Economic Calendar

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Fresh financial gloom weighs on European shares

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* FTSEurofirst 300 falls 1.7 pct

* Banks lead decline after fresh credit fears

* Oil down, hitting energy shares

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON, Aug 19 (Reuters) - European shares fell on Tuesday, led by a decline in bank stocks after fresh concern about the future of the two largest U.S. home finance groups rattled equity markets around the world.

By 0746 GMT the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 1.7 percent at 1,169.13 points, having closed down 0.1 percent on Monday. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 13 to one on the index.

A Barron's newspaper report that suggested the U.S. government may have no choice but to effectively nationalise mortgage finance groups Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae reignited concern in the investment community that the worst of the mortgage crisis was far from over. This along with a stark warning from the former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday that the worst of the global financial crisis is yet to come tilted bank shares in both Europe and Asia into the red.

Banco Santander , HSBC and Royal Bank of Scotland were down 1.6 to 4 percent, ranking them among the worst individual drags on the FTSEurofirst 300.

"Overall the environment for equity markets remains very difficult as it has now become clearer that we are witnessing a more severe economic slowdown," said Tammo Greetfeld, a strategist for UniCredit in Munich.

"The overnight speculation about the need for a bailout of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae of course is also a burden and this is weighing on the markets this morning."

Asian shares fell to a two-year low .while on Wall Street, shares in Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae hit their lowest levels in more than 20 years.

A drop in the price of crude oil CLc1 hit Total and Royal Dutch Shell , which both fell 1.4 percent.

But data from Germany showing producer price inflation hit its highest in 27 years highlighted the fact that even the 23 percent decline in oil registered since mid-July's record highs still leaves crude futures a full 17 percent above where they were this time last year.

"This is a reminder that one should be cautious about how much in terms of future inflation relief one should read into the recent drop in the oil prices," UniCredit's Greetfeld said.

PESSMISM DEEPENS

The FTSEurofirst is now on track for its fourth consecutive monthly fall and its seventh monthly fall this year, and some analysts see further declines as broader earnings downgrades have yet to fully materialise.

"I'm still quite pessimistic," said Heino Ruland, a strategist with FrankfurtFinanz in Frankfurt.

"I am still sticking to the view to stay overweight bonds, neutral cash and underweight equities. I think the earnings (downgrades) story is not yet priced in," he said.

"Top-down, we are convinced growth next year will be lower than this year and most analysts expect an improvement in earnings in the year to come and that is not going to happen," he added.

With so much focus on the oil price, investors will be keen to see data on U.S. producer inflation at 1230 GMT.

Swiss speciality chemicals maker Ciba lost 14 percent after reporting a first-half net loss of 569 million Swiss francs ($519.2 million), hit by a non-cash goodwill impairment. The company has been hit hard by high raw material costs.

Among the few gainers, BG Group rose 0.2 percent after Australia's Origin Energy said it short-listed several candidates to help build a liquefied natural gas project as it fends off a takeover bid from the British energy firm.

Belgian brewer InBev lost 0.6 percent. The company said on Monday U.S. antitrust regulators had asked for additional information regarding its planned takeover of Budweiser maker Anheuser-Busch .

With so much concern over the impact of the credit crunch hanging over the market, even a fresh fall in the euro to new six-month lows against the dollar had little effect on export-sensitive sectors such as retailers and autos.

Among carmakers, Renault , Daimler and Peugeot fell 2.3 to 2.8 percent, while clothing retailers H&M and Inditex lost 2 percent. (Editing by Quentin Bryar)


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