Economic Calendar

Monday, November 7, 2011

Google to Tap K-Pop Boom on YouTube Channel

By Jun Yang - Nov 7, 2011 1:18 PM GMT+0700

Google Inc. (GOOG) may start a video streaming service on YouTube for South Korean pop music, tapping the genre’s worldwide popularity.

The channel on Google’s free video site would help spread the “Korean Wave” and cement ties between the world’s largest search engine operator and South Korea, Chairman Eric Schmidt told South Korean President Lee Myung Bak in a meeting in Seoul today, according to a statement from Lee’s office. No timetable for the service was included. Lee asked Schmidt to “actively” cooperate with South Korean technology companies.

A new service dedicated to K-Pop would build on the popularity of music and television dramas originating in the country, home to Google’s biggest Android operating system partner Samsung Electronics Co. and where the search engine operator is facing antitrust complaints. Videos of South Korean idol groups such as Girls Generation and Super Junior have generated tens of millions of views worldwide on YouTube.

The statement didn’t mention the antitrust complaints.

NHN Corp. (035420) and Daum Communications Corp., operators of South Korea’s two largest Internet search sites, said in April that Google blocked local phone carriers and manufacturers from embedding their search applications in devices using the Android system.

Google’s Seoul office was raided by South Korea’s competition watchdog as part of a probe resulting from the April complaints, a person familiar with the investigation said in September.

Robin Moroney, a Tokyo-based spokesman for Google, and Kwag Se Boong, a Seoul-based spokesman for the Fair Trade Commission, declined at the time to say whether the raid took place.

Schmidt also met today with SK Telecom Co. Chief Executive Officer Ha Sung Min and discussed cooperation in wireless payments and social-networking services, the Seoul-based mobile- phone carrier said in a statement.

Google’s plans in South Korea also include services to make starting a business easier, according to the statement, which didn’t elaborate on the services.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jun Yang in Seoul at jyang180@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anand Krishnamoorthy at anandk@bloomberg.net





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Nikon Gains in Tokyo as CLSA Says Setback from Thai Flooding Temporary

By Kazuyo Sawa - Nov 7, 2011 9:59 AM GMT+0700

Nikon Corp. (7731) rose to a one-week high in Tokyo trading after CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets raised its rating, saying the Thailand floods will have only a short-term effect and the company will benefit from growing camera demand.

The world’s second-biggest maker of professional-grade cameras jumped as much as 3.2 percent to 1,801 yen, the highest intraday level since Oct. 31. The shares traded at 1,776 yen as of the 11 a.m. trading break in Tokyo. The benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid 0.6 percent.

Nikon plans to shift work from its flood-damaged Thai plant starting December, resume partial output at the Ayutthaya factory in January, and restore full production of single-lens reflex cameras and lenses by the end of March, according to a Nov. 4 statement from the Tokyo-based company. Floodwaters have inundated seven industrial estates with 891 factories that employed about 460,000 people, according to the Thai Industrial Estate and Strategic Partners Association.

The Thai floods are only a temporary setback for Nikon, Christian Dinwoodie, a CLSA analyst in Tokyo, wrote in a note to clients on Nov.4, raising his rating on the stock to “buy” from “outperform.” The interchangeable-lens camera market is still on track to grow more than 40 percent in 2011, he said. “We expect Nikon to continue to benefit from this for several more years.”

Canon Inc. is the world’s largest camera maker.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kazuyo Sawa in Tokyo at ksawa3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anand Krishnamoorthy at anandk@bloomberg.net





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Huawei Confirms MTN Irancell Sales, Denies Gear is Used for Censorship

By Bloomberg News - Nov 7, 2011 12:18 PM GMT+0700

Huawei Technologies Co. confirmed it sold telecom equipment and a “mobile news delivery platform” to MTN Irancell Telecommunications Services Co., Iran’s second- largest mobile provider, while denying the gear is used for censorship.

Huawei, China’s largest maker of phone network equipment, doesn’t provide “any services relating to monitoring or filtering technologies and equipment anywhere in the world,” the Shenzhen, China-based company said in a e-mailed statement today.

The company said it issued the statement on Iran in response to “inaccurate and misleading claims” about its “commercial activities” in Iran, without identifying the source of those claims. Both Bloomberg News and the Wall Street Journal published reports last month saying Iranian authorities use technology purchased from foreign companies to monitor dissidents.

“Huawei provides a mobile news delivery platform to MTN Irancell, but we have no involvement in any aspect of the content of the information that is provided on that platform,” the Huawei statement said. “Most importantly, we have absolutely no technology that can be used for news censorship.”

Ross Gan, a spokesman for Huawei, had earlier told Bloomberg News that any equipment the company provides to customers is strictly for commercial use only.

Nokia Siemens Networks, which delivered communications intercept equipment to Iran in 2008, later expressed regret for the sale and noted “credible reports” that the government had used communications technology to suppress dissent, Bloomberg reported Oct. 31. Much of that gear was later swapped out in favor of Huawei equipment, according to Ben Roome, a spokesman for NSN.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net





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Euro, Stock Futures Fall on Italy Concern

By Shiyin Chen - Nov 7, 2011 3:09 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Binay Chandgothia, a Hong Kong-based fund manager at Principal Global Investors, talks about global financial markets and his investment strategy. Chandgothia also discusses the Group of 20 summit and Europe's sovereign debt crisis. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Robert Minikin, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at Standard Chartered Plc in Hong Kong, talks about the potential for intervention by the Chinese government in the European sovereign-debt crisis and the outlook for the yuan. Minikin also discusses the Group of 20 nations' summit last week. He speaks with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "One the Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Kumar Palghat, a managing director at Kapstream Capital Pty in Sydney, talks about the outlook for Europe's debt crisis and its implications for global financial markets. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou agreed to step down to allow the creation of a national unity government that will secure international financing and avert a collapse of the country’s economy.Palghat speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


Stocks dropped, the euro weakened against the dollar and yen, and gold rallied to a six-week high as concern Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi will fail to muster a majority for a parliamentary vote tomorrow overshadowed Greece’s plans to form a unity government. The Swiss franc sank.

The MSCI All Country World Index slipped 0.4 percent and the Stoxx Europe 600 Index decreased 1 percent at 8:02 a.m. in London. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures dipped 1 percent. The 17-nation euro weakened 0.4 percent to $1.3727 and lost 0.5 percent to 107.34 yen. The franc slumped after the central bank signaled it is ready to act if the currency’s strength threatens Switzerland’s economy. Italian 10-year bond yields jumped to a euro-era record. Gold rose 0.8 percent.

Italy’s parliament will vote tomorrow on the 2010 budget report amid an unraveling of Berlusconi’s majority and a surge in the nation’s borrowing costs. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou agreed to step down as a new government is created to secure international financing and avert a collapse of its economy. European finance chiefs will meet in Brussels today to work on details of a plan to bulk out the region’s bailout fund.

“It’s a short-term fix but even a new government needs to cut spending, increase taxes and get their house in order, so it’s not over yet,” said Kumar Palghat, managing director and founder of Kapstream Capital Pty, referring to Greece. “The next step is what happens in Italy. We’re really not out of the woods yet when it comes to Europe,” he said in a Bloomberg Television interview from Sydney.

Greece, Italy

About six shares retreated for every one that gained on the Stoxx 600. Italy’s benchmark FTSE MIB Index slumped 1.6 percent, Germany’s DAX Index lost 1 percent and France’s CAC 40 decreased 1.5 percent.

The euro weakened 2.5 percent last week on Papandreou’s decision to put the terms of the European Union’s rescue plan to a referendum. Two Berlusconi allies defected to the opposition last week and a third quit yesterday. Six others called for the Prime Minister to resign and seek a more broadly backed government in a letter to newspaper, Corriere della Sera.

Investor concern about Italy’s ability to cut the region’s second-biggest debt load sent the yield on the nation’s 10-year bond 20 basis points higher to 6.57 percent. The difference in yield, or spread, with benchmark German bunds also widened to a euro-era record.

“The market’s focus is shifting to Italy,” said Yunosuke Ikeda, an analyst of foreign-exchange research at Nomura Securities Co. “Yields on Italian bonds may continue to rise unless Berlusconi resigns. The euro is likely to inch lower amid the flow of rather bad news out of Europe.”

Government Intervention

The Swiss franc weakened against all 16 major peers after central bank President Philipp Hildebrand said in an interview with NZZ am Sonntag newspaper that policy makers expect the currency to depreciate further. It depreciated 0.9 percent to 1.2305 per euro.

