Economic Calendar

Friday, May 8, 2009

Gold Advances on Inflation Concern; Heads for Weekly Increase

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By Nicholas Larkin

May 8 (Bloomberg) -- Gold rose in London, heading for a weekly gain, on speculation central-bank measures to revive economies will spur inflation and demand for bullion as a hedge.

The European Central Bank yesterday cut benchmark interest rates to a record 1 percent and unveiled plans to buy 60 billion euros ($81 billion) in covered bonds, while the Bank of England said it would increase purchases of debt.

“Credit markets will be unblocked at some point, and this will push up inflation,” Walter de Wet, a London-based analyst at Standard Bank Ltd., said by phone today. ECB and BOE action is “bullish for gold” and “pushes more liquidity into the financial system.”

Bullion for immediate delivery rose $5.62, or 0.6 percent, to $916.32 an ounce by 11:53 a.m. in London, set for a 3.4 percent gain this week. June futures added 0.2 percent to $917.10 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex division.

The metal increased to $917.50 in the morning “fixing” in London, used by some mining companies to sell production, from $912.25 at yesterday’s afternoon fixing. Still, gains in the metal are being curbed on anticipation the worst of the crisis in the world banking system may have past.

The Federal Reserve determined 10 banks need to raise a total of $74.6 billion in capital, a finding that Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said should reassure investors about the soundness of the financial system. A government report later today will probably show U.S. employers cut fewer jobs in April as signs emerged that the worst of the U.S. recession had passed, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Employment Report

“The much-dreaded U.S. bank stress tests turned out to be a ‘no mover,’ and if today’s non-farm payrolls too come in line with market expectations, gold could suffer a setback,” Pradeep Unni, an analyst at Richcomm Global Services DMCC in Dubai, wrote in a research report today.

Payrolls dropped by 600,000 last month, less than March’s 663,000, the survey shows.

Investment in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, was unchanged at 1,104.09 metric tons yesterday. The fund last attracted new flows on April 9.

The precious metal may extend gains next week, according to 22 of 32 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. Seven people forecast lower prices and three were neutral. Prices yesterday rose above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, indicators that gold has further to climb.

Silver, Platinum

Among other metals for immediate delivery in London, silver rose 0.7 percent to $13.945 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.3 percent to $1,151.50 an ounce, and palladium advanced 0.8 percent to $241 an ounce.

Sales of autos, which use platinum and palladium to reduce exhaust fumes, in China rose to a record in April, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said today. The country has withstood a global slump in auto sales as the government has cut retail taxes and begun handing out 5 billion yuan ($733 million) in subsidies to help boost demand.

“The numbers were better than expected,” Afshin Nabavi, a senior vice president at Swiss bullion refiner MKS Finance SA, said by phone in Geneva today. “That’s impressing the platinum and palladium market.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Nicholas Larkin in London at nlarkin1@bloomberg.net

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