Economic Calendar

Friday, November 4, 2011

Sony Rating Placed on Watch for Possible Downgrade at S&P

By Mariko Yasu - Nov 4, 2011 3:32 PM GMT+0700

Sony Corp. (6758) had its credit rating placed on watch for a possible downgrade at Standard & Poor’s, which cited weakening earnings at its TV business and the impact from purchasing Ericsson AB’s stake in their phone venture.

The “A-” long-term corporate credit and senior unsecured debt rating is being put on credit watch with negative implications, Standard & Poor’s said in a statement today. S&P affirmed the “A-2” short-term rating of the Tokyo-based Sony.

“The likelihood of Sony’s weak earnings persisting has increased as there are no signs of a halt to the deterioration in the earnings of the company’s core flat panel TV business,” S&P said. “In addition, Sony’s financial burden is likely to increase in tandem with the company making Sony Ericsson a wholly owned subsidiary.”

Earlier this week, Japan’s largest consumer-electronics exporter forecast its fourth consecutive annual loss and slashed television sales targets after the yen reached a postwar high and floods in Thailand cut production.

The maker of Bravia TVs is taking a 50 billion-yen ($641 million) charge for streamlining its main TV operation, which is estimated to lose 175 billion yen this fiscal year, Sony said Nov. 2.

To contact the reporter on this story: Mariko Yasu in Tokyo at myasu@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net




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Oil Rises to Three-Month High as Greece Backs Down on Rescue Package Vote

By Christian Schmollinger and Grant Smith - Nov 4, 2011 4:18 PM GMT+0700

Oil traded near its highest in three months in New York as signs that Europe will reach an agreement with Greece on a rescue plan reduced concern economic growth will falter and damp fuel demand.

Futures added as much as 0.6 percent and are poised for a fifth weekly gain, the longest rising streak since April 2009. Greece won’t hold a public vote on a bailout package, Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos told lawmakers in Athens yesterday. Oil is approaching its 200-day moving average, which is at $94.84 a barrel today, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“The euro zone is the risk factor for the oil price,” said Sintje Boie, an analyst at HSH Nordbank in Hamburg, who predicts the price of Brent crude will slide to $105 by year- end. “The uncertainty is high but we don’t expect it will end in a catastrophe. Oil demand is not so bad in the U.S., and growth in Asia is strong.”

Crude for December delivery was at $94.18, up 11 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 9:06 a.m. London time, after climbing as much as 58 cents to $94.65 a barrel. The contract rose to $94.65 on Oct. 25, the highest intraday price since Aug. 1. Futures are up 0.9 percent this week and 3.1 percent in 2011.

Brent oil for December settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange was at $111.07 a barrel, up 24 cents. The premium of Brent to New York crude was at $16.89, down 4from a record high settlement of $27.88 on Oct. 14.

Europe Demand

The European Union accounted for 16 percent of world oil demand in 2010, according to BP Plc’s annual Statistical Review of World Energy. The U.S. is the world’s biggest oil consumer, using 19.1 million barrels a day, or 21 percent of global consumption.

“As we get some probability the Europe situation is being contained then people are willing to put risk back on,” said Ric Spooner, a chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney. “With the prospect of a low-growth economic environment and a still tight supply situation, that still puts a bit of a base under oil.”

Payrolls in the U.S. probably climbed by 95,000 workers last month after a 103,000 increase in September, according to the median forecast of 91 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before a Labor Department report today. The jobless rate was 9.1 percent for a fourth month, economists predicted.

Better Than Recession

The gain is “not nearly enough jobs to reduce unemployment and feed through to an increase in confidence,” said Spooner at CMC Markets. “But it is better than the recession outlook that we were looking at before.”

Oil in New York may be poised to drop as the market’s five- day stochastic oscillators remain above 70, an indication prices may have advanced too quickly, according to Bloomberg data. Investors tend to sell contracts when they are considered “overbought.”

Crude may fall next week on forecasts of an economic slowdown in Europe that may crimp fuel demand, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Nineteen of 31 analysts and traders, or 61 percent, forecast futures will decline through Nov. 11. Ten, or 32 percent, predicted a gain, and two said there will be little change. Last week, 48 percent of those polled projected a price drop.

To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alexander Kwiatkowski at akwiatkowsk2@bloomberg.net





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Draghi Picks Rates Over Printing Press as Crisis Drags EU Toward Recession

By Matthew Brockett and Gabi Thesing - Nov 4, 2011 7:00 AM GMT+0700

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi signaled he’d rather use interest rates than the printing press to bolster growth as the debt crisis drags the euro-area economy toward recession.

Chairing his first policy meeting after succeeding Jean- Claude Trichet on Nov. 1, Draghi unexpectedly cut the benchmark rate yesterday by a quarter point to 1.25 percent and left the door open to a further move. At the same time, he ruled out ramping up ECB bond buying to reduce governments’ borrowing costs, saying the program is “temporary” and “limited.”

“It’s back to basics on the crisis fighting; rates rather than bond purchases,” said Julian Callow, chief European economist at Barclays Capital in London. “He must be the first ECB President to utter the word ‘recession’ before it has actually happened.”

As bond yields soared in Italy and Spain after euro-area leaders raised the prospect of Greece leaving the 17-nation currency bloc, Draghi said the debt crisis is damping growth and a “mild recession” is on the cards. The central bank will lower rates again as soon as next month to fully reverse the two increases carried out under Trichet earlier this year, economists said.

Like Bernanke

Draghi sounded more like Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke than Trichet, said Trevor Greetham, Director of Asset Allocation at Fidelity Worldwide Investment in London. “He put much more emphasis on growth. This suggests another rate cut in a month’s time.”

The euro fell after the ECB rate cut before recovering to trade little changed at $1.3822 at 6:30 p.m. in Frankfurt last night. Italian bond yields declined after setting euro-era records earlier yesterday.

Draghi was under pressure to step up the ECB’s bond purchases to stop the two-year-old debt crisis spreading to Italy, the region’s third-largest economy.

Irish Finance Minister Michael Noonan called on the ECB to use a “wall of money” to halt speculation and contagion after Greece’s decision to hold a referendum on its second bailout fueled concerns it may default on its debts.

Germany and France raised the stakes, saying they would interpret it as a vote on Greece’s euro membership, prompting Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou to backtrack on the plan.

‘Greek Shenanigans’

“Despite the Greek shenanigans about a referendum, the market situation is not worrying enough for the ECB to pull out the ultimate stops,” said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Joh. Berenberg Gossler & Co. in London. “The ECB is still far away from forcefully intervening to protect illiquid but solvent sovereigns.”

Draghi’s 23-member Governing Council is already split over the ECB’s bond purchases, which now amount to 173.5 billion euros ($239.4 billion).

The ECB says the purchases are aimed at ensuring its interest rates are transmitted in financial markets. German policy makers say they also reduce borrowing costs for profligate governments, blurring the line between monetary and fiscal policy.

Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann opposes the program and ECB Executive Board member Juergen Stark will step down at the end of the year over the issue.

Such a Bad Thing?

“I struggle to see how in the current environment, with inflation starting to decline in the coming months and with activity clearly weakening, asset purchases would be such a bad thing,” said Jens Larsen, London-based chief European economist at RBC Capital Markets and a former Bank of England official. “But bond purchases on a large scale seem to have basically been ruled out of the toolbox, at least for now.”

While Draghi said sluggish growth is likely to damp inflation pressure next year, Jennifer McKeown, an economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London, said lingering concerns about price stability may be one reason why the ECB doesn’t engage in full-blown quantitative easing like the Fed and the Bank of England.

Keeping inflation just below 2 percent is the ECB’s primary mandate. It is currently running at 3 percent.

“A big move into QE may mean inflation rises in future,” said McKeown. The ECB is also “very reluctant to step in to what it considers to be the role of the region’s governments,” she said. “It’s a role for fiscal policy, not monetary policy.”

‘Get Your Act Together’

Draghi, 64, ruled out the ECB becoming “the lender of last resort for governments” and said the responsibility for financial stability rests squarely with politicians.

“Draghi made it clear that sovereign governments must not count on external help,” said Axel Merk, chief investment officer at Merk Investments LLC in Paolo Alto, California. “It’s really very simple: get your act together, national governments, and you’ll be fine. If not, you’ll pay the price.”

