users, added features in the paid version may lure corporate clients who currently rely on services from IBM and Adobe, Chang said.

“Everyone is struggling to get better ad spend,” Chang said. “Google Analytics allows everyone across the board on a marketing team to be a data-driven marketer.”

IBM, based in Armonk, New York, gained an advertising- analysis service with its purchase of Coremetrics Inc. last year. San Jose, California-based Adobe added a similar business through its 2009 purchase of Omniture Inc. for $1.55 billion.

Google said it will have dedicated salespeople and support teams for its paid data service. The four-hour turnaround for analysis compares with 24 hours for the free version.

“It changes the decision making from days into minutes and that matters to a lot of marketers and a lot of clients,” Chang said.

Companies that have signed up for the paid service include Travelocity.com Inc., Gucci Group NV, TransUnion Corp. and Papa John’s International Inc. (PZZA), Google said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Douglas MacMillan in New York at douglas_macmillan@businessweek.com.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Hewlett-Packard Said to Have Been Concerned Over Oracle When Switching CEO

By Jeffrey McCracken, Carol Hymowitz and Aaron Ricadela - Sep 29, 2011 7:46 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Hewlett-Packard Co. CEO Meg Whitman

Meg Whitman took over as chief executive officer on Sept. 22, succeeding Apotheker, who presided over a 47 percent drop in Hewlett-Packard stock and sliced sales forecasts three times in less than a year. Photographer: Jonathan Alcorn/Bloomberg

Former Hewlett-Packard Co. CEO Leo Apotheker. Photographer: Tony Avelar/Bloomberg


Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) directors were concerned that plummeting shares would make the company vulnerable to a bid from Oracle Corp. (ORCL) when they replaced Leo Apotheker with Meg Whitman, two people close to the board said.

While Oracle has considered informally whether to approach Hewlett-Packard, it’s unlikely to make a bid any time soon, three people close to the software company said. After speaking with several financial advisers, Hewlett-Packard has hired Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) to help it prepare for any possible moves by activist investors, one person said.

Whitman took over as chief executive officer on Sept. 22, succeeding Apotheker, who presided over a 47 percent drop in Hewlett-Packard stock and sliced sales forecasts three times in less than a year. As the board deliberated changing CEOs, one consideration was whether share-price weakness would invite an unwelcome overture, the people close to the board said.

“We were very explicit about why we named a new CEO,” said Mylene Mangalindan, a spokeswoman for Palo Alto, California-based Hewlett-Packard. “The board believes that the job of the HP CEO now requires additional attributes to successfully execute on the company’s strategy.”

Michael Duvally, a spokesman for New York-based Goldman Sachs, and Deborah Hellinger, a spokeswoman for Redwood City, California-based Oracle, declined to comment.

Hewlett-Packard Stock Plunge

Share declines accelerated after the Aug. 18 announcement that Hewlett-Packard would consider spinning off its $41 billion personal computer division, and would buy Cambridge, England- based software maker Autonomy Corp. for $10.3 billion, a price investors regarded as too high. Apotheker also was unable to get top executives to work together, executive chairman Ray Lane told investors on a Sept. 22 conference call.

Oracle is not interested in Hewlett-Packard’s PC, printer or information-technology services divisions, nor does it want to sell server computers running Windows, the software made by Oracle rival Microsoft Corp., one person said. The company may also be inhibited by terms of an agreement, announced in September, over the appointment of Mark Hurd as a co-president of Oracle, other people said.

That’s when the companies resolved the lawsuit by Hewlett- Packard, which sued on Sept. 7 to block Hurd -- former CEO of Hewlett-Packard -- from moving to Oracle.

Hurd’s Hands Tied

The agreement included stipulations that Hurd protect Hewlett-Packard’s confidential information while fulfilling his obligations to Oracle, the companies said at the time. It also ties Oracle’s hands from attempting to acquire Hewlett-Packard until some time early next year, people familiar with the agreement said.

Oracle, which has $31.7 billion in cash, is also not interested in using its shares to try to buy Hewlett-Packard, which has a market value of $46.1 billion, one person said. However, Oracle could be interested in buying Hewlett-Packard’s $18.7 billion server, storage and networking division if it were available on a stand-alone basis, this person said.

Hewlett-Packard’s decision to work with Goldman Sachs in relation to activist shareholders was previously reported by the Wall Street Journal.

“HP has long-term relationships with a large number of investment banks,” Mangalindan said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jeffrey McCracken in New York at jmccracken3@bloomberg.net; Carol Hymowitz in New York at chymowitz1@bloomberg.net; Aaron Ricadela in San Francisco at aricadela@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net; Jennifer Sondag at jsondag@bloomberg.net



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Micron Falls After Reporting Loss as PC Slump Cut Prices

By Ian King - Sep 30, 2011 5:30 AM GMT+0700

Micron Technology Inc. (MU), the largest U.S. maker of computer-memory chips, fell in extended trading after reporting a fiscal fourth-quarter loss on weak demand for personal computers.

The net loss was $135 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a profit of $342 million, or 32 cents, a year earlier, the Boise, Idaho-based company said in a statement today. Revenue in the period ended Sept. 1 fell 14 percent to $2.14 billion. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg on average estimated profit of 2 cents on sales of $2.11 billion.

The price of dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, which provides the main memory in PCs, dropped as supply increased and demand from makers of laptops and desktop PCs remained sluggish.

“It looks pretty bad,” said Daniel Berenbaum, an analyst at MKM Partners LLC. “It used to be if you got supply right, you were fine. Now there seems to be something wrong with demand.”


Micron shares declined as much as 4.9 percent in extended trading after slipping 4 percent to close at $5.87 on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The stock has dropped 27 percent this year.

The company is the only remaining U.S.-based maker of DRAM after Asian manufacturers forced out the pioneers of the industry, such as Intel Corp. and Texas Instruments Inc. Producers’ inability to match supply to demand in DRAM has hurt earnings as prices for the chips, which are traded on commodity exchanges in Asia, often fell below the cost of production.

Consumer Business

“The PC business is not super strong going into the holidays,” said Mark Adams, Micron’s head of sales, on a conference call with analysts today. “The consumer business seems off on the demand side,”

DRAM prices have fallen 15 percent this quarter, Micron said.

Separately, Micron said the trial phase of its legal dispute with Rambus Inc. concluded on Sept. 21, and the jury is deliberating on the verdict. A negative outcome could have a material impact on results for the fourth quarter, the company said in the filing.

For the 2011 fiscal year, Micron reported net income of $167 million, or 17 cents a share. Before today, Micron had reported an annual profit in only four of the past 10 years. The company goes head-to-head with South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s second-largest chipmaker behind Intel.

Micron has lessened its dependence on DRAM by following Samsung and Toshiba Corp. into the market for Nand flash memory, chips that provide the storage in portable electronics such as Apple Inc.’s iPhone and iPad.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ian King in San Francisco at ianking@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net.



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Gold Fibonacci Signaling Rebound From September Slump: Technical Analysis

By Debarati Roy - Sep 30, 2011 6:00 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Gold Signaling Rebound From September Slump

Gold futures have more than doubled in the past three years. Photographer: Paul Taggart/Bloomberg


Gold, heading to biggest monthly decline since 2008, may rally 8.2 percent by the end of this year, according to technical analysis by Paul Kavanaugh, a senior analyst and broker at PFGBest.

The precious metal may rise to $1,750 an ounce, based on Fibonacci analysis, Kavanaugh said yesterday in a telephone interview from Chicago. After plunging as much as 20 percent from a record $1,923.70 on Sept. 6, gold has climbed above the 50 percent resistance level of $1,541.50 and will have to top $1,631.70 before reaching the target price, he said.

“This correction was needed and was healthy, but gold is now poised to climb up,” said Kavanaugh, who used technical analysis in early July to correctly predict that cotton would slump below $1 a pound. “If you liked it at $1,900, you have to love it at $1,600.”

Gold futures have more than doubled in the past three years and are headed for an 11th straight annual gain as investors shun equities and some currencies amid concerns that global growth will slow and that sovereign-debt woes will worsen. Prices are down 12 percent this month, heading for the biggest monthly decline since October 2008, as some investors sold the metal to cover losses during a rout in equity markets.

Yesterday, gold futures for December delivery fell 80 cents to settle at $1,617.30 on the Comex in New York.

In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to predict changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.

Fibonacci analysis is based on the theory that prices tend to drop or climb by certain percentages after reaching a high or low. A break above resistance or below support indicates a commodity may move to the next level. The difference between high and low points on charts is divided into retracement levels such as 23.6 percent, 38.2 percent and 61.8 percent. The ratios were were described by 13th century mathematician Leonardo of Pisa, known as Fibonacci, and correspond to proportions found in nature.

To contact the reporter for this story: Debarati Roy in New York at droy5@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Steve Stroth at sstroth@bloomberg.net



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IBM Tops Microsoft for First Time Since 1996

By Sarah Frier and Dina Bass - Sep 30, 2011 7:41 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image IMB Corp. CEO Sam Palmisano

Sam Palmisano, chief executive officer of International Business Machines Corp., divested the company’s PC business six years ago, calling it commoditized, to invest in software and services. Photographer: Joshua Roberts/Bloomberg


International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) passed Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) to become the world’s second-most valuable technology company, a reflection of industry changes including the shift away from the personal computer.

IBM’s market value rose to $214 billion today, while Microsoft’s fell to $213.2 billion, the first time IBM has exceeded its software rival based on closing prices since 1996, according to Bloomberg data. IBM is now the fourth-largest company by market value and, in technology, trails only Apple Inc. (AAPL), the world’s most valuable company.

Chief Executive Officer Sam Palmisano sold IBM’s PC business six years ago to focus on corporate software and services. Though Microsoft has expanded into online advertising and games, it gets most of its revenue and earnings from the Windows and Office software used primarily on PCs.

“IBM went beyond technology,” said Ted Schadler, an analyst with Forrester Research Inc. “They were early to recognize that computing was moving way beyond these boxes on our desks.”

IBM, based in Armonk, New York, has gained 22 percent this year, while Microsoft, based in Redmond, Washington, has dropped 8.8 percent. IBM rose $1.62 to $179.17 at 4 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, and Microsoft fell 13 cents to $25.45 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading.

Apple, which long competed against IBM and Microsoft in the PC business, passed Microsoft in market value last year, on rising sales of iPhones, iPods and iPads. Apple’s market capitalization is now $362.1 billion.