Concern that Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis will spread and global economic growth is slowing has buoyed demand for havens such as the franc and yen, spurring Swiss and Japanese policymakers to intervene in currency markets. The yen climbed 0.1 percent to 78.16 per dollar, after advancing to a post-World War II record on Oct. 31.

About four shares retreated for every three that gained on MSCI’s Asia Pacific Index, which sank 0.4 percent. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid 0.4 percent, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index decreased 0.2 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid 0.9 percent. Markets in India, Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines are closed for a holiday today.

Stocks Fall

Asics Corp. tumbled 11 percent in Tokyo after the sporting goods maker cut its full-year net-income forecast. Furukawa Electric Co. slumped 12 percent after the cable maker forecast a full-year loss.

Futures on the S&P 500 signal the U.S. stocks gauge may extend the Nov. 4 drop of 0.6 percent. Treasury 10-year yields fell two basis points to 2.02 percent, extending the four basis point decrease on Nov. 4. The U.S. Treasury Department plans to sell $72 billion of notes over three days this week, beginning with tomorrow’s sale of three-year debt.

Gold for immediate-delivery climbed as much as 1.1 percent to $1,773.35 an ounce before trading at $1,770.20. Oil retreated 0.3 percent to $93.97 a barrel in New York, reversing an earlier gain of as much as 0.7 percent. Three-month copper sank 0.9 percent to $7,800 a metric ton in London.

To contact the reporter on this story: Shiyin Chen in Singapore at schen37@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Shelley Smith at ssmith118@bloomberg.net




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China Credit Squeeze Prompts Suicides, Violence

By Bloomberg News - Nov 7, 2011 12:01 AM GMT+0700

Hours after a creditor and his gang of tattooed thugs hustled Zhong Maojin into a coffee shop in Wenzhou, he says he wouldn’t yield to their demands.

They wanted to take over one of the pharmacies in a chain he’d built by borrowing from private lenders. Instead, he made an offer of traditional retribution in this eastern Chinese city, known for loan sharks who have sometimes meted out violence to bad debtors.

“If you like, you can cut off one of my fingers instead,” Zhong, 42, says he told them.

Giving up the store would have made it impossible to pay back another 130 creditors, Zhong said. He’d borrowed 30 million yuan ($4.7 million) at interest rates as high as 7 percent a month to expand the business. Many of the lenders were elderly neighbors who’d mortgaged their homes.

At least 90 bosses in similar situations to Zhong have fled the city since April, and two killed themselves, according to Zhou Dewen, head of a small business association in Wenzhou. One was shoemaker Shen Kuizheng, who jumped to his death from his 22nd-story home on Sept. 21, he said.

Wenzhou’s 400,000 businesses are facing financial hardship because of rising costs, soaring black market interest rates and a sudden credit squeeze, Zhou said. Similar problems are happening across China because private enterprises in China rely on underground borrowing rather than banks to operate, he said.

Their predicament prompted China’s premier Wen Jiabao to visit the city 230 miles (370 kilometers) south of Shanghai on Oct. 4, where he pledged help for troubled businesses. National and local leaders have since announced moves to help small firms, including offering easier access to bank loans, a cap on private-lending interest rates in Wenzhou and a crackdown on loan sharks that use violence.

‘Huge Pressure’

The measures have done little to help Zhong, he says.

“I am under huge pressure,” he says, sitting in a warehouse with fast-depleting stocks of medicine. “We don’t have enough money.”

The sudden collapse of informal lending networks reveals the fragility of China’s unregulated financing system when credit tightens and creditors lose confidence, said Tao Dong, a Hong Kong-based economist at Credit Suisse Group AG. Money supply has shrunk as the government tightens lending to try and rein in inflation running near a three-year high.

‘Tip of Iceberg’

“This is a much bigger problem across the country,” said Tao, who estimates outstanding private loans stand at 4 trillion yuan, or 8 percent of total lending in China. “Wenzhou is just the tip of the iceberg.”

Most of the informal lending has been pumped into real estate developers riding China’s property boom that is showing signs of slowing, said Tao. In Wenzhou, it’s driven up home prices to among the most expensive in the country.

Chinese media reports of similar difficulties have emerged in the prosperous mining town Ordos in the north and the industrial heartland of Guangdong in the south.

The risks to China’s wider economy include a potential credit freeze triggered by increased mistrust among informal lenders, also referred to as curb lenders, according to an Oct. 11 report by Wang Tao, a Hong Kong-based economist at UBS AG. That could trigger more widespread bankruptcies, she said.

Wenzhou -- a city of 9 million whose private enterprises range from shoemakers in dusty road-side homes to manufacturing plants in new industrial parks -- produces 90 percent of China’s eyeglasses and exported lighters. The city’s wealth is reflected in the Porsches and Land Rovers parked in the streets and the emergence of downtown shopping arcades selling Hugo Boss clothes and Omega watches.

Embraced Deng’s Reforms

It was the first city to widely embrace private enterprise in the early 1980s under the economic reforms of then leader Deng Xiaoping, developing the most advanced private lending networks in the country. Businesses in Wenzhou used family and hometown networks because bank loans were hard to come by.

The local government helped foster that by taking a lenient approach to private lending, according to Huang Yasheng, an associate professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Sloan School of Management. A previous credit squeeze in Wenzhou 25 years ago affected 200,000 lenders, resulting in 523 kidnappings and more than 30 deaths, according to a local government website.

As the clacking from a nearby shoe factory drifts through the window of his warehouse on Wenzhou’s industrial outskirts, Zhong tells how he relied on money lenders to build Blue Sky Pharmacy into a chain of 27 shops in just three years.

A doctor from a mountain village, Zhong borrowed money to pay medical bills he ran up caring for his wife who died at 23 of liver disease. After he remarried, to a woman with debts of her own from running a money-lending business, he opened up a pharmacy in Wenzhou to try to pay back their combined debt.

Network of Lenders

The couple took on more debt to fund their expansion, Zhong said. He couldn’t get money from the banks, he said, so he first borrowed from elderly neighbors from his home county.

Small and medium-sized businesses account for 80 percent of jobs in China, according to the country’s industry ministry. Yet they’re largely unable to get loans from banks, which prefer collateral to cash-flow, according to an Oct. 17 report by Sydney-based investment bank Macquarie Group Ltd.

By tapping into his hometown network, Zhong was the final link in a long chain of debt.

“For usual lending, Bank A lends to a customer and sees the cash flows,” said Tao, the Credit Suisse economist. “With informal lending, it goes from A to B to C, all the way to XYZ. Once it’s beyond C, you have no idea where this money went to.”

In Zhong’s case, the trail of debt can be traced to rows of four-story cement housing not far from the Wenzhou airport 40 minutes outside of town by car. Men play pool beside the ground- floor storefronts near a darkened mahjong parlor.

Cottage Industry

The residents turned money lending into a cottage industry, according to interviews with six of them. They built a lattice of interlocked credit, often borrowing from banks and other private lenders to arbitrage interest rates. Taking out bank loans at 1 percent a month, many lent out their cash for 2 percent or higher a month. They pocketed the difference to supplement meager income from odd jobs.

Sitting on a small stool, gray-haired Jin Xiaoyu fills a wooden box with the electrical clamps she makes to earn 10 yuan a day. Her left eye is the milky-white color of a cataract and she says she has difficulty seeing.

She lent Zhong 50,000 yuan and charged 1,000 yuan a month in interest, she said.

“I worry that I cannot get the money back,” Jin says. “I hope the government will help him out.”

Some used their housing as collateral. Among them was Wu Suihua, who borrowed against her five-story home, she says.

Taking Home Loans

“We don’t have much income,” said Wu. Her home is one building away from a Blue Sky pharmacy which opened a few months ago, selling ginseng and other traditional Chinese herbal remedies as well as Western medicines.

The collateralization of homes means Zhong’s problems may stretch back to the banks. One-third to a half of money used for private lending originally comes from banks, said Lu Ting, an economist with Bank of America Corp.’s brokerage unit.

Tightening cash flow for businesses continues to raise the risk of bank loans going bad, according to a statement from Wenzhou’s Financial Office given to Bloomberg News on Oct. 21. The current non-performing loan rate in Wenzhou is controllable and below the national average, it added.

The informal lending network worked until the summer of 2010 when some of Zhong’s villagers were unable to get new loans from the banks as government tightening kicked in, he said.

Rising Costs

Wenzhou’s businesses were already facing tougher times because of declining exports to Europe and the U.S. and rising labor costs, Chen Yuyu, associate professor at the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University, said. Minimum wages in Zhejiang province, where Wenzhou is located, have risen 19 percent in 2011 from last year, according to London-based Standard Chartered Plc.