Group of 20 leaders meeting in Cannes, France, yesterday discussed a bigger role for the International Monetary Fund in the European debt crisis, with the U.K. joining Brazil and Russia in support of boosting the lender’s war chest.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development on Oct. 31 forecast euro-area growth will slow to just 0.3 percent next year while U.S. expansion accelerates to 1.8 percent.

Of 55 economists in a Bloomberg News survey, 49 predicted Draghi would keep rates on hold at his first policy meeting to emphasize his inflation-fighting credentials. He proved them wrong.

“Central bankers tend to do what needs to be done,” said Jacques Cailloux, chief European economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London. “Draghi might be reluctant to step up the bond purchases now but if the situation deteriorates further, he will have to.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Matthew Brockett in Frankfurt at mbrockett1@bloomberg.net; Gabi Thesing in Frankfurt at gthesing@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at cstirling1@bloomberg.net



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European Stocks Pare Gains Before Greek Confidence Vote; Euro, Gold Drop

By Lynn Thomasson - Nov 4, 2011 4:11 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Amit Rajpal, a Hong Kong-based portfolio manager at Marshall Wace LLP, talks about his investment strategy for China's banks. Rajpal also discusses Europe's debt crisis and banking industry. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


European stocks pared gains as Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou faced a confidence vote and investors awaited a report that may show employment cooled in the U.S. in October. The euro fell against the dollar, gold retreated and Asian stocks rallied.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index was little changed at 8:58 a.m. in London after earlier rising as much as 0.5 percent. The euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.3795. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 2.5 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 futures slipped 0.2 percent. South Korea’s won jumped 1.7 percent versus the dollar and Australia’s currency weakened after the central bank cut growth forecasts. Spot gold declined 0.5 percent to $1,755.15 an ounce.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Richard Dobson at rdobson4@bloomberg.net




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G-20 Leaders Urge Europe to Quell Debt Crisis as Greece Government Teeters

By Simon Kennedy and James G. Neuger - Nov 4, 2011 3:44 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Alastair Newton, an analyst at Nomura Holdings Inc., talks about Europe's debt crisis. Europe's leaders for the first time raised the prospect of the euro area splintering, choosing to treat Greece’s December referendum on the terms of a bailout package as an in-or-out vote on the debt-stricken nation’s future in the currency union. Newton speaks in Hong Kong with Susan Li, Rishaad Salamat and Mia Saini on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge." (Source: Bloomberg)


World leaders expressed impatience and irritation with Europe’s inability to defeat its two-year financial crisis as they urged swift resolution for the sake of the global economy.

With Greece’s debt-ridden government at risk of collapsing as soon as today, Group of 20 chiefs meeting in Cannes, France, yesterday pushed European authorities to flesh out and enact a week-old rescue plan that has already shown signs of unraveling.

“We are grappling with a lack of confidence in markets that leaders will act,” Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard said in the French seaside resort. “It is therefore very important for leaders to act.”

Such calls -- echoed by the U.S., Britain, China and Russia -- highlight international disappointment that Europe missed the G-20’s deadline of this week to deliver a fix for its fiscal woes. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy sought to regain the initiative by keeping aid for Greece on ice and demanding Italy accelerate austerity.

“The euro zone must absolutely send a message of credibility to the whole world,” Sarkozy told reporters. “When we take decisions they must be applied, when we set rules they must be respected.”

Confidence Vote

Athens will remain a focal point for policy makers and investors today as Prime Minister George Papandreou faces a confidence vote in parliament. He yesterday yanked his planned referendum on his country’s bailout after it split his party, roiled financial markets and drew unprecedented warnings from euro leaders that it may cost Greece its membership in the 17- nation currency club. Opposition leader Antonis Samaras rejected sharing power with Papandreou and called on the premier to quit.

Whether Greece will need to quit the 12-year-old bloc -- designed by its founders as permanent -- was discussed by the G-20, said Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, who predicted “cooler heads will prevail.” Leaders monitored their BlackBerries through their talks to keep up with fast-moving events in Greece, according to U.K. officials.

As European Central Bank President Mario Draghi cut interest rates and warned a recession is looming, the euro area may find some support after Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said the BRICS group of emerging markets is ready to stump up cash. European policy makers are looking beyond their borders to more than double the spending strength of their 440 billion-euro ($608 billion) rescue fund.

‘Preserving the Euro’

“We have to help preserve one of the world’s leading currencies,” Medvedev said. “We are all interested in preserving the euro.”

Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa would contribute to Europe in line with their current voting rights at the International Monetary Fund, Medvedev said. In return, they expect Western powers to give them a bigger say at the Washington-based lender, he said.

The IMF may receive a broader fillip after the U.K. backed an increase in the fund’s $391 billion war chest to give it a bigger crisis-fighting role. Options include raising the amount of Special Drawing Rights, opening a trust fund or not rolling back a 2009 cash increase, an EU official said.

Greek Aid

In a draft of a statement to be released today, officials also pressed the fund to “expedite” a new liquidity line for economies “with strong policies and fundamentals facing” outside shocks.

“When the world is in crisis, it’s right that you consider boosting the IMF,” U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron said.

After browbeating Papandreou on the eve of the talks, Merkel returned to the theme yesterday by saying Europe will withhold 8 billion euros of fresh aid until Greece meets its fiscal promises.

“What counts for us is actions,” Merkel said. “So far, I don’t really see those actions.”

Greece, whose two-year bond yield topped 100 percent yesterday, faces the “real danger” of a disorderly default, risking a run on banks at home and abroad, billionaire investor George Soros said in an speech in Budapest yesterday.

Italian Efforts

Merkel and Sarkozy also teamed up to urge Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who oversees the euro area’s second largest debt load after Greece, to forge ahead with budget cuts. In a sign investors are unimpressed with the emergency steps he has taken so far, they yesterday pushed Italian bond yields to a euro-era record.

The IMF may be tasked with monitoring Italy’s budget- cutting efforts, an EU official said. Berlusconi’s government may first have to request the surveillance.

“For me, Europe is all about Italy right now,” said Jurrien Timmer, who co-manages Fidelity Investments’ $219 million Global Strategies Fund in Boston. “The real issue is contagion, and Italy seems to be the line in the sand. Italy is really too big to fail. It’s the third largest bond market in the world, and it needs to be ring-fenced.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Simon Kennedy in Paris at skennedy4@bloomberg.net; James G. Neuger in Brussels at jneuger@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Hertling at jhertling@bloomberg.net




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SEC Said to Review Possible MF Insider Trading

By Joshua Gallu and Shannon D. Harrington - Nov 4, 2011 6:22 AM GMT+0700

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is reviewing trades in MF Global Holdings Ltd. (MF) convertible bonds to determine whether some investors sold the debt based on confidential information before the firm’s demise, according to two people with direct knowledge of the matter.

Investigators are in part focusing on trades that were made ahead of announcements that the firm’s credit rating had been downgraded, the people said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public.

MF Global, the holding company for the futures broker run by former New Jersey Governor and ex-Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) Co-Chairman Jon Corzine, filed for bankruptcy Oct. 31 after concerns that it may lose money on its holdings of European sovereign debt prompted demands from regulators to boost capital, as well as credit downgrades and margin calls.

Regulators are reviewing whether some investors learned in advance and traded on news that pushed the company closer to bankruptcy, the people said.

In one instance, MF Global’s $287.5 million of 1.875 percent convertible notes due in 2016 fell as much as 1.1 cent to 68.7 cents on the dollar on Oct. 24, one hour before Moody’s Investors Service announced that it cut the company’s credit ratings to the lowest investment-grade rating and was considering cutting it to junk, according to Trace, the bond- price reporting system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.

Last Two Hours

About 32 percent, or $6.5 million, of the total $20 million of bonds traded on Oct. 24 were executed in the two hours preceding the downgrade, Trace data showed. Convertibles allow investors to exchange bonds for stock when shares of the issuers reach preset levels.

Trading in MF Global’s common shares didn’t follow the same pattern. The stock rose as much as 2.2 percent in the hours leading up to Moody’s announcement. After the downgrade, the stock fell as much as 5.4 percent to $3.49.

