Economic Calendar

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Currency Technical Report

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FX Greece | Jun 03 09 12:06 GMT |

EUR/USD

Resistance: 1,4340/ 4365-70/ 1.4400/ 1.4430-35/ 1.4470/ 1.4500-10/ 1.4570/ 1.4630/ 1.4700-20
Support : 1,4270/ 1.4240/ 1.4200/ 1.4180-85/ 1.4150/ 1.4090-00

Comment: According to the basic scenario that we have developed in the last months, the area of 1,4350-00 was a possible target (the higher) in terms of the wider sideways formation since the decline last Fall. Euro has reached these levels and oscillators in all charts are in an overbought area, with divergence signs and economic data are likely to limit the rise.

A move to the wider area of 1,4400 (+- 40) and a clear reversal sign in the daily or weekly chart and a reversal formation in the short term charts, would confirm our sideways formation scenario.

Anything different, would change our longer term scenario and we will start looking for new targets in higher levels or clear reversal signs.

A move above 1,4400-30, could lead to 1,4700-20 (December 2008 tops) and next possible target would be at 1,4950-00 area.

Regarding the short term, resistance emerges at 1,4340-00, as shown in the following charts, and it could limit the rise. Retracements towards 1,4250 are possible, but a break of yesterday’s base at 1,4090-00, would change the uptrend. A move below these levels will bring the area of 1,4000-30 into focus and lower levels would prove the complete reversal.

Above 1,4400, the area of 1,4430-40 is an important resistance area. A break could lead to 1,4560-70, or even 1,4700-20 area.

*STRATEGY :

Small sell orders could be tried at 1,3440-60, adding more at 1,4400-20 with stops above 1,4470. Our target will be at 1,4300 or 1,4250 area. A clear break of these resistance levels could be used for buy orders at the retracements, while sell orders could be tried again with more clear reversal signs…

FX Greece

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