Economic Calendar

Friday, March 9, 2012

Greece Pushes Bondholders Into Record Debt Swap

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By Maria Petrakis and Rebecca Christie - Mar 9, 2012 9:09 PM GMT+0700

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Greece Forces Losses on Bondholders

Greece pushed through the biggest sovereign restructuring in history after cajoling private investors to forgive more than 100 billion euros ($132 billion) of debt, opening the way for a second bailout.

Euro-region finance ministers agreed on a conference call that the swap meant Greece had met the terms to proceed with a 130 billion-euro rescue package designed to prevent a collapse of the Greek economy. Ministers freed up 35.5 billion euros in public sweeteners and interest now, with a decision on the balance to be made at a March 12 meeting in Brussels.

Evangelos Venizelos, Greece's finance minister, at a news conference in Athens on March 9, 2012. Photographer: Kostas Tsironis/Bloomberg

March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker, Sara Eisen, Stephanie Ruhle and Scarlet Fu report that investors with 95.7 percent of Greece's privately held bonds will participate in the biggest sovereign debt restructuring in history after the government said it will trigger an option forcing them to take part. They speak on Bloomberg Television's "Inside Track." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Pawan Malik, managing director of Navigant Capital, talks about demand for European sovereign debt after Greece received approval to activate collective action clauses. He speaks with Owen Thomas and Linzie Janis on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Former Greek Finance Minister Stefanos Manos talks about the nation's debt swap agreement and its impact on southern European bonds. He speaks from Athens with Owen Thomas and Linzie Janis on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)

March 9 (Bloomberg) -- Niall Ferguson, a history professor at Harvard University and a Bloomberg Television contributing editor, talks about his interview with International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde Thursday night at the Women in the World conference in New York. Ferguson also talks about the outlook for Europe's debt crisis. He speaks with Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack." (Source: Bloomberg)

Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos arrives for a news conference in Athens, on March 9, 2012. Photographer: Thanassis Stavrakis/AP

“The very strong and positive result provides a major opportunity now for Greece to move ahead with its economic reform program,” Josef Ackermann, chairman of the Institute of International Finance who is also chief executive officer of Deutsche Bank AG, said in an e-mailed statement. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

“It would be a big mistake to think we are out of the woods,” German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told reporters in Berlin after the call today. “We have a chance of making it. And we have to seize that opportunity.”

Stocks rose while the euro fell after the government in Athens said it will trigger an option forcing some investors to take part in the exchange. Officials from the International Swaps and Derivatives Association called a meeting today to consider a “potential credit event” relating to Greece.

Participation Rate

Investors with 95.7 percent of Greece’s privately held bonds will participate in the swap after so-called collective action clauses are triggered, the Finance Ministry said. Bondholders tendered 152 billion euros of Greek-law bonds, or 85.8 percent, and 20 billion euros of foreign-law debt. Greece extended its offer to holders of non-Greek law bonds to March 23, after which sweeteners will no longer be available.

The result was “very strong and positive,” said Josef Ackermann, chairman of the Washington-based Institute of International Finance, which led negotiations with the Greek government on behalf of private bondholders. “These are important steps towards resolving the Greek debt crisis, addressing the overall fiscal and sovereign debt problems in the euro area, and restoring financial stability.”

Even with steps taken toward the goal of the exchange, to reduce the 206 billion euros of privately held Greek debt by 53.5 percent, Greece faces hurdles ahead. Europe’s most indebted nation will be saddled with a debt level of 120.5 percent of gross domestic product by 2020 under current targets. The Greek government must continue to meet the terms laid down by its international creditors to receive aid payments at three-monthly intervals. Elections due in April or May might still upend adherence to the measures demanded.

CDS Contracts

With Greece now in a fifth year of recession, Prime Minister Lucas Papademos’s government had said that it was ready to force holders of Greek-law bonds into the swap. The use of collective action clauses may trigger $3 billion of insurance payouts under rules governing credit-default swap contracts.

Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos said that participation “surpassed expectations” and he would recommend to Cabinet the authority to activate collective action clauses.

“This is a dangerous precedent that has been set,” John Wraith, fixed-income strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown” with Linzie Janis and Owen Thomas. For Greece, “yes, it is probably necessary, but it is just another hurdle crossed rather than some sort of solution.”

The euro weakened for the first time in three days, dropping 0.9 percent to $1.3156 as of 2:45 p.m. in Berlin. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 0.6 percent to 265.61.

‘Mild Negative’

“There was a small possibility that for whatever reason, the participation would be so high that the CACs may not need to get triggered,” Pawan Malik, managing director of Navigant Capital, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “For the markets this may be a mild negative today.”

The writedown is a key element in European leaders’ efforts to turn the tide against the crisis that first emerged in Greece in late 2009, then forced Ireland and Portugal to follow Greece in requiring bailouts.

Germany and France, Europe’s two biggest economies that have steered the euro-area’s response to the crisis, welcomed the debt-swap take-up. The swap was a “great success” and “good news,” and “hits all the objectives we set ourselves,” French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said on RTL Radio.

Merkel ‘Pleased’

Chancellor Angela Merkel is “pleased” about the “high level of participation of private creditors,” Steffen Seibert, her chief spokesman, said in Berlin. It is “an encouraging result that will help put Greece on a path to stability. What’s important now is for Greece to seize the opportunity offered by this debt swap, meaning it implements the agreed programs.”

Greece’s largest banks, most of the country’s pension funds and more than 30 European banks and insurers including BNP Paribas SA and Commerzbank AG (CBK), had said they would agree to the offer before it closed yesterday at 10 p.m. Athens time.

In the exchange, investors will receive new bonds with a face value of 31.5 percent of the old ones together with notes from the European Financial Stability Facility. The new debt is governed by English law and comes with warrants that will provide extra income in years when Greek economic growth exceeds thresholds. The net present value loss for investors is more than 70 percent.

“Despite all the justified happiness about this issue we have to note that Greece is only buying time,” Michael Kemmer, general manager of the BdB Association of German banks, said in an interview with Deutschlandfunk radio. “This is an important step -- the private sector showed solidarity. That’s good, but the work has only just begun.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Maria Petrakis at mpetrakis@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Frank Connelly at fconnelly@bloomberg.net



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