John Nester, an SEC spokesman, declined to comment. MF Global spokeswoman Diana DeSocia said it’s the company’s policy not to comment on price movements in its shares and bonds.

MF Global announced in September that Finra required the firm to boost capital in its U.S. unit because of the holding it had amassed in European countries’ bonds as concerns about their ability to repay mounted. On Oct. 25, the day after Moody’s announced the downgrade, the company reported its largest-ever quarterly loss of $191.6 million, and Corzine disclosed $6.3 billion of exposure to bonds from countries including Italy, Spain, Belgium, Portugal and Ireland.

Missing Money

In papers filed this week in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan, MF Global listed debt of $39.7 billion and assets of $41 billion. The company is being investigated by regulators for money that may be missing from client accounts, according to two people with knowledge of the matter.

U.S. regulators have subpoenaed MF Global’s auditor, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, for information on the segregation of assets belonging to clients trading on U.S. commodity exchanges, according to a person briefed on the matter.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sent the subpoena seeking information about $633 million missing from customer accounts, said the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public.

In the auditor’s most recent formal action on behalf of its client, it gave MF Global a clean audit opinion in its May 20 annual report.

Chris Atkins, a spokesman for PricewaterhouseCoopers, declined to comment on the subpoena. Steve Adamske, a CFTC spokesman, declined to comment.

To contact the reporters on this story: Joshua Gallu in Washington at jgallu@bloomberg.net; Shannon D. Harrington in New York at sharrington6@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Lawrence Roberts at lroberts13@bloomberg.net; Alan Goldstein at agoldstein5@bloomberg.net





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Asia Stocks, Won Gain on Greece Aid Outlook

By Bloomberg News - Nov 4, 2011 12:29 PM GMT+0700

Asia stocks and South Korea’s won gained for the first time in five days, while bond risk fell after Greece scrapped a referendum on a bailout plan, moving the nation closer to receiving aid. Australia’s dollar weakened after the central bank cut growth forecasts.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 2.5 percent at 2:26 p.m. in Tokyo. Standard & Poor’s 500 futures lost 0.1 percent after a two-day gain in the U.S. stocks gauge. South Korea’s won jumped 1.7 percent, the euro traded at $1.3814 from $1.3823 yesterday, while the Aussie declined 0.3 percent. The cost of insuring Asian debt sank the most in more than a week. Copper increased a third day in London, while gold snapped a three-day advance.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou scrapped the referendum to avert a split in his party before a confidence vote today, after European leaders said the move may determine the nation’s membership in the currency union and will threaten aid payments. U.S. data today may show employment cooled last month, while the Reserve Bank of Australia said economic growth for the next two years will be slower than previously forecast.

“There’s less risk today because people are little less concerned that Greece will run on its own direction,” Michael Vogelzang, chief investment officer at Boston Advisors LLC, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “It sounds like there is some progress.”

About eight shares gained for every one that declined in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index, helping to trim the index’s weekly loss to 3.7 percent. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 1.5 percent in Japan, where financial markets were closed for a holiday yesterday. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rallied 2.6 percent and South Korea’s Kospi Index jumped 3 percent.

LG Display, Sinopec

LG Display Co. added 8.4 percent after Hyundai Securities Co. said the world’s second-largest liquid-crystal-display maker will “significantly” reduce its operating loss in the current quarter. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. (386) rose 7.8 percent after the China Securities Journal reported the government, which controls fuel prices, may permit refiners to make “appropriate” price changes, citing an unidentified source.

Futures signal the S&P 500 may halt yesterday’s 1.9 percent advance. Payrolls climbed by 95,000 workers last month after a 103,000 increase in September, according to the median forecast of 65 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before the data. Treasury 10-year notes headed for a weekly gain, with yields little changed at 2.07 percent.

The dollar pared its weekly gain against the euro to 2.4 percent and traded at 78.01 yen from 78.06 yesterday. The 17- nation euro slipped 0.1 percent to 107.76 yen. Greece’s largest opposition party rebuffed Papandreou’s overtures to form a national government, raising the prospect of elections.

Won, Ringgit

Group of 20 chiefs meeting in Cannes, France, yesterday urged a swift resolution of Europe’s two-year financial crisis for the sake of the global economy.

The won traded at 1,110.93 per dollar, gaining for the first time this week. Malaysia’s ringgit strengthened 0.4 percent to 3.1215 after an economic report showed exports grew 16.6 percent in September, beating the 12.1 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Taiwan’s dollar rose 0.7 percent to $30.005.

Funds focused on emerging-market bonds received $671 million of flows for the week ending Nov. 2, according to a report from Barclays Capital, citing data from EPFR Global. Those investing in developing-nation stocks took in $3.5 billion, the most since April, Citigroup Inc. said in a separate report.

Australia’s Growth

The Australian dollar traded at $1.0383 after the Reserve Bank forecast growth of 4 percent in the 12 months to June 30, 2012, down from its Aug. 5 estimate of 4.5 percent. Consumer prices will rise 2 percent over the period, from a previous prediction of 2.5 percent; underlying inflation is predicted at 2.5 percent from a previous 3 percent, the central bank said.

The Markit iTraxx Australia index slumped 20 basis points to 175 basis points, according to Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. The gauge is set for its biggest daily drop since it declined 31.5 basis points on May 10, 2010, according to data provider CMA.

The Markit iTraxx Asia index of 40 investment-grade borrowers outside Japan fell 12 basis points to 188.5 basis points, BNP Paribas SA prices show, while the Markit iTraxx Japan index declined eight basis points to 171.5, Deutsche Securities Inc. prices show.

Gold for immediate delivery dropped for the first time in four days, losing as much as 0.4 percent to $1,757.10 an ounce. The metal has gained 24 percent this year on increased haven and central-bank demand. Three-month copper climbed 0.8 percent to $7,979.75 a metric ton in London. Oil was little changed at $94.04 a barrel in New York following a two-day gain.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Richard Dobson at rdobson4@bloomberg.net





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Groupon Raised $700M Pricing IPO Above Price Range

By Lee Spears and Douglas MacMillan - Nov 4, 2011 12:50 PM GMT+0700

Groupon Inc. raised $700 million in its initial public offering, 30 percent more than it sought, valuing the biggest online-coupon provider at about $12.7 billion.

The Chicago-based company sold 35 million shares at $20 each, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, the biggest IPO by a U.S. Internet company since Google Inc. (GOOG) raised $1.9 billion in its 2004 initial offering. Groupon had offered 30 million shares for $16 to $18 apiece, or as much as $540 million.

Groupon’s IPO attracted interest even as internal missteps, unprofitability and an expensive valuation compared with its peers made some investors skeptical. The size and price were designed to benefit from a surge in first-day buying, said Sam Hamadeh, chief executive officer of New York researcher PrivCo.

“This is as much of a marketing event tonight and tomorrow as a financing event,” Hamadeh said after the pricing late yesterday. “Engineering a pop for Friday is positive buzz which the company needs.”

The shares will start trading today on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol GRPN.

While Groupon said in its prospectus that it won’t need to use the proceeds from the IPO for at least a year and has no urgent cash needs, the company owed almost twice as much to merchants at the end of September as it held in cash. Marketing costs rose 37 percent in the latest quarter, four times as quickly as its cash pile.

Amazon, LivingSocial

There are also competitive pressures. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. and LivingSocial all offer group discounts and are giving more favorable terms to merchants. That’s led Groupon to accept lower margins to avoid losing business.

Advisers to Groupon based the price range for the IPO on a projection that the company will have sales of about $2.1 billion next year, people familiar with the matter said last week. The $17 midpoint valued the company at $10.8 billion, or about 5 times that sales prediction, making Groupon more expensive than Amazon.com, the world’s largest online retailer, which traded at about 1.5 times estimated 2012 revenue yesterday.

Co-founders Andrew Mason, Bradley Keywell and Eric Lefkofsky will collectively own more than a third of Groupon’s common stock, according to the prospectus. They will also share more than 58 percent of the voting power by virtue of their Class B shares, which have 150 votes each. Class A stockholders get a single vote.