Zhong needed cash to keep paying his suppliers, rent and employees. Scanning the local paper one day, he saw an ad for loans without collateral. He dialed the number and arranged to borrow 600,000 yuan for one month, from what Zhong called a “gaolidai,” a Chinese term for a loan shark. He borrowed again and started to just pay interest and roll over the principal, he said. Rates rose to 7 percent a month.

Black market rates have doubled this year, far exceeding the return of companies in Wenzhou that typically have wafer- thin profit margins, according to Ren Xianfang, a Beijing-based economist with IHS Global Insight Ltd.

High Interest Rates

Curb lenders demand annual interest of between 20 percent and 40 percent or higher, many times the official lending rate of 6.56 percent a year, UBS’s Wang said. The rate rose as China’s new bank loans decreased, down to a 21-month low of 470 billion yuan in September.

Zhong thought his problems would be solved in August after two friends agreed to act as guarantees and he finally secured a loan from the local branch of Fuzhou-based Industrial Bank Co. It was for 15 million yuan at 1 percent a month, divided into two tranches. One of the guarantors put up his downtown apartment as collateral in exchange for 60,000 yuan a month from Zhong, he said.

There was a snag. By now, Zhong said he owed the “gaolidai” 4 million yuan. The first tranche of the bank loan mostly went to paying that debt. The lender said Oct. 20 he was no longer in the business when reached by phone, declining to comment any further.

The Industrial Bank’s Wenzhou branch wouldn’t comment on Zhong’s case.

Warehouse Mobbed

When word of Zhong’s shortfall spread, angry creditors converged on his warehouse demanding their money back, Zhong and villagers said. Zhong says he struggled to calm them down as they started tossing cups on the floor and grabbing boxes of medicines.

In September, the alarm spread across Wenzhou after newspapers reported businessmen had fled or killed themselves because they couldn’t pay debts.

“Everyone was nervous and insecure,” said the mustachioed Zhong, sockless in leather shoes, standing near a darkened conference room with a bust of Chairman Mao. “Panic was everywhere. Blue Sky is famous now -- for owing debt. No one is going to lend me money.”

Lobster Dinner

Zhong’s problems are shared by many other business owners. A few weeks ago, a group of about 20 gathered in one of the marbled private rooms to feast on lobster and steak at Hai Yan Lou, a Cantonese restaurant across the street from the local offices of China’s banking regulator.

The mood was grim. They talked about the recent suicide of shoe factory owner Shen because he couldn’t repay debts, and the disappearance of another boss who owed them money, according to Yang Xi, the owner of a company that makes dyes for shoes and textiles, who was there.

Each man present downed a bottle of Moutai, an expensive brand of Chinese liquor made from sorghum, because they feared they may never be able to afford the luxury again, she said.

By October, the deteriorating situation in Wenzhou prompted the visit by the premier, which triggered a raft of initiatives to help private businesses.

“After Premier Wen’s visit, I sent text messages to friends all over the world that Wenzhou will be rescued,” Yang said.

Emergency Fund

China’s banking regulator said later it would let banks sell bonds to raise money for loans to small enterprises and tolerate higher rates of non-performing loans among other measures to encourage bank lending.

In Wenzhou, the local government set up an emergency 1 billion yuan fund. Its anti-loan shark campaign led to the Oct. 27 arrest of a couple suspected of illegally raising 1.3 billion yuan, according to the China Daily.

A few businessmen who had fled Wenzhou have returned since Wen’s visit, according to Zhou of the small business association. Others have been tracked down and arrested, according to the official Xinhua News Agency.

Analysts are trying to ascertain how effective the measures are and how widespread the fallout from Wenzhou will be across China. The city is now the country’s biggest source of private capital, marshaling about 800 billion yuan, equivalent to 2 percent of China’s total economic output, according to Ren of IHS Global. Money from Wenzhou is invested in everything from real estate in Dubai to coal mines in Shanxi province, in China’s northwest.

After a research trip to Wenzhou, Bank of America’s Lu said in an Oct. 25 report that the chances of a nationwide liquidity squeeze were low.

Broader Problems

Others see Wenzhou as symptomatic of broader problems, such as an over-reliance on investment to grow the economy that steers money toward state-owned companies, said Michael Pettis, the Beijing-based chief strategist at Guosen Securities Co.

“You can solve Wenzhou, but you’re simply transferring the problem someplace else,” he said.

Zhong, the pharmacist, says he’s filed a report to the local government hoping to benefit from the bailout plan.

He spends his days and nights in the warehouse of his crumbling dream. He’s sold off his BMW and lives in a company dormitory. His wife sleeps in one of their stores and they’ve sent their daughter to live at school.

Zhong recounted his night at the coffee shop.

Alerted to the incident by Zhong’s wife, a more sympathetic creditor came by demanding his release, saying the pharmacist owed him even more money. The ruse worked, Zhong said. His offer for a finger was declined.

He says he’ll probably still lose his business. He’s negotiating to transfer it to his 130 creditors. They would keep him on as a paid manager.

“My wife and I will probably have nothing left,” he said.

--Fan Wenxin and Shai Oster. Editors: Neil Western, Melissa Pozsgay.

To contact the reporters on this story: Fan Wenxin in Shanghai at wfan19@bloomberg.net Shai Oster in Hong Kong at soster@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Melissa Pozsgay at mpozsgay@bloomberg.net





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Asia Stocks Fall as Debt Crisis Undermines Greece, Italy Leaders

By Jonathan Burgos and Yoshiaki Nohara - Nov 7, 2011 1:42 PM GMT+0700

Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Andrew Freris, senior investment strategist for Asia at BNP Paribas Wealth Management, talks about the outlook for Greek politics and the nation's debt problems, and his investment strategy. Freris speaks in Hong Kong with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)

Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Binay Chandgothia, a Hong Kong-based fund manager at Principal Global Investors, talks about global financial markets and his investment strategy. Chandgothia also discusses the Group of 20 summit and Europe's sovereign debt crisis. He speaks with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television's "First Up." (Source: Bloomberg)


Asian stocks fell after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou agreed to step down and as Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi struggled to keep his majority ahead of a crucial parliamentary vote tomorrow.

Standard Chartered Plc (STAN), the U.K.’s second-biggest lender by market value, slipped 1.3 percent in Hong Kong on speculation bank earnings will be hurt if Europe fails to contain its sovereign-debt crisis. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. declined 2.3 percent after the Japanese drugmaker slashed its full-year profit outlook. Cnooc Ltd. (883) dropped 2.5 percent after the Chinese oil explorer’s planned purchase of BP Plc’s stake in Argentine crude producer Pan American Energy LLC collapsed.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.2 percent to 120 as of 3:34 p.m. in Tokyo, with about seven shares falling for every six that rose on the gauge. The measure sank 3.6 percent last week, the most since Sept. 23, after Greece announced plans to hold a referendum on Europe’s rescue package. Prime Minister George Papandreou agreed to step down to allow the creation of a unity government that will help secure international aid.

“It might get worse before it gets better,” Binay Chandgothia, Hong Kong-based portfolio manager at Principal Global Investors said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “If you look at the experience in the last 12 to 18 months in Europe, the crisis brings out the right solutions. The way they are going to move is one step forward, two steps backward. We have to live with this.”

Japan’s Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average lost 0.4 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 0.2 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.8 percent. South Korea’s Kospi Index retreated 0.5 percent and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.2 percent. Markets in India, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore were closed for holidays.

No IMF Agreement

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index swung between gains of as much as 0.6 percent and losses of as much as 0.3 percent. In New York, the index fell 0.6 percent on Nov. 4 as the Group of 20 nations’ failure to agree on increasing the International Monetary Fund’s resources to fight Europe’s debt crisis offset a drop in the U.S. unemployment rate.

The refusal of major economies to offer more aid reflected irritation with Europe’s failure to resolve its crisis and foiled investor hopes that the summit would mark a turning point. The turmoil instead flared again with Berlusconi’s allies pressuring him to step aside as the contagion from the region’s sovereign-debt crisis pushed Italy’s borrowing costs to euro-era records.

‘Mounting Opposition’

“Opposition is mounting in Italy against Prime Minister Berlusconi, which is feeding concern that the nation can’t make much progress on rebuilding its finances,” said Soichiro Monji, chief strategist at Tokyo-based Daiwa SB Investments Ltd., which manages the equivalent of $37 billion. “News out of Italy and Europe’s situation are weighing on stocks as well as bad earnings.”