Palmisano’s Strategy

Palmisano, who is also chairman, has spent his nine years at the helm sharpening the company’s focus on software and services for corporations and government. Once known as the world’s largest computer company, IBM in 2005 sold its PC unit to Lenovo Group Ltd. (992), calling it “commoditized.’’ The company has spent more than $25 billion investing in its software, computer-services and consulting businesses.

The maneuvers have helped increase per-share profit for more than 30 straight quarters. Palmisano has boosted sales by 20 percent from 2001 through last year, while keeping the costs of the 426,000-employee company little changed. IBM pulled in more than half of its $99.9 billion in revenue last year from services and is now the world’s largest computer-services provider.

The company is betting it can add another $20 billion to revenue through 2015. Palmisano is investing in emerging markets and analytics, as well as cloud-computing and an initiative called Smarter Planet to connect roads, electrical systems and other infrastructure to the Internet.

Share Record

“Computing is now found in things that no one thinks of as ‘computers’,” said Palmisano at a trade show keynote in February. “Today, there are nearly a billion transistors per human, and each one costs one ten-millionth of a cent. Yes, some of these transistors are going into servers, PCs, smart phones, MP3 players and tablets. But an increasing number of them are going into appliances and automobiles, power grids, roadways, railways and waterways.”

IBM plans to almost double operating earnings to at least $20 a share in 2015. Investors have taken notice: Shares have climbed 35 percent since the company first announced the goal in May 2010.

Microsoft’s Slump

Microsoft, the world’s largest software company, was worth three times as much as IBM in January 2000 and hit a market capitalization of more than $430 billion in July 2000, according to Bloomberg data. Microsoft fell to about $135 billion in March 2009 during the economic downturn, before recovering with the market.

Microsoft, which had $69.9 billion in revenue for the fiscal year ending in June, got about 60 percent of its sales from the Windows and Office units in the most recent quarter.

“They were trapped in the classic innovator’s dilemma” because their software business was so good,” said Schadler. “The bet that Microsoft made in the PC business was to double down and double down and double down.”

CEO Steve Ballmer said investors may not appreciate the company’s progress in other businesses, including server software and online versions of Office, given the higher profile of its consumer businesses.

“People are saying, ‘Where do you go next?’,” said Ballmer at the company’s annual meeting in November. There probably isn’t “as much appreciation for the incredible growth and success we’ve had with enterprises since people relate better to the consumer market. But it’s great products with great earnings and particularly in some high-visibility categories.”

Xbox, Bing

The company’s server software and Office divisions boosted sales last quarter, as did the entertainment division, which includes its Xbox games business. Revenue at the online services division, including the Bing search engine, climbed to $662 million, while its operating loss widened to $728 million.

Microsoft also cut a deal with Nokia Oyj (NOK1V) this year to make its Windows Phone the primary operating system for the company’s smartphones. The deal is designed to help both companies compete against Apple and Google Inc. (GOOG)’s Android operating system, which is available for free to handset makers such as Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. and Samsung Electronics Co.

Still, mobile computing is unlikely to ever be as profitable for Microsoft as the PC business, said Forrester’s Schadler.

“They’re never going to win in that business the way they did in the PC business,” he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sarah Frier in New York at sfrier1@bloomberg.net; Dina Bass in Seattle at dbass2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Elstrom at pelstrom@bloomberg.net



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Copper Rout Outpaces Analysts Focused on Shortages: Commodities

By Maria Kolesnikova and Agnieszka Troszkiewicz - Sep 30, 2011 6:01 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Copper plates produced in Mongolia

A file photograph of workers standing near stacks of copper plates produced at Erdenet Mining Corp.'s copper processing plant in Erdenet, Mongolia, 360km northwest of Ulaanbaatar. Photographer: Danfung Dennis/Bloomberg

Molten copper is poured into molds

Molten copper is poured into molds at the Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Co. smelter in Tongling, China, March 29, 2008. Photographer: Natalie Behring/Bloomberg News

The biggest rout in copper since the global recession drove analysts to cut their price forecasts by 16 percent in a week as mounting concern about growth eroded expectations for supply shortages.

The metal may drop as much as 10 percent to $6,500 a metric ton by Dec. 31, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey of 16 analysts and traders. Their estimate was $7,773 a week ago. Speculators in U.S. futures are making the biggest wager on declining prices in more than two years, U.S. government data show. Barclays Capital cut its forecast for the shortfall in global supplies four times since April and Deutsche Bank AG is anticipating a surplus as early as next year.

Commodities tumbled into a bear market this month, dropping 21 percent since April, on concern that slowing growth will curb demand for raw materials. Prices had more than doubled since the beginning of 2009 as surging consumption led by emerging markets created shortages in everything from corn to copper to crude. As many as 5,000 merchants will gather in the British capital from Oct. 3 for London Metal Exchange week, an annual event during which supply contracts are discussed.

“If you don’t have demand then you don’t need to talk about shortages,” said Robin Bhar, an analyst at Credit Agricole SA in London who has followed the metals market for about 25 years. “This is not a normal market. There is a lot of fear out there. At the moment people are panicking. When you panic, you don’t think rationally.”

Quarter Century

Copper, which reached a record $10,190 on the London Metal Exchange in February, sank to $6,800 on Sept. 26, a 14-month low. The contract closed at $7,230 yesterday, taking this year’s decline to 25 percent. The metal is on track for its second- worst year in almost a quarter century, exceeded only by a 54 percent retreat in 2008.

The Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 commodities fell 3.6 percent this year, led by cotton, copper and nickel. The MSCI All-Country Index of equities dropped 14 percent. Treasuries maturing in 10 years or more returned 24 percent, according to indexes compiled by Bloomberg and the European Federation of Financial Analysts Societies.

Copper consumption fell 0.9 percent in 2008 as the global economy contended with recession, driving supply into a surplus from a shortage, Morgan Stanley estimates. Global stockpiles in warehouses monitored by exchanges in London, New York and Shanghai expanded 15 percent to 652,281 tons since the start of January, a sign that demand may be weakening. Inventories are about 50 percent higher than the average over the past five years, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Consuming Nation

This year’s gain in stockpiles still falls short of the expansions seen during the global recession, when they rose 63 percent in 2008 and 78 percent in 2009. Monthly imports by China, the biggest consuming nation, rose 58 percent since reaching a 2 1/2-year low in May, customs data show.

While China’s economic growth will slow to 9.3 percent this year from 10.4 percent in 2010, it will still be almost six times faster than the U.S., according to the median of as many as 66 economists’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. China accounts for about 38 percent of global copper demand, compared with 8 percent for the U.S. and 15 percent for Western Europe, Morgan Stanley estimates.

The International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecasts to 4 percent for this year and next on Sept. 20, compared with earlier estimates of 4.3 percent for 2011 and 4.5 percent in 2012. That would still exceed the 5.2 percent contraction in gross domestic product that the World Bank estimates took place in 2009.

‘Different Today’

“So far in the real economy we’ve seen some caution and less orders,” said Herwig Schmidt, head of sales at Triland Metals Ltd., one of 12 companies trading on the floor of the LME. The exchange handles about 80 percent of global transactions in metals futures. “But you don’t see the impact like we had seen in 2008 when suddenly 50 percent of all orders were canceled. It is different today.”

Prices will advance to a record $11,000 in 12 months as growth in emerging markets “suggest tightening copper fundamentals,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s team of commodity analysts said in a report Sept. 22. The bank is recommending investors buy the LME’s June 2012 contract.

Production in Chile, accounting for about 17 percent of global refined supply, will probably decline this year because of snowstorms and strikes, Mining Minister Hernan de Solminihac said in a Sept. 5 interview.

Pipes and Appliances

Not everyone expects the shortages to persist. Supply may fall 140,000 tons short of demand this year, moving into a 120,000-ton surplus next year, Deutsche Bank said in a report Sept. 28. That’s enough metal to make wires, pipes and appliances for about 600,000 U.S. homes, according to the Copper Development Association.

Barclays Capital anticipates a shortfall of 639,000 tons this year, down from a March estimate of 889,000 tons. With the exception of June, when the bank widened its deficit forecast, the estimate has been cut every month since April. Barclays’ commodities analysts expect a deficit of 275,000 tons in 2012.

Money managers held a net-short position of 6,672 U.S. copper futures and options by Sept. 20, Commodity Futures Trading Commission data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s only the third week this year the net position has been a bet on declining prices.

Buyers meeting for LME week may be more cautious in their orders this year, said Steve Hardcastle, head of client services for industrial commodities at Sucden Financial Ltd. The company is one of the biggest shareholders in the LME, which on Sept. 23 said it had received several “expressions of interest” that may lead to a takeover.

Manufacturing Output

Manufacturing in China may shrink for a third month in September, according to a preliminary index of purchasing managers from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics released Sept. 22. Euro-area services and manufacturing output contracted for the first time in more than two years in September, Markit Economics said the same day.

U.S. housing starts dropped 5 percent to a three-month low in August, the Commerce Department said Sept. 20. Construction accounts for 25 percent of copper demand, the Copper Development Association estimates.

“It is remarkable how long copper had stayed at elevated levels, but now everyone is just giving up on everything at the slightest smell of risk,” said Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, the head of rates, foreign exchange and commodities strategy at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. “Even with lower growth in 2012, the picture still looks promising for some commodities, but we have to go through this phase of very high volatility.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Maria Kolesnikova in London at mkolesnikova@bloomberg.net; Agnieszka Troszkiewicz in London at atroszkiewic@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Claudia Carpenter at ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net




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FBI Probing Solyndra for Possible Fraud

By Seth Stern and Jim Snyder - Sep 30, 2011 5:17 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Solyndra Chiefs Won’t Answer U.S. House Queries

FBI agents exit the Solyndra LLC headquarters in Fremont, California, on Sept. 8. The company sought bankruptcy protection two days before the raid by Federal Bureau of Investigation agents. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg


The FBI is investigating Solyndra LLC for possible accounting fraud and the accuracy of financial representations made to the government, according to an agency official.

The FBI is examining possible misrepresentations in financial statements, according to the FBI official, who requested anonymity because the investigation is continuing.

Solyndra, which made cylindrical-shaped solar panels, filed for bankruptcy protection on Sept. 6 and fired about 1,100 workers with little notice, about two years after winning a $535 million U.S. loan guarantee from the Energy Department.

The company’s offices in Fremont, California, were raided by Federal Bureau of Investigation agents on Sept. 8. The Justice Department hasn’t said why Solyndra is being probed.