Lefkofsky, the chairman, told Bloomberg News in June that he expected the company to be “wildly profitable,” a statement the company later asked investors to disregard in a regulatory filing. Company executives are forbidden from talking about financials during the so-called quiet period before an IPO.

Restated Results

In September, the company restated its revenue figures to exclude sales passed on to merchants and announced the departure of its second operating chief in six months. It had a net loss of $214.5 million for the first three quarters of 2011.

Groupon floated a record-low percentage of its total outstanding shares among U.S. Internet companies, helping to stoke demand. Only 4.7 percent of the stock was made available to the public, based on the offering terms. That’s less than in any U.S. Internet company IPO of more $200 million since at least 2000, Bloomberg data show.

All of the shares in the offering were sold by Groupon, and net proceeds at the midpoint of the marketed range were estimated at $479 million.

Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG led the IPO.

Groupon has granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 5.25 million shares of Class A common stock to cover over-allotments, if any, the company said in a statement.

To contact the reporters on this story: Lee Spears in New York at lspears3@bloomberg.net; Douglas Macmillan in New York at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jennifer Sondag at jsondag@bloomberg.net; Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net


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RIM Trails Book Value With Faith Fading

By Hugo Miller and Matt Walcoff - Nov 4, 2011 3:22 AM GMT+0700

Research In Motion Ltd. (RIM)’s decline below book value for the first time in nine years leaves the BlackBerry maker worth less than the net value of its property, patents and other assets in a sign of investors’ lowered faith.

“This is a wounded puppy,” Timothy Ghriskey, who oversees $2 billion as chief investment officer of Solaris Group LLC in Bedford Hills, New York, said in an interview. “They’ve been losing business, there’ve been operating technology problems. There isn’t a lot of customer loyalty anymore.”

RIM fell 0.3 percent to $18.85 at the close in New York, trailing the book value of $18.92 a share at the end of last quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The measure comprises a company’s assets including cash, inventories, real estate and intellectual property minus its liabilities.

The company helped create the smartphone market a decade ago with its first e-mail device and now must compete against Apple Inc. (AAPL) and devices that run Google Inc. (GOOG)’s Android software. The market-share decline has put pressure on RIM to shake up management, and investors such as Jaguar Financial Corp. (JFC) have called for RIM to divide split up, seek a merger or sell itself.

“The market, at book value, seems to be saying not only is RIM going to not get bigger in the future, but it’s actually going to shrink,” said Richard Fogler, of Kingwest & Co. in Toronto, who personally manages about C$1.5 billion. He sold his RIM shares in the third quarter. “Everyone’s frightened of what’s going to keep happening tomorrow.”

Asset Liquidation

Peter Misek, a Jefferies & Co. analyst in New York, cut his price target on the stock to $18. He rates RIM “underperform.”

If a private-equity investor were interested in buying RIM, book value would be a useful indicator to gauge the company’s worth if the buyer then sold the assets, said Matt Thornton, an Avian Securities LLC analyst in Boston.

“It really comes into play for somebody looking for downside protection,” said Thornton, who rates RIM “neutral.” “If we liquidate or sell off the assets, what’s our downside protection, that’s when it becomes a more meaningful metric.”

The Waterloo, Ontario-based company’s U.S. market share sank to 9.2 percent in the third quarter from 24 percent a year earlier as consumers opted for Apple’s iPhone and Android phones from Samsung Electronics Co. and HTC Corp. (2498), according to research firm Canalys.

‘No Faith’

RIM posted its first quarterly revenue decline in nine years in September and is struggling to move its BlackBerry lineup onto a new operating system and reignite interest in its PlayBook tablet computer. The PlayBook went on sale in April without dedicated e-mail, stirring criticism that RIM said it would remedy this summer. RIM last month said that e-mail software upgrade won’t come until February.

“The market has no faith in its current model, that is what the market is telling you,” said Neeraj Monga, an analyst at Veritas Investment Research Corp. in Toronto. Monga, who has a “sell” rating on RIM, says there’s a 50 percent chance the stock will drop below $10 within 12 months.

The stock has dropped 68 percent this year, cutting RIM’s market value to $9.88 billion. RIM had a book value of $9.92 billion on Aug. 27, the end of its most recent quarter. Major investors who have sold all their shares in recent months include Brookside Capital Investors Inc., Greystone Managed Investments Inc., Janus Capital Management LLC and Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc., according to Bloomberg data.

Former Leader

John Goldsmith, a money manager with Montrusco in Toronto, said the declines show RIM has lost its competitive advantage.

“RIM was a market leader in terms of smartphones,” he said. “There are a lot of guys out there able to commercialize a product at a significantly lower cost.”

Goldsmith said the book value may be artificially high because it includes technology patents that might not be worth as much now, considering there are so many competitors.

“The book value, is it well stated? A lot of stuff has happened over the past five to 10 years,” he said.

RIM last traded below book value in 2002, when it was losing money. The company earned $329 million, the least in four years, in the quarter ended in August. RIM shares peaked at 24.3 times book value in November 2007.

Fighting Nokia

The MSCI World Information Technology Index trades for 2.7 times book value, with 19 of 147 of its stocks below 1, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. RIM’s rival Apple costs 4.8 times book value.

Analysts estimate RIM’s book value will rise 7.7 percent to $20.38 a share in the quarter ending this month, according to the average of seven forecasts in a Bloomberg survey.

Nokia Oyj (NOK1V), which has also been losing smartphone market share, saw its shares fall briefly below book value in August and now trades at about 1.4 times that level. Nokia said it would shelve its Symbian operating system in February and struck a deal with Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) to build handsets on its Windows Phone platform to try to regain market share from Apple and Google.

Nokia Chief Executive Officer Stephen Elop told Bloomberg News on Nov. 1 that he plans to introduce Windows phones with multiple U.S. carriers in early 2012. RIM had said that it planned to have the first BlackBerrys built on its new BBX platform early next year. However, co-CEO Mike Lazaridis didn’t reiterate that goal at a BlackBerry conference last month in San Francisco, and analysts say those new phones may come too late.

Apple and Google are the dominant smartphone platforms and there is really only room for one more, said Veritas’s Monga. When Nokia was reorganizing, RIM had its chance to establish itself as the third. It may have lost the opportunity, he said.

“Eighteen months ago, RIM was fighting but had a fighting chance,” he said. “Now, the problems RIM has on its software platform seem to be insurmountable.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Hugo Miller in Toronto at hugomiller@bloomberg.net; Matt Walcoff in Toronto at mwalcoff1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Elstrom at pelstrom@bloomberg.net




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Apple Green Light Reveals Control of Supply Chain in Cook Operations: Tech

By Adam Satariano and Peter Burrows - Nov 4, 2011 4:48 AM GMT+0700

About five years ago, Apple Inc. (AAPL) design guru Jony Ive decided he wanted a new feature for the next MacBook: a small dot of green light above the screen, shining through the computer’s aluminum casing to indicate when its camera was on. The problem? It’s physically impossible to shine light through metal.

Ive called in a team of manufacturing and materials experts to figure out how to make the impossible possible, according to a former employee familiar with the development who requested anonymity to avoid irking Apple. The team discovered it could use a customized laser to poke holes in the aluminum small enough to be almost invisible to the human eye but big enough to let light through.

Applying that solution at massive volume was a different matter, Bloomberg Businessweek reports in its Nov. 7 issue. Apple needed lasers, and lots of them. The team found a U.S. company that made laser equipment for microchip manufacturing which, after some tweaking, could do the job. Each machine typically goes for about $250,000. Apple convinced the seller to sign an exclusivity agreement and has since bought hundreds of them to make holes for the green lights that now shine on the company’s MacBook Airs, Trackpads and wireless keyboards.

Most of Apple’s customers have probably never given that green light a second thought, but its creation speaks to a massive competitive advantage for Apple: operations.

‘Never Seen Before’

This is the world of manufacturing, procurement and logistics in which the new chief executive officer, Tim Cook, excelled, earning him the trust of Steve Jobs. According to more than a dozen interviews with former employees, executives at suppliers and management experts familiar with the company’s operations, Apple has built a closed ecosystem where it exerts control over almost every piece of the supply chain, from design to retail store. Because of its volume -- and its occasional ruthlessness -- Apple gets big discounts on parts, manufacturing capacity, and air freight.

