Economic Calendar

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Australian Dollar Crosses: Reversal Opportunities

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by DailyFX | Sep 20 08 05:43 GMT |

Reversals from depressed levels in the Australian Dollar crosses present short term bullish opportunties.

AUDCHF

The AUDCHF has rallied over 500 pips from the low earlier this week. Still, as long as price is below the line drawn off of the November 2007 and July 2008 highs, the trend is considered down. Potential resistance is in the .9320-.9616 zone.

AUDCAD

The long term triangle appears to be playing out. “The AUDCAD will eventually drop below the 2006 low of .8118 to complete wave C of the triangle.” The AUDCAD fell to .8388 before reversing (today). This rally should reach at least .8944 (38.2% of .9842-.8389).

AUDNZD

Last update, I wrote that “the AUDNZD should turn up from above 1.1791 in order to complete a 5th wave in the 5 wave bull sequence from 111.46.” The low yesterday was 1.1811 and the pair is now above 1.21. The advance should continue over the next several weeks (and perhaps longer) and break above 1.2968 before a more significant top forms.

TREND ANALYSIS is based on a rolling pivot model. LONG TERM TREND is determined by the last 3 months of price data (high, low, close). SHORT TERM TREND is determined by the last 4 weeks of price data (high, low, close). R3, R2, R1, PL, PH, S1, S2, and S3 are provided to aid in identifying entries and exits. These are objective measures and our subjective analysis (STRATEGY) may differ.

DailyFX

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