“The company is not aware of any wrongdoing by Solyndra officers, directors or employees” related to the Energy Department loan guarantees or other actions and “is cooperating fully” with the U.S. Attorney in San Francisco, according to a Sept. 20 statement from Solyndra. David Miller, a company spokesman, didn’t immediately return a phone call and an e-mail seeking comment today.

Solyndra’s collapse has prompted congressional scrutiny of President Barack Obama’s administration, which issued final approval of the loan that also won support from officials in the administration of George W. Bush.

White House Pressure

Republicans on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, which has investigated the loan since February, have said the administration pressured federal loan officers to expedite the review of Solyndra’s application so it could be promoted as a stimulus success story.

The company was the first to receive a guarantee under the stimulus act and was the largest award given to a solar manufacturer under the program.

Democrats, who dispute claims politics played a role, joined Republicans in criticizing Solyndra Chief Executive Officer Brian Harrison for what they said were misrepresentations of the company’s finances in meetings with lawmakers.

“When Mr. Harrison was in my office in July, he said that Solyndra’s future was bright, with sales and production booming,” Representative Henry Waxman of California, top Democrat on the Energy committee, said at a Sept. 23 hearing on where Harrison was a witness. “I’d like to know why he told me that in July, and then filed for bankruptcy one month later.”

Harrison, Stover

Harrison and Chief Financial Officer Bill Stover invoked their Fifth Amendment rights against self-incrimination and refused to answer questions at the hearing.

Harrison joined Solyndra in July 2010, after Solyndra had received its loan guarantee and its auditor had warned its financial difficulties were deep enough to raise questions about how long it could survive.

Companies seeking guarantees were required to estimate project costs, list private investors and provide a model detailing cash flows for the life of the project, according to the 2006 Energy Department solicitation for loan guarantees.

Solyndra submitted an application in 2006 and added details in October 2007 after the company was identified by the Bush administration as a potential candidate for a guarantee.

It is unlawful for applicants for federal loan guarantees to make untrue, misleading or incomplete statements, according to James F. Bowe Jr., an energy regulatory lawyer with Dewey & LeBoeuf in Washington, who isn’t involved in the Solyndra case.

IPO Withdrawn

The company withdrew a planned initial public offering in June 2010, citing adverse market conditions. A month earlier, Obama toured the new manufacturing factory that U.S. aid helped to build and said Solyndra was a testament to “American ingenuity and dynamism.”

By December, the company was almost out of cash and sought to restructure the loan agreement with the Energy Department. The department at the time knew the company had failed to set aside $5 million in the first of six payments into a reserve fund, Damien LaVera, an agency spokesman, said in an e-mail. The new deal eliminated the payments, he said.

The agreement made the government’s debt subordinate to $75 million in private investment in a last-ditch effort to save the company, Energy Department officials have said.

Harrison replaced Solyndra founder Chris Gronet as chief executive. Gronet remained chairman until Aug. 19, when the company announced his departure, 12 days before it halted operations on Aug. 31.

Gronet, a former executive at Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT), expressed anger when action on the loan guarantee was postponed in January 2009, Energy Department e-mails show.

“I was appalled to learn on Friday that our application is being delayed yet again,” Gronet wrote in an e-mail to Steve Isakowitz, the Energy Department’s chief financial officer, in the early morning hours on Jan. 12, 2009.

He later spurned an apology from David Frantz, director of the loan program under Bush, according to an e-mail sent later that day.

“I find the response completely unacceptable,” Gronet wrote. “An apology from David is not enough.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Jim Snyder in Washington at jsnyder24@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Larry Liebert at lliebert@bloomberg.net



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Stocks Gain on Economic Data, Germany Vote

By Stephen Kirkland and Nikolaj Gammeltoft - Sep 30, 2011 4:08 AM GMT+0700

U.S. stocks rose, rebounding from an earlier loss, as lower-than-estimated claims for unemployment benefits and a vote by German lawmakers to expand a European bailout fund helped offset losses by technology and consumer companies. Greek bonds surged and the euro rose.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.8 percent to 1,160.40 at 4 p.m. New York time, recovering from a 1 percent decline earlier. The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 0.4 percent as Apple Inc. declined 1.6 percent, falling for a fourth straight day. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.7 percent as banks rallied. The Greek two-year yield tumbled 453 basis points to 65.24 percent. Natural gas slid 1.4 percent as the U.S. reported a rise in supplies, while oil climbed.

“We got two excellent numbers,” Philip Orlando, the New York-based chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors Inc., which oversees about $350 billion, said in a telephone interview. “It suggests that we are coming out of the soft patch and not spiraling into a double-dip recession,” he said. “Equities have to go up on this, but the challenge is that domestic economic fundamentals don’t matter as much as what’s happening in the euro zone right now.”

The S&P 500 rallied as much as 2.2 percent early in the trading day, after the U.S. economy grew at a 1.3 percent pace in the second quarter, faster than previously estimated, and applications for jobless benefits dropped by a more-than- forecast 37,000 to 391,000, the fewest since April, according to government data. German Chancellor Angela Merkel gained support from lawmakers to expand the European Financial Stability Facility’s firepower.

Consumer, Technology Stocks

Two industries that have beaten the S&P 500 in the third quarter, computer and software makers and companies dependent on discretionary consumer spending, fell the most today. The S&P 500 Information Technology Index lost 0.4 percent, bringing its two-day loss to 1.8 percent. Among its constituents, Apple, which climbed 16 percent in the quarter, has dropped 5.5 percent since Sept. 20, while Google Inc., up 4.2 percent for the quarter, slid 2.2 percent in the last two days.

Among consumer stocks, Tiffany & Co. (TIF) declined 6.9 percent, Wynn Resorts Ltd. fell 7.3 percent, and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) tumbled 11 percent. Netflix, the movie rental service that has rallied 194 percent since March 9, 2009, plunged 57 percent in the third quarter, the second-biggest retreat behind Alpha Natural Resources Inc., which decreased 59 percent.

‘Bastions of Outperformance’

“They’re shooting the last bastions of outperformance, because consumer stocks have actually done really well,” said Dan Veru, who oversees $3.3 billion as chief investment officer at Fort Lee, New Jersey-based Palisade Capital Management LLC. “They’re selling the winners that have exposure outside of the U.S."

Concern about slower economic growth in China weighed on American retailers with significant business in Asia, including Tiffany and Coach Inc. (COH), which lost 6.1 percent. Most global investors predict Chinese growth will slow to less than half the pace sustained since the government began dismantling Mao Zedong’s communist economy three decades ago, a Bloomberg poll indicated.

Fifty-nine percent of respondents said China’s gross domestic product, which rose 9.5 percent last quarter, will gain less than 5 percent annually by 2016. Twelve percent see such a slowdown within a year, and 47 percent said it will occur in two to five years, the quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll of investors, analysts and traders who are Bloomberg subscribers showed.

Quarterly Losses

Concern Greece will default is dragging global equities and commodities toward their biggest quarterly losses since 2008, during the worst recession since the 1930s. The MSCI All-Country World Index has lost about 16 percent since the end of June and the S&P GSCI Index of commodities has fallen about 9.3 percent. About three-quarters of investors surveyed by Bloomberg say the euro-area economy will fall into recession in the next year and more than half predict China’s growth will slow to less than 5 percent a year by 2016.

Investors are seeking safer assets even as the U.S. Federal Reserve last month pledged to keep rates near zero through mid-2013. Treasuries returned 5.87 percent this quarter as of Sept. 28, on pace for the biggest advance since the three-month period that ended in December 2008, according to Bank of America Corp. data. U.S. government debt has gained 8.2 percent in 2011, poised for the best yearly performance since 2008.

Bank Stocks

Financial stocks in the S&P 500 rallied 2.8 percent, the most among 10 industries. The KBW Bank Index jumped 3.3 percent. Bank of America Corp. climbed 3.1 percent, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. added 3 percent.

About two shares advanced for each that declined in the Stoxx 600. BNP Paribas (BNP) SA and Commerzbank AG helped lead banks higher, climbing more than 4.6 percent. Hennes & Mauritz AB advanced 6.8 percent as Europe’s second-largest clothing retailer reported earnings that beat analysts’ estimates.

The euro appreciated 0.4 percent to $1.3597. The 17-nation European currency rose 0.7 percent against the yen, while the Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, gained less than 0.1 percent.

The yield on the Greek 10-year bond fell for the third day, declining 37 basis points to 22.67 percent. That drove the difference in yield with benchmark German bunds down by 37 basis points to 2,066 basis points. The yield on Italy’s 10-year bond slipped seven basis points to 5.58 percent after the government sold 7.9 billion euros ($10.8 billion) of debt. The Portuguese 10-year yield dropped 42 basis points to 11.16 percent, falling for a second day.

German Vote

Germany’s lower house of parliament approved the expansion of the European Financial Stability Facility with 523 votes in favor and 85 against, freeing the way for European officials to focus on what next steps may be needed to stem the debt crisis.

‘‘Crucially, Merkel won the vote without relying on the opposition,” Geoffrey Yu, a currency strategist at UBS AG in London, wrote in a note to clients. “Fears had initially been voiced that dissent within the party would be high.”

Treasury 30-year bonds advanced for the first time in five days, sending the yield down two basis points, as the Federal Reserve prepared to announce its schedule of purchases of longer-maturing debt under its economic stimulus plan known as Operation Twist.

Oil, Natural Gas

The S&P GSCI index of 24 raw materials climbed 0.5, led by agriculture prices. Crude oil climbed as much as 3.4 percent before paring its gain to 1.1 percent. Natural gas futures declined 1.4 percent after a U.S. government report showed the biggest weekly inventory gain in more than two years. The Energy Department said gas stockpiles rose 111 billion cubic feet in the week ended Sept. 23 to 3.312 trillion cubic feet. Analyst estimates showed an expected gain of 103 billion.

The MSCI Emerging Market Index rose 0.4 percent. The index has dropped 22 percent for the quarter, the worst performance since 2008. Turkey’s ISE National 100 Index rose 1.3 percent, led by banks, on speculation the country’s debt may be upgraded. South Korea’s Kospi Index jumped 2.7 percent and benchmarks in Russia and Hungary climbed at least 1.2 percent.

The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 1.1 percent to a 14- month low on concern growth will slow, and the cost of insuring Chinese government debt rose 9.5 basis points to 182.4, the highest since March 2009, according to CMA.

To contact the reporters on this story: Stephen Kirkland in London at skirkland@bloomberg.net; Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net




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Netflix Tumbles to Lowest in One Year

By Cliff Edwards - Sep 30, 2011 3:13 AM GMT+0700

Netflix Inc. (NFLX), the online and mail- order video service, fell 11 percent in Nasdaq trading to its lowest price since August 2010, after Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) unveiled competing products.