“Operations expertise is as big an asset for Apple as product innovation or marketing,” says Mike Fawkes, a former supply-chain chief at Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) and now a venture capitalist with VantagePoint Capital Partners. “They’ve taken operational excellence to a level never seen before.”

Nitty-Gritty Details

This operational edge is what enables Cupertino, California-based Apple to handle massive product launches without having to maintain large, profit-sapping inventories. It’s allowed a company often criticized for high prices to sell its iPad at a price that very few rivals can beat, while still earning a 25 percent margin on the device, according to the estimates of Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray Cos. And there is speculation that Apple’s operational expertise is likely part of what gives the company enough confidence to enter the notoriously cutthroat television market by 2013 with a TV set that would tightly integrate with existing Apple software like iTunes.

The widespread skepticism over Apple’s ability to compete in such a price-sensitive market, where margins are often in the single digits, is “exactly what people said when Apple got into cell phones,” says Munster.

Apple began innovating on the nitty-gritty details of supply-chain management almost immediately upon Jobs’s return in 1997. At the time, most computer manufacturers transported products by sea, a far cheaper option than air freight. To ensure that the company’s new, translucent blue iMacs would be widely available at Christmas the following year, Jobs paid $50 million to buy up all the available holiday air freight space, says John Martin, a logistics executive who worked with Jobs to arrange the flights.

Handicapping Compaq

The move handicapped rivals such as Compaq Computer Corp. that later wanted to book air transport. Similarly, when iPod sales took off in 2001, Apple realized it could pack so many of the diminutive music players on planes that it became economical to ship them directly from Chinese factories to consumers’ doors. When a Hewlett-Packard staffer bought one and received it a few days later, tracking its progress around the world through Apple’s website, “It was an ‘Oh s---’ moment,” recalls Fawkes.

That mentality -- spend exorbitantly wherever necessary, and reap the benefits from greater volume in the long run -- is institutionalized throughout Apple’s supply chain, and begins at the design stage. Ive and his engineers sometimes spend months living out of hotel rooms in order to be close to suppliers and manufacturers, helping to tweak the industrial processes that translate prototypes into mass-produced devices. For new designs such as the MacBook’s unibody shell, cut from a single piece of aluminum, Apple’s designers work with suppliers to create new tooling equipment.

The decision to focus on a few product lines, and to do little in the way of customization, is a huge advantage.

Unified Strategy

“They have a very unified strategy, and every part of their business is aligned around that strategy,” says Matthew Davis, a supply-chain analyst with Gartner Inc. (IT) who has ranked Apple as the world’s best supply chain for the past four years.

When it’s time to go into production, Apple wields a big weapon: More than $80 billion in cash and investments. The company says it plans to almost double capital expenditures on its supply chain in the next year, to $7.1 billion, while committing another $2.4 billion in prepayments to key suppliers. The tactic ensures availability and low prices for Apple -- and sometimes limits the options for everyone else.

Screens and Drills

Before the release of the iPhone 4 in June 2010, rivals such as HTC Corp. (2498) couldn’t buy as many screens as they needed because manufacturers were busy filling Apple orders, according to a former manager at HTC. To manufacture the iPad 2, Apple bought so many high-end drills to make the device’s internal casing that other companies’ wait time for the machines stretched from six weeks to six months, according to a manager at the drillmaker.

Life as an Apple supplier is lucrative because of the high volumes, though painful because of the strings attached. When Apple asks for a price quote for parts such as touch screens, it demands a detailed accounting of how the manufacturer arrived at the quote, including its estimates for material and labor costs, and its own projected profit.

Apple requires many key suppliers to keep two weeks of inventory within a mile of Apple’s assembly plants in Asia, and sometimes doesn’t pay until as long as 90 days after it uses a part, according to an executive who has consulted for Apple and wouldn’t speak on the record for fear of compromising the relationship.

Some Do Fight

Not every supplier gives in. An executive who works with a major parts manufacturer says that Apple’s bargaining tactics tend to exert downward pressure on prices, leading to lower profits and margins. After months of negotiations, the company declined a $1 billion payment from Apple that would have required the supplier to commit much of its manufacturing capacity to Apple’s products. The executive familiar with these talks, who asked not to be named because the discussions weren’t public, says that while deals featuring $1 billion in cash up front are basically unheard of, his company didn’t want to be too dependent on Apple -- and didn’t want to help it deflate prices.

Apple’s control reaches its crescendo in the leadup to one of its famed product unveilings, a tightly orchestrated process that has been refined over years of Mac, iPod, iPhone and iPad debuts. For weeks in advance of the announcement, factories work overtime to build hundreds of thousands of devices.

Tomato Boxes

To track efficiency and ensure pre-release secrecy, Apple places electronic monitors in some boxes of parts that allow observers in Cupertino to track them through Chinese factories, an effort meant to discourage leaks. At least once, the company shipped products in tomato boxes to avoid detection, says the consultant who has worked with Apple. When the iPad 2 debuted, the finished devices were packed in plain boxes and Apple employees monitored every handoff point -- loading dock, airport, truck depot, and distribution center -- to make sure each unit was accounted for.

Apple’s retail stores give it a final operational advantage. Once a product goes on sale, the company can track demand by the store and by the hour, and adjust production forecasts daily. If it becomes clear a given part will run out, teams are deployed and given approval to spend millions of dollars on extra equipment to get around the bottleneck.

Apple’s enormous profits -- its gross margins were 40 percent last quarter, compared with 10 percent to 20 percent for most other hardware companies -- are in large part due to this focus on operations, which is sure to remain a priority under Cook. The new CEO is known to give colleagues copies of Competing Against Time, a book about using supply chains as a strategic weapon in business.

According to Martin, the logistics executive, Cook uses a catchphrase to hammer home the need for efficiency: “Nobody wants to buy sour milk.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Adam Satariano in San Francisco at asatariano1@bloomberg.net; Peter Burrows in San Francisco at pburrows@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net


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LinkedIn Drops After $1.6 Million Loss

By Ari Levy - Nov 4, 2011 4:23 AM GMT+0700

LinkedIn Corp., the biggest professional-networking website, reported a third-quarter loss of $1.6 million as the company boosted spending on research and development. The stock dropped in extended trading.

The net loss of 2 cents a share compares with a profit of $3.96 million, or 2 cents, a year earlier, the Mountain View, California-based company said today in a statement. Revenue more than doubled to $139.5 million, topping the $127.4 million average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

LinkedIn, which first sold shares to the public in May, is increasing spending on research, sales and marketing, and office expansions to boost the company’s global presence and attract more recent college graduates to the site. Operating costs more than doubled in the period to $134.9 million. During the quarter, the company opened an office in Tokyo and acquired IndexTank to improve its search technology.

“LinkedIn plans to maintain a long-term perspective with investment in our key strategic areas,” Chief Financial Officer Steve Sordello said in the statement.

LinkedIn dropped as much as 13 percent to $76.11 in extended trading after the report. The stock rose 3.6 percent to $87.50 at the close in New York. It has surged 94 percent from LinkedIn’s initial public offering on May 18 through today’s regular trading, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has dropped 5.9 percent over that stretch.

High Multiple

After the stock’s rise since the IPO, LinkedIn is trading at 12.1 times projected sales over the next year, compared with a ratio of 5.4 for Google Inc. Even though LinkedIn beat most projections, it’s hard to justify that valuation, said Herman Leung, an analyst at Susquehanna International Group LLP in San Francisco.

“With the stock trading at the multiple it’s trading at, everything has to be perfect,” said Leung, who has a “neutral” rating on the stock.

Separately, LinkedIn said it plans to raise as much as $500 million in a stock sale. About $100 million of shares will be sold by the company, with the rest coming from existing stockholders.

LinkedIn increased its membership 63 percent from the year earlier to 131.2 million. Revenue in its hiring solutions business more than doubled to $71 million. Marketing solutions sales more than doubled to $40.1 million, and premium subscriptions revenue climbed 81 percent to $28.4 million.

Profit excluding some costs in the period was $6.6 million. LinkedIn forecast sales for the full year of $508 million to $512 million and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $83 million to $85 million. Analysts on average predict revenue of $488.9 million and Ebitda of $71.1 million.

