Economic Calendar

Friday, July 31, 2009

FX Technical Analysis

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Mizuho Corporate Bank | Jul 31 09 06:41 GMT |

EURUSD

Comment: Terribly slow work but trying to base ahead of the top of the Ichimoku 'cloud'. Moving averages are still bullish and the combination will hopefully help form an interim low which will eventually push the Euro to new highs for this year.

Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.4125. adding to 1.4075; stop well below 1.4000. Short term target 1.4200, then 1.4300.

Direction of Trade: → ↗

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
1.4064 " 1.4137
1.4 1.4165
1.395 1.42
1.39 1.4305
1.383 1.4339* 1.4365*

GBPUSD

Comment: A weekly close clearly above 1.6500 should add some much-needed bullish momentum. Hopefully the large, rising Ichimoku 'cloud' will lead to a decisive break above the upper edge of the 'triangle' consolidation pattern, where the measured target is 1.7100 then 1.7500.

Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.6565 but only if prepared to add to 1.6400; stop below 1.6300. First target 1.6600 and then this year's high at 1.6745

Direction of Trade: →↗

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
1.6488 " 1.6587
1.6382 1.66
1.6338 1.6625
1.6266 1.6664
1.6187 1.6745*

USDJPY

Comment: Very messy as prices break above and close over the 50% Fibonacci resistance. Moving averages have just turned bullish yet we remain below the Ichimoku 'cloud'. Stand aside if possible.

Strategy: Possibly attempt tiny shorts at 95.30; stop above 96.25. Short term target 94.15

Direction of Trade: →

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
95.25 " 95.62
95 95.89*
94.85 96
94.4 96.25*
94.00* 96.55

EURJPY

Comment: Hovering just above the Ichimoku 'cloud' and, in what is a rather messy Technical picture, we expect topping activity today against the 135.00 area.

Strategy: Possibly attempt small shorts at 134.50; stop well above 135.25. Add to shorts on a sustained break below 133.80 for 132.00/131.85 and more longer term

Direction of Trade: →

Chart Levels:

Support Resistance
134.32 " 134.84
133.85 134.90*
133.23 135.17
132.8 135.65
131.85 136.11

Mizuho Corporate Bank

Disclaimer

The information contained in this paper is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This paper has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.




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