Netflix, based in Los Gatos, California, tumbled $13.95 to $113.19 at 4 p.m. New York time. The stock has fallen more than 60 percent from an all-time intraday high $304.79 on July 13 amid a customer backlash over a price increase and plans to operate the mail-order business separately from streaming.

The streaming business faces competition from Amazon, which unveiled a tablet computer yesterday that’s designed to work with its own video service. Microsoft plans to offer online pay television service from Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) and Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) through its Xbox Live streaming service, people with knowledge of the situation said.

“Cable video on demand and other video services are widely available and poised to act as alternatives,” David Tice, vice president of researcher Knowledge Media, said in a statement today accompanying a report on Netflix.

Video-game systems such as Xbox are the most popular viewing gateway for Netflix, Knowledge Networks said. Its survey found 10 percent of Netflix customers said they would be “very likely” to cancel if their cable or satellite TV provider offered a similarly priced, comparable service.

Even if more cable and satellite content arrives on game consoles, Netflix won’t face new competitive pressures, said Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Securities Inc.

“It’s true that more than 50 percent of activity on Netflix is on the television, through consoles and other players, but most Netflix customers already have cable or satellite service,” Pachter, who rates Netflix “outperform,” said in an interview. “I don’t get how you’d get a lot of cord- cutting.”

“You have to have service to get it on the Xbox,” he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Cliff Edwards in San Francisco at cedwards28@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anthony Palazzo at apalazzo@bloomberg.net




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Chinese Web Stocks Drop in U.S. Trading After SEC Cites DOJ’s Fraud Review

By Joshua Gallu and Belinda Cao - Sep 30, 2011 4:23 AM GMT+0700

Chinese Internet stocks tumbled in New York trading after a top U.S. securities regulator said the Department of Justice is reviewing allegations of accounting fraud at firms operating out of the Asian nation.

Sina Corp., owner of the Twitter-like Weibo service in China, fell 9.7 percent and Baidu Inc., operator of China’s most popular online search engine, dropped 9.2 percent after Securities and Exchange Commission Enforcement Director Robert Khuzami made the comments in an interview with Reuters that was published today.

“There are parts of the Justice Department that are actively engaged in this area,” Khuzami told Reuters in comments about allegations of possible fraud that were confirmed by John Nester, a spokesman for the SEC. Laura Sweeney, a Justice Department spokeswoman, declined to comment on whether criminal authorities are involved.

At least four Chinese Internet companies fell sharply today, triggering an SEC short-selling restriction that forces traders who want to bet on a further drop to wait after the stocks fell 10 percent from the prior day’s closing level. Youku.com Inc. (YOKU), China’s biggest online-video site, sank 18 percent, the most this year. Sohu.com Inc. (SOHU) fell 4.7 percent after losing 11 percent earlier in the day.

Sina’s shares slid to an eight-month low of $72.23 at 4 p.m. in New York, after plummeting as much as 16 percent earlier. Baidu’s American depositary receipts declined to $110.29. They earlier lost as much as 12 percent.

Intensified Scrutiny

In the past year, regulators have intensified scrutiny of China-based companies listed on U.S. exchanges amid concern that the firms weren’t complying with accounting standards. The SEC and exchanges have delisted or halted trading in more than a dozen such companies this year, and the agency has sued firms and auditors over bogus disclosures. The SEC only has power to file civil claims for securities law violations, while the Justice Department can file criminal charges.

The SEC’s investigation has focused on so-called reverse mergers, in which closely held firms buy shell companies that allow them to sell shares on exchanges without the scrutiny that would surround an initial public offering. None of the four Internet companies affected by the SEC restriction today were listed through reverse mergers.

VIE Structure

The slump in Internet companies was also caused by investors’ “fear” about their variable-interest entity listing structure, according to Jeff Papp, a Lisle, Illinois-based analyst at Oberweis Asset Management Inc. In a VIE arrangement, a Chinese entity holds the license needed to operate a website, and foreign investors exert control over it through a set of contracts, rather than a direct ownership stake.

“People are extrapolating that because of a non-normal listing structure that automatically means there’s something bad there,” Papp said, adding the four companies imposed with the SEC’s short-sale curb were all listed through the VIE structure.

China’s Commerce Ministry is studying ways to regulate foreign investments through VIE structures, ministry spokesman Shen Danyang said Sept. 20.

Legitimacy

“Investors outside of China can face challenges fully understanding the regulatory landscape -- and the VIE is one of those structures whose legitimacy has not been set in stone yet,” Kevin Pollack, a fund manager at New York-based Paragon Capital LP who invests in U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, wrote in an e-mail.

The big Internet names are especially vulnerable to selloff pressure because of their higher valuations to peers, according to Papp at Oberweis Asset. There is “continued aversion to risk,” he said. “High-beta names are just not in favor in the current environment.”

Sina’s shares are traded at 144 times its trailing earnings, compared with 13 for stocks in the New York Stock Exchange Arca China Index, which dropped 0.5 percent today. The multiple for Baidu is 50.

SEC officials have said they can’t adequately police the firms in part because the Chinese government bars U.S. regulators from inspecting auditors based in that country. Officials from the two countries have met in recent months to discuss the issue.

The SEC this month filed an enforcement action against Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Ltd.’s China affiliates for failing to produce documents related to an investigation of Longtop Financial Technologies Ltd, which said last month that Deloitte quit because of errors in the company’s financial records. The Deloitte affiliates have said they cooperated with the SEC as much as possible under Chinese law.

To contact the reporters on this story: Joshua Gallu in Washington at jgallu@bloomberg.net; Belinda Cao in New York at lcao4@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lawrence Roberts at lroberts13@bloomberg.net




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U.S. Stocks Advance After Jobless Claims Offset Slump by Technology Shares

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft - Sep 30, 2011 3:58 AM GMT+0700

U.S. stocks rose, rebounding from a 1 percent decline in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as lower- than-estimated claims for unemployment benefits and helped offset losses by consumer and technology shares.

Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) climbed at least 3 percent as European lenders soared after German lawmakers backed an enhanced euro-region rescue fund. General Electric Co. (GE) gained 2.7 percent, while Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) added 2.5 percent as jobless claims fell more than forecast and the U.S. economy’s second-quarter expansion topped projections. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) slid 14 percent after the chipmaker cut its forecast.

The S&P 500 added 0.8 percent to 1,160.40 at 4 p.m. New York time after rallying as much as 2.2 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 143.08 points, or 1.3 percent, to 11,153.98. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.4 percent as Apple Inc. (AAPL) declined 1.6 percent, dropping for a fourth straight day.

“We got two excellent numbers,” Philip Orlando, the New York-based chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors Inc., said about the economic reports in a phone interview. His firm oversees about $350 billion. “It suggests that we are coming out of the soft patch and not spiraling into a double-dip recession.”

Two industries that have beaten the S&P 500 in the third quarter, computer and software makers as well as companies reliant on discretionary consumer spending, fell the most today. The S&P 500 Information Technology Index lost 0.4 percent, bringing its two-day drop to 1.8 percent. Among its constituents, Apple, which rose 16 percent in the quarter, has dropped 5.5 percent since Sept. 20, while Google Inc., up 4.2 percent for the quarter, slid 2.2 percent in the last two days.

Tiffany, Netflix

Among consumer stocks, Tiffany & Co. (TIF) declined 6.9 percent today. Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) fell 7.3 percent, and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) tumbled 11 percent. Netflix, the movie rental service that has rallied 194 percent since March 9, 2009, plunged 57 percent in the third quarter, the second-biggest retreat in the S&P 500 behind Alpha Natural Resources Inc., which decreased 59 percent.

“They’re shooting the last bastions of outperformance, because consumer stocks have actually done really well,” said Dan Veru, who oversees $3.3 billion as chief investment officer at Fort Lee, New Jersey-based Palisade Capital Management LLC. “They’re selling the winners that have exposure outside of the U.S.”

Stocks worldwide are headed for their worst quarterly performance since the end of 2008 on concern Europe’s debt crisis will trigger a global recession. The MSCI All-Country World Index has lost 16 percent this quarter and trades at 11.9 times reported earnings, near the lowest level since March 2009. The S&P 500 has lost 12 percent since the end of June.

Extending Gains

Stock futures extended gains today as applications for jobless benefits dropped by 37,000 in the week ended Sept. 24 to 391,000, the fewest since April, Labor Department figures showed. Economists forecast 420,000 claims, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. An agency official said the data probably reflected a “slight mistiming” in the seasonal factors used to modify the figures.

A separate report showed the U.S. economy grew at a 1.3 percent pace in the second quarter, faster than estimated last month and helped by exports and spending on services.

“The U.S. economic data was better than expected,” Michael Gibbs, Memphis, Tennessee-based chief equity strategist at Morgan Keegan Inc., said in a telephone interview. His firm oversees about $70 billion in client assets. “The market wants Europe to show us, not tell us, what’s going to happen.”

German Vote

Global equities climbed earlier as Germany’s lower house of parliament approved the expansion of the European bailout fund. The bill’s passage by Europe’s biggest economy allows euro-area officials to weigh further measures to bolster Greece and stem investor concern that helped end the biggest three-day rally in 16 months for European stocks.

“Our markets have fairly well priced in all but the most draconian of scenarios,” Wilbur Ross, the billionaire chairman of private-equity firm WL Ross & Co., said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop” with Betty Liu. “Unless something really calamitous happens” such as a default of a larger European country like Spain or Italy, “short of that, I think we’ve pretty well priced things in.”

The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to the economy climbed 1.5 percent. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, also a proxy for the economy, added 2.1 percent. General Electric gained 2.7 percent to $15.86, and Hewlett- Packard advanced 2.5 percent to $23.78.

BofA, JPMorgan

Financial stocks in the S&P 500 rallied 2.8 percent, the most among 10 industries. Bank of America climbed 3.1 percent to $6.35, while JPMorgan added 3 percent to $31.39.

Harleysville Group Inc. (HGIC) surged 87 percent to $58.96. The insurer agreed to be acquired by Nationwide Mutual Insurance Co., the eighth-largest U.S. personal auto insurer, for $60 a share in cash.

Advanced Micro Devices sank 14 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $5.31. The second-largest maker of processors for personal computers reduced its forecasts for third-quarter sales and profitability, citing manufacturing glitches.