(LinkedIn will host an earnings conference call at 5 p.m. New York time. To listen, click on http://investors.linkedin.com

To contact the reporter on this story: Ari Levy in San Francisco at alevy5@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net





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Papandreou Struggles to Hold on To Power

By Maria Petrakis and Natalie Weeks - Nov 4, 2011 4:20 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Don Hanna, managing director at New York-based hedge fund Fortress Investment Group LLC, talks about the European debt crisis and the outlook for Greece. He speaks from Singapore with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "On the Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)

Prime Minister George Papandreou struggled to hold on to power after Greece’s largest opposition party rebuffed his overtures to form a national government, raising the prospect of elections that could delay aid needed to prevent default.

Opposition leader Antonis Samaras rejected sharing power with Papandreou and called on the premier to quit. Papandreou, 59, scrapped a referendum on an accord with the European Union to avert a split in his party before a confidence vote scheduled for midnight tonight.

“I never excluded any topic from the discussion, not even my own position,” Papandreou told lawmakers in Parliament. “I am not tied to a particular post. I repeat I am not interested in being re-elected but just in saving the country.”

Papandreou’s inability to resolve the political gridlock pushes the country closer to the first default by a European Union nation even as his scrapping of the referendum averted potential ejection from the 17-member euro zone. European Commission President Jose Barroso said he expected a government of national unity will conclude the EU agreement before Greece runs out of funds.

“There’s a real danger of a disorderly default,” billionaire investor George Soros said in a speech in Budapest. Without support for Greek lenders, “you’re liable to have a run on the banks in other countries as well. That’s the danger of a meltdown.”

Unified Approach

The euro fell against the dollar, gold declined and European stocks gave up earlier gains. Papandreou’s hope for a unified approach to tackle the financial crisis disintegrated last night as Samaras rejected his overtures before leading deputies of his New Democracy party out of parliament.

Papandreou’s Pasok party controls 152 seats in the 300- member legislature after one lawmaker switched to an independent this week.

If the premier loses the confidence vote, President Karolos Papoulias could try to bring parties together to form a national administration under a new premier or invite opposition parties to form a government. Under Greek law, an election could be held within three weeks.

Unexpected Announcement

The unexpected announcement by Papandreou Oct. 31 that the country would hold a referendum triggered the biggest two-day slide in the MSCI World Index in almost three years and sent spreads on French, Greek and Italian bonds over bunds to euro- era records. Greek two-year bond yields climbed above 100 percent for the first time yesterday after the EU blocked aid.

“With the announcement of a referendum the entire loan accord was up in the air,” Samaras told lawmakers. “This in turn caused a wave of speculative pressure on other vulnerable countries of the union, such as Italy, and this in turn prompted a wave of panic across international markets.”

Papandreou said Greece’s continued participation in the euro was at risk and any rejection of the accord reached in Brussels last week would force Greece to exit the currency.

The Minnesota-born lawmaker has led his party since 2004, three decades after it was founded by his father Andreas at the end of Greece’s military rule.

`Unprecedented'

“It is unprecedented for an elected prime minister of Greece to cast doubt over the only two great achievements since the fall of the military dictatorship -- Greece’s membership of the European Union and of the euro area, in just 72 hours,” said Dora Bakoyannis, a former foreign minister and lawmaker who supported Papandreou in the first bailout vote in 2010 and was expelled from the main opposition party. “The only things we have to be proud of are directly at threat today because of Mr. Papandreou’s brilliant referendum idea.”

The premier has struck a deal to step down after tonight’s confidence vote and hand power to a negotiated government, Reuters reported yesterday.

Papandreou said Greece cannot have a political vacuum at this critical time and that it would be irresponsible for the government to resign.

A nationwide vote would hold up disbursement of Greece’s next aid package that was frozen by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy in the wake of Papandreou’s unexpected decision to hold the plebiscite.

“One option I consider catastrophic would be to go to elections, Parliament would shut down, we would sink into conflict and polarizations,” Papandreou said. “Its doubtful we would reach the end of elections without going bankrupt and having lost time.”

Boost Firepower

European leaders Oct. 26 agreed to boost the European Financial Stability Facility’s firepower to 1 trillion euros ($1.4 trillion), set aside 100 billion euros for Greece and provide 30 billion euros in collateral for a debt swap that will give Greece’s investors new, lower-risk bonds at 50 percent off the existing debt’s face value.

Banks, Greek authorities and other officials continued to work on a proposed bond exchange even as the political turmoil cast doubt on Greece’s next rescue package.

“We assume that the agreement reached on Oct. 26 and 27 would remain in operation,” Hung Tran, deputy managing director of the Institute of International Finance, a Washington-based banking trade group that negotiated the bond exchange, said yesterday.

Endanger Package

Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos said early elections would endanger the financing package and the sixth tranche of loans from last year’s bailout.

“The country needs the constitutional instrument of a government, it can’t be ungoverned, unable to negotiate, sign things, get the money from the European Union and International Monetary Fund,” Venizelos told lawmakers.

The European Central Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates yesterday after fallout from Greece pushed up borrowing costs and forced Europe’s rescue fund to cancel a bond issue for the first time.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said Greece’s possible exit from the euro currency block was discussed by the world leaders at the Group of 20 summit in Cannes, adding he expected “cooler heads will prevail.”

Barroso said the EU wants to keep Greece in the euro and that the country’s exit from the monetary union would risk setting a precedent for investors.

“They’re really on the verge of being unable to pay for their schools and hospitals,” Barroso said on Europe 1 radio. “Obviously this is the type of situation that requires national unity. We’re saying, ‘Please, agree on the essentials. It’s you the Greeks who have to be united’.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Maria Petrakis in Athens at mpetrakis@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Fraher at jfraher@bloomberg.net



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NYC ‘Occupy Wall Street’ Protesters Seek Trials

By Chris Dolmetsch - Nov 4, 2011 4:35 AM GMT+0700

More than 50 ‘Occupy Wall Street’ protesters arrested on disorderly conduct charges tied to marches through New York City rejected an offer from Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jr. to drop their cases in six months.

About 78 people arrested during a Sept. 24 march to Union Square in Manhattan were scheduled to appear today before New York County Criminal Court Judge Neil Ross. More than 50 of those who appeared in court chose to go to trial rather than accept an offer from prosecutors to dismiss the charges after six months if they’re not arrested again over that period.

The defendants will return to court in January, when they will ask a judge to dismiss the charges, according to Martin Stolar, one of about a dozen attorneys associated with the National Lawyers Guild who are representing some defendants. The defendants face as much as 15 days in jail if convicted of disorderly conduct, said Stolar, who added that he doesn’t expect demonstrators to be jailed even if they are found guilty.

“It has to do with the ambiguity of police instructions where people are told to go somewhere and they won’t be arrested,” Stolar said outside of court. “When people go there, they’re arrested. That strikes me as not justice.”

Demonstrators have been protesting the financial industry, income inequality and unemployment, among other issues, since setting up residence in Zuccotti Park in lower Manhattan on Sept. 17.

More than 900 people have been charged in connection with the protests since they began, including more than 700 arrested on the Brooklyn Bridge on Oct. 1, according to the New York City Police Department.

Today’s Arrests

Sixteen people were arrested today in connection with protests near the Manhattan headquarters of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), Paul Browne, a spokesman for the police, said in an e- mail.

In court today, nine people accepted the prosecution’s offer. Fourteen people failed to appear, and one case was dismissed. David Rankin, an attorney associated with the National Lawyers Guild who is representing about a dozen arrested protesters, said lawyers are leaving it up to their clients whether to accept a deal from prosecutors.

“We’re making no advice on that,” Rankin said. “A lot of the people believe they did absolutely nothing wrong and they want to prove that in court.”

Vance’s office is evaluating each of the cases individually and assigning them to assistant district attorneys in its trial bureaus, as well as a senior felony assistant district attorney to coordinate and supervise, Erin Duggan, a spokeswoman for Vance’s office, said in an e-mail.

Total Arrests

About 555 arrests related to Occupy Wall Street have been referred to the district attorney’s office since the protests began, with charges ranging from non-criminal violations to felonies, Duggan said. The number doesn’t include summonses, she said.

