Economic Calendar

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Asian Stocks Rise for Third Day on Policies to Revive Growth

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By Shani Raja

Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rallied for a third day, led by banks and commodity producers, on optimism lower interest rates and U.S. stimulus measures will revive the global economy.

HSBC Holdings Plc, which gets a quarter of its sales in the U.S., surged 8.4 percent in Hong Kong as bond risk fell and President Barack Obama moved closer to winning passage for an $819 billion stimulus package. Westpac Banking Corp., New Zealand’s No. 2 lender, jumped 6.3 percent in Wellington as the nation’s central bank cut its benchmark rate. BHP Billiton Ltd., gained 2.7 percent as oil and metal prices rose.

“There’s more confidence that the world hasn’t ended, and that under the new U.S. government the mess may get sorted out,” said Hugh Dive, who helps manage about $3 billion at Sydney-based Investors Mutual Ltd. “It will still take a while for it all to flow through.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 1.4 percent to 84.67 as of 4:43 p.m. in Tokyo. Five stocks advanced for every two that fell on the gauge, which has fallen 5.5 percent this year on mounting signs the global recession is hurting company profits.

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 1.8 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index climbed 5 percent following a three-day holiday for the Lunar New Year. China and Taiwan are shut this week. All markets in the region rose except Thailand and the Philippines.

Sony Corp., the world’s second-largest consumer-electronics maker, rose in Tokyo on speculation the latest stimulus plans will help boost consumer demand in the U.S. Ayala Land Inc., the Philippines’ biggest property company, was the MSCI Asia index’s second-worst performer on concern housing demand will decline.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 3.4 percent yesterday after a White House official said President Barack Obama may announce a plan next week to set up an institution to buy toxic financial assets. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.5 percent.

Global Recession

After the market closed in New York, the U.S. House passed Obama’s $819 billion stimulus plan, aimed at lifting the economy out of recession through tax cuts and new spending. The plan will be put to a vote by the Senate.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index tumbled by a record 43 percent last year as the worsening financial crisis dragged the world’s biggest economies into recession. The average valuation of companies on the MSCI gauge has fallen by 38 percent in the past year to 10 times reported profit.

Global growth will almost grind to a halt this year as more than $2 trillion of bad assets from the U.S. weigh on economies worldwide, an International Monetary Fund report said. Federal Reserve officials yesterday warned of a prolonged slowdown that may push the U.S. to the brink of deflation.

Policy Action

“The IMF’s global growth forecasts have highlighted how severe the global economic slump is,” said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital Investors, which holds $61 billion in Sydney. “The difference from previous global downturns is that all major countries and regions are sliding together.”

The Fed, which left its benchmark interest rate at close to zero yesterday, said it’s ready to buy Treasury securities if it’s effective in improving credit markets.

The bond plan and New Zealand’s interest-rate cut mark the latest step in a series of measures introduced by governments around the world to unlock frozen credit markets and revive economic growth.

HSBC surged 8.4 percent to HK$62.25. Mizuho Financial Group jumped 5.2 percent to 245 yen. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. soared 13 percent to 3,810 yen, even after third-quarter profit almost evaporated on bad-loan costs.

Lower Borrowing Costs

Westpac jumped 6.3 percent to NZ$20.30. Commonwealth Bank of Australia, which gets 14 percent of its sales from New Zealand, gained 2.2 percent to A$26.90 in Sydney.

The Markit iTraxx Asia credit-default swap index and the Markit iTraxx Japan index, which measure the cost of protecting Asia-Pacific bonds from default, fell today, according to prices from ICAP Plc and Barclays Plc.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand today lowered the benchmark interest rate by 1.5 percentage points to 3.5 percent and said there’s room for further reductions.

Asian exporters gained on optimism the U.S. government measures will shore up consumer demand. Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Ltd., which supplies athletic shoes to Nike Inc. and Adidas AG, climbed 3.1 percent to HK$13.50.

Sony gained 4 percent to 1,909 yen. Canon, the world’s largest camera maker, rose 1.9 percent to 2,640 yen. Canon yesterday forecast lower profit as product prices fall.

BHP, Cnooc

BHP, Australia’s largest oil company, gained 2.7 percent to A$30.65. Cnooc Ltd., China’s biggest offshore oil company, added 5.5 percent to HK$6.86. PetroChina Co., China’s largest producer, jumped 5.6 percent to HK$5.89.

Crude oil for March delivery rose 1.4 percent in New York yesterday, the first advance in three days, while a gauge of six metals traded in London gained 1.1 percent.

Hyundai Steel Co., South Korea’s second-largest steelmaker, advanced 6.3 percent to 37,400 won. Korea Zinc Co., the world’s second-biggest zinc refiner, gained 3.4 percent to 90,900 won after Daewoo Securities Co. raised its recommendation on the stock to “buy” from “trading buy,” citing signs non-ferrous metals prices are bottoming out.

Ayala slumped 7.1 percent to 6.50 pesos. The Philippine central bank will probably cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point today, according to economists in a Bloomberg News survey, to bolster growth.

“Very few people can afford to buy homes at this time,” said Jonathan Ravelas, a market strategist at Banco de Oro Unibank Inc. in Manila. “Jobs are getting threatened.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Shani Raja in Sydney at sraja4@bloomberg.net.




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