Financial stocks were the biggest drags on the Asia-Pacific index. European finance chiefs return to Brussels today on a mission to convince global leaders that they can shield countries such as Italy and Spain from the spreading debt crisis by bulking out their bailout fund. Greek leaders are also meeting today to pick a new prime minister after Papandreou said he won’t lead the new government.

Standard Chartered fell 1.3 percent to HK$175.40 in Hong Kong. Westpac Banking Corp. (WBC), Australia’s second-biggest lender by market valued, lost 0.8 percent to A$21.11 in Sydney. Macquarie Group Ltd. (MQG), the Australian investment bank that gets 16 percent of revenue from Europe, fell 1.3 percent to A$23.04.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 13 percent this year through Nov. 4, compared with a 0.4 percent drop by the S&P 500 and a 13 percent loss by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Stocks in the Asian benchmark are valued at 13 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 12.6 times for the S&P 500 and 10.3 times for the Stoxx 600.

Takeda, Kirin

Of the 434 companies that reported results on the Asian benchmark index since October 11, 206 missed analysts’ estimates, while 151 exceeded expectations, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Takeda Pharmaceutical dropped 2.3 percent to 3,425 yen in Tokyo. The company cut its full-year net income forecast by 32 percent to 170 billion yen ($2.18 billion) on costs related to the acquisition of Swiss rival Nycomed in September.

Furukawa Electric Co., a Japanese cable maker, dropped 12 percent to 192 yen in Tokyo trading, the most since October 2008, after forecasting a full-year net loss of 5 billion yen.

Cnooc fell 2.5 percent to HK$14.88. The company’s deal to buy BP’s $7.1 billion stake in Pan American Energy collapsed, 10 days after Argentina’s president ordered oil companies to repatriate export revenue.

Japan Bourse Merger?

The failure of the deal to buy Argentina’s biggest oil exporter means Cnooc may struggle to meet its production growth targets next year, according to Gordon Kwan, Mirae Asset Securities Ltd.’s head of regional energy research in Hong Kong.

Among stocks that advanced, Osaka Securities Exchange Co. climbed 7.3 percent to 391,500 yen in Tokyo, the biggest advance since August. The Nikkei newspaper said Tokyo Stock Exchange Group Inc. entered late-stage takeover talks to buy the bourse operator next year, uniting Japan’s largest markets.

TSE, a privately held company which runs the main venue in the world’s third-largest equity market, would offer to buy as much as 66 percent of Osaka, Nikkei said. Both companies said in separate statements that no decision has been made.

Computershare Ltd. (CPU), an Australian share registrar, rose 16 percent to A$8.44 in Sydney, the most in seven years, after receiving U.S. antitrust clearance for its purchase of Bank of New York Mellon’s shareowner services unit.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net; Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net




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Buffett Broadens Portfolio by Spending $23.9B

By Andrew Frye - Nov 7, 2011 12:01 PM GMT+0700

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) invested $23.9 billion in the third-quarter, the most in at least 15 years, as he accelerated stock purchases and broadened the portfolio beyond consumer and financial-company holdings.

Berkshire bought almost $7 billion of equity securities in the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with $3.62 billion in the second quarter and $834 million in the first, the Omaha, Nebraska-based company said Nov. 4 in a filing. Stockholdings labeled “commercial, industrial and other” soared 62 percent in the three months to $17.4 billion on a cost basis, surpassing equity investments in financial and consumer-product firms.

“He sees something, and it’s big,” said Thomas Russo, a partner at Berkshire investor Gardner Russo & Gardner.

Buffett, 81, drew down Berkshire’s cash as Europe’s debt crisis and Standard & Poor’s downgrade of the U.S. pushed stocks to their worst quarterly performance since 2008. The investments disclosed Nov. 4 include $6.9 billion of equities, $5 billion for preferred shares and warrants in Bank of America Corp. and the acquisition of Lubrizol Corp. for about $9 billion.

Buffett is expanding a portfolio that for more than 20 years has included equity stakes in Coca-Cola Co. (KO), the world’s largest soft-drink maker, and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), now the No. 1 U.S. home lender. The chairman and chief executive officer acquired a power company in 2000 and railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe last year.

“Historically he has preferred consumer products and banking to industrial companies,” said James Armstrong, president of Berkshire shareholder Henry H. Armstrong Associates. “But the market changes, so the names he comes up with changes.”

U.S. Downgrade

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) fell 14 percent in the third quarter, the most since dropping 23 percent in the last three months of 2008. The period’s biggest one-day decline was more than 6 percent on Aug. 8, the first trading day after S&P stripped the U.S. government’s AAA rating. Berkshire spent more on stocks that day than any other this year, Buffett told Charlie Rose in an interview broadcast on PBS on Aug. 15.

Berkshire’s third-quarter net income slid 24 percent to $2.28 billion as the stock market slump pressured the value of Buffett’s equity derivative bets, the firm said in the filing. Insurance units posted a $1.7 billion pretax underwriting gain, while net earnings at the railroad rose 8.5 percent to $766 million. The market value of the stock portfolio advanced to $68.1 billion on Sept. 30 from $67.6 billion at the end of June.

Berkshire’s holdings of banks, insurance and finance stocks advanced 2.7 percent to $16 billion on a cost basis in the three months ended Sept. 30, while consumer products shares fell 5 percent to $12.6 billion. Berkshire’s equity investments include stakes in American Express Co. (AXP) and Procter & Gamble Co. (PG)

Confidential Treatment

Berkshire has disclosed new stakes this year in MasterCard Inc. (MA), the world’s second-biggest payments network, and retailer Dollar General Corp. (DG) Buffett’s firm has requested permission to omit information from filings that list U.S. equity holdings as of March 31 and June 30. Regulators sometimes let companies withhold data to limit copycat investing while building or cutting a position. Berkshire hasn’t filed its third-quarter stocks statement as of yesterday.

Buffett, in preparation for his eventual retirement, hired money manager Todd Combs last year and instructed him to focus on equities. MasterCard was one of Combs’s holdings at his former hedge fund, Castle Point Capital Management LLC.

‘Crazy With Buy Orders’

“I wonder if he turned Todd Combs loose,” said David Rolfe, chief investment officer of Berkshire investor Wedgewood Partners Inc., which also owns stakes in AmEx and Visa Inc., the No. 1 payments network. “I hope Buffett went to the movies one day and Combs got on the phone and went crazy with buy orders” for Purchase, New York-based MasterCard.

Manufacturing firms with proprietary technology like 3M Co. (MMM), the maker of auto parts and Scotch-Brite sponges; and toolmaker Kennametal Inc. (KMT) may appeal to Buffett, Russo said. MasterCard had a market value of about $46 billion as of Nov. 4, compared with the $55.6 billion form 3M and $3.3 billion for Kennametal of Latrobe, Pennsylvania.

Buffett didn’t respond to a request for comment e-mailed to an assistant outside of normal business hours in Omaha.

The last time Buffett invested more than $20 billion in a period was 2008 when he did it in both the second and fourth quarters of the year. Buffett deployed more than $70 billion that year, including $10.1 billion on stocks, as the S&P 500 posted its biggest decline since 1937. This year, Berkshire bought $11.4 billion of stocks in the nine months ended in Sept. 30, while selling $885 million of equities.

Cash holdings dropped to $34.8 billion at the end of September from $47.9 billion on June 30. The hoard is replenished from maturing securities and profit from investments and the company’s more than 70 operating subsidiaries.

‘Ready to Buy’

In the third quarter, Buffett directed $1.9 billion to fixed-maturity securities and about $2.2 billion to property, plants and equipment at Berkshire’s units. Some of the results were derived by subtracting first-half results from Sept. 30 data released last week. Berkshire, which doesn’t pay a dividend, started its first buyback in September, giving Buffett an additional investment option.

“We’re ready to buy lots of things,” Buffett told Bloomberg Television’s Betty Liu on Sept. 30. “If the stock is cheap, we will buy it.”

Berkshire declined 8 percent in the third quarter and 3.9 percent in 2011 through Nov. 4. St. Paul, Minnesota-based 3M fell 24 percent in the three months ended in September, while Kennametal slid 22 percent. MasterCard rose 5.3 percent in the same period.

‘Part of His Legacy’

Berkshire bought 80 percent of Israel’s Iscar Metalworking Cos., the maker of machine tools, for $4 billion in 2006. Buffett has expanded MidAmerican Energy Holdings, the power producer he bought in 2000. Burlington Northern hauls freight over a 32,000-mile rail network.

“He’s broadly diversifying across numerous industries, and he would perhaps want that to be part of his legacy,” said David Kass, a professor at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. The third-quarter stock spending “sounds like at least one major investment. And it wouldn’t surprise me if it were two or three,” said Kass.

