Economic Calendar

Thursday, February 25, 2010

FX Thoughts for the Day

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Kshitij Consultancy Services | Feb 25 10 12:24 GMT |

USD-CHF @ 1.0841/45...21-Month-MA Resistance holding

R: 1.0886 / 1.0925-40 / 1.0980
S: 1.0800 / 1.0750-30 / 1.0700

Swiss is continuing to trade lower below the 21-Month-MA Resistance (currently at 1.0886). Immediate Support is seen at 1.08 which we expect to hold in the US session today. We continue to remain bullish for a rise towards 1.0950 on a break above the 21-Month-MA Resistance in the coming days.

On the other hand, a strong break below the immediate Support at 1.08 might see 1.0730-00 once again in the US session today.

Limit Buy Order:

Buy USD 10K at 1.0725, SL 1.0635, TP 1.0920

Cable GBP-USD @ 1.5305/09...Bearish for 1.5050, if below 1.5260

R: 1.5409 / 1.5444 / 1.5510
S: 1.5270-60 / 1.5234 / 1.5050

The Cable has spiked below the Support at 1.5283 to record a low of 1.5271 so far and doesn not seem to be in a great mood to go for consolidation. The bears have pounced once again and this time the next prominent closest target is near 1.50. The pair is likely to find some Support near 1.50 and bounce towards 1.53 once again. If however, it leaves it for the next week and the pair takes Support near 1.5270 itself, it may rise a little towards 1.54-1.55 over the rest of the week.

One may want to sell on rallies above 1.54 or sell on stop loss basis below 1.5250.

Aussie AUD-USD @ 0.8896/99...Resistance in 0.8950-70 region

R: 0.8925 / 0.8950-70 / 0.9020
S: 0.8860 / 0.8820-00 / 0.8730

Aussie has bounced back slightly from the day's low of 0.8860 and is now trading just below 0.89. The 21-DMA (currently at 0.8868) is providing Support for the pair over the last once week. However, the 8-DMA (0.8957) is Resisting the upmove for the last couple of days which is retaining the downside pressure. As mentioned earlier, there are good chances of revisiting the significant Support at 200-DMA (0.8668) in the coming days. Note that this 200-DMA is a very significant Support level to watch for on the downside.

On the upside, Resistance is seen in 0.8950-70 region which is expected to hold in the US session today. The projected Max-High and Max-Low for the day is 0.8962 and 0.8850 respectively.

Limit Sell Order:

Sell AUD 10K at 0.8960, SL 0.9050, TP Open

Kshitij Consultancy Service
http://www.fxthoughts.com

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

These views/ forecasts/ suggestions, though proferred with the best of intentions, are based on our reading of the market at the time of writing. They are subject to change without notice.Though the information sources are believed to be reliable, the information is not guaranteed for accuracy. Those acting in the market on the basis of these are themselves responsibly for any profits or losses that might occur, without recourse to us. World financial markets, and especially the Foreign Exchange markets, are inherently risky and it is assumed that those who trade these markets are fully aware of the risk of real loss involved.




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