Economic Calendar

Friday, September 12, 2008

Relief from Commodities Helps Restrain August PPI

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Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wachovia Corporation | Sep 12 08 13:38 GMT |

The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 0.9 percent in August led by a 4.6 percent decline in energy prices. The core PPI moderated from July as well but saw a sizable 0.9 percent increase in apparel goods. Inflation further back in the pipeline also showed signs of deceleration which the Fed should take comfort in at next week’s FOMC meeting.

First Decline of the Year

  • Headline PPI fell on a monthly basis for the first time since December 2007. Year-over-year, headline PPI is up 9.6 percent.
  • Core finished goods prices remained well behaved in August, rising 0.2 percent. Year-over-year, however, core PPI remains uncomfortably high. Even further back in the pipeline, intermediate core prices continued to climb, up 1.7 percent.

Lower Commodity Prices Brighten Outlook

  • Pipeline inflationary pressures remain worrisome. Prices for intermediate goods are up 16.7 percent while crude goods are up 38.1 percent. This has to be taken in context.
  • As long as commodity prices continue to recede on the back of slower economic growth, wholesale price inflation should trend lower in the coming months.

Wachovia Corporation
http://www.wachovia.com

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