To contact the reporter on this story: Andrew Frye in New York at afrye@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dan Kraut at dkraut2@bloomberg.net.






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Thailand Floodwaters Threaten Second Honda Factory, Inner-Bangkok Industry

By Daniel Ten Kate and Suttinee Yuvejwattana - Nov 7, 2011 1:40 PM GMT+0700

Thai officials moved to defend two Bangkok industrial parks near the main international airport from a deluge that has swamped hundreds of factories over the past month and is now coursing through the capital.

More than 100 pumps are pushing out water leaking into Bang Chan industrial zone in eastern Bangkok, according to Vice Industry Minister Suparp Kleekhajai. Nearby Lad Krabang industrial estate includes a factory operated by Honda Motor Co., which abandoned its full-year profit forecast last week after another plant was flooded.

“The situation in Bang Chan industrial estate is still manageable,” Suparp said in an interview with the TNN television network. “We can still pump out the leaked water so far.”

The renewed threat to factories may worsen the impact of floods that have prompted the central bank to slash its 2011 economic growth forecast and disrupted global supply chains. Floodwaters edged closer to Bangkok’s central business district over the weekend, reaching the northernmost station on the city’s elevated rail system.

“The overall flooding situation remains very bad,” Bangkok Governor Sukhumbhand Paribatra told reporters today. “As long as more water is flowing into Bangkok, the situation won’t be resolved.”

Estates Inundated

Floodwaters have inundated seven industrial estates with 891 factories that employed about 460,000 people, according to the Thai Industrial Estate and Strategic Partners Association. Sukhumbhand today ordered residents around Bang Chan to evacuate.

Bang Chan, 15 kilometers (9.3 miles) north of Suvarnabhumi Airport, contains 91 factories, including an ice-cream plant operated by Nestle SA. Unilever, Isuzu Motors Ltd. and Cadbury Plc are among those running 231 factories employing 48,000 workers at Lad Krabang, located 10 kilometers from the airport.

“The enormous amount of water that you see still on the satellite maps north of Bangkok has to flow in one way or the other around the city,” said Adri Verwey, a specialist with Deltares, a Netherlands-based research institute, who is advising the government. “It will move on to a considerable depth around these estates. They are very much at risk.”

Suvarnabhumi and public transport links are still operating normally. The airport’s perimeter is protected by a 3.5-meter- high dike, Airports of Thailand Pcl said last week.

Compensation for Residents

Waters more than a meter deep have moved south through Bangkok, forcing Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra to evacuate her flood operations command last week at Don Mueang airport, which sits on the city’s northern edge and mostly handles domestic flights. The government has ordered evacuations in more than a third of the capital’s 50 districts, mostly northern, eastern and western areas.

The Energy Ministry, where Yingluck relocated the command on Oct. 29, is now surrounded by floodwaters. PTT Pcl, Thailand’s biggest energy company with offices in the same complex, relocated its operations on Nov. 4.

Residents in flooded areas of Bangkok’s outskirts have sabotaged dikes protecting the inner city in the past few weeks to try to drain their neighborhoods of water, undermining government efforts to stem the water flow into the capital.

Victim Payments

Yingluck today promised flood victims payments of between 5,000 baht ($163) and 30,000 baht for any house that has been inundated for more than seven days. She also proposed waiving all tolls on Bangkok highways and bringing in more garbage trucks to pick up trash.

“We won’t ignore people,” she said while visiting flood victims in a northern Bangkok district. “We will try to rehabilitate and bring the situation back to normal as fast as possible.”

City officials are aiming to halt the water’s advance at the Sam Sen canal, which runs just above Victory Monument, a major traffic intersection northeast of the city center and a stop on Bangkok’s Skytrain elevated railway network, according to Jate Sopitpongstorn, a spokesman for the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration. The central business areas of Silom and lower Sukhumvit are protected by two canals where water can drain out through the Chao Phraya river, he said.

“We still have hope that the inner city central business district will not be affected at the moment,” Jate said by phone yesterday.

Forecast Slashed

The Bank of Thailand, which slashed its 2011 economic growth forecast to 2.6 percent from 4.1 percent last month, expects expansion to slow as the global economy weakens and the impact of the nation’s flood crisis increases, according to the minutes of its Oct. 19 meeting.

Rehabilitation efforts have begun in parts of Nakhon Sawan province and will start soon in Ayutthaya as flood waters recede, Yingluck said Nov. 5. The government has an initial budget of more than 100 billion baht to help rebuild damaged areas, she said, adding that Cabinet will discuss new measures to help the economy recover on Nov. 8.

The disaster worsened last month, when rainfall about 40 percent more than the annual average filled dams north of Bangkok to capacity, prompting authorities to release more than 9 billion cubic meters of water down a river basin the size of Florida. Bangkok sits at its southern tip.

Flooding this year has affected 64 of Thailand’s 77 provinces, damaging World Heritage-listed temples in Ayutthaya province, destroying 15 percent of the nation’s rice crop and flooding the homes of almost 15 percent of the country’s 67 million people, according to government data.

To contact the reporters on this story: Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok at dtenkate@bloomberg.net; Suttinee Yuvejwattana in Bangkok at suttinee1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: John Brinsley at jbrinsley@bloomberg.net





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Yen Intervention Losing Momentum

By Allison Bennett and Candice Zachariahs - Nov 7, 2011 11:07 AM GMT+0700

Foreign-exchange traders are gearing up to test Jun Azumi’s resolve to keep intervening in currency markets to weaken the yen from its postwar high.

While Japan’s Finance Minister directed the central bank on Oct. 31 to sell what analysts estimate was about 8 trillion yen ($102 billion), sending it down as much as 4.7 percent against the dollar, the move failed to increase volatility. Traders avoid currencies with increasing price swings because they boost the odds of sudden losses.

“The yen remains one of our favorite currencies as Japan still has a strong trade surplus and benefits from the global risk aversion that we’re seeing,” said Vimal Gor, the Sydney- based head of income and fixed interest at BT Investment Management Ltd., where he oversees the equivalent of $13 billion, on Nov. 3. “Unilateral interventions in the Japanese currency have no real lasting impact. If anything we’d view this as a buying opportunity.”

Azumi, who took office in September when predecessor Yoshihiko Noda became prime minister, is under pressure to weaken the yen after traders seeking a haven from turbulence in global financial markets pushed it up as much as 21 percent between April and October against a basket of nine developed- nation peers tracked by Bloomberg’s Correlation- Weighted Currency Indexes.

Shrinking Economy

The stakes are rising for Azumi, 49, as companies from Tokyo-based automaker Honda Motor Co. to consumer electronics maker Panasonic Corp. in Osaka post lower earnings because of yen gains. Japan’s economy, the third largest after the U.S. and China, will shrink 0.5 percent this year, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Oct. 31.

Japan slipped into its third recession in a decade after a record earthquake and subsequent tsunami struck the country on March 11. Growth was further damped by energy shortages after the disaster triggered meltdowns at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant, causing nuclear facilities to be idled.

Azumi said last week that the government acted unilaterally against “one-sided speculative moves that don’t reflect the economic fundamentals of our economy” and that he would continue to intervene until he was “satisfied.”

“There’s a chance that, for example in my hometown, the people who are finally returning to work now that the supply chain has recovered” from the March earthquake and tsunami “will see their factories close,” Azumi said on Oct. 31. “That’s outrageous.”

‘Questioning’ Japan

Making Azumi’s job tougher is the nation’s current-account surplus, which makes the currency a haven for traders even though Japan’s interest rates are among the lowest in the world and its debt is equal to twice the size of the economy. The surplus, the broadest measure of trade, means Japan doesn’t rely on foreign capital to finance budget deficits.

Traders see little chance that Azumi will have the same success as Swiss National Bank President Philipp Hildebrand, 48, who successfully weakened the franc by pegging it eight weeks ago at 1.20 to the euro after it strengthened to 1.0075. That’s because Japan’s economy is more than 10 times bigger than Switzerland’s. The franc fell 0.8 percent to 1.2297 per euro as of 12:21 p.m. in Tokyo.

“Market participants are questioning if Japan is able, or willing, to engage in tough intervention policy,” Greg Gibbs, a currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Sydney, said in a Nov. 1 report to clients.

Yen Rebounds

The yen weakened 3.1 percent last week to 78.24 per dollar and traded 0.1 percent higher at 78.13 today. It rose 0.3 percent to 107.54 versus the euro after depreciating 0.6 percent last week. The Bloomberg Correlated-Weighted Index for the currency today rose 0.4 percent, halting last week’s 2.4 percent drop to 410.8175. The measure has ranged this year from a low of 371.8292 on April 11 to a high of 448.3248 on Oct. 4.

