Economic Calendar

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

U.K. Jobless Claims Rises for Eight Consecutive Months, Adding to Growth Fears

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Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by DailyFX | Oct 15 08 09:26 GMT |

U.K. claimant count rate rose to 2.9% in September from 2.8%, in line with expectations and reaching the highest reading since January last year. Meanwhile, claimant count change on the month was 31.8k, slightly better than our survey median for 35.6k and versus 35.7k in August (revised from 32.5k previously). The 3m average ILO unemployment rate surged to 5.7% from 5.2% , hitting its highest reading since March 2000 and recording its largest jump since July 1991. Data hence highlights the rapidly deteriorating state of the U.K. labour market. August earnings data showed a slowdown in wage growth, with the headline 3m y/y rate slowing to 3.4% (median 3.5%) from 3.5% in July, while the measure excluding bonuses slowed to 3.6% (median same) from 3.7%.

Meanwhile, U.K. Prime Minister Brown said the government will do everything it can to create jobs in the U.K. economy. Speaking from the EU leaders summit in Brussels, the comments were delivered as fresh labour market data showed the ILO unemployment rate reach its highest level in in over 8 years in August and the claimant count increase showed another net increase of more than 30k in September. These figures are backward looking, however, and we are likely to see a further deterioration of the labour market situation as the fall-out from the past few week's credit crisis intensification will be visible, as well as when school-leavers hit the unemployment registers.

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