Netflix dropped 11 percent to $113.19 for the second- biggest loss in the S&P 500. The online and mail-order video service fell on concern about competition with Amazon.com Inc. and Microsoft Corp. The streaming business faces competition from Amazon, which unveiled a tablet computer yesterday that’s designed to work with its own video service. Microsoft plans to offer online pay television service from Comcast Corp. and Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) through its Xbox Live service, people with knowledge of the situation said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nikolaj Gammeltoft in New York at ngammeltoft@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net





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Rare Earths Fall as Toyota Develops Alternatives: Commodities

By Sonja Elmquist - Sep 30, 2011 3:34 AM GMT+0700
Enlarge image CHINA RARE EARTHS WEAPONS

Neodymium is displayed at the Baotou Steel Rare-Earth Hi-Tech Co. factory in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, China. Photographer: Nelson Ching/Bloomberg


Rare-earth prices are set to extend their decline from records this year as buyers including Toyota Motor Corp. (7203) and General Electric Co. (GE) scale back using the materials in their cars and windmills.

Prices for cerium and lanthanum, the most abundant rare- earth elements, will drop by 50 percent in 12 months, Christopher Ecclestone, an analyst at Hallgarten & Co. in New York, has forecast. Neodymium and praseodymium, metals used in permanent rare-earth magnets, may fall as much as 15 percent, he said.

Makers of electric cars, wind turbines and oil-refining catalysts have sought to reduce use of the metals after China, which supplies more than 90 percent of the market, said in July 2010 that it would cut exports and clamp down on the industry. That boosted prices, encouraging mining companies to develop new prospects and buyers to find alternatives.

“If you think you can keep raising the prices for those materials and still keep your customers, you’re crazy,” Jack Lifton, co-founder of Technology Metals Research, said in a telephone interview. “The principal customer for rare-earth metals is a global automotive industry using rare-earth permanent magnets. That industry will engineer this stuff out.”

Declines in August and September pared a five-month, fourfold surge that brought the average price for eight of the most widely used rare-earth oxides to a record 396,850 yuan ($62,025) a metric ton in July, data from consultant Shanghai Steelhome Information show. The average price declined 13 percent from its July peak as of Sept. 27.

Share Performance

The Bloomberg Rare Earth Mineral Resources Index dropped 43 percent in the past three months, led by a 61 percent decline in Montreal-based Quest Rare Minerals Ltd. (QRM) Great Western Minerals Group Ltd., which explores in North America, climbed 3.1 percent in the period and is the only gainer on the 17-member benchmark.

Rare earths have been pushed lower because of selling by speculators, Michael Gambardella, a New York-based analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co., said in a report last week. Tsunami- related disruptions in Japan and dumping of unpermitted material in China have undercut prices, while industrial substitution has driven “demand destruction,” said Sam Berridge, a Sydney-based analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.

“A greater focus on recycling and substitution, particularly by Japanese consumers, has resulted in tightness of demand easing somewhat for the lighter rare earths,” Berridge said by phone.

‘Huge Savings’

Rising prices for the so-called light metals, such as neodymium and lanthanum, have prompted automakers including Toyota, Asia’s biggest automaker, to look at reducing the use of relatively powerful and expensive rare-earth magnets in their vehicles. Some Toyota vehicles will be built with an induction motor, which doesn’t use rare-earth magnets, said John Hanson, a Toyota spokesman in Torrance, California.

“Moving from a fixed-magnet motor to an induction motor is a huge savings with regard to rare-earth metals,” Hanson said by phone.

“The Japanese are leading the push to replace, reduce and recycle their rare-earths consumption,” said Dudley Kingsnorth, chief executive officer of Perth-based advisory Industrial Minerals Co. of Australia. “Users are recycling rare earths wherever they can, using them more efficiently, particularly in the magnet industry where they are producing powerful magnets with smaller volumes.”

GM’s Plans

General Motors Co. (GM), the largest U.S. automaker, plans to sell a Chevrolet Malibu Eco next year that uses an induction motor, and otherwise cut down on magnets that use a lot of rare earths.

“The magnets are like God’s gift to electric motors,” Pete Savagian, GM’s chief engineer for electric motors, said in a telephone interview. “But we don’t always need that level of magnet. Even at prices we saw three and four years ago, there’s a more economic alternative, albeit at slightly less efficient outcome.”

The largest portion of demand for rare earths, one third, comes from generating electricity, according to Bloomberg Industries.

In August, GE announced the development of wind-turbine generators that will reduce dependence on the rare-earth materials prevalent in so-called permanent-magnet machines. Some current offshore wind turbines may contain as much as half a ton of the metals, according to Bloomberg Industries analysis.

‘Demand Destruction’

“Everybody is going back to the drawing board and trying to redesign their generators to minimize the usage of permanent magnets,” said Steve Duclos, chief scientist and manager of material sustainability for GE Global Research. “In all of our businesses we’re looking to reduce our usage.”

Companies that use cerium to polish glass, such as manufacturers of liquid crystal displays, will reduce their reliance on the element by as much as 70 percent this year by installing new polishing machines, said Jonathan Hykawy, an analyst with Byron Capital Markets in Toronto.

“They made the decision to substitute operational expenditure with capital expenditure,” Hykawy said. “Even if the price of cerium goes back to $5 a kilo, they will continue to buy less cerium because the machines are there and they’ll save a little bit of money. That’s a quasi-permanent demand destruction for cerium.”

Gasoline Refining

W.R. Grace & Co. this year began selling an oil-refining catalyst with reduced lanthanum, a rare earth that has increased in price more than fourfold in the past year. Lanthanum improves the amount of gasoline refiners can extract from crude oil and is also used in hybrid-car batteries.

Half of the company’s customers had switched to the new formula, which offers the same performance and gives them “double-digit type percent decreases in their cost,” Grace Chief Financial Officer Hudson La Force III said on a conference call this month.

The development doesn’t worry Mark Smith, CEO of Molycorp Inc. (MCP), owner of the largest rare-earth deposit outside China.

Fluid-cracking catalysts have “always been one of the largest single markets for any of the individual rare earths,” Smith said in an interview at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. “We don’t see that deteriorating in any significant form.”

While rare-earth prices have fallen, demand will outpace supplies even with new mines in California and Australia expected to come online in 2014, Smith said.

‘Short Supply’

“Like any market, you’re going to see up and down in the course of a month or two,” Smith said. “But the overall trend remains short supply, heavy demand.”

The ability to substitute many rare-earth applications will be limited, said Constantine Karayannopoulos, CEO of Neo Material Technologies Inc. (NEM), a Toronto-based producer of rare- earths, magnetic powders and rare metals.

“All kinds of folks are trying to use alternative technologies,” he said by phone. “Longer-term, don’t expect these technologies to be in place this quarter or the next.”

Molycorp fell $1.22, or 3.5 percent to $34.06 as of 4:15 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, extending its decline this year to 32 percent. Neo Material Technologies dropped 63 cents, or 8.9 percent, to C$6.47 on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Its shares have tumbled 17 percent this year.

GE’s Duclos says he has little doubt companies will find substitutes, sooner or later.

“It will depend on the element, it will depend on the usage, but getting 10-20 percent efficiencies out of the usage of an element is not that terribly difficult,” Duclos said. “What I don’t subscribe to is this idea that there’s nothing we can do.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Sonja Elmquist in New York at Selmquist1@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Simon Casey at scasey4@bloomberg.net.



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U.S. Decries Salaries, Staffing in New UN Budget

By Bill Varner and Flavia Krause-Jackson - Sep 30, 2011 1:05 AM GMT+0700

The Obama administration told the United Nations that too few of its 10,307 workers are being cut and average salaries, currently $119,000 a year, have risen “dramatically.”

The U.S. ambassador for UN management and reform, Joseph M. Torsella, said today that the proposed $5.2 billion UN budget for the next two years would scrap only 44 jobs, a 0.4 percent reduction. After an “onslaught” of add-ons, the 2012-13 budget would rise more than 2 percent to $5.5 billion, he said.

“That is not a break from ‘business as usual’ but a continuation of it,” Torsella said in a speech in New York to the UN’s administrative and budgetary committee. “How does management intend to bring these numbers and costs back in line?”

The Obama administration, he said, “calls for a comprehensive, department-by-department, line-by-line review of this budget” and a new process to approve UN funding.

“It is our obligation to our taxpayers to do more with less in Washington and here at the UN,” he said.

Torsella’s attack on UN salaries and workforce size follows legislation introduced by U.S. House Republicans on Aug. 30 that, if passed into law, would have the U.S. withhold a percentage of its contributions until at least 80 percent of the UN budget is voluntary.

U.S. Share

While pressing for savings in the UN budget, the Obama administration is opposed to withholding U.S. funding. That approach to forcing UN reform is “fundamentally flawed in concept and practice, sets it back, is self-defeating, and doesn’t work,” U.S. Ambassador to the UN Susan Rice, said on Sept. 13.

The U.S. pays 22 percent of the UN’s regular operating budget and is assessed 27 percent of the peacekeeping budget. U.S. payments totaled $3.35 billion in 2010, of which $2.67 billion was dedicated to the 16 peacekeeping operations worldwide, from South Sudan to Haiti.

Torsella also complained about receiving the UN budget proposal in a “piecemeal fashion” with “too little financial analysis.” He cited, as an example, not knowing how much the UN spends on health-care benefits for its employees.

Calling personnel the “largest and most important driver of long-term costs,” Torsella said those expenses increased to $2.4 billion in the 2010-11 budget from $1.4 billion a decade earlier.

Republican Plan

Legislation by Florida’s Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, the Republican chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, demands that the UN let countries decide how much to pay and which programs they will support, rather than assessing payments based on a formula. It would end funding for Palestinian refugees, limit use of U.S. funds only to purposes outlined by Congress and put a hold on creating or expanding peacekeeping operations until management changes are made.

In 2006, President George W. Bush’s ambassador to the UN, John Bolton, said the U.S. might push to make contributions to the UN budget voluntary. Bolton also focused on peacekeeping operations, holding hearings on reports of sexual exploitation by UN peacekeepers in Africa and up to $300 million in unnecessary purchases of equipment and supplies for peacekeeping missions.

Also in 2006, House lawmakers called for withholding half of the $429 million in U.S. funding for the UN’s regular operations that year in an attempt to force changes in the world body. At the time, criticism was focused on evidence of graft in the $64 billion UN program that allowed Iraq’s Saddam Hussein to use oil money from 1996 to 2003 to buy food and medical supplies for his people.

