Economic Calendar

Monday, September 22, 2008

Brazil's Real Advances for Second Day on U.S. Bailout Plan

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By Adriana Brasileiro

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil's real rose for a second day as the U.S. government's $700 billion financial rescue plan buoyed demand for higher-yielding assets.

``The week is starting out on a much better note because of the bailout plan, so investors are taking on a bit more risk,'' said Ricardo Lemos, a fixed-income strategist at Sao Paulo-based Liquidez, Brazil's largest currency derivatives brokerage.

The real jumped 1.8 percent to 1.7967 per dollar at 8:56 a.m. New York time after soaring 3.5 percent on Sept. 19. The gains pare the real's losses this month to 9.1 percent. That is still the biggest decline among the 16 most-traded currencies against the dollar as last week's collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and government bailout of American International Group Inc. throttled demand for all but the safest assets.

Yields on local bonds and on rate futures contracts fell after a weekly survey of economists by Brazil's central bank showed inflation estimates are declining.

Economists cut their 2009 inflation estimate for a second week, to 4.97 percent from 4.99 percent, according to the median of about 100 forecasts in a central bank survey published today.

Consumer prices will end this year at 6.23 percent, compared with a forecast of 6.26 percent a week earlier, the survey showed. The government targets inflation of 4.5 percent, plus or minus 2 percentage points this year and next.

The yield on Brazil's zero-coupon bonds due in January 2010 dropped 10 basis points, or 0.1 percentage point, to 14.82 percent. The yield on the overnight futures contract for January delivery fell 2 basis points to 14.02 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adriana Brasileiro in Rio de Janeiro at abrasileiro@bloomberg.net


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