Economic Calendar

Thursday, June 4, 2009

FX Technical Analysis

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Mizuho Corporate Bank | Jun 04 09 06:28 GMT |

EURUSD

Comment: Reversing Tuesday's gains, doing wonders for the overbought situation. Two-way price action should help to push implied volatility higher. Expect consolidation under yesterday's high at 1.4339 today and maybe Friday too.

Strategy: Attempt small longs at 1.4175; stop well below 1.4000. Short term target 1.4330/1.4360, then a lot more with a first measured target at 1.4545.

Direction of Trade: →↗

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
1.4100 " 1.4192
1.4065* 1.425
1.4 1.4339*
1.3925 1.443
1.3845 1.4545

GBPUSD

Comment: Stopping exactly at the bottom edge of the weekly Ichimoku 'cloud' and should hold below here today and tomorrow, maybe next week too. However, the 9-day moving average at 1.6221 might limit the downside this morning.

Strategy: Attempt small longs at 1.6275; stop below 1.6000. First target 1.6500

Direction of Trade: →↗

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
1.6210 " 1.6345
1.6085 1.641
1.6115 1.65
1.6000* 1.66
1.5855 1.6664

USDJPY

Comment: Obviously prices cannot hold inside the current range for ever, and we continue to feel that the Ichimoku 'cloud' should eventually force it lower. Expect even more of the same today as the Yen looks for direction.

Strategy: Attempt small shorts at 96.10/96.35; stop above 97.35. First target 95.00, adding to shorts below 94.40 for 94.00 and then 93.65.

Direction of Trade: →

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
95.83 " 96.37/96.43
95.33 96.65
95 97
94.42* 97.24*
93.55* 97.55

EURJPY

Comment: Blipping to new a high for this year at 138.02, above April's at 137.42, and forming a poor version of a 'bearish engulfing' candle yesterday. This suggests Yen crosses will hold below yesterday's highs today and tomorrow, maybe even throughout the month of June. In other words, still very difficult trying to establish where the daily ranges will be.

Strategy: Attempt shorts at 136.40, adding to 137.00; stop above 138.15 Short term target 134.00.

Direction of Trade: →

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
135.55 " 136.64
135.29 137.45*
134.75 138.02*
133.89 138.57
132.50* 139

Mizuho Corporate Bank

Disclaimer

The information contained in this paper is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This paper has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.

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