Anger over the scandal drove a 60-member group in the House to sponsor a resolution calling for the resignation of then Secretary-General Kofi Annan.

An attempt in the House in 2006 to pass legislation tying payments to UN management changes failed.

To contact the reporters on this story: Bill Varner at the United Nations at wvarner@bloomberg.net; Flavia Krause-Jackson at the United Nations at fjackson@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net




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BofA Plans $5 Monthly Fee for Some Debit-Cards

By Hugh Son - Sep 30, 2011 5:16 AM GMT+0700
nlarge image BofA Plans to Charge $5 Monthly Fee to Some Debit-Card Users

A man walks past a Bank of America Corp. ATM in Charlotte, North Carolina. Photographer: Chris Keane/Bloomberg


Bank of America Corp. (BAC), the biggest U.S. lender by assets, plans to announce a $5 monthly charge for some debit-card users to recoup revenue lost after new federal rules capped so-called swipe fees.

Customers with lower-tiered accounts, including the firm’s online-banking option, may start getting assessed the fee for debit-card purchases in January, said Anne Pace, a Bank of America spokeswoman. Users won’t be charged for cash-machine withdrawals, and clients with premium accounts including those linked to the Merrill Lynch brokerage aren’t affected, she said.

Bank of America, based in Charlotte, North Carolina, is joining rivals including JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) and SunTrust Banks Inc. (STI) in rolling out new charges for debit- card users. The Federal Reserve’s rules limiting swipe fees, or interchange, take effect next month. Banking industry representatives have said the changes enrich merchants while penalizing lower-income consumers.

“One of the unintended consequences is that this would disproportionately harm lower-income individuals,” said Trish Wexler, a spokeswoman for the Electronic Payments Coalition, which represents banks and networks. “If you can’t afford $5 a month, you’re going to stop using your debit card.”

The Fed capped debit-card swipe fees at 21 cents starting Oct. 1. It will let issuers tack on five basis points, or 0.05 percent, of each transaction, or almost 2 cents based on the average debit purchase of $38, and a conditional 1-cent adjustment for lenders that follow fraud-prevention standards.

Dodd-Frank

The cap, mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act, replaces a formula that averages 1.14 percent of the purchase price, or about 44 cents. The limit may reduce annual revenue at the biggest U.S. banks by $8 billion, data compiled by Bloomberg Government show.

“The economics of offering a debit card have changed with recent regulations, and we’ve decided to introduce a monthly fee for customers who use their debit cards for purchases,” Pace said today in an interview.

Earlier this year, Bank of America introduced five new accounts where users pay fees unless they keep minimum balances, make regular deposits, use credit cards or take advantage of online services. The offerings are designed to reward clients who have multiple relationships with the bank.

$60 a Year

Only the top two tiers of accounts -- dubbed Premium and Platinum Privileges and requiring $20,000 and $50,000, respectively, in combined balances -- will be spared from the new debit fees, which could total $60 a year per customer, Pace said. Those with an existing account for college students called CampusEdge will also be exempt, she said.

Wells Fargo, the second-biggest debit-card issuer after Bank of America, is testing a $3 monthly debit-card fee in some markets, the lender said last month.

Meanwhile, Citigroup Inc. (C), the third-largest U.S. bank, said this month that it wouldn’t charge additional fees for debit-card use. Ally Financial Inc., formerly known as GMAC, also said it hasn’t increased fees.

“Unlike many of our competitors, we will not charge fees that discourage use or make it unreasonably expensive to take advantage of the tools and services that consumers say are important,” said Stephen Troutner, head of U.S. banking products for Citigroup.

Moves by banks to increase charges “speaks more to the nature of the card industry than to whether swipe-fee reform should have been passed,” Mallory Duncan, general counsel for the National Retail Federation, said in a statement.

To contact the reporter on this story: Hugh Son in New York at hson1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dan Kraut at dkraut2@bloomberg.net



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Thursday, September 29, 2011

Hong Kong Shuts Schools, Markets as Typhoon’s Gale-Force Winds Sweep City

By Stephanie Tong and Michelle Yun - Sep 29, 2011 5:10 PM GMT+0700
Enlarge image Hong Kong Closes Stock Market, Hoists Gale Signal on Typhoon

Victoria Harbour is seen during a Typhoon 8 Signal Warning as Typhoon Nesat passes close to Hong Kong. Photographer: Ed Jones/AFP/Getty Images

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Central Hong Kong's streets were emptied as Typhoon Nesat swept gale-force winds and rain into the city. Banks including HSBC Holdings Plc and Standard Chartered Plc closed branches, and Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. canceled equities and futures trading for the day. The storm felled trees and ripped bamboo scaffolding from buildings, while bus, tram and ferry services were suspended and at least 38 flights were delayed at the airport. (Source: Bloomberg)


Hong Kong shut financial markets, schools, courts and government offices, raising its highest storm signal in two years as Typhoon Nesat swept gale-force winds and rain into the city.

The typhoon, which killed at least 35 people in the Philippines, made landfall on China’s Hainan Island after passing Hong Kong, the city’s observatory said. The No. 8 storm warning was reduced to a strong wind signal with Nesat 450 kilometers (280 miles) away, it said at 5 p.m. local time.

Gusting winds and rain emptied the streets in the city’s financial district as HSBC Holdings Plc and Standard Chartered Plc shuttered branches, and Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. canceled equities and futures trading for the day. The storm felled trees and ripped bamboo scaffolding from buildings, while tram and ferry services were suspended, and at least 287 flights were delayed, canceled or diverted.

“It’s deadly quiet outside, like a dark, wet, ghost town,” said Gavin Parry, managing director of brokerage Parry International Trading Ltd., who walked to work today. “There are few mini buses, no public buses and taxis are trawling for passengers to pay an extra HK$100 fare.”

The typhoon, the strongest to hit China this year, reached the southern province of Hainan at 2:30 p.m. local time, the China Meteorological Administration said in an e-mailed statement today. All flights and high-speed railway services to the resort city of Sanya in Hainan were canceled, the official Xinhua News Agency said.

Banks Closed

HSBC closed at least 100 branches, Laine Santana, a Kong- based spokeswoman for the bank, said. Standard Chartered shuttered at least 75, said spokeswoman Gabriel Kwan.

Hong Kong markets were closed as Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index heading for its biggest three-day gain since December 2009, on speculation German lawmakers will vote to expand a bailout fund for Europe’s debt-stricken nations. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.5 percent as of 5:35 p.m. in Tokyo, after having lost as much as 1.3 percent.

Not everybody was off work in Hong Kong.

“Traffic was smooth as there aren’t many cars on the roads,” Frank Huang, head of trading for fixed income at Sinopac Securities Asia Ltd. in Hong Kong, said by phone. “I have to come back to work as trading is still going on in other markets.”

Hong Kong endured fewer tropical storms in the past two years, with seven in 2011, and 11 for the previous year, compared with 28 in 2009. Typhoon Roke this month crossed Japan, causing widespread flooding and power cuts. Typhoon Muifa caused almost 3 billion yuan ($469 million) of direct economic losses in China in August, according to Xinhua .

Disappointed Tourists

Retailers including Apple Inc., which opened its first store in Hong Kong last week, Gucci Group, Coach Inc., and Folli Follie closed shops near the Lan Kwai Fong entertainment area and the International Finance Centre mall in Central.

“You would see lots of bags in my hands right now if shops were open,” said Letty Li, a 30-year-old fashion designer from Shanghai who is here on a four-day trip with friends. “I’m very disappointed since we had planned to do lots of shopping.”

Hong Kong, teetering on the edge of recession after the economy suffered its first quarterly contraction since 2009, is relying on tourist spending to bolster growth. Retail sales exceeded 20 percent for a fifth straight month in July.

“We’ve only got 5 percent of the customers that we used to have,” said Stephen Chui, a manager at the Chuen Cheung Kui restaurant at Causeway Bay on Hong Kong Island. Even should customers return, it “won’t be enough to make up for the losses in the morning session.”

Flights, Port

A total of 245 flights were delayed, a spokesman for the Hong Kong Airport Authority said, declining to be identified. The airport also canceled and diverted 42 flights.

“Some flights arriving into Hong Kong have been delayed or diverted,” said Carolyn Leung, a spokeswoman for Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. (293), the city’s biggest carrier. “Passengers are advised to check the latest flight information on Cathay Pacific’s website.”

All container delivery services at ports were suspended, the government said. The police evacuated 57 people when the anchor chain of a vessel floating at Sinopec Hong Kong oil terminal on the eastern part of Hong Kong island came loose and struck the facility. No oil leakage was reported, it said.

A total of 25 people were treated at public hospitals, and the government received 418 reports of trees collapsing. The marine department said the Hong Kong-Macau ferry terminal in Sheung Wan was reopened after the passage of the storm.

Cold Beer

Citybus Ltd. started resuming services from 3:30 p.m. local time, customer representative Christina Li said.

With most of the city closed, some bars filled up earlier than usual.

“My clients are at home with their children and family,” Matt Skeggs, a financial adviser at deVere & Partners, said at a bar in Lan Kwai Fong. “I’d never see a client after I had a beer, and I’m on my second.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Stephanie Tong in Hong Kong at stong17@bloomberg.net; Michelle Yun in Hong Kong at myun11@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Hwee Ann Tan at hatan@bloomberg.net




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Amazon’s Bezos Fuels Tablet Wars With $199 Kindle

By Brad Stone - Sep 28, 2011 8:45 PM GMT+0700

Jeff Bezos is channeling Steve Jobs. It’s mid-September and the wiry billionaire founder of Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) is at his brand new corporate headquarters in Seattle, in a building named “Day One South” after his conviction that 17-year-old Amazon is still in its infancy.

Almost giddy with excitement, Bezos retrieves one by one the new crop of dirt-cheap Kindle e-readers --- they start at $79 --- from a hidden perch on a chair tucked into a conference room table. When he’s done showing them off, he stands up, and, for an audience of a single journalist, announces, “Now, I’ve got one more thing to show you.” He waits a half-beat to make sure the reference to Jobs’ famous line from Apple Inc. (AAPL) presentations hasn’t been missed, then gives his notorious barking laugh.

With that, Bezos pulls out the Kindle Fire, Amazon’s long- anticipated tablet computer --- and the first credible response to the Apple iPad, Bloomberg Businessweek reports in its Oct. 3 edition.

Unlike a wave of other tablets that have emerged hopefully only to flop, such as the Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) TouchPad, the Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. Xoom, and the Research in Motion Ltd. (RIM) PlayBook, the Kindle Fire has a good shot at turning the newest theater of war in high-tech into a two-tablet battle.

