Economic Calendar

Thursday, October 30, 2008

European Stocks Climb on Rate Cuts, Earnings; BHP, Alcatel Jump

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By Adam Haigh

Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) -- European stocks rallied for a third day as central banks from Washington to Hong Kong cut interest rates and the Federal Reserve provided $120 billion to South Korea, Singapore, Brazil and Mexico to unlock lending in emerging markets.

BHP Billiton Ltd. and Rio Tinto Group rose more than 7 percent as lower borrowing costs bolstered prospects for the global economy. Alcatel-Lucent SA jumped 20 percent and Metro AG added 11 percent after the companies reported better-than- expected earnings. Money-market rates declined.


``The coordinated actions around the world continue to give investors some hope,'' said Richard Wilson, who manages $2.5 billion at Threadneedle Asset Management in London. ``In the short term we could be at a turning point in the markets,'' he told Bloomberg Television.

The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index increased 2.5 percent to 219.12 at 1:50 p.m. in London. The index is still down 40 percent in 2008, headed for the worst year since records began in 1987.

Stocks extended gains after a report showed the U.S. economy shrank less than forecast in the third quarter. Gross domestic product contracted at a 0.3 percent annual rate from July to September, compared with a 0.5 percent contraction predicted in a Bloomberg surveyed.

National benchmark indexes climbed in all of the 18 western European markets except for Iceland. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 added 2.5 percent and France's CAC 40 increased 2.1 percent. Germany's DAX rose 4.6 percent as MAN AG and Deutsche Bank AG posted results that topped expectations.

Cutting Rates

Central banks in Taiwan and Hong Kong followed China in lowering borrowing costs in an attempt to curb an economic slowdown. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index surged 10 percent, and Taiwan's Taiex Index gained 6.3 percent.

South Korea's Kospi index soared a record 12 percent and the currency jumped 14 percent, the most in a decade, as policy makers' actions allayed concern the nation was headed for a repeat of 1997, when it needed an International Monetary Fund bailout to help repay offshore debt.

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled he's ready to keep cutting rates should yesterday's half-point reduction in the main rate to 1 percent fail to stem the deepening economic slump.

The Fed said it agreed to provide $30 billion in ``liquidity swap facilities with the central banks of these four large systemically important economies'' effective until April 30. The arrangements aim ``to mitigate the spread of difficulties in obtaining U.S. dollar funding,'' it said.

Money Rates Fall

Money-market rates extended declines today. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for three-month loans in dollars slipped 23 basis points to 3.19 percent, its 14th straight drop, according to the British Bankers' Association.

The comparable euro interbank offered rate, or Euribor, fell more than 3 basis points to 4.79 percent, the lowest level since April 18, according to the European Banking Federation. Hong Kong's three-month interbank offered rate, or Hibor, dropped 15 basis points to 3.39 percent, at the 11 a.m. fixing by the Hong Kong Association of Banks.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index climbed the most in six weeks, advancing 9.1 percent. Russia's Micex index jumped 19 percent, and Turkey's ISE National 100 Index rose 7.8 percent.

BHP Billiton, the world's biggest mining company, advanced 7.2 percent to 1,029 pence. Rio Tinto, the third-largest, gained 9.2 percent to 2,923 pence.

`Pretty Rosy'

``It's looking pretty rosy,'' said Tom Hougaard, chief market strategist at City Index, a spread-betting firm in London. ``It looks like this rally has got some legs to run on, rather than just being a dead-cat bounce,'' he told Bloomberg Television.

More than $12 trillion was erased from the market value of equities worldwide as of Oct. 27, accounting for about one-third of the total value wiped off stocks this year, as $687 billion of writedowns and losses by banks triggered a freeze in credit markets, threatening economic growth.

Some investors expect the bounce-back will be short-lived as third-quarter earnings provide more evidence that the slowing economy is taking its toll on corporate profits.

`Patchy' Earnings

``It will be difficult for us to have a sustained rally,'' said Hugh Yarrow, a fund manager at Rathbone Unit Trust Management, whose parent company Rathbone Brothers Plc has about $22.3 billion. ``There was some quite positive news from Asia with the central banks and the Fed. But the economy is slowing down and corporate news is patchy at best.''

Earnings for the 656 companies in western Europe that reported results since Oct. 7 declined 7.6 percent on average, trailing analysts' expectations 3.9 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg data. In the U.S., profit fell 18 percent, missing estimates 1.5 percent, the data show.

Alcatel-Lucent advanced 20 percent to 2.025 euros. The world's largest supplier of fixed-line phone networks reported a third-quarter net loss of 40 million euros ($52.7 million), narrower than the 73 million loss forecast by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Metro, MAN

Metro, Germany's biggest retailer, rallied 11 percent to 24.30 euros. Net income was 126 million euros in the third quarter, beating the 108 million-euro median estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.

MAN climbed 7.7 percent to 36.49 euros. Europe's third- largest truckmaker said quarterly profit rose 34 percent to 298 million euros on higher commercial-vehicle sales.

Volkswagen AG, Europe's largest carmaker, said it still expects earnings and sales to increase for the full year after reporting third-quarter profit jumped 27 percent, more than analysts predicted. The shares rose 7.4 percent to 555.27 euros.

Deutsche Bank climbed 7.4 percent to 26.64 euros. Germany's biggest bank posted a surprise third-quarter profit following new accounting rules that allowed it to book fewer asset writedowns.

AstraZeneca Plc climbed 6 percent to 2,568 pence. The U.K.'s second-biggest drugmaker reported earnings that beat analysts' estimates and increased its forecast for full-year earnings.

Earnings Outlook

Profit for companies in the Stoxx 600 will probably fall 5.2 percent in 2008, down from 11 percent growth predicted at the start of the year, according to analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The S&P 500 companies may report earnings declined 6.8 percent, down from 15 percent growth expected at the beginning of the year, the data show.

Elan Corp. lost 19 percent to 4.74 euros after Biogen Idec Inc. said a patient taking its multiple sclerosis drug Tysabri was diagnosed with a life-threatening brain illness, the third case reported since July. Tysabri accounted for 64 percent of third-quarter revenue for Elan.

To contact the reporter on this story: Adam Haigh in London at ahaigh1@bloomberg.net



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