“The Manhattan District Attorney’s Office fully supports every person’s First Amendment right to peacefully demonstrate,” Duggan said. “At the same time, we are charged with enforcing violations of the law.”

Noah Shuster, 23, a City University of New York graduate student from Brooklyn, is one of the arrested protesters who rejected a plea agreement today. He said he feels “pretty good” about his prospects at trial.

“It seems like a very obvious bogus case that they made,” Shuster said in an interview after his court appearance.

Chris Hedges

At least 17 people were arrested today in connection with the protest at Goldman Sachs in New York, including activist and author Chris Hedges, said Patrick Bruner, 23, of Brooklyn, a spokesman for Occupy Wall Street, in a statement. A total of 3,000 people have been arrested around the country in connection with the protests, Bruner said.

In other protests around the U.S., the Port of Oakland reopened today after demonstrators affiliated with Occupy Oakland shut it down yesterday following an all-day demonstration that drew about 7,000 people to the California city east of San Francisco.

In Seattle, more than 100 protesters weathered pouring rain and temperatures in the 40s to air frustrations as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon spoke at the University of Washington Foster School of Business.

In Atlanta, municipal court hearings have been set for March 9 for 53 people arrested in connection with the Occupy Atlanta movement last week, said police spokesman Carlos Campos.

To contact the reporter on this story: Chris Dolmetsch in New York at cdolmetsch@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Hytha at mhytha@bloomberg.net.





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Groupon Raised $700M Pricing IPO Above Price Range

By Lee Spears and Douglas MacMillan - Nov 4, 2011 7:35 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Rick Summer, senior equity analyst at Morningstar Investment Services, talks about the outlook for Groupon Inc. and the company's initial public offering. He speaks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Paul Kedrosky, author of the Infectious Greed blog and a Bloomberg contributing editor, and Bloomberg's Cory Johnson talk about the outlook for Groupon Inc.'s initial public offering. They speak with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)


Groupon Inc. raised $700 million in its initial public offering, said two people with knowledge of the situation, 30 percent more than it sought and valuing the biggest online-coupon provider at about $12.7 billion.

The Chicago-based company sold 35 million shares at $20 each, said the people, who declined to be identified because the information isn’t public. Groupon’s sale is the biggest IPO by a U.S. Internet company since Google Inc. (GOOG) raised $1.9 billion in its 2004 initial offering, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Groupon stopped taking orders from investors for its IPO a day earlier than planned because of high demand for the shares, people familiar with the sale said yesterday. The offering attracted interest even as internal missteps, unprofitability and an expensive valuation compared with its peers made some investors skeptical. Groupon had offered 30 million shares for $16 to $18 apiece, or as much as $540 million.

“This stock is very much like a lottery ticket,” said Espen Robak, president of New York-based Pluris Valuation Advisors, whose firm helps private companies value their stock and other securities. “You could argue it’s a very expensive lottery ticket.”

While Groupon said in its prospectus that it won’t need to use the proceeds from the IPO for at least a year and has no urgent cash needs, the company owed almost twice as much to merchants at the end of September as it held in cash. Marketing costs rose 37 percent in the latest quarter, four times as quickly as its cash pile.

Amazon, LivingSocial

There are also competitive pressures. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. and LivingSocial all offer group discounts and are giving more favorable terms to merchants. That’s led Groupon to accept lower margins to avoid losing business.

Advisers to Groupon based the price range for the IPO on a projection that the company will have sales of about $2.1 billion next year, people familiar with the matter said last week. The $17 midpoint valued the company at $10.8 billion, or about 5 times that sales prediction, making Groupon more expensive than Amazon.com, the world’s largest online retailer, which traded at about 1.5 times estimated 2012 revenue today.

Co-founders Andrew Mason, Bradley Keywell and Eric Lefkofsky will collectively own more than a third of Groupon’s common stock, and they will also share more than 58 percent of the voting power by virtue of their Class B shares, which have 150 votes each. Class A stockholders get a single vote.

Lefkofsky, the chairman, told Bloomberg News in June that he expected the company to be “wildly profitable,” a statement the company later asked investors to disregard in a regulatory filing. Company executives are forbidden from talking about financials during the so-called quiet period before an IPO.

Restated Results

In September, the company restated its revenue figures to exclude sales passed on to merchants and announced the departure of its second operating chief in six months. It had a net loss of $214.5 million for the first three quarters of 2011.

Groupon floated a record-low percentage of its total outstanding shares among U.S. Internet companies, helping to stoke demand. Only 4.7 percent of the stock was made available to the public, based on the offering terms. That’s less than in any U.S. Internet company IPO of more $200 million since at least 2000, Bloomberg data show.

All of the shares in the offering were sold by Groupon, and net proceeds at the midpoint of the marketed range were estimated at $479 million. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG led the IPO.

The shares will start trading tomorrow on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol GRPN.

To contact the reporters on this story: Lee Spears in New York at lspears3@bloomberg.net; Douglas Macmillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jennifer Sondag at jsondag@bloomberg.net; Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net




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Dollar Holds Two-Day Decline Versus Euro Before Reports on U.S. Employment

By Candice Zachariahs and Monami Yui - Nov 4, 2011 6:55 AM GMT+0700

The dollar held a two-day drop versus the euro before data forecast to show U.S. jobs growth slowed and the unemployment rate was unchanged, supporting the case for the Federal Reserve to consider monetary easing.

Europe’s common currency climbed versus the greenback yesterday, paring this week’s drop, after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou signaled he won’t call for a referendum on a bailout plan. The yen is set for its first five-day drop against the dollar in three weeks after Japan on Oct. 31 sold its currency to curb appreciation.

“If you get a better-than-expected payrolls result, but it’s not good enough to bring the unemployment rate down, then that will probably keep expectations that there may be further policy easing down the track alive,” said John Kyriakopoulos, Sydney-based head of currency strategy at National Australia Bank Ltd. That “tends to hurt the U.S. dollar,” he said.

The dollar traded at $1.3824 per euro as of 8:13 a.m. in Tokyo, after falling 0.6 percent to $1.3823 yesterday, and pared this week’s gain to 2.3 percent. The European currency was little changed at 107.93 yen and has risen 0.6 percent since Oct. 28. The yen traded at 78.07 per dollar from 78.06 yesterday and 75.82 last week after touching a post-war record high 75.35 on Oct. 31.

U.S. payrolls climbed by 95,000 workers last month after a 103,000 increase in September, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of today’s data from the Labor Department. The jobless rate was 9.1 percent for a fourth consecutive month, the report may also show.

Greece Vote

The 17-nation euro yesterday advanced after Papandreou scrapped a referendum on an accord with the European Union to avert a split in his party before a confidence vote scheduled for midnight tonight. Greece’s largest opposition party rebuffed his overtures to form a national government, raising the prospect of elections.

The premier has struck a deal to step down after tonight’s confidence vote and hand power to a negotiated government, Reuters reported yesterday.

“There are downside risks to euro,” said Joseph Capurso, a currency strategist in Sydney at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, the nation’s biggest lender. “You will still get more softening of the data in Europe and it’s easy to come up with a scenario where you get some problem in Greece or in Italy and that drags down the euro.”

The euro may drop to about $1.32 by year-end, he said.

A euro-area composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in the services and manufacturing industries fell to 47.2 in October from 49.1 in September, London-based Markit Economics is forecast to say today according to economists in a Bloomberg survey. That would be the lowest since July 2009.

The euro has dropped the most over the past year among 10 developed-nation currencies, weakening 3.6 percent, according to Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The dollar fell 1 percent, and the yen rose 1.2 percent.

To contact the reporters on this story: Candice Zachariahs in Sydney at czachariahs2@bloomberg.net; Monami Yui in Tokyo at myui1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net.





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Asian Stocks Climb for First Time in Five Days on Europe Rate Cut, Greece

By Jonathan Burgos - Nov 4, 2011 7:33 AM GMT+0700

Asian stocks advanced for the first time in five days as Greece moved closer to accepting a bailout and the European Central Bank unexpectedly lowered interest rates.

Macquarie Group Ltd. (MQG), the Australian investment bank that gets about 16 percent of revenue from Europe, climbed 2.6 percent in Sydney after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou scrapped a referendum on the latest bailout package. BHP Billion Ltd., the world’s biggest mining company, jumped 3.6 percent as copper futures rose. Sony Corp., Japan’s largest exporter of consumer electronics, slumped 7.7 percent in Tokyo after predicting a wider full-year loss.