After tumbling as much as 4.7 percent to 79.53 versus the dollar on Oct. 31, the biggest intraday drop since Oct. 28, 2008, the yen halted losses the next four days as European leaders raised the prospect for the first time of the euro area splintering.

Italy Concerns

Investor concern is turning to Italy as Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s majority unravels before a key parliamentary vote tomorrow, with allies pressuring him to step aside after contagion from the region’s sovereign-debt crisis pushed up borrowing costs to euro-era records.

Three-month implied volatility for dollar-yen options, which indicate the expected price changes in the exchange rate, stands at 9.8 percent, lower than the 13 percent reached in August after Japan’s last intervention, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The gauge is the lowest among the Group-of-10 currencies, excluding the euro-franc pair. On Sept. 5, the day before the SNB said it would buy “unlimited quantities” of currency to cap the franc at 1.20 per euro, three-month implied volatility was 20 percent. It has since fallen to 9.2 percent.

“The level of implied volatility in euro-Swiss was really high before they took the action because there was actual fear,” said Shahab Jalinoos, a senior currency strategist for UBS AG in Stamford, Connecticut said Nov. 2. “The implied volatility in dollar-yen was and is among the lowest of any pair out there, so it’s debatable that anyone was actively speculating in this pair. The level of fear is limited.”

Biggest Action

Japanese officials fought yen gains three times under Noda, spending 7.3 trillion yen only to see it appreciate 4.4 percent against nine developed-nation currencies in the past six months, according to the Bloomberg indexes.

The size of the latest intervention means it has a higher chance of success. Central bank deposits suggest the government sold about 8 trillion yen, exceeding the 4.51 trillion yen in August and the most ever for a one-time operation, based on Ministry of Finance data going back to 1991. Japan has $1.1 trillion in currency reserves, second in the world to China’s $3.2 trillion.

“Eight trillion yen is a very large amount,” said Daisuke Karakama, a market economist in Tokyo at Mizuho Corporate Bank Ltd. said last week. “It may have absorbed most of the demand from exporters to sell the dollar.”

Industrial Output Falls

There’s less risk now of the yen climbing beyond 75 per dollar in the short term, according to Noriaki Muraoka, managing director at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York.

Japan’s industrial output fell 4 percent in September from August, a sharper drop than analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast. Export growth slowed to 2.4 percent from a year earlier in September from 2.8 percent in August, while retail sales also fell more than expected.

“We’ll get to the phase of yen weakness at some point in the future given Japan’s weak fundamentals,” Ayako Sera, a market strategist in Tokyo at Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co., which manages the equivalent of $326 billion, said in a Nov. 4 interview.

The yen may strengthen to 77 per dollar by year-end and stay there through the first quarter of 2012, according to median estimates compiled by Bloomberg. In August, the median fourth-quarter prediction was as weak as 85. Strategists see the currency trading at 104 to the euro in December, up from a forecast of 118.5 three months ago.

Honda, Panasonic

Exporters say they can remain profitable as long as the yen trades at 86.30 per dollar or weaker, compared with the previous year’s breakeven point at 92.90, an annual Cabinet Office survey showed on March 11. Large manufacturers raised their forecast for the yen against the dollar during the fiscal year ending March 2012, to 81.15 from an estimate of 82.59 in June, according to the BOJ’s Tankan survey released in October.

Honda said last week that second-quarter net income fell 56 percent from a year earlier because of the strong yen. Panasonic, the maker of Viera televisions, forecast its biggest annual loss in 10 years, in a statement released Oct. 31.

For all the weakness in the economy, the yen remains attractive to traders.

Cumulative inflows into yen-based fixed-income assets in the five days ended Nov. 4 were double the weekly average over the past year, according to data from Bank of New York Mellon Corp., the world’s largest custodial bank.

Real Yields

Even though bond yields in Japan are among the lowest in the world, zero inflation means investors in the nation’s benchmark 10-year notes get all of the 0.99 percent yield they offer. No other Group of Seven nation except Italy has a higher so-called real yield. In the U.S., investors are accepting a negative yield on 10-year U.S. debt of 1.81 percent after inflation.

Net longs on the yen, or the difference in the number of wagers that that it will gain versus the dollar compared with those betting on a decline, fell by more than 50 percent to 25,904 on Nov. 1 from the week prior. That’s still above the weekly average since the start of the global financial crisis in mid-2007, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in Washington.

“The BOJ has now established a track record where it intervenes for a short period of time,” Jens Nordvig, a managing director of currency research in New York at Nomura Holdings Inc. said in an interview Nov. 2. “There’s not a huge appetite for the market to go with the BOJ because it’s just temporary.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Allison Bennett in New York at abennett23@bloomberg.net; Candice Zachariahs in Sydney at czachariahs2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net; Dave Liedtka at dliedtka@bloomberg.net






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Qantas Says ‘Sorry’ With Free Tickets

By Tracy Withers - Nov 7, 2011 8:32 AM GMT+0700

Qantas Airways Ltd. (QAN), Australia’s biggest carrier, offered free flights to apologize to passengers stranded when the fleet was grounded for two days last month during a dispute with labor unions.

Passengers whose journeys were disrupted by the halt are entitled to a free return economy flight within Australia or to New Zealand over a two-year period from Dec. 14, the Sydney- based airline said.

“This ticket offer is one of a range of initiatives we will be launching as a way of saying sorry,” Qantas Chief Executive Officer Alan Joyce said in a statement yesterday. “Throughout the long period of industrial activity we have been acutely aware of the impact on our customers.”

About 80,000 passengers were affected when Qantas grounded 108 aircraft worldwide on Oct. 29 for about 48 hours in an attempt to end strikes. Qantas and its engineers union resumed talks today with industrial relations regulator Fair Work Australia, Peter Somerville, general manager of the Australian Licenced Aircraft Engineers Association, said by telephone.

Fair Work ordered an end to stoppages on Oct. 31, giving the airline and its engineers, long-haul pilots and baggage handlers 21 days to reach a new contract or face binding arbitration.

The disruption cost Qantas A$68 million ($71 million), the airline has said. The offer of free flights may cost the carrier as much as A$20 million, the Sydney-based Daily Telegraph newspaper reported at the weekend.

Rewarding Loyalty

Qantas has agreed with regulators that customers will be compensated for all reasonable losses arising from the grounding, and will be contacting affected passengers, the airline said.

Joyce said Qantas regretted the inconvenience caused by the dispute and by the grounding in particular.

“Now that no more industrial action can take place and the cloud of further strike action has lifted, we are 100 percent focused on what matters to customers, getting them to their destinations, safely, on time and in comfort, and in rewarding their loyalty to Qantas,” he said.

Further announcements will be made in relation to overseas- based customers and frequent fliers, the airline said.

Qantas was unchanged at A$1.615 as of 11:08 a.m. in Sydney. The stock has gained 4.5 percent since the Oct. 29 grounding compared with a 2.2 percent decline for the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index.

Collapse in Bookings

Qantas’s offer is part of a bid to retain disgruntled passengers and defend its 90 percent share of the business market from rivals. Virgin Australia, the country’s second- biggest airline, carried an extra 30,000 travelers during the shutdown and that may help it win 20 percent of domestic business passengers before a 2014 goal, Chief Executive Officer John Borghetti told Bloomberg TV last week.

Brisbane-based Virgin today began sales of business class seats on most of its domestic routes to help it win corporate and government travel from Qantas.

The grounding of Qantas’s fleet was the only alternative because the labor disputes were causing a slump in sales for the airline, Joyce told an Australian Senate Committee hearing on Nov. 4. Weeks of sporadic strikes caused a “massive” collapse in corporate bookings in October, he said.

Fair Work Australia ordered an end to union actions, barred Qantas from staging a planned lock out and gave both sides 21 days to reach agreement.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard said on Oct. 31 the airline took an “extreme” approach by grounding its fleet. Australians and the tourism industry were “grossly inconvenienced by this high-handed ambush,” Assistant Treasurer Bill Shorten said a day after the grounding.

Qantas engineers and baggage handlers have staged stoppages seeking higher pay and job-security measures. Long-haul pilots have also held protests in a bid to get the same employment conditions whether they fly for Qantas’s namesake carrier or planes from its budget arm Jetstar.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tracy Withers in Wellington at twithers@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Edward Johnson at ejohnson28@bloomberg.net; Paul Tighe at ptighe@bloomberg.net





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Asian Stocks Decline Ahead of Greece Meeting to Decide Leadership Change

By Jonathan Burgos and Yoshiaki Nohara - Nov 7, 2011 9:21 AM GMT+0700

Asian stocks fell ahead of a meeting by Greek leaders today to decide who will head a new unity government that will help secure international financing after Prime Minister George Papandreou agreed to step down.

