Economic Calendar

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Swiss National Bank Cuts 50bp as Policymakers Lower Forecasts for Growth and Inflation

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Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by DailyFX | Dec 11 08 08:55 GMT |

The SNB has cut its target range for the 3 months Libor by 50 bps to 0.00-1.00%. The move was widely expected and brings the mid point of the range to just 0.5%, very close to zero. The central bank has reacted swiftly and decisively to the threat of a protracted economy slowdown and we could well see rates go down to zero next year and the SNB resorting to quantitative easing.

Meanwhile, Swiss Franc (CHF) dipped after SNB cut rates by 50 bp, which was widely expected, leaving the 3-month Libor target rate at 0.00-1.00%. The SNB cited deterioration in the intonation environment, citing a decline in the U.S. and European economies, which are strongly impacting the Swiss economy. EUR/CHF is expected to push above 1.5650, although offers expected to be heavily congested around this area, given that the 100-day moving average lies at 1.5640. USD/CHF has found a modicum of support from 1.1900 since the SNB decision, but risk is on the downside for this pairing, with the technical changing working against the dollar amid the losses seen over the last few sessions. Nevertheless, equity markets are likely to driven sentiment, with technical studies lacking reliability in the current choppy trading environment.

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