“There’s less risk today because people are little less concerned that Greece will run on its own direction,” Michael Vogelzang, chief investment officer at Boston Advisors LLC, told Bloomberg Television. “It sounds like there is some progress and the markets moved up. We think the ECB moves were helpful. It’s better to aggressively attack these issues than sit idly by.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1.4 percent to 119 as of 9:32 a.m. in Tokyo, snapping four days of losses. The measure is heading for a 4.5 percent decline this week, the most since Sept. 23. Stocks tumbled in the last four days after Papandreou announced on Oct. 31 a parliamentary confidence vote and his desire to hold a referendum on Europe’s rescue pact.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 1.2 percent as it resumed trading following a holiday yesterday. South Korea’s Kospi Index climbed 2.4 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 jumped 2.3 percent.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net.




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G-20 Urges EU to Quell Crisis as Greece Teeters

By Simon Kennedy and Henry Meyer - Nov 4, 2011 6:00 AM GMT+0700

World leaders expressed impatience and irritation with Europe’s inability to defeat its two-year financial crisis as they urged swift resolution for the sake of the global economy.

With Greece’s debt-ridden government at risk of collapsing as soon as today, Group of 20 chiefs meeting in Cannes, France, yesterday pushed European authorities to flesh out and enact a week-old rescue plan that has already shown signs of unraveling.

“We are grappling with a lack of confidence in markets that leaders will act,” Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard said in the French seaside resort. “It is therefore very important for leaders to act.”

Such calls -- echoed by the U.S., Britain, China and Russia -- highlight international disappointment that Europe missed the G-20’s deadline of this week to deliver a fix for its fiscal woes. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy sought to regain the initiative by keeping aid for Greece on ice and demanding Italy accelerate austerity.

“The euro zone must absolutely send a message of credibility to the whole world,” Sarkozy told reporters. “When we take decisions they must be applied, when we set rules they must be respected.”

Confidence Vote

Athens will remain a focal point for policy makers and investors today as Prime Minister George Papandreou faces a confidence vote in parliament. He yesterday yanked his planned referendum on his country’s bailout after it split his party, roiled financial markets and drew unprecedented warnings from euro leaders that it may cost Greece its membership in the 17- nation currency club.

Whether Greece will need to quit the 12-year-old bloc -- designed by its founders as permanent -- was discussed by the G-20, said Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, who predicted “cooler heads will prevail.” Leaders monitored their Blackberries through their talks to keep up with fast-moving events in Greece, according to U.K. officials.

As European Central Bank President Mario Draghi warns a recession is looming, the euro area may find some support after Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said the BRICS group of emerging markets is ready to stump up cash. European policy makers are looking beyond their borders to more than double the spending strength of their 440 billion-euro ($608 billion) rescue fund.

‘Preserving the Euro’

“We have to help preserve one of the world’s leading currencies,” Medvedev said. “We are all interested in preserving the euro.”

Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa would contribute to Europe in line with their current voting rights at the International Monetary Fund, Medvedev said. In return, they expect Western powers to give them a bigger say at the Washington-based lender, he said.

The IMF may receive a broader fillip after the U.K. backed an increase in the fund’s $391 billion war chest to give it a bigger crisis-fighting role. In a draft of a statement to be released today, officials also pressed the fund to “expedite” a new liquidity line for economies “with strong policies and fundamentals facing” outside shocks.

“When the world is in crisis, it’s right that you consider boosting the IMF,” U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron said.

After browbeating Papandreou on the eve of the talks, Merkel returned to the theme yesterday by saying Europe will withhold 8 billion euros of fresh aid until Greece meets its fiscal promises.

‘Actions’

“What counts for us is actions,” Merkel said. “So far, I don’t really see those actions.”

Greece, whose two-year bond yield topped 100 percent yesterday, faces the “real danger” of a disorderly default, risking a run on banks at home and abroad, billionaire investor George Soros said in an speech in Budapest yesterday.

Merkel and Sarkozy also teamed up to urge Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who oversees the euro area’s second largest debt load after Greece, to forge ahead with budget cuts. In a sign investors are unimpressed with the emergency steps he has taken so far, they yesterday pushed Italian bond yields to a euro-era record.

“For me, Europe is all about Italy right now,” said Jurrien Timmer, who co-manages Fidelity Investments’ $219 million Global Strategies Fund in Boston. “The real issue is contagion, and Italy seems to be the line in the sand. Italy is really too big to fail. It’s the third largest bond market in the world, and it needs to be ring-fenced.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Simon Kennedy in Cannes at skennedy4@bloomberg.net Henry Meyer in Cannes at hmeyer4@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Hertling at jhertling@bloomberg.net






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JPMorgan’s Dimon Draws Seattle Protests

By Britton Staniar and Dawn Kopecki - Nov 4, 2011 12:57 AM GMT+0700

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- More than 100 protesters gathered outside an event attended by JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon in Seattle last night. Demonstrators tried to block entrances to a hotel where the University of Washington's business school was hosting an event where Dimon was the keynote speaker. Some protesters reported the use of pepper spray by police. Chants criticized the bailout of U.S. banks and called for Dimon's resignation. (Source: Bloomberg)

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon was targeted by protesters during a keynote speech in Seattle last night, with activists picketing and chanting “banks got bailed out, we got sold out.”

More than 100 participants weathered pouring rain and temperatures in the 40s to air frustrations as Dimon, 55, addressed the University of Washington Foster School of Business’ annual business leadership dinner.

At least three protesters said they were hit with pepper spray as they tried to block entrances to a Sheraton hotel, where the dinner was closed to the public. Activists held signs that called for Dimon’s arrest and compared his hourly wage, which they calculated at around $10,000, with about $23 for an average worker.

“They’re bringing to the surface the pent up disappointment, anger, frustration and fear that the American people has with the direction that the economy and country has taken over the last decade,” said John Taylor, president and CEO of the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, a Washington-based non-profit group that represents affordable housing charities.

Joe Evangelisti, a spokesman for the New York-based bank, declined to comment on the Seattle demonstrations.

Occupy Wall Street activists have repeatedly targeted Dimon as they protest income disparity, the influence of money on politics and the use of taxpayer funds to rescue banks in 2008. They marched from Wall Street in downtown New York to his home on the upper East Side on Oct. 11. The route also included demonstrations outside homes of News Corp. CEO Rupert Murdoch, billionaire hedge fund manager John Paulson and Republican donor David Koch.

Avoided Losses

Dimon, who runs the largest and most profitable U.S. bank, saw his institution through the recession without posting a quarterly loss. He has said that JPMorgan, which took $25 billion in money from the Troubled Asset Relief Program, did so only to encourage other banks to participate and shore up the financial system, not because it needed the money.

Boston, San Francisco, Washington and London are among cities where rallies have been held to protest banks and their executives. People are focusing lenders’ role in creating the housing crisis and the impact it had on the economy and unemployment, said Taylor.

“It’s not Jamie personally, it’s the institutions themselves and what they are doing or not doing,” he said.

‘Do the Right Thing’

More than 1,200 people signed an online petition last year urging Syracuse University in New York to rescind Dimon’s invitation as the commencement speaker. Dimon presented the address, telling students to have the courage to speak the truth, even when it’s unpopular. He told graduates to “do the right thing, not the easy thing” and not to become someone else’s “lapdog or sycophant.”

Less than a dozen graduates protested in silence by removing their caps and gowns during his speech. While Dimon urged graduates to hold him and other CEOs accountable for their actions, he warned against indiscriminately judging all executives based on the failings of a few as “another form of prejudice and ignorance.”

“It’s okay for us at times to blame and be dissatisfied with others and hold them responsible, but it’s not okay to oversimplify and paint everyone with the same brush,” he said. “It should not be acceptable to denigrate entire groups, not all companies, not all CEOs, not all politicians, not all media, not all students.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Britton Staniar in Seattle at bstaniar1@bloomberg.net. Dawn Kopecki in New York at dkopecki@bloomberg.com.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: David Scheer in New York at dscheer@bloomberg.net.





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