Economic Calendar

Friday, January 30, 2009

British Pound Crosses: Establishing Bull Trends

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Daily Forex Technicals | Written by DailyFX | Jan 30 09 01:51 GMT |
  • GBPCHF to break 1.6959 soon
  • GBPAUD to break 2.23 soon
  • GBPNZD headed towards 3

GBPCHF

Last week, I wrote that 'price is expected to exceed 1.6959, ideally remaining above 1.5639 in the process.' 1.5639 held and the GBPCHF is on its way to a break of 1.6959. A short term correction could see a drop to 1.6259 support. The larger trend is up as long as price is above 1.5639 although the pair shouldn’t come near that level.

GBPCAD

The GBPCAD dropped to a 24 year low this week (1.6711) and has rebounded 800 pips. Continued divergence with RSI as well as the indicator favors a recovery. A rally through the trendline drawn off of the October 2008 and January highs would suggest that an important bottom is in place. Until then, the GBPCAD is vulnerable to weakness. Still, I favor strength given the bullish counts in the other GBP crosses.

GBPAUD

I wrote last week that 'the GBPAUD is extremely bullish against 2.0225. A break above 2.2322 is expected. Chart resistance is not until 2.3062.' The pair has vaulted higher and should continue higher towards the mentioned objective. Any weakness should prove temporary and price should stay above 2.1258.

GBPNZD

A multi-year triangle is unfolding. Wave e may come close to testing 3.00 in the months ahead. Price ideally remains above 2.6622 going forward.

DailyFX

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