FX Technical Analysis EURUSD

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Mizuho Corporate Bank | Jul 18 08 06:25 GMT |

Comment: Trying to base between 1.5800 and 1.5750. Expect more work between 1.5750 and 1.5950 today. Only a weekly close above 1.6000 will see momentum turn decidedly bullish. Strategy: Attempt small longs at 1.5865, adding to 1.5810; stop well below 1.5750. Cover longs between 1.5950 and 1.6020, re-buying on a sustained break above 1.6050 for 1.6250. Direction of Trade: →↗ Chart Levels: Support Resistance 1.5845 1.5894 1.5810 1.5915 1.5782 1.5950* 1.5692 1.5972 1.5600* 1.6040** GBPUSD Comment: Holding steady, probably a bit better than many had imagines as sterling is so out of favour at the moment. A weekly close above 2.0000, which might be possible this week and hopefully by the end of the month, should propel Cable a lot higher spurred by short-covering because the pound is so completely out of favour this year. For this morning expect more basing activity around 1.9950, allowing for the possibility of a massive short squeeze late today or early Monday. Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.9985/1.9950; stop well below 1.9800. Short term target 2.0100, then 2.0400 and long term much more. Direction of Trade: →↗ Chart Levels: Support Resistance 1.9966 2.0043 1.9943 2.0073 1.9900 2.0100* 1.9840 2.0162* 1.9800* 2.0200 USDJPY Comment: The bouncing from the bottom of the Ichimoku 'cloud' was far stronger than we had expected but has stalled against the top of the consolidation pattern. It does mean that the US dollar is nowhere near oversold territory any more, but then momentum is now neutral. It all looks terribly overdone and we favour a drop back down to 105.50. Strategy: Sell at 106.00, adding to 106.45; stop above 107.00. Short term target 105.50/105.00. Direction of Trade: → Chart Levels: Support Resistance 106.00 106.46 105.75 106.80 105.45 107.11* 105.00* 107.75 104.50 108.59** EUR/JPY Comment: Rallying by more than expected but still within a potential 'broadening top'. Look for this pair to retreat from 169.00 today. Note that all this swinging around either side of 167.50 since mid-June hints at a market looking for direction. Strategy: Sell at 168.50; stop above 169.75. Short term target 167.50, then 166.00. Direction of Trade: → Chart Levels: Support Resistance 168.00 168.65 167.75 169.12* 167.00 169.47 166.00 169.69* 165.33* 170.00 Mizuho Corporate Bank Disclaimer The information contained in this paper is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This paper has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.