Economic Calendar

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Corn Slumps on Concern Recovery May Falter, Curbing Crop Demand

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By Jae Hur

Sept. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Corn declined after reports on job losses and factory orders raised concerns that the economic recovery may stagnate, curbing demand for food, animal feed and alternative fuel.

U.S. equities dropped for a fourth day after growth in factory orders reported by the Commerce Department trailed forecasts and ADP Employer Services said the number of jobs fell by 298,000 in August. Corn in Chicago has slumped 3.6 percent in three days after losing 5.7 percent in August as cool, wet weather improved U.S. crop prospects.

“Grains and other commodities were under pressure from slumping stock markets,” Hiroyuki Kikukawa, general manager of research at IDO Securities Co., said today by phone.

Corn for December delivery fell 0.5 percent to $3.1775 a bushel in electronic trading on the Chicago Board of Trade at 1:03 p.m. Singapore time. The price touched $3.155 yesterday, the lowest intraday level since Aug. 17.

Soybeans for November delivery were up 0.3 percent at $9.54 a bushel after dropping the previous three days. The price touched $9.425 yesterday, the lowest since Aug. 19.

Production of corn, the largest U.S. crop, will total 13.02 billion bushels, David Smoldt, a vice president at West Des Moines, Iowa-based FCStone Group Inc. said Sept. 1. That compared with the company’s August forecast for 12.814 billion bushels for 2009.

Last month, the U.S. Department of Agriculture predicted 12.761 billion bushels. U.S. farmers harvested 12.101 billion bushels last year and a record 13.1 billion bushels in 2007, government data show.

Soybean Harvest

Farmers will harvest a record 3.266 billion bushels of soybeans, or 2.1 percent more than the USDA’s Aug. 12 forecast of 3.199 billion, FCStone said. Yields may rise to 42.6 bushels compared with 42.4 bushels estimated by the government.

The USDA is set to release its second survey-based crop forecasts on Sept. 11 at 8:30 a.m. in Washington.

Soybeans may slump to $8.50 a bushel as farmers in the U.S. harvest a record crop, according to FCStone’s Smoldt. “There’s no sign of frost,” Smoldt said in a phone interview. The drop could happen at the end of September or start of October on the “realization that we have a large crop,” Smoldt said Sept. 2.

In the export market, South Korea is seeking 55,000 metric tons of corn for feed production.

Wheat for December delivery in Chicago was little changed at $4.855 a bushel at 1:06 p.m. Singapore time, slumping for a third day on signs of weak demand for supplies from the U.S., the world’s biggest exporter. The price touched $4.8075 on Aug. 31, the lowest level since Dec. 8.

Australian Crop

Western Australia, the nation’s biggest wheat grower and exporter, needs significant rainfall to meet grain-output forecasts, according to CBH Group. Australia, the world’s fourth-largest wheat shipper, relies on rain at this time of year to boost yields in winter-grain crops ahead of the harvest from November.

“We are receiving reports from an increasing number of areas that they are getting dry and the crop is going backward,” said Michael Musgrave, operations manager for the nation’s top wheat exporter. CBH is “quite concerned” for about one-third of the wheat-growing area, he said today.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jae Hur in Singapore at jhur1@bloomberg.net




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