$199 Fire

With a 7-inch display, the Fire is about half the size of the iPad. At $199, it’s also less than half the price of the cheapest Apple model. Amazon has painted over the rough surfaces of Google Inc. (GOOG)’s Android operating system with a fresh and easy- to-use interface and tied the device closely to its own large and growing content library. Kindle Fire owners can watch the film “Rio,” scroll through magazines such as The New Yorker or Esquire, and access their music collection on Amazon’s servers.

“What we are doing is offering premium products at non- premium prices,” Bezos says. Other tablet contenders “have not been competitive on price” and “have just sold a piece of hardware. We don’t think of the Kindle Fire as a tablet. We think of it as a service.”

To demonstrate the Kindle Fire, Bezos pulls up a chair. He proudly shows off a lightning-fast Web browser that runs on Amazon’s EC2 cloud computing engine and Amazon’s version of the Android app store, with over 10,000 games, e-mail programs, shopping guides, and the like.

Bezos pauses briefly to exhibit his dexterity at a game called “Fruit Ninja,” zapping watermelons and kiwis that fly across the screen, and appears to momentarily lose himself in the effort. “I do find it strangely therapeutic, uncomfortably therapeutic,” he says.

No Camera

There are some limitations to the Kindle Fire. Unlike the iPad 2, it doesn’t have embedded cameras or a microphone, and there’s no 3G cellular connection, only Wi-Fi.

Its diminutive size, which makes it so handy for stashing in a coat pocket, also makes it unlikely to satisfy more than one antsy kid on a long car ride.

The versatile iPad 2, with its video chatting capabilities and exquisite screen resolution, is a lifestyle-defining objet d’art.

The stripped-down Fire is more of a sit-back-on-the-sofa- and-shop device. It crystallizes the difference between Apple, which tends to keep prices -- and profit margins -- high, and Amazon, which likes to start low and drive lower in an effort to knee-cap the competition. The tablet is symbolic of Amazon’s ability to adapt and reluctance to cede the future to anyone. If the Fire and its inevitable sequels are successful, they will add even more might to one of the fastest-growing retail operations the world has ever seen.

Largest Bookstore

Amazon’s 1990s slogan -- “Earth’s largest bookstore” -- stood for an ambition that now seems cute. Amazon boasted of its unlimited selection of books, even though in most cases it was simply having them shipped directly from distributors.

Today, Amazon sells millions of goods and services, from toys and high-definition televisions to server space for other Internet companies and digital reading devices for book lovers. Borders Group Inc. found it impossible to match Amazon’s selection and went out of business earlier this year.

Best Buy Co. has watched Amazon undercut it and commoditize whole product categories, and is now trying to shrink the square footage of its superstores. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) has struggled to match the ease and reliability of Amazon’s shipping network, and posted nine straight quarters of declining same-store sales. Websites that have matched Amazon in selection, price, and customer service -- Zappos, Diapers.com -- Bezos has quickly acquired.

`Hyper Competitor'

“Amazon is not a fight-on-their-knees kind of company,” says Rob Glaser, the Seattle-based entrepreneur behind RealNetworks and now also a venture -capitalist at Accel Partners. “Jeff’s a hyper competitor.”

As its rivals steadily asphyxiate, Amazon is ringing up 50 percent growth in quarterly revenues, and may reach $50 billion in sales this year.

Wal-Mart needed almost twice the time --- 33 years --- to cross that threshold.

“Amazon is such a smart learning organization,” says Nancy F. Koehn, a professor of business administration at Harvard Business School. “It’s like a biological organism that through natural selection and adaptation just keeps learning and growing.”

Amazon is also facing a new kind of challenge that competitors like Wal-Mart are intimately familiar with --- cultural backlash, or at least the early signs of it. The company has been criticized for waging an expensive state-by- state battle to avoid collecting sales taxes, and more recently for skimping on air conditioning in its East Coast distribution centers during a brutally hot summer.

Growing Dominance

If the Kindle Fire is half as good as it looked in Bezos’ conference room, it will fan the fears about Amazon’s growing dominance. The tablet funnels users into Amazon’s meticulously constructed world of content, commerce, and cloud computing. Just like owners of Kindle e-reading devices tend to start buying all their books from Amazon, Kindle Fire owners are likely to hand over an increasing chunk of their entertainment budget to Jeff Bezos.

Tablets represent an opportunity for Bezos not only to sell a new kind of device but also to entice people to buy more stuff.

Even with only 28.7 million iPads sold, e-commerce sites say they see an increasing amount of traffic coming from tablets. Forrester Research reported that online purchases made on tablets now account for 20 percent of all mobile e-commerce sales, and that almost 60 percent of tablet owners have used them to shop.

`Huge Tailwind'

Bezos says tablets “are a huge tailwind for our business.”

Amazon once saw spikes in traffic during the workday lunch hours. Now traffic is more evenly distributed as people pick up their tablets anytime of the week, buying the books and albums they see on television and making impulsive decisions about replacing their dishwashers.

The Kindle Fire (internal code name: Otter) is designed to ensure that even more of those purchases go to Amazon. The company has built a tablet-optimized shopping application, with simplified and streamlined pages with none of the clutter of the main website. The app is pre-installed and sits at the bottom of the Fire’s main screen (users can get rid of it if they want).

The device also comes with the enticement of a 30-day free trial of Amazon Prime, the company’s $79-a-year two-day delivery program that tends to convert members into Amazon addicts who triple or even quadruple the amount they spend on the site. Since March, Amazon has also administered its own app store for Android devices, culling Google’s more comprehensive selection and removing everything that’s offensive and unreliable.

Twitter, Facebook

Kindle Fire owners will have access to apps from Pandora Media Inc., Twitter, Facebook, and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Although other competitors like Barnes & Noble Inc. (BKS) can submit their apps, it will be much easier for Kindle Fire owners to find Amazon’s own content. That’s one reason Amazon is in the best position to turn the tablet battle into a two combatant war.

The other is price. Analysts speculating on the new device pegged the Kindle Fire at $250 to $300. (Companies like Samsung and RIM have entered the tablet race with similar devices at those prices and above.)

Bezos is able to go lower because he can make his profits on media content and with additional subscriptions to Amazon Prime, which then will drive additional purchases of toys, toasters, diapers, etc. He’s also exploiting his company’s popular cloud computing initiative, called Amazon Web Services.

`Extremely Low Margins'

Amazon saves money on the Kindle Fire by packing it with only eight gigabytes of memory (the costliest version of the iPad has 64 gigs), but owners of the device get to store as many books, songs, movies, and personal documents on Amazon’s cloud servers as they like for free.

Bezos won’t say whether he thinks he’ll lose money on the device itself, only that he’s at ease flirting with red ink.

“Certainly this is a for-profit business,” he says. “Let’s put it this way. We are and always have been very comfortable at operating at extremely low margins.”

Though the decision to design and build its own hardware is a high-stakes bet, it’s equally true that Bezos had no choice but to enter the tablet business.

About 40 percent of Amazon’s revenue comes from media --- books, music, and movies --- and those formats are rapidly going digital.

Amazon was late to understand the speed of that transition; Apple, which introduced the iPod in 2001 and iTunes two years later, wasn’t. The iPad has only strengthened Apple’s hold over digital media.

Kindle App

Although there’s a Kindle app for the iPad, Apple takes a 30 percent slice of all e-books Amazon sells on it and has restricted Amazon and other app makers from directing iPad users to their websites in order to avoid giving Apple its cut. Doing business on the iPad threatens Amazon’s already thin profit margins.

Bezos says he doesn’t think defensively.

“Everything we do is driven by seeing opportunity rather than being worried about defending,” he says. Given Apple’s inroads into the media business, that’s hard to believe. Bezos is magnanimous toward Jobs.

“On a personal level we have a tremendous amount of respect for Apple and Steve. I think that’s returned,” he says. “Our cultures start in the same place. Both companies like to invent, both companies like to pioneer, both companies start with the customer and work backwards. There’s a like-mindedness.” Pause. “Are two companies like Amazon and Apple occasionally going to step on each other’s toes? Yes.”

E-Book Store

Amazon has recovered more quickly than other tech companies in the race to catch up with Apple in digital media. Amazon introduced an online TV and movie store in 2006, the Kindle e- book store in 2007, and the MP3 digital music store in 2008.

Earlier this year, Amazon also aimed its sights on Netflix with an Instant Video streaming service that’s free for members of Amazon Prime, and it’s now spending hundreds of millions to increase its catalog with TV shows and movies from studios like News Corp. (NWSA)’s Fox and NBC Universal.

The music and video stores haven’t been huge hits. That may change on the Kindle Fire. On a tablet those apps will give users the impression that most songs, TV shows, and movies are just a click away.

“We are leaning into this,” Bezos says. “It’s not a small initiative for us.”

Amazon is also among the companies in the final round of bidding for the online video site Hulu, according to people with knowledge of that process who were not allowed to speak on the record.

IPod Lessons

Apple’s success with the iPod taught the entire tech industry another valuable lesson. There were other digital music players on the market back in the 1990s, but Apple’s device, which seamlessly blended hardware, software, and eventually an online service in iTunes, made the experience simple and unintimidating for non-techies.

There is a sense, as one easily holds the Kindle Fire in one hand (try doing that with an iPad), that Bezos is working from the same set of principles as Jobs: Content matters. Simplicity is key. How do companies allow users to easily buy songs, movies, and other digital goodies? They persuade customers to entrust them with their credit cards--as both Amazon and Apple have done. How do they ensure that the device is easy to use? They design and build it themselves.

Making Own Hardware

“What should Amazon be doing in 20 years?”

That was the first question Bezos asked Jateen Parekh, a Silicon Valley systems engineer who had worked for the digital video recorder pioneer Replay-TV, an early TiVo rival, and Philips Research, a division of the Dutch consumer electronics maker.

It was August 2004, and Bezos and his new senior vice- president in charge of worldwide digital media, Steven Kessel, were exploring what seemed like a radical idea for an online retailer: making their own hardware.

“The question impressed me,” recalls Parekh, who is now the founder and chief technology officer of digital radio startup Jelli. “The fact that the CEO was thinking that far out was huge.”

Parekh joined Amazon that September, becoming the first employee of Lab126, a secret Silicon Valley skunkworks. At first, Parekh didn’t have an office to report to: He and the few industrial designers and engineers hired soon after, including Gregg Zehr, a former vice-president of hardware engineering at Palm Computing, set up shop in an empty room in the offices of A9, Amazon’s Palo Alto, California-based search subsidiary.

