Economic Calendar

Friday, December 5, 2008

Employment: Teeth of the Recession Continue to Grind

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Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Wachovia Corporation | Dec 05 08 14:43 GMT |

Nonfarm employment fell 533,000 with declines in manufacturing, construction, retail & business services and finance. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to 6.7 percent with the diffusion index down to just 40 percent. Aggregate hours declined for the eighth month in a row, signaling a drop of five percent in fourth quarter GDP.

Employment Declines Signal Broad Consumer Weakness

  • Job declines were widespread with losses in manufacturing, construction and retail, financial and business services. The only bright spots remaining are health care and education.
  • Over the last year, the breadth of industries adding jobs has dropped sharply suggesting broad weakness in consumer spending and dismal consumer confidence.

Unemployment Up, Output Down

  • Rising unemployment rates have been driven by a loss of jobs and are consistent with weakness in consumer spending and the drop in consumer sentiment. Unemployment rates remain significantly different by education cohort.
  • Hours worked have declined, and this drop is consistent with negative five percent growth in fourth quarter GDP.

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