Westpac Banking Corp. (WBC), Australia’s second-biggest lender by market value, slipped 0.9 percent on speculation a default by Greece will threaten bank earnings. Cnooc Ltd. (883) dropped 2.6 percent after the Chinese oil explorer’s planned purchase of BP Plc’s stake in Argentine crude producer Pan American Energy LLC collapsed. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. declined 2 percent after the Japanese drugmaker slashed its full-year profit outlook.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.4 percent to 119.76 as of 11:12 a.m. in Tokyo, with about three shares falling for every two that rose on the gauge. The measure sank 3.6 percent last week, the most since Sept. 23, after Greece announced plans to hold a referendum on Europe’s rescue package. Papandreou agreed to step down to allow the creation of a unity government that will help secure international aid to avert a default on its sovereign debt.

“There’s going to be some uncertainty of what the direction of the unity government is,” said Tim Schroeders, who helps manage $1 billion in equities at Pengana Capital Ltd. in Melbourne. “It’s an opportunity to sit back and wait for clarity in terms of how governments and investors are going to approach the European situation.”

Japan’s Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average fell 0.6 percent and South Korea’s Kospi Index slid 0.2 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.3 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 0.5 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index slipped 0.1 percent. Markets in India, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore were closed for holidays.

No IMF Agreement

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.2 percent today, erasing gains of as much as 0.6 percent earlier. In New York, the index fell 0.6 percent on Nov. 4 as the Group of 20 nations’ failure to agree on increasing the International Monetary Fund’s resources to fight Europe’s debt crisis offset a drop in the U.S. unemployment rate.

The refusal of major economies to stump up money now reflected irritation with Europe’s failure to resolve its crisis and foiled investor hopes that the summit would mark a turning point. The turmoil instead flared again with Greek leaders agreeing to form a new government.

Papandreou met with Antonis Samaras, the leader of the main opposition party, and “agreed to form a new government with the aim of leading the country to elections immediately after the implementation of European Council decisions on Oct. 26,” according to an e-mailed statement from the office of President Karolos Papoulias in Athens. Papandreou has already said he won’t lead this new government, the statement said.

Meetings Today

Both sides will meet again today to decide who will be the head of the new government, with a separate meeting to discuss the timeframe and the new government’s mandate, the statement said. Papoulias also will host a meeting of all political party leaders today.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 13 percent this year through Nov. 4, compared with a 0.4 percent drop by the S&P 500 and a 13 percent loss by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Stocks in the Asian benchmark are valued at 13 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 12.6 times for the S&P 500 and 10.3 times for the Stoxx 600.

Of the 433 companies that reported results on the Asian benchmark index since October 11, 206 missed analysts’ estimates, while 151 exceeded expectations, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jonathan Burgos in Singapore at jburgos4@bloomberg.net; Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Gentle at ngentle2@bloomberg.net.





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Fillon to Unveil Austerity Plan as France Seeks Shield From Debt Crisis

By Tara Patel - Nov 7, 2011 6:01 AM GMT+0700

Prime Minister Francois Fillon will unveil austerity measures today to keep the budget gap in check as France’s economy slows and its top credit rating comes under pressure amid Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis.

“We cannot allow France’s deficit to widen” as “that would mean our debt would have to increase and we have reached a level of indebtedness that can’t continue,” Foreign Minister Alain Juppe said in an interview on Europe1 radio yesterday. Not adapting the 2012 budget to reflect slowing growth could lead to “catastrophe.”

Fillon will announce the measures at a press conference in Paris at noon following a Cabinet meeting. President Nicolas Sarkozy has pledged to trim between 6 billion euros and 8 billion euros from the budget amid investor pressure on France to improve its finances as growth stalls. Sarkozy is seeking to shield the country from the debt crisis about six months before he faces elections.

France’s economic growth will slow to about 1 percent next year rather than the 1.75 percent previously predicted, Sarkozy said on Oct. 27. The government is aiming for a deficit of 4.5 percent of gross domestic product in 2012, 3 percent in 2013 and a balanced budget in 2016, Juppe said. “We’ll stick to this target whatever happens,” he said of next year’s goal.

Yields Rise

French borrowing costs are climbing as contagion from the debt crisis spills over into Spain and Italy, core economies of the euro region. The yield on 10-year French bonds reached 3.12 percent on Nov. 3. That pushed the yield difference, or spread, with the German securities to 133 basis points, the most since the euro was introduced in 1999, before dropping to 123 basis points the following day.

“Additional austerity measures are key, not only for the French economy and its debt dynamics, but also for national and international politics,” Thomas Costerg, European economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London, said in an e-mail. Sarkozy “cannot afford to lose the AAA rating ahead of the national election next year.”

France’s Aaa credit rating is under pressure from worsening debt metrics and the potential for additional liabilities from Europe’s sovereign crisis, Moody’s Investors Service said Oct. 17. France is among euro-area nations likely to be downgraded in a stressed economic scenario, Standard & Poor’s said Oct. 21.

France must retain its top rating, Juppe said. To do so, the nation will have to break “with the culture of deficits,” Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer told Journal du Dimanche in an interview published over the weekend.

Deficit Details

Fillon said on Nov. 5 that France’s deficit will be cut by 20 percent in 2012 from 113 billion euros ($156 billion) this year through one of the most “rigorous” budgets since World War II. The shortfall will narrow by 45 billion euros next year with half the savings coming from spending cuts and the rest by boosting revenue, including plugging tax shelters, Fillon said.

The measures will be structural, balanced and fair, Finance Minister Francois Baroin told RTL radio in an interview last night. The government’s “adapting” to the slowing global economy and doesn’t expect a recession in 2012, when “we’ll do everything to reach our growth target,” he said.

“We expect the French government to focus more on spending cuts rather than tax hikes,” Costerg said. “Risks to the government forecast of 1 percent GDP growth next year are mostly to the downside, which means more painful decisions could be taken down the road.”

Possible Moves

The austerity measures include a new rate of value-added tax for industries such as restaurants and a new levy on large companies, according to French press reports. The government won’t scrap an annual holiday, contrary to some media reports, Baroin said yesterday, adding that the issue as well as the 35- hour work week will be part of the presidential campaign.

The measures will be Fillon’s second package set since August when he announced a plan worth 12 billion euros. Sarkozy last month ruled out a “general” increase in France’s VAT, leaving the door open to raising the rate on products and services that don’t currently take the full 19.6 percent rate, such as restaurant meals.

“For most French people, the VAT isn’t a good tax because we pay it several times a day and it feels unfair,” Juppe said. “The VAT has benefits. It doesn’t tax investment and is favorable to exports, which aren’t taxed whereas imports are.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Tara Patel in Paris at tpatel2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Will Kennedy at wkennedy3@bloomberg.net





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Euro Erases its Gains From Early Asian Trading Versus Dollar and Yen

By Monami Yui - Nov 7, 2011 6:44 AM GMT+0700

The euro erased its gains from earlier today versus the dollar and yen.

The 17-nation currency was at $1.3797 at 8:41 a.m. in Tokyo, little changed from $1.3792 on Nov. 4 in New York, after earlier rising 0.3 percent to $1.3838. The euro bought 107.80 yen from 107.88 in New York. It climbed to as high as 108.20 yen earlier.

To contact the reporter on this story: Monami Yui in Tokyo at myui1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jonathan Annells at jannells@bloomberg.net





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FirstRand’s Nxasana South Africa’s Best-Paid Bank Chief Executive in 2011

By Renee Bonorchis - Nov 7, 2011 7:01 AM GMT+0700

FirstRand Ltd. (FSR)’s Sizwe Nxasana was South Africa’s highest-paid bank chief executive officer after the nation’s second-largest financial-services company more than doubled its full-year profit following the sale of assets.

For fiscal year 2011, Nxasana, 54, received a total of 38 million rand ($4.8 million), which included a salary and bonus package of 15.1 million rand, a deferred bonus of 4.5 million rand and a gain from a share trust of 18.4 million rand, according to the Johannesburg-based company’s annual report, published Nov. 3. Nxasana’s share-trust payment stems from his original appointment grant, said Sam Moss, the lender’s spokeswoman, adding Nxasana was awarded another 892,066 shares in 2010, a third of which will vest next year.

