By Christian Schmollinger
Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose from a 21-month low after U.S. industrial production gained, increasing expectations that fuel demand may improve in the world's largest consumer.
U.S. output at factories, mines and utilities rose 1.3 percent in October, more than forecast, as refineries and oil rigs returned to service after Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, the Federal Reserve said yesterday. Industrial plants used 76.4 percent of capacity, an increase from 75.5 percent in September.
``We're not getting much joy out of the U.S., although it wasn't below what the market was expecting so prices might be getting some support from that,'' said Mark Pervan, a senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Melbourne. ``The industrial production numbers were better than expected but still low.''
Crude oil for December delivery rose as much as 91 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $55.86 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $55.60 a barrel at 4 p.m. Singapore time. Prices have tumbled 63 percent since reaching a record $147.27 on July 11.
Oil closed yesterday at its lowest since Jan. 29, 2007, after the economy in Japan, the world's third-biggest oil- consuming country, contracted 0.4 percent in the third quarter. China National Petroleum Corp. said yesterday demand has fallen since September because of credit-market turmoil.
Saudi Tanker
Prices rose earlier yesterday because of colder U.S. weather and the hijacking of a Saudi Arabian tanker. Temperatures on the U.S. East Coast, which use heating oil for 80 percent of its warming needs, will be below normal from Nov. 22 to Nov. 26, according to the National Weather Service.
The Sirius Star, operated by Saudi Aramco's Vela International Marine Ltd. was more than 450 nautical miles southeast of Mombasa when a group of pirates scaled the 10-meter (32-foot) side of the ship, the U.S. Navy said yesterday. The hijackers have taken the vessel to the Eyl coastal area in the north of Somalia, Navy spokesman Lieutenant Nate Christensen said in a phone interview today from Bahrain, where the Fifth Fleet is based.
The 25 sailors on board are safe and the vessel is fully laden, Vela said in a statement on its Web site yesterday. The tanker is designed to carry more than 2 million barrels of crude. The company has set up response teams working to free the ship and its crew.
U.S. crude-oil inventories probably rose for an eighth week as imports rebounded, a Bloomberg News survey of analysts showed.
Crude oil stockpiles probably climbed 1 million barrels in the week ended Nov. 14 from 311.9 million the week before, according to the median of nine analyst estimates before an Energy Department report this week.
Refineries probably operated at 84.6 percent of capacity, unchanged from the week before, the survey showed. Gasoline stockpiles probably increased 1 million barrels from 198.1 million barrels the week before, according to the survey.
Refinery Rates
``Refinery rates were moving up toward 90 percent this time last year so it's definitely down year on year,'' said ANZ's Pervan. ``It really highlights that there isn't any end-user demand in the market.''
Supplies of distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, rose 700,000 barrels from 128.4 million barrels the week before, according to the survey.
The Energy Department is scheduled to release its weekly report tomorrow at 10:35 a.m. in Washington.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries reduced its forecast for average oil consumption next year by 530,000 barrels a day, or 0.6 percent, to 86.68 million barrels a day, according to its monthly oil market report. The International Energy Agency and U.S. Energy Department slashed demand projections last week.
Brent crude oil for January settlement rose as much as 68 cents, or 1.3 percent to $52.99 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. It was at $52.66 at 4:01 p.m. Singapore time. It declined yesterday $1.93, or 3.6 percent, to settle at $52.31 a barrel.
To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net.
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