Pakistan’s Inflation Slows, Giving Room for Rate Cut

By Michael Dwyer

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Pakistan’s inflation slowed to a 16- month low in June, giving the central bank scope to lower interest rates to prop up a faltering economy.

Consumer prices in South Asia’s second-largest economy rose 13.13 percent from a year earlier after gaining 14.39 percent in May, the Federal Bureau of Statistics said on its Web site today. That matched the median 13.1 percent forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of nine economists.

Pakistan’s economy has ground to a near halt as the global recession erodes exports and foreign investment and Taliban insurgents launch terrorist attacks in response to an intensified military campaign against Islamic extremists. The $146 billion economy may expand as little as 0.8 percent in the year to June 2010, according to HSBC Holdings Plc.

Security concerns may “hamper growth over the coming year as investors and consumers further rein in spending,” said Frederic Neumann, an economist at HSBC in Hong Kong. “The good news is that the central bank can begin to relax and start cutting interest rates, which should eventually nurse a recovery.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Michael Dwyer in Singapore at Mdwyer5@bloomberg.net