Nxasana, CEO since January 2010, having joined the group in 2006, was awarded a package valued at 45 million rand last year as the company aligned his pay with that of previous CEOs. His compensation topped that of Africa’s largest bank, Standard Bank Group Ltd., which increased the pay of CEO Jacko Maree by 9.7 percent in 2010 to 6.53 million rand. Nedbank Group Ltd. (NED) raised CEO Mike Brown’s total compensation by 63 percent in 2010 to 12.46 million rand and Absa Group Ltd. (ASA) more than doubled CEO Maria Ramos’s pay and incentives to 27.5 million rand after the lender’s profit rose 19 percent. FirstRand is the first bank to report for 2011.

Asset Sales

On Sept. 13, FirstRand said it would pay a special dividend of 70 cents per share after net income rose to 20.1 billion rand in the 12 months through June, from 9.44 billion rand a year earlier. FirstRand’s first special dividend since its creation in 1998 came after the company sold its stake in insurer Outsurance Holdings Ltd. for more than 4 billion rand and spun off its Momentum Group Ltd. insurance business.

“It’s fair to say that FirstRand has performed better than the other banks, and Sizwe is very highly regarded in the industry,” Moss said.

To evaluate executive pay, the bank’s compensation committee noted in the annual report that FirstRand achieved so- called normalized earnings from continuing operations of 10.1 billion rand, an increase of 22 percent, and produced a normalized return on equity of 18.7 percent. Growth in profit after tax, risk appetite, efficiencies, customer service and the empowerment of black people were other criteria used to determine executive pay, the compensation committee wrote.

FirstRand is the fourth-best performing stock on the six- member FTSE/JSE Africa Banks Index, gaining 2.7 percent this year. Standard Bank is the worst, dropping 13 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Renee Bonorchis in Johannesburg at rbonorchis@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Edward Evans at eevans3@bloomberg.net





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Deutsche Telekom’s German Powerhouse Loses Steam on Cable Rivals

By Cornelius Rahn - Nov 7, 2011 6:01 AM GMT+0700

Deutsche Telekom AG (DTE)’s German sales decline may have accelerated in the past quarter as competition from wireless and cable companies intensified, making it tougher to make up for a slump in markets such as Greece and Romania.

Europe’s biggest phone company has relied on Germany, whose economy has been less vulnerable to the region’s debt crisis, to balance customer losses in eastern Europe and at T-Mobile USA. Now, even broadband and television packages used to offset shrinking phone-line sales are slowing, and Deutsche Telekom may have to cut prices to stem market-share losses, analysts say.

Third-quarter revenue in Germany probably dropped 4.9 percent to 6 billion euros ($8.3 billion) from a year earlier, according to the average estimate of seven analysts compiled by Bloomberg. That compares with a decline of 3.4 percent in the previous three months and would be the third consecutive decrease. In the second quarter, Deutsche Telekom generated 55 percent of sales from continuing operations in Germany.

“At some point that drop has to stop and they have to say ’this far and no further,’” said Heinz Steffen, an analyst at Fairesearch GmbH, who has a “reduce” rating on the stock.

Deutsche Telekom’s German unit, led by Niek Jan van Damme, has focused on cost cuts, helping it attain a record ratio of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to sales of 40.7 percent in the second quarter. The company plans to fold its information technology systems into one unit, people familiar with the plan said last month. That would add to a cumulative 4.2 billion-euro cost-savings plan running from 2010 through 2012.

Margins Peak

“It’s going to be very hard” for the company to raise its Ebitda margins, said Will Draper, am Espirito Santo analyst. “Only if they cut a lot of additional costs.”

Deutsche Telekom’s third-quarter adjusted Ebitda may have dropped 3.9 percent to 3.8 billion euros as sales fell 3.5 percent, excluding the U.S. business, according to analyst estimates. The company is scheduled to report earnings Nov. 10.

Deutsche Telekom has dropped 6.6 percent to 9.02 euros this year in Frankfurt trading. The 21-company Bloomberg Europe Telecommunication Services Index lost 7.4 percent.

While Germany’s economy has been more resilient than Spain, Italy and France to the region’s debt crisis, growth is starting to cool there, too. Unemployment unexpectedly rose for the first time in more than two years in October, while business confidence fell to a 16-month low. Economic growth may slow to 0.8 percent next year from 2.9 percent, a government- commissioned report showed.

Weakening Powerhouse

“Any signs that the German economic powerhouse is showing some signs of weakness” may damp consumer demand and corporate spending, said Berenberg Bank analyst Paul Marsch.

In the second quarter, Deutsche Telekom’s revenue slipped 3.3 percent, excluding the U.S. unit, led by declines in Greece, Romania and Hungary. In the U.S., it’s fighting a government lawsuit to block the proposed $39 billion sale of T-Mobile USA to AT&T Inc.

At home, Deutsche Telekom is under attack from cable operators selling combined phone, broadband and TV services.

Kabel Deutschland Holding AG (KD8), Germany’s largest cable operator, said the number of phone and Web clients climbed 21 percent in the quarter ending June 30 for a total of 1.4 million. Unitymedia, the country’s second-largest cable company that’s owned by Liberty Media Corp., posted a 57 percent increase in broadband subscribers last quarter. Deutsche Telekom had 85,000 net additions of broadband clients in Germany in the second quarter, after 130,000 a year earlier.

‘Big Problem’

“Cable is going to become a very, very big problem in Germany for Deutsche Telekom,” Espirito Santo’s Draper said.

Competition is also intense in the German mobile-phone market. Last month, for the first time, Deutsche Telekom shared a release of Apple Inc.’s popular iPhone with other providers. The company’s German mobile revenue fell 1.2 percent in the quarter ended June 30 even as data-plan sales picked up.

Royal KPN NV’s E-Plus unit, the only of the four wireless operators in Germany that has reported third quarter earnings, expanded its customer base by 11 percent to 22.1 million users.

Mobile customers at Telefonica SA (TEF)’s German division jumped 9.1 percent in the quarter ended June 30 to 17.7 million and Vodafone Group Plc (VOD) added 3.3 percent to 36 million. That compared with a 6.8 percent decline to 34.5 million customers at Deutsche Telekom, which included the automatic termination of unused prepaid cards introduced last year.

Football on Phones

To bolster sales, Deutsche Telekom is trying to counter slowing growth for its Entertain television offering.

The company aims to sell between 2.5 million and 3 million television packages by the end of 2012. It has sold 1.6 million packages by the end of 2010. The company added a net 44,000 TV customers in Germany in the second quarter, down from 75,000 a year earlier.

Deutsche Telekom’s TV product costs at least 22.95 euros per month. Kabel Deutschland’s cheapest TV package costs 18.90 euros.

The phone company has added distribution via satellite to gain customers in areas with less access to broadband lines and plans to extend the service to devices including tablet computers and mobile phones next year.

If Deutsche Telekom’s current broadband market share of 46 percent falls to 45 percent or below, the company “may signal to the market that they have to be more aggressive on prices,” said ING Financial Markets analyst Jeffrey Vonk. “Broadband market share will be crucial.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Cornelius Rahn in Frankfurt at crahn2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Kenneth Wong in Berlin at kwong11@bloomberg.net





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KT Corp. Third-Quarter Net Income Falls 41%, Lags Behind Analyst Estimates

By Jun Yang - Nov 7, 2011 7:35 AM GMT+0700

KT Corp. (030200), South Korea’s largest phone and Internet company, reported a 41 percent decline in third- quarter profit after offering discounts for smartphone subscribers and the local currency weakened.

Third-quarter net income fell to 255.7 billion won ($230 million), from a revised 430.9 billion won a year earlier, the Seongnam, South Korea-based company said in a statement today. That lagged behind the 316.1 billion won average of 12 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Revenue from mobile-phone calls fell 21 percent after KT offered tariff discounts to lure smartphone users. The carrier also had a 60 billion won foreign-exchange loss. The company’s revenue may further decline in the fourth quarter, as it began to cut phone bills in October to help the government curb inflation, analysts said.

“The impact of the tariff cut will be fully reflected from the fourth quarter, so their average revenue per user could get worse,” Kim Hong Sik, a Seoul-based analyst at NH Investment & Securities Co., said before today’s announcement.

KT shares fell 0.5 percent to 36,900 as of 9:31 a.m. in Seoul trading, while the benchmark Kospi Index declined 0.1 percent.

Operating profit, or sales minus the cost of goods sold and administrative expenses, fell 13 percent to 516.4 billion won. Sales dropped 6.2 percent to 4.99 trillion won.

The figures released today, including for the year-earlier period, were based on the International Financial Reporting Standards that the company began to use this year.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jun Yang in Seoul at jyang180@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net





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