Build an E-Reader

Parekh recalls spending his first few weeks investigating the possibility of building Internet-connected set-top boxes and even an MP3 player.

Bezos loved reading far more than listening to music, and Amazon had deep expertise in the book market, so the next decision was a natural one. Amazon’s new hardware geeks would build an e-reader. Parekh and Zehr, who became president of the new division, researched existing e-readers of the time, such as the Sony Librie, which required AAA batteries, sold poorly, and never made it out of Japan. They concluded the market was wide open.

“It was the one thing that wasn’t being done well by anyone else out there,” Parekh says.

First though, Amazon’s engineers needed a better name for the original “A2Z Development Corp.” Parekh and his colleagues hated it, and thought it ill-suited to luring the best and brightest engineers from places like Apple and Palm.

Lab126 Project

They eventually settled on the more mysterious “Lab126.” The 1 stands for a, the 26 for z, a geeky naming convention inside Amazon where groups like the personalization team are referred to by the abbreviation P13N. (If you’re confused by that, count the letters in the word “personalization.”)

Other people who worked for Lab126 in those early years recall it as a loosely managed startup. The group piggybacked on A9’s infrastructure for most the next year. When the search division moved to the former offices of a Palo Alto law firm, Lab126 moved with them and took up residence in the old law library.

Lab126 was eventually given almost unlimited resources. It also had to contend with the unfettered imagination of Bezos. Amazon’s founder wanted his new -e-reading device to be drop-dead simple to use and argued that configuring devices to Wi-Fi networks was too complicated for non-tech-savvy users.

No PC Connection

He also didn’t want to force customers to connect the device to a PC, so the only alternative was to build cellular access right into the device, the equivalent of embedding a wireless phone in the hardware. Nothing like that had been tried before. Bezos insisted that customers should never have to know the wireless connection was there or even pay for access.

“I thought it was insane, I really did,” Parekh recalls.

The effort to develop the first Kindle ended up taking more than three years. Almost everything went wrong. The black and white displays from E Ink, an offshoot of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Media Lab that makes screens resembling the printed page and require very little power, would look good for one month and then degrade alarmingly.

Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM), which was set to provide the wireless chips, was sued by a competitor, Broadcom Corp. (BRCM), and for months was enjoined by a judge from selling its wares in the U.S.

The Lab126 team repeatedly urged Bezos to make their project easier by considering a Wi-fi-only connection for the Kindle. He rejected the idea, constantly suggesting new ones for complicated features, like the notion that customers’ annotations of books should be backed up on Amazon’s servers.

Code-Name `Fiona'

That original Kindle, code-named “Fiona” after a character in Neal Stephenson’s futuristic novel “The Diamond Age,” was finally ready to go in the fall of 2007.

Still, Amazon almost blew it. Modeling demand after the first-year sales of the original iPod, Amazon underestimated what a hit the Kindle would turn out to be. The first batch sold out in just a few hours. Amazon then discovered that one of its Taiwanese suppliers had discontinued a key part and spent months getting a replacement.

“You look at the history of the Kindle, they developed some real skills around the creation of that product. They’ve cut their teeth so to speak,” says Brian Blair, a New York-based analyst at Wedge Partners.

Making four successive versions of the Kindle e-reader also led Amazon down the path toward the Kindle Fire. For years the engineers at Lab126 tried to create a workable and reader- friendly color Kindle, according to three former employees.

New Color Displays

New color display technologies like Qualcomm’s Mirasol and another MIT IT-offshoot called Pixel Qi proved unreliable and difficult to produce in large quantities. In January 2010, the iPad demonstrated the broad appeal of a new kind of color LCD tablet with better image quality, wider viewing angles, and, near to Amazon’s heart, Apple’s own selection of e-books. People close to Lab126 say that work on tablets, including the Kindle Fire, started soon after.

Amazon’s devices division now employs around 800 hardware and software engineers in Cupertino, California, who fill up all but one floor of an entire eight-floor office building and part of a second building in the same office park, less than a mile from Apple’s corporate headquarters.

In the unit’s industrial design lab, according to a person who has visited that top-secret floor but was not authorized to speak on the record, naked e-ink displays hang from the walls with images from books imprinted on their screens.

E-Ink Screens

They’re used to demonstrate to potential new hires how an e-ink screen can hold an image indefinitely without being connected to a power supply.

There’s also another office of Kindle employees at Amazon’s new corporate campus in the South Lake Union district of Seattle, in a building nostalgically named “Fiona.” The group is cordoned off from other Amazon employees, whose company badges do not grant them access.

Bezos won’t say what kind of devices he’s cooking up next. People with knowledge of the division’s plans say that the Kindle Fire is only the first of a line of Amazon tablets, not an isolated product, and that the group has always considered the possibility of building Amazon cell phones and Internet- connected TVs.

“We are a company with a lot of ideas,” Bezos says, when asked directly about his plans. And then, of course, he laughs uproariously.

Kindle Fire Impact

For those already competing with Amazon, the Kindle Fire won’t be good news.

Kevin Ryan, the co-owner of Green Apple Books, a 44-year- old bookstore in San Francisco, says that Amazon has lowered the prices in the book business beyond his ability to match them. Amazon has also locked up several big authors to publishing contracts, and though it says it will produce their books in print as well as digital formats, that has competing retailers nervous.

“They’re bullies. They really are. I think they really want to be a monopoly,” Ryan says from the 8,000-square-foot store that features tribal masks over the bookshelves, and which has watched sales drop for much of the last decade.

Of the growing group of authors like George R.R. Martin whose books have sold over a million digital copies through Amazon, he says, “You have to assume that people joining the million book Kindle club is taking business away from you.”

ShopRunner Program

In the past year major chains like Toys “R” Us Inc., Sports Authority, and RadioShack Corp (RSH).have teamed up to combat Amazon’s might, forming a free shipping program called ShopRunner that, like Amazon Prime, also offers free two-day shipping for $79 a year. It’s not clear yet how ShopRunner is doing; the group won’t release subscriber numbers.

Fiona Dias, ShopRunner’s chief strategy -officer, says that by locking in a new wave of customers with the Kindle Fire, Amazon will make their jobs even harder.

“It’s a phenomenal concentration of power,” she says. “If we were scared of Amazon in the Web world, we should be absolutely terrified of them in the tablet world.”

It’s not just competitors that are assessing Amazon’s dominance. Over the past year, lawmakers, the media, and even some customers have begun weighing Amazon’s growing sales and size against the impact for communities, commerce, and the local job market.

Amazon has brought some of this scrutiny on itself. It touts its hiring of workers for its growing network of shipping centers, yet those jobs aren’t exactly plumb: They start at around $11 an hour (with health benefits), and conditions can be tough.

Few Perks

The recent newspaper account in the Allentown, Pennsylvania Morning Call said that temperatures over the summer in a local Amazon facility reached 120 degrees Fahrenheit (49 degrees Celsius), and that workers who were slowed by the heat felt penalized by their bosses. (Amazon has promised to put in air conditioners.)

The report is consistent with a company that gives employees few perks aside from 10 percent off $1,000 in annual purchases. Unlike Google and Apple, Amazon doesn’t subsidize meals or provide free sodas. Even the pet dogs of Amazon employees get a better deal: There’s a bucket of free milk bones at the front desk of every company building in Seattle.

The multi-state battle over state sales tax has created perhaps the most controversy around Amazon. Legislators in more than a dozen states, pressed by such politically connected competitors as Wal-Mart, have been pushing Amazon to collect the sales tax that their customers technically already owe on online purchases, to better repair widening budget deficits and pay firemen and school teachers.

California Compromise

Bezos has fought that effort, saying that only federal legislation can overrule a U.S. Supreme Court ruling from 1992 that retailers with no physical presence in a state should not have to pay sales tax there. Critics have charged he’s just stringing out his price advantage as long as possible.

On Sept. 7, Amazon finally compromised in California, agreeing to start collecting sales tax in the state by November 2012. Bezos says that by then the federal government will uniformly set nationwide standards for the collection of online sales tax.

“You have to do what you think is correct,” he says. “Obviously we care about perception but we also value substance and the right place to fix this is in federal legislation.”

Losing the tax advantage may not be such a bad thing. If and when Amazon starts collecting sales tax, it will be free to set up distribution centers right outside major cities, which would enable even faster deliveries than it offers now.

Same-Day Deliveries

As part of Amazon’s deal with California, for example, the company has pledged to spend $500 million on new warehouses and hire 10,000 full-time workers and 25,000 seasonal employees.

Customers in California may soon end up getting same-day deliveries of products and even produce. Amazon’s experimental “Fresh” grocery program is now active in Seattle, where the company already collects sales tax.

Nancy Koehn of Harvard Business School says Amazon may be getting big enough for people to finally start considering the ramifications -- for towns, shopping centers, and jobs --- of a world dominated by online buying. She recently discussed Amazon on Wisconsin Public Radio --- not the most neutral forum --- but was surprised when almost all of the phone calls from listeners were critical of the company.

“Americans get very nervous about centralized power that - affects their communities,” she says. “We get a little bit nervous about bigness, yet we want the convenience and the - pricing and the material plenty that bigness allows.”

11 New Buildings

Amazon’s new Seattle campus testifies to that growing size. The company has leased 11 brand new buildings in the burgeoning South Lake Union neighborhood from real estate developer and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) co-founder Paul Allen. It’s classic Amazon: unostentatious, and no -company signs on any of the buildings. The entire campus is due to be completed by 2013 and will host several thousand employees, but the company is growing so fast, it’s already looking for even more space.

In Day One South, Bezos would clearly rather discuss the Kindle Fire than real estate, sales taxes, or air conditioning. Former employees of Lab126 say the chief executive officer spends an -unusual amount of his time delving into the gritty details of his fledgling hardware business, and can happily talk for hours about the location of this or that button on a device.

“I spent a huge amount of time working on Kindle Fire,” he says.

He’s right to sweat the details, especially now that his competition has gone from slow-moving big-box -retailers to tech giants like Apple, which has even deeper deep pockets and is as comfortable with long-term investments as Amazon.

“These industries are so big, there are going to be multiple winners,” Bezos says. He’s been saying that for 10 years, during which time he’s helped consign Circuit City, Borders, and others to oblivion. “When I look at something like the Kindle Fire, what I want is to be one of the winners.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Brad Stone in San Francisco at bstone12@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Bradford Wieners in New York at bwieners@bloomberg.net



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