Economic Calendar

Thursday, August 14, 2008

US CPI Soars To New 17 Year High, Dollar Unimpressed

Share this history on :

Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by DailyFX | Aug 14 08 13:02 GMT |

US Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUL)
(Headline) (Core)
Actual: 5.6% 2.5%
Expected: 5.1% 2.4%
Previous: 5.0% 2.4%

The Federal Reserve's job has grown more difficult with inflation soaring; but the sharp increase in the Consumer Price Index is nonetheless heating up the outlook for an eventual rate hike. According to the Labor Department's monthly reading, front line inflation accelerated at a staggering 5.6 percent pace - a far greater increase than was expected by economists' consensus and the quickest clip of growth since December of 1990.
However, headline consumers and markets grown relatively accustomed to oppressive levels of headline inflation with record fuel prices and rising borrowing costs spreading into other areas of the market. Looking at the details of the July report, it was clear that energy was indeed one of the most taxxing components of the inflation reading. The energy component of the survey rose 4.0 percent (notabley the weakest increase in three months), though fuel and utilities jumped 3.3 percent and gasoline prices rose 4.1 percent. Elsewhere, food prices rose 0.9 percent while the average price for apparel jumped 1.2 percent due to seasonal trends. Altogether, this headline surge (while greater than the 5.1 percent clilp projected) was not unexpected. On a more stable footing, the core CPI number rose 2.5 percent - matching a 17 month high. After taking in this number, the dollar actually pulled back. Looking ahead, a shift in global central bank policy sees central bankers taking a greater interest in growth - validating the Fed's steady stance. What's more, with crude prices dropping precipitously over the past few weeks, there is likely expectations for gasoline costs to follow suit in the near future.

DailyFX

Disclaimer

Investment in the currency exchange is highly speculative and should only be done with risk capital. Prices rise and fall and past performance is no assurance of future performance. This website is an information site only. Accordingly we make no warranties or guarantees in respect of the content. The publications herein do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making an investment decision on the basis of the recommendations in this website. While we try to ensure that all of the information provided on this website is kept up-to-date and accurate we accept no responsibility for any use made of the information provided. All intellectual property rights are the property of Daily FX. Daily FX and its affiliates, will not be held responsible for the reliability or accuracy of the information available on this site. The content herein is provided in good faith and believed to be accurate, however, there are no explicit or implicit warranties of accuracy or timeliness made by Daily FX or its affiliates. The reader agrees not to hold Daily FX or any of its affiliates liable for decisions that are based on information from this website. Daily FX highly recommends that before